Special Weather Statement, NWS Shreveport, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1157 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

.AVIATION...

Difficult flying conditions will only become more difficult as we
move into the afternoon hours and especially the evening hours
with multiple rounds of convection likely. Begin with prevailing
VCTS across most terminal locations with prevailing TSRA at the
TYR/GGG terminals. Tried to time the current convection just west
of our western most terminal sites eastward through the day into
the evening. Do believe we will lose much of the storm coverage by
late this evening near and south of the I-20 terminal locations
but TSRA could continue through much of the night into the morning
hours at the TXK and ELD terminals.

Did prevail IFR ceilings across most locations near our just prior
to sunrise with MVFR ceilings returning by mid morning on Tuesday.
Winds will be mostly S to SE near 10kts but much stronger and
gusts near thunderstorms through the TAF period.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1031 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021/

UPDATE...
Mesoscale convective complex beginning to push southeast across
central Texas and should be entering the ArkLaTex within the next
couple of hours. For this forecast update, went ahead and
increased rain chances across deep east Texas and north Louisiana
to align with current radar trends. Although temperatures are
within the ballpark of forecast highs across portions of east
Texas and northwest Louisiana, held off on raising them due to
upcoming cloud-cover and precipitation.

/05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  87  73  89  74 /  80  50  40  10
MLU  87  74  89  74 /  80  40  50  20
DEQ  81  69  84  71 /  90  60  70  30
TXK  83  71  86  73 /  80  50  60  20
ELD  84  69  87  71 /  80  50  60  30
TYR  87  74  90  75 /  80  50  30  10
GGG  86  73  88  74 /  80  50  40  10
LFK  89  74  92  75 /  70  30  20   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for LAZ001>004.

OK...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for OKZ077.

TX...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>151.

&&

13/05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
102 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-081815-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
102 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the entire
region today, with damaging winds and localized heavy rain leading
to flash flooding possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Widespread shower and thunderstorms will continue on Tuesday,
which may lead to additional localized flash flooding concerns.
Can't rule out strong gusty winds, especially if storms are able
to organized into clusters. Much drier conditions are expected for
the remainder of the week as upper ridging builds into the region.
Widespread rain chances are possible by next weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will be needed this afternoon.

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1151 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

TXZ124-125-136-137-149-150-152-071745-
Upshur TX-Gregg TX-Cherokee TX-Smith TX-Nacogdoches TX-Wood TX-
Rusk TX-
1151 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMITH...WESTERN RUSK...
NORTHWESTERN NACOGDOCHES...SOUTHERN WOOD...SOUTHWESTERN UPSHUR...
SOUTHWESTERN GREGG AND CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

At 1151 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Canton to 14 miles southeast of Fairfield Lake
State Park. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Tyler, Jacksonville, Kilgore, Whitehouse, Gladewater, Rusk, Gilmer,
Mineola, Lindale, Overton, Bullard, Troup, Big Sandy, Hawkins, Alto,
New London, Berryville, Arp, Clarksville City and East Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3266 9559 3273 9488 3153 9487 3153 9511
      3159 9517 3159 9527 3168 9529 3174 9533
      3176 9540 3182 9540 3185 9544 3193 9542
      3199 9545 3205 9542 3215 9548 3218 9546
      3223 9549 3230 9545 3236 9545 3248 9559
TIME...MOT...LOC 1651Z 267DEG 41KT 3255 9588 3165 9587

05

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
141 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

TXZ137-138-149>153-165-071930-
Gregg TX-Cherokee TX-Panola TX-Harrison TX-Angelina TX-
Nacogdoches TX-Rusk TX-Shelby TX-
141 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARRISON...PANOLA...RUSK...
NACOGDOCHES...NORTHWESTERN SHELBY...WESTERN ANGELINA...EASTERN GREGG
AND SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 141 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Diana to Morrill. Movement was southeast
at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Longview, Lufkin, Nacogdoches, Marshall, Henderson, Carthage, Diboll,
Hudson, Hallsville, Huntington, Tatum, Alto, Timpson, Garrison,
Beckville, Wells, Deberry, Elysian Fields, Pinehill and Trawick.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
eastern and northeastern Texas.

LAT...LON 3111 9475 3115 9485 3123 9486 3126 9490
      3128 9488 3130 9490 3132 9490 3134 9496
      3138 9495 3142 9500 3144 9501 3145 9505
      3147 9506 3147 9510 3149 9511 3152 9510
      3154 9514 3269 9470 3259 9405 3109 9464
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 298DEG 30KT 3263 9470 3162 9509

05