Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1191

July 7, 20214 counties in Georgia; Beaufort County, Hampton County, Jasper County, South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 7, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT for 4 counties in Georgia; Beaufort County, Hampton County, Jasper County, South Carolina. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT (02:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2021, 12:00 AM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 347

Counties Bryan County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Beaufort County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1099 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 153 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1099 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
507 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
153 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

313 
ACUS11 KWNS 080200
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080200 
SCZ000-GAZ000-080400-

Mesoscale Discussion 1191
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0900 PM CDT Wed Jul 07 2021

Areas affected...Coastal areas of southeast Georgia and southern
South Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 347...

Valid 080200Z - 080400Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 347 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado threat will persist across remaining areas of
WW 347. The greatest near term risk (over the next 1-2 hours) will
reside across coastal areas of the GA/SC border.

DISCUSSION...The primary rain band associated with Tropical Storm
Elsa continues to translate along the GA coast, and periodic
lightning jumps indicate that the thermodynamic environment is still
favorable for strong updrafts despite the loss of diurnal heating.
Velocity data from KJAX shows transient couplets within this band -
namely just offshore. Low-level confluence remains maximized along
the band axis, and high theta-e air in proximity to the coast
(denoted by mid 70s dewpoints) coupled with easterly surface winds
on the northern side of the band are maintaining an environment with
sufficient instability and low-level helicity conducive for brief
tornadoes. The near-term tornado threat will likely be maximized
along this band, which should continue to move along the GA/SC coast
over the next 1-2 hours.

..Moore.. 07/08/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...

LAT...LON   31048123 31518121 31758151 32258160 32548133 32788115
            32798068 32578044 32218031 31778041 31338056 30998075
            30898099 30908113 31048123

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Berkeley, Charleston, Colleton, Dillon, Dorchester and 5 more2 hr
Jul 8, 2:01 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCFlorence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion, Williamsburg7 hr
Jul 8, 5:25 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Dillon, Florence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion and 1 more2 hr
Jul 8, 7:09 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorgetown, Horry, Marion2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.