Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 90, NWS Shreveport, LA

May 17, 2021Gregg County, Texas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this river flood warning at May 17, 2021, 8:49 AM CDT for Gregg County, Texas. It took effect at May 17, 2021, 5:30 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 2021, 8:49 AM CDT (13:49 UTC)
In effect from
May 17, 2021, 5:30 PM CDT
Expired
May 23, 2021, 8:09 AM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Shreveport, LA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Gregg County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Rabbit Creek at Kilgore (KLGT2). The gauge peaked at 13.68 ft at May 20, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101505/1705/1805/1905/2005/2105/2205/2305/24
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08020700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

730 
WGUS44 KSHV 171349
FLWSHV

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
849 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The National Weather Service in Shreveport LA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-181400-
/O.NEW.KSHV.FL.W.0090.210517T2230Z-210519T1852Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T2230Z.210518T0000Z.210518T0651Z.NO/
849 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* From this afternoon to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 11.3 feet this evening. It will then 
  fall below flood stage just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

25
12 follow-up statements
330 
WGUS84 KSHV 180118
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
818 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-190130-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210520T1030Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210518T0600Z.210518T2230Z.NO/
818 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 7:45 PM CDT Monday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 PM CDT Monday was 11.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.6 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

10
742 
WGUS44 KSHV 181835
FLWSHV

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
135 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following creek in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-192015-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KLGT2.2.ER.210517T1815Z.210520T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
135 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until further notice.
* At 12:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 12:45 PM CDT Tuesday was 11.7 feet.
* Forecast...Rabbit Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 15.7 
  feet tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Expect flooding on small tributaries to 
  Rabbit Creek to begin such as Turkey Creek.  Also expect a couple 
  of barns to flood as well.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

08
677 
WGUS84 KSHV 190154 RRA
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
854 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-200200-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KLGT2.2.ER.210517T1815Z.210520T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 11.6 feet.
* Forecast...Rabbit Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 15.7 
  feet tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Expect about one hundred acres to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

10
377 
WGUS84 KSHV 191338
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
838 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following creeks in Texas...

  Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy affecting Wood and Upshur Counties.

  Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman affecting Wood County.

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC459-499-201515-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0101.210521T0600Z-210524T1000Z/
/BSNT2.1.ER.210521T0600Z.210522T0600Z.210523T1600Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy.
* From late Thursday night to late Sunday night.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Big Sandy Creek is expected to rise above flood stage 
  early Friday morning to a crest of 17.8 feet early Saturday 
  morning. It will then fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...Minor lowland flooding.


&&

LAT...LON 3289 9531 3261 9508 3254 9507 3254 9511
      3289 9537

$$

TXC183-201515-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210519T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:45 AM CDT Wednesday was 11.8 feet.
* Forecast...The Rabbit Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 12.3 
  feet this Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

TXC499-201515-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/QTMT2.1.ER.210517T2115Z.210518T1815Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 17.5 feet.
* Forecast...Lake Fork Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 17.1 
  feet early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 16 feet, Expect minor lowland flooding problems. 
  Ranchers that may have cattle and equipment in the creek bottoms 
  should move them to higher ground.  Expect flooding to continue 
  for a few days due to reservoir releases from Lake Fork.


&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537
      3279 9552

$$

08
860 
WGUS84 KSHV 200111
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
811 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following creeks in Texas...

  Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy affecting Wood and Upshur Counties.

  Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman affecting Wood County.

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-210115-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210526T0448Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210519T2345Z.210524T1648Z.NO/
811 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 6:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 11.6 feet.
* Forecast...The Rabbit Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 12.3 
  feet this Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

10
943 
WGUS84 KSHV 201331
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
831 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following creeks in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

  Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy affecting Wood and Upshur Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following creek in Texas...

  Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman affecting Wood County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-211515-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210526T0900Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210521T0000Z.210524T2100Z.NO/
831 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 AM CDT Thursday was 13.1 feet.
* Forecast...The Rabbit Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 13.8 
  feet this Thursday evening. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14 feet, Expect about one hundred acres to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

TXC459-499-211515-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0101.210521T2230Z-210523T1800Z/
/BSNT2.1.ER.210521T2230Z.210522T0000Z.210523T0000Z.NO/
831 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy.
* From Friday afternoon to Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Big Sandy Creek is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Friday afternoon to a crest of 17.1 feet Friday evening. It will 
  then fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 17 feet, Lowlands, along with some secondary roadways, 
  will begin to flood. Ranchers should move livestock and equipment 
  to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3289 9531 3261 9508 3254 9507 3254 9511
      3289 9537

$$

TXC499-211515-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/QTMT2.1.ER.210517T2115Z.210520T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
831 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Thursday was 17.7 feet.
* Forecast...Lake Fork Creek is expected to remain steady above 
  flood stage at 17.7 feet through Friday morning.
* Impact...Expect minor flooding to continue through at least Friday 
  with continued reservoir releases from Lake Fork.


&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537
      3279 9552

$$

08
454 
WGUS84 KSHV 210134
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
834 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-220145-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210526T0900Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210521T0000Z.210524T2100Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 AM CDT Thursday was 13.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.8 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Expect about one hundred acres to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

44
563 
WGUS84 KSHV 211332
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
832 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following creek in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following creek in Texas...

  Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy affecting Wood and Upshur Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following creek in Texas...

  Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman affecting Wood County.

TXC459-499-211445-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0101.210521T2230Z-210521T1332Z/
/BSNT2.1.ER.210521T2230Z.210522T0000Z.210523T0000Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Big Sandy Creek Near Big Sandy.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* Forecast...Big Sandy Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 16.6 
  feet early Sunday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3289 9531 3261 9508 3254 9507 3254 9511
      3289 9537

$$

TXC183-221515-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210526T1400Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210521T0000Z.210525T0200Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 AM CDT Friday was 13.7 feet.
* Forecast...Expect Rabbit Creek to fall to 11.6 feet and then begin 
  rising this Friday evening. It will then rise again to 11.8 feet 
  Saturday morning. It will fall to 11.2 feet and then begin rising 
  Saturday evening. It will then rise again to 11.3 feet early 
  Sunday morning. It will fall below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 12 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

TXC499-221515-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/QTMT2.1.ER.210517T2115Z.210520T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Friday was 17.7 feet.
* Forecast...Lake Fork Creek is expected to fall to 16.9 feet 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...Expect minor flooding to continue through this weekend 
  with continued reservoir releases from Lake Fork.


&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537
      3279 9552

$$

08
796 
WGUS84 KSHV 220213
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
913 PM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-230215-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210526T1800Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210521T0000Z.210525T0600Z.NO/
913 PM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 PM CDT Friday was 13.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.8 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 12 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

19
518 
WGUS84 KSHV 221326
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
826 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following creek in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following creek in Texas...

  Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman affecting Wood County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-231500-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210527T0730Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210521T0000Z.210525T1930Z.NO/
826 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 AM CDT Saturday was 12.7 feet.
* Forecast...Rabbit Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 11.8 
  feet this Saturday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

TXC499-231500-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/QTMT2.1.ER.210517T2115Z.210520T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lake Fork Creek Near Quitman.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Saturday was 17.6 feet.
* Forecast...Lake Fork Creek is expected to remain steady above 
  flood stage at 16.9 feet through Sunday morning.
* Impact...Minor lowland flooding to continue as releases continue 
  from Lake Fork Reservoir.


&&

LAT...LON 3281 9552 3268 9536 3261 9534 3261 9537
      3279 9552

$$

08
168 
WGUS84 KSHV 230128
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
828 PM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC183-240130-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210527T0300Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210521T0000Z.210525T1500Z.NO/
828 PM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Wednesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 6:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:45 PM CDT Saturday was 11.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.4 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 12 feet, Expect flooded trails and a private boat 
  launch.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

10
587 
WGUS84 KSHV 231309
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
809 AM CDT Sun May 23 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Rabbit Creek At Kilgore affecting Gregg County.

TXC183-231415-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-210523T1309Z/
/KLGT2.1.ER.210517T1815Z.210521T0000Z.210525T1500Z.NO/
809 AM CDT Sun May 23 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rabbit Creek At Kilgore.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.3 feet Friday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3233 9499 3242 9489 3245 9479 3242 9478
      3229 9498

$$

25

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 17, 6:30 AM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 6:30 AM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
630 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

.AVIATION...

For the 17/12z TAFs...Widespread MVFR and occasional IFR flight
conditions are being observed this morning, with the exception of
KELD and KMLU where VFR conditions continue to prevail. Latest
radar imagery from this morning is showing an increase in shower
and thunderstorm activity that will continue across much of the
area through the day. Expect -RA/-TSRA to be seen for most
terminals throughout the day and into the overnight hours. Look
for these sloppy flight conditions to continue across the area
through the remainder of the TAF period. /33/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 414 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021/

SHORT TERM.../Today through Tuesday/

Radar imagery from early this morning is showing a few showers
with some embedded thunderstorms across portions of deep east
Texas, extending to the northeast through central Louisiana and
then into northeast Louisiana. Additionally, there are a few
showers moving across southwest Oklahoma as well. Expecting this
activity to continue through the rest of the night and into the
morning hours.

Upper air analysis from this morning shows a well-defined low
centered over the Nevada/Arizona/Utah state lines. Models show
this upper-level low gradually pushing into the Four Corners
Region through the day today. This feature has already sent one of
many rounds of precipitation to the area, which we saw late Sunday
and into last night. Showers and thunderstorms will begin to
increase across the area late this morning and into the early
afternoon hours. While the majority of the severe weather threat
will remain well to our east, there is a chance for marginally
severe thunderstorms generally west of a line from Natchitoches,
LA north to near Prescott, AR were a Marginal Risk is currently
painted for large hail and damaging winds.

At the same time, stronger thunderstorms are expected to develop
across western Texas and slowly move towards our area as we head
into tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to move
through the area tonight and into the day Tuesday. Models indicate
that there could be an ongoing MCS moving across central and north
Texas early Tuesday morning that will track into our area. This
could bring an additional threat of severe weather during the day
Tuesday with all modes of severe weather possible. The area with
the greatest chance of seeing severe weather on Tuesday will be
across portions of east Texas where SPC currently has painted
a Slight Risk.

In addition to the severe weather chances across the area, there
remains a good chance for moderate to heavy rainfall across the
area. While most of the heaviest rain will hold off till later in
the week, a few storms today and Tuesday will produce locally
heavy rainfall. Will likely need a Flash Flood Watch by Tuesday
afternoon, but will hold off and see what the 12z data indicates
for start times. Temperatures today will range from the mid to
upper 70s for areas along and north of I-30 to the lower 80s
elsewhere. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the
mid to upper 60s. Look for afternoon high temperatures on Tuesday
to range from the upper 70s to lower 80s once again. /33/

LONG TERM.../Tuesday Night through Sunday Night/

The closed low now entering the Desert SW this morning will open up
over the next day or so as it enters the Cntrl/Srn Rockies Tuesday
night, with the attendant upper trough now progged to dig a bit
farther S into NCntrl Old MX. Strong diffluence will set up ahead of
the trough over OK and much of Cntrl TX, with a 30-40kt Srly LLJ
feeding low level moisture Nwd where one or multiple large clusters
of convection will develop by late afternoon/into the evening while
gradually migrating E into ECntrl TX/SE OK/possibly the adjacent
sections of SW AR by daybreak Wednesday. Moderate MLCapes on the
order of 2000-2500 J/Kg is progged to develop within the moist
sector across Ncntrl/Cntrl and NE TX during the late
afternoon/evening Tuesday, such that the developing convection will
pose a svr threat with damaging winds/hail over these areas. This
may translate ENE across the remainder of E TX and possibly Wrn LA
overnight, although instability remains progged to wane during the
late evening/overnight hours with the stabilizing bndry lyr. The
primary threat will then transition to locally heavy rainfall, which
looks to affect much of E TX/SE OK/adjacent sections of SW AR
overnight, which will fall over nearly saturated grounds from heavy
rainfall which fell late last weekend into the early portions of the
week over much of E TX. Timing discrepancies do arise though with
the 00Z progs with the GFS/Canadian/ECMWF a bit more progressive
with the overnight MCS than the slower NAM, although the ECMWF
suggests much lower QPF than earlier runs. Given the strength of the
LLJ and timing consistencies with the majority of the 00Z progs with
the earlier model runs, have not strayed much from the previous
forecasts and have included heavy rain mention Tuesday night over
the aforementioned areas, but did back off on the higher
(likely/categorical) pops until after 06Z Wednesday for the Wrn half
of the area given the potential slower evolution of the developing
MCS. Have maintained likely/categorical pops Wednesday as the MCS
marches E across the region although weakening during the afternoon
as this complex outruns the area of best large scale forcing ahead
of the upper trough to the W. Storm total QPF's through Wednesday
night still looks to range from 3-5+ inches over E TX, SE OK,
adjacent sections of SW AR and possibly Wrn LA, with isolated higher
amounts in excess of 8 inches over portions of E TX.

What's left of the upper level circulation of the trough should
begin to lift N from Ern Co/OK and TX Panhandles into the Cntrl
Plains, with the Srn portions of the residual trough over S TX
progged to dig father S into Ern MX as it becomes pinched off from
the main upper flow. This will come as upper ridging begins to
amplify N from the SE CONUS into the OH Valley/into much of New
England, which will act to shear apart the remainder of the Srn
Plains/Ern MX trough Thursday through next weekend. The convection
Wednesday should begin to gradually wane Wednesday night as the
ridging to the E tries to advect some drier air back to the WNW.
However, a deep SErly unidirectional flow around the Wrn periphery
of the ridge coupled with diurnal heating should result in sct to
numerous areas of convection developing once again areawide, where
likely and categorical pops were maintained, especially across all
but Scntrl AR/Ern sections of NCntrl LA. While this could result in
localized pockets of heavy rain and training, especially over E TX,
the ridge should begin to build a bit farther W through the Lower MS
Valley Friday, thus maintaining more sct convection than the
widespread which will be observed for much of this week.

Disagreements arise with the extent of convection by late week into
next weekend, with the GFS mostly dry during the period, whereas the
ECMWF and to more extent the Canadian suggest more sct mainly
diurnal convection over much of the region. Have remained more
conservative with pops, lowering the much higher NBM pops down to
chance while confining the mid/high chance pops over SE OK/E TX where
the ridging may be weaker. Did lower pops to slight chance across
the Ern zones Saturday given the model consensus, with a warming
trend commencing by late week into the weekend as the ridge nudges
farther W. Decent model agreement exists that by late weekend, any
convection should be more isolated as the ridge retrogrades farther
W into the Lower MS Valley.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  82  69  84  68 /  80  40  80  70
MLU  81  68  82  68 /  80  50  80  30
DEQ  78  65  79  65 /  80  60  90  90
TXK  78  68  81  68 /  80  40  80  80
ELD  79  65  82  67 /  80  40  80  50
TYR  83  68  82  66 /  80  40  90  90
GGG  81  67  82  67 /  80  40  90  80
LFK  83  69  83  68 /  80  30  80  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

33/15/33
Hazardous weather outlook, May 17, 6:11 AM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
611 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-181100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
611 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Showers and thunderstorms will increase across the region today,
ahead of an upper level disturbance that will move through the
area. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms can not be ruled
out, with damaging winds, hail, and brief heavy rainfall possible.
These showers and thunderstorms will diminish this evening with
the departure of this disturbance.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Showers and thunderstorms will again return to the region Tuesday
in advance of an upper level storm system that will progress
through the Southern Rockies and into West Texas and the Oklahoma
Panhandle by midweek. The threat for locally heavy rainfall and
flash flooding will increase Tuesday night and Wednesday across
East Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, portions of Southwest Arkansas and
possibly Western Louisiana, as a complex of showers and
thunderstorms moves into these areas. Some of these storms may
also become severe during the late afternoon through the evening
hours Tuesday, before the heavy rain and flash flood threat
increases across these areas Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Widespread rainfall amounts of three to five inches are expected
this week across these areas this week, with isolated higher
amounts in excess of eight inches possible, especially over East
Texas. This rainfall will result in new rises and possible
flooding on area creeks and bayous, rivers and lakes. This
unsettled weather pattern will continue Thursday and Friday,
before gradually diminishing from east to west this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters may be needed today across portions
of the region.

15

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 8:47 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSHVFranklin, Morris, Red River, Titus20 days
May 16, 8:48 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSHVWood7 days
May 16, 8:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSHVFranklin, Morris, Titus21 days
May 17, 4:34 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySHVSabine, San Augustine4 hr
May 17, 8:54 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSHVCass, Marion13 days
May 17, 8:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur10 days
May 17, 11:13 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSHVAngelina, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby6 hr
May 17, 12:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSHVShelby47 min
May 17, 1:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSHVSabine43 min
May 17, 1:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchSHVAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 15 more5 days
May 17, 2:10 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSHVPanola, Shelby5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.