Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1118

June 26, 20217 counties in Oklahoma; 24 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 26, 2021, 10:13 PM CDT for 7 counties in Oklahoma; 24 counties in Texas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 26, 2021, 10:13 PM CDT (03:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 26, 2021, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 323...324
All 31 counties

Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Baylor County, TX, Borden County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 667 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -64 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
667 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.1
Supercell composite
-1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

526 
ACUS11 KWNS 270313
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270313 
OKZ000-TXZ000-270445-

Mesoscale Discussion 1118
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1013 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

Areas affected...Northwest TX...Southwest OK

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 323...324...

Valid 270313Z - 270445Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 323, 324
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind gusts and large hail remain possible
across northwest Texas into southwestern Oklahoma. A temporal
extension of the watch may be warranted after 04z.

DISCUSSION...Maturation of a larger MCS is likely underway as
eastern NM High Plains convection digs southeast toward the old
synoptic frontal zone draped across northwest TX/southwest OK.
Several measured severe wind gusts have been observed with the
squall line has it surged into the TX south Plains over the last few
hours. Of particular note is the expanding convective complex from
BPG-CDS-LBB. Increasing 1km AGL flow into the frontal zone should
encourage upscale growth over the next few hours. With time this
activity should propagate downstream into southwestern OK. Isolated
wind/hail remain possible, but very heavy rain, possibly prolonged,
may ultimately be the main meteorologic concern.

..Darrow.. 06/27/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON   32530221 34310124 35319877 34369792 32370017 32530221

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 7:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hockley, Lamb and 1 more96 min
Jun 27, 1:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEl Paso, Hudspeth117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.