Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1098

June 25, 20218 counties in Oklahoma; 9 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 25, 2021, 5:09 PM CDT for 8 counties in Oklahoma; 9 counties in Texas. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2021, 5:09 PM CDT (22:09 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 6:45 PM CDT
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 315

Counties Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Major County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 765 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
765 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-206 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1646 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

861 
ACUS11 KWNS 252209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252209 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-252345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1098
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0509 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

Areas affected...Texas Panhandle...northwestern
Oklahoma...south-central Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315...

Valid 252209Z - 252345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315
continues.

SUMMARY...Cluster of severe thunderstorms should spread east this
evening. New severe thunderstorm watch may be warranted.

DISCUSSION...Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms have evolved over
the TX Panhandle into northwestern OK within steep low-level lapse
rate environment. Surface dew points are also holding just ahead of
this activity despite surface temperatures in the mid-upper 90s.
Satellite imagery suggests storm-top evacuation is beginning to
increase over the northeast TX Panhandle, and if clustering
continues there is a greater propensity for this activity to
propagate downstream into western/northern OK. Additionally, LLJ is
expected to strengthen across the southern Plains after sunset and
this should contribute to forward propagation as well.

..Darrow.. 06/25/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   35070193 37279901 36709811 35229957 34520106 35070193

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 2:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Harper, Texas2 hr
Jun 25, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Ellis, Harper, Roger Mills, Texas and 2 more10 hr
Jun 25, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer and 18 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.