Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 89, NWS Shreveport, LA

May 16, 2021Franklin County, Morris County, Titus County, Texas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this river flood warning at May 16, 2021, 8:50 PM CDT for Franklin County, Morris County, Titus County, Texas. It took effect at May 17, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 20 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 16, 2021, 8:50 PM CDT (01:50 UTC)
In effect from: May 17, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired: Jun 6, 2021, 8:50 PM CDT
In force: 20 days
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Franklin County, TX, Morris County, TX, Titus County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point White Oak Creek near Talco (WOCT2). The gauge peaked at 18.70 ft at May 20, 2021, 3:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 15.5 ft
Minor stage: 16 ft
Moderate stage: 19 ft
Major stage: 22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07343500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

041 
WGUS44 KSHV 170150
FLWSHV

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
850 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...The National Weather Service in Shreveport LA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-180200-
/O.NEW.KSHV.FL.W.0089.210518T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210518T0000Z.210520T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* From Monday evening until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 17.6 feet 
  Wednesday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

50

20 follow-up statements

855 
WGUS84 KSHV 171352 RRA
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
852 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-181400-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.210519T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T1800Z.210521T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* From Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Wednesday afternoon and continue rising to 17.5 feet early Friday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

25

094 
WGUS84 KSHV 180057
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
757 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-190100-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.210519T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T1800Z.210521T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* From Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM CDT Monday was 15.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Wednesday afternoon and continue rising to 17.5 feet early Friday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

10

827 
WGUS84 KSHV 180114
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
814 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-190115-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.210519T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T1800Z.210521T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
814 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* From Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Wednesday afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 17.5 feet 
  early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

10

762 
WGUS84 KSHV 181446
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
946 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following creek in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-387-449-191630-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-210524T0321Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.210517T1342Z.210521T0000Z.210523T0920Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 24.7 feet.
* Forecast...The Sulphur River will rise to 25.9 feet Thursday 
  evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Expect moderate flooding of lowland areas 
  with some secondary roadways closed. All cattle and equipment 
  nearby the river should be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

TXC159-343-449-191630-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.210519T1120Z-000000T0000Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T1120Z.210521T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* From Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The White Oak Creek is expected to rise above flood 
  stage Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 18.0 
  feet early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 18 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.  Expect flooding to continue for 
  several more days, possibly approaching the end of April.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

08

887 
WGUS84 KSHV 190209
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
909 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following creek in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-200215-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.210519T0455Z-210524T1108Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0455Z.210521T0600Z.210523T1708Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The White Oak Creek is expected to rise above flood 
  stage Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 18.0 
  feet early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 18 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.  Expect flooding to continue for 
  several more days, possibly approaching the end of April.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

10

137 
WGUS84 KSHV 191348
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
848 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river and creek in 
Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-201530-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210524T1108Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210521T0600Z.210523T1708Z.NO/
848 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 16.6 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 18.0 
  feet early Friday morning. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

TXC159-343-387-449-201530-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-210524T0320Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.210517T1342Z.210521T0000Z.210523T0920Z.NO/
848 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 6:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:45 AM CDT Wednesday was 24.8 feet.
* Forecast...The Sulphur River is expected to rise to a crest of 
  25.9 feet Thursday evening. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 26 feet, Expect moderate flooding of lowland areas 
  with some secondary roadways closed. All cattle and equipment 
  nearby the river should be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

08

171 
WGUS84 KSHV 200125
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
825 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river and creek in 
Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-210130-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210521T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 18.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.8 feet 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Expect considerable lowland flooding with 
  some secondary roadways inundated. Ranchers that have cattle and 
  equipment near the creek should move them to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

10

217 
WGUS84 KSHV 201406
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
906 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river and creek in 
Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-211545-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210525T1800Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210521T0600Z.210525T0000Z.NO/
906 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM CDT Thursday was 18.6 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to rise to a crest of 18.8 
  feet by early Friday morning. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 19 feet, Expect considerable lowland flooding with 
  some secondary roadways inundated. Ranchers that have cattle and 
  equipment near the creek should move them to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

TXC159-343-387-449-211545-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.210517T1342Z.210519T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Thursday was 24.3 feet.
* Forecast...The Sulphur River is expected to rise to a crest of 
  24.2 feet early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25 feet, Expect moderate flooding of lowland areas 
  with some secondary roadways closed. All cattle and equipment 
  nearby the river should be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

08

175 
WGUS84 KSHV 210117 RRA
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
817 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-220130-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210525T1800Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210521T0600Z.210525T0000Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM CDT Thursday was 18.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.8 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Expect considerable lowland flooding with 
  some secondary roadways inundated. Ranchers that have cattle and 
  equipment near the creek should move them to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

44

229 
WGUS84 KSHV 211430
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
930 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river and creek in 
Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-221600-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210524T0900Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210523T1500Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM CDT Friday was 18.7 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Sunday morning and continue falling to 13.3 feet Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

TXC159-343-387-449-221600-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.210517T1342Z.210519T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Friday was 24.2 feet.
* Forecast...The Sulphur River is expected to rise to a crest of 
  24.1 feet this Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25 feet, Expect moderate flooding of lowland areas 
  with some secondary roadways closed. All cattle and equipment 
  nearby the river should be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

08

765 
WGUS84 KSHV 220223
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
923 PM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-230230-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210524T2230Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210524T0430Z.NO/
923 PM CDT Fri May 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM CDT Friday was 18.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  Sunday evening and continue falling to 14 feet Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 18 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

19

550 
WGUS84 KSHV 221518
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1018 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river and creek in 
Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-387-449-231700-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-210527T1200Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.210517T1342Z.210519T0130Z.210526T1800Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:45 AM CDT Saturday was 24.1 feet.
* Forecast...The Sulphur River is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Wednesday afternoon and continue falling to 19.5 feet 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...Expect flooding to slowly diminish through the remainder 
  of this weekend and next week.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

TXC159-343-449-231700-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210524T2230Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210524T0430Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum creek stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM CDT Saturday was 18.4 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Sunday  evening and continue falling to 13.4 feet Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...Expect flooding to slowly diminish through the remainder 
  of this weekend.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

08

967 
WGUS84 KSHV 230126
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
826 PM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-240130-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210524T2230Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210524T0430Z.NO/
826 PM CDT Sat May 22 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Saturday was 18.2 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Sunday  evening and continue falling to 13.4 feet Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...Expect flooding to slowly diminish through the remainder 
  of this weekend.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

10

352 
WGUS84 KSHV 231403
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
903 AM CDT Sun May 23 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-241415-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210526T0400Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210525T1000Z.NO/
903 AM CDT Sun May 23 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning and continue falling to 11.3 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

25

502 
WGUS84 KSHV 240127
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
827 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-250130-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210526T0400Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210525T1000Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Sunday was 17.6 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Sunday  evening and continue falling to 13.4 feet Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...Expect flooding to slowly diminish through the remainder 
  of this weekend.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

10

028 
WGUS84 KSHV 241326
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
826 AM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-251330-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210526T0400Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210525T1000Z.NO/
826 AM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 9.7 feet Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Expect minor lowland flooding of creek 
  bottoms. Ranchers that may have cattle and equipment in the creek 
  bottoms should move them to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

25

747 
WGUS84 KSHV 250151
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
851 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-260200-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210526T0200Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210525T0800Z.NO/
851 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Monday was 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late tonight and continue falling to 8.6 feet Saturday evening.
* Impact...Expect flooding to slowly diminish through the remainder 
  of this weekend.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

10

945 
WGUS84 KSHV 251358
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
858 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river and creek 
in Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-261530-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210530T1200Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210529T1800Z.NO/
858 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to rise again above flood 
  stage Wednesday  evening to a crest of 17.0 feet Friday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16 feet, Expect minor lowland flooding of creek 
  bottoms. Ranchers that may have cattle and equipment in the creek 
  bottoms should move them to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

TXC159-343-387-449-261530-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.210517T1342Z.210519T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 22.7 feet.
* Forecast...The Sulphur River is expected to rise to a crest of 
  24.0 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 25 feet, Expect moderate flooding of lowland areas 
  with some secondary roadways closed. All cattle and equipment 
  nearby the river should be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

08

661 
WGUS84 KSHV 260043 RRA
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
743 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-270045-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210530T1200Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210529T1800Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow evening to a crest of 17.0 feet Friday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Expect minor lowland flooding of creek 
  bottoms. Ranchers that may have cattle and equipment in the creek 
  bottoms should move them to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

25

847 
WGUS84 KSHV 261419
FLSSHV

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
919 AM CDT Wed May 26 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following creek in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and 
  Red River Counties.

TXC159-343-449-261530-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210526T1419Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210519T0921Z.210520T2145Z.210529T1800Z.NO/
919 AM CDT Wed May 26 2021

...The Flood Warning for the White Oak Creek Near Talco has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Forecast...White Oak Creek is expected to fall to 10.5 feet Monday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

TXC159-343-387-449-271600-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-210529T2137Z/
/TLCT2.1.ER.210517T1342Z.210519T0130Z.210529T0336Z.NO/
919 AM CDT Wed May 26 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Wednesday was 21.2 feet.
* Forecast...The Sulphur River is expected to rise to a crest of 
  22.5 feet by early Thursday morning and then fall below flood 
  stage late Friday evening.
* Impact...Minor lowland flooding.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

08

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 16, 6:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 6:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
653 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

.AVIATION...

For the 17/00Z TAF update, sloppy MVFR/IFR flight conditions will
continue well through the period as -TSRA/-SHRA invades our
airspace from the west. This convection will gradually reach KMLU
by 17/03Z and diminish before the second wave of -TSRA/-SHRA
arrives across our airspace from the west mostly after 17/12Z.
This second wave will reinforce MVFR/IFR cigs/vis through the end
of the period. /16/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 258 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021/

SHORT TERM.../This afternoon through Monday night/

Well our short run of dry weather has already ended for East
Texas with a line of showers and isolated thunderstorm activity
edging into Clarksville, Tyler and Jacksonville at this time. All
this activity is moving slowly Eastward at 25 mph. Rain cooled
low to mid 70s are lining up for our far west East Texas
counties. Elsewhere, low to mid 80s and breezy. Another cluster
of showers and thunderstorms is near Toledo Bend dam now and is
lifting more northward. HRRR gets this up to Shreveport and
Bossier before sunset.

A strong upper low is in the desert southwest of the U.S. and
will likewise be moving slowly to the ENE. This upper low has now
sent the first of many impulses that will make for an all wet
work week coming. SE winds will persist for days on the surface
keeping us muggy and loaded moisture wise for new storm
production. Meanwhile, our temperatures will be mild and close to
average for mid May, but it is looking like a much wetter than
average month area wide with mid month totals already there. /24/

LONG TERM.../Tuesday through Saturday Night/

A broad upper low will remain over Eastern Colorado until late
Wednesday keeping southwesterly flow aloft in place and a rich plume
of deep layer moisture streaming into the area. A stationary front
will be located from Southern Arkansas westward along the Red River
between Oklahoma and Texas to a surface low in Eastern New Mexico.
Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms should be ongoing
along the warm front and across East Texas. This activity will
gradually spread eastward during the day across most of the forecast
area. A complex of thunderstorms should slowly move into and across
the region Tuesday night through Wednesday night as the upper trough
begins to lift northeast into the Central Plains and the frontal
boundary sags southward towards the Interstate 30 corridor before
stalling once again. This will likely be the most likely time period
for heavy rainfall and flash flooding. At this time, it is still a
bit early for any flood headlines so will hold off for later
forecast issuances.

By Thursday morning, vertical ascent will decrease considerably
across the region with the upper low far to the north. However, a
cutoff shortwave trough in Central Texas will still supply sufficient
lift for a broad area of scattered showers and thunderstorms in a
warm air advection regime across the eastern half of Oklahoma and
Texas. Rainfall amounts should be considerably lower with this
activity compared to Tuesday-Wednesday. Rain chances will gradually
decrease from east to west through Saturday as ridging aloft and at
the surface over the Southeast CONUS begins to expand and retrograde
west. After sunrise Thursday through Saturday night, convective
coverage and intensity can generally be expected to be lowest during
the overnight and early morning hours before peaking during the
afternoon and evening.

Little has changed regarding storm total rainfall amounts through
Saturday afternoon. Rainfall totals may remain below 2 inches across
our easternmost parishes of Louisiana, but totals will increase
dramatically farther west. Amounts closer to 4 to 5 inches will be
possible in Extreme East Texas, Southwest Arkansas south of
Interstate 30, and Extreme Northwest and Western Louisiana. 6 to 8
inches, with isolated higher amounts, are possible east of a line
from Lufkin TX to Nashville AR. /CN/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  67  81  69  83 /  70  80  40  80
MLU  66  81  67  84 /  40  70  40  50
DEQ  64  78  67  79 /  80  80  60  80
TXK  66  79  68  81 /  70  80  50  80
ELD  64  77  66  83 /  70  80  50  60
TYR  66  81  70  84 /  60  70  40  90
GGG  66  81  68  82 /  60  80  40  80
LFK  68  82  70  84 /  50  70  40  80

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

&&

16/24/CN

Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 12:56 PM CDT, 7 hours 54 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1256 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-171100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1256 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated thunderstorms will increase over East Texas, Southeast
Oklahoma, and possibly portions of Southwest Arkansas and Western
Louisiana this afternoon, and spread across the remainder of the
region tonight. Brief heavy rainfall will be possible, with
additional shower and isolated thunderstorm redevelopment possible
across Southeast Oklahoma and adjacent Southwest Arkansas late
tonight. A couple of isolated severe thunderstorms are possible
across portions of Southeast Oklahoma and East Texas through this
evening. If any severe storms develop, damaging winds and large
hail will be the primary risks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Showers and thunderstorms will increase across the region Monday
with the passage of an upper level disturbance. Isolated strong to
severe thunderstorms can not be ruled out over East Texas, Southeast
Oklahoma, adjacent sections of Southwest Arkansas, and Western
Louisiana, with locally gusty winds and brief heavy rainfall
possible. Showers and thunderstorms will increase once again
Tuesday afternoon and continue through much of this week, with the
threat for locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding possible
through Thursday over East Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest
Arkansas, and possibly Western Louisiana. Cumulative rainfall
amounts of three to five inches are possible over these areas,
with isolated higher amounts in excess of eight inches possible,
especially over portions of East Texas. This rainfall will result
in new rises and possible flooding on area creeks and bayous,
rivers and lakes. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible
each day as well, with damaging winds the main threat. These
showers and thunderstorms are expected to gradually diminish
across the region by Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

09

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 16, 3:04 PM CDT, 5 hours 46 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
304 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

LAZ017-018-162045-
Natchitoches LA-Sabine LA-
304 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NATCHITOCHES AND
CENTRAL SABINE PARISHES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

At 303 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hutton to near Kurthwood to 6 miles
southwest of Hornbeck. Movement was north at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Many, Zwolle, Florien, Provencal, Fisher, Kisatchie, Negreet, Flora,
Mount Carmel, Bellwood and Gorum.

LAT...LON 3160 9373 3171 9341 3160 9299 3137 9293
      3137 9295 3135 9295 3137 9303 3136 9339
      3128 9344 3128 9353 3125 9355 3122 9355
      3124 9356
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 159DEG 20KT 3129 9300 3136 9325 3128 9349

50

Special weather statement, May 16, 4:17 PM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
417 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

LAZ018-019-162200-
Winn LA-Natchitoches LA-
417 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN NATCHITOCHES AND
WESTERN WINN PARISHES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

At 417 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Natchitoches, moving north at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Natchitoches, Campti, Clarence, Goldonna, Dodson, Ashland, Calvin,
Grand Ecore, St. Maurice, Black Lake, Chestnut, Clear Lake and
Creston.

LAT...LON 3171 9279 3171 9296 3170 9296 3172 9314
      3214 9312 3215 9268 3215 9265
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 189DEG 28KT 3179 9297

05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 16, 8:47 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SHV	Franklin, Morris, Red River, Titus	20 days
May 16, 8:48 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SHV	Wood	7 days
May 17, 4:34 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SHV	Sabine, San Augustine	4 hr
May 17, 8:49 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SHV	Gregg	6 days
May 17, 8:54 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SHV	Cass, Marion	13 days
May 17, 8:56 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SHV	Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur	10 days
May 17, 11:13 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	SHV	Angelina, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby	6 hr
May 17, 12:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Shelby	47 min
May 17, 1:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Sabine	43 min
May 17, 1:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	SHV	Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 15 more	5 days
May 17, 2:10 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SHV	Panola, Shelby	5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021 Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.