Alert archive / Washington / Gale Watches in 2021

Gale Watch 2, NWS Seattle, WA

January 3, 2021

NWS Seattle, WA issued this gale watch at Jan 3, 2021, 3:06 AM PST. It took effect at Jan 3, 2021, 7:00 PM PST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 3, 2021, 3:06 AM PST (11:06 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 3, 2021, 7:00 PM PST
Expired
Jan 3, 2021, 2:20 PM PST
In force
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA

The text

As transmitted.

615 
WHUS76 KSEW 031106
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Seattle WA
306 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

PZZ130-031915-
/O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0003.210103T1106Z-210104T1500Z/
West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
306 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...W winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming east 20 to 30 tonight. 
  Seas 13 to 18 ft at 16 seconds.

* WHERE...West Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
and/or seas 10 feet or higher are expected to produce hazardous
wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners,
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ131-031915-
/O.EXB.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.210104T0500Z-210104T1500Z/
Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
306 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 kt.

* WHERE...Central U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 7 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
and/or seas 10 feet or higher are expected to produce hazardous
wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners,
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ132-133-031915-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.210103T1200Z-210104T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.A.0002.210104T0500Z-210104T1800Z/
East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands-
306 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southeast winds 15 to 30 
  kt. For the Gale Watch, southeast winds 25 to 35 kt possible.

* WHERE...East Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca and 
  Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 9 PM PST this 
  evening. For the Gale Watch, from this evening through Monday 
  morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

PZZ134-135-031915-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.210103T1200Z-210104T0500Z/
Admiralty Inlet-Puget Sound and Hood Canal-
306 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southeast winds 15 to 25 kt.

* WHERE...Admiralty Inlet and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM PST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
and/or seas 10 feet or higher are expected to produce hazardous
wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners,
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-031915-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210104T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.A.0002.210104T0300Z-210104T1500Z/
Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-
Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To
60 Nm-
306 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 
  kt and seas 17 to 22 ft at 16 seconds. For the Gale Watch, 
  south winds 30 to 40 kt and seas 16 to 21 ft at 18 seconds 
  possible.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Cape Flattery to Cape Shoalwater 
  out to 60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 7 PM PST this 
  evening. For the Gale Watch, from this evening through Monday 
  morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

PZZ110-031915-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.000000T0000Z-210104T1100Z/
Grays Harbor Bar-
306 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Combined seas 18 to 20 feet with breakers. Bar conditions
  severe. Maximum ebb currents will occur around 715 AM and 715 PM
  today.

* WHERE...Grays Harbor Bar.

* WHEN...Until 3 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft 
  especially when navigating in or near harbor entrances.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory for rough bar means that wave conditions
are expected to be hazardous to small craft in or near harbor
entrances. 

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/seattle
2 follow-up statements
724 
WHUS76 KSEW 031651
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Seattle WA
851 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-040100-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210104T0300Z/
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.A.0002.210104T0300Z-210104T1500Z/
Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-
Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To
60 Nm-
851 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM PST THIS EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 kt 
  and seas 17 to 22 ft at 18 seconds. For the Gale Watch, south 
  winds 30 to 40 kt and seas 16 to 21 ft at 18 seconds possible.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Cape Flattery to Cape Shoalwater 
  out to 60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 7 PM PST this 
  evening. For the Gale Watch, from 7 PM PST this evening 
  through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

PZZ132-133-040100-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.000000T0000Z-210104T0500Z/
/O.CON.KSEW.GL.A.0002.210104T0500Z-210104T1800Z/
East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands-
851 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southeast winds 20 to 30 
  kt. For the Gale Watch, southeast winds 25 to 35 kt possible.

* WHERE...East Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca and 
  Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 9 PM PST this 
  evening. For the Gale Watch, from this evening through Monday 
  morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

PZZ134-135-040100-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.000000T0000Z-210104T0500Z/
Admiralty Inlet-Puget Sound and Hood Canal-
851 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 kt.

* WHERE...Admiralty Inlet and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM PST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
and/or seas 10 feet or higher are expected to produce hazardous
wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners,
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ130-040100-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-210104T1500Z/
West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
851 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots, becoming east winds 20 to 30 
  kt and seas 13 to 18 ft at 16 seconds.

* WHERE...West Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
and/or seas 10 feet or higher are expected to produce hazardous
wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners,
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ131-040100-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.210104T0500Z-210104T1500Z/
Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
851 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 kt.

* WHERE...Central U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 7 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
and/or seas 10 feet or higher are expected to produce hazardous
wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners,
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ110-040100-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.000000T0000Z-210104T1100Z/
Grays Harbor Bar-
851 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Combined seas 18 to 20 feet subsiding to 15 to 17 feet 
  this evening with breakers. Bar conditions severe. Maximum ebb 
  currents will occur around 715 PM today and 800 AM Monday. 

* WHERE...Grays Harbor Bar.

* WHEN...Until 3 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft 
  especially when navigating in or near harbor entrances.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory for rough bar means that wave conditions
are expected to be hazardous to small craft in or near harbor
entrances. 

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/seattle
154 
WHUS76 KSEW 032220
MWWSEW

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Seattle WA
220 PM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-040630-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210104T0500Z/
/O.UPG.KSEW.GL.A.0002.210104T0300Z-210104T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.W.0002.210104T0500Z-210104T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KSEW.SC.Y.0003.210104T1500Z-210105T1200Z/
Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-
Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-
Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To
60 Nm-
220 PM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM PST
MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, south winds 35 to 45 kt and seas 
  17 to 20 ft at 18 seconds. For the first Small Craft Advisory, 
  south winds 20 to 30 kt and seas 19 to 22 ft at 18 seconds. 
  For the second Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 kt 
  and seas 16 to 20 ft at 18 seconds.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Cape Flattery to Cape Shoalwater 
  out to 60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 9 PM this evening to 7 AM 
  PST Monday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 9 PM PST this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 AM Monday to 4 
  AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ130-040630-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-210104T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.W.0002.210104T0500Z-210104T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0004.210104T1500Z-210105T1200Z/
West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
220 PM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM PST
MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 kt and seas 
  14 to 15 ft at 17 seconds. For the first Small Craft Advisory, 
  seas 17 to 18 ft at 16 seconds. For the second Small Craft 
  Advisory, seas 13 to 15 ft at 18 seconds.

* WHERE...West Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 9 PM this evening to 7 AM 
  PST Monday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 9 PM PST this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 AM Monday to 4 
  AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ132-133-040630-
/O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.000000T0000Z-210104T0500Z/
/O.UPG.KSEW.GL.A.0002.210104T0500Z-210104T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.W.0002.210104T0500Z-210104T1800Z/
East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands-
220 PM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM PST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, southeast winds 25 to 35 kt. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, southeast winds 15 to 25 kt.

* WHERE...East Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca and 
  Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM 
  PST Monday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 9 PM PST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ131-040630-
/O.UPG.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.210104T0500Z-210104T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.GL.W.0002.210104T0500Z-210104T1500Z/
Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
220 PM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM PST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 kt.

* WHERE...Central U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 7 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ134-135-040630-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.000000T0000Z-210104T1800Z/
Admiralty Inlet-Puget Sound and Hood Canal-
220 PM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 kt.

* WHERE...Admiralty Inlet and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
and/or seas 10 feet or higher are expected to produce hazardous
wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners,
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ110-040630-
/O.EXT.KSEW.SC.Y.0267.000000T0000Z-210104T1800Z/
Grays Harbor Bar-
220 PM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Combined seas 18 to 20 feet subsiding to 16 to 18 feet 
  this evening with breakers. Bar conditions severe. Maximum ebb 
  currents will occur around 715 PM today and 800 AM Monday. 

* WHERE...Grays Harbor Bar.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft 
  especially when navigating in or near harbor entrances.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory for rough bar means that wave conditions
are expected to be hazardous to small craft in or near harbor
entrances. 

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/seattle

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Jan 3, 2:49 AM PST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 2:49 AM PST, 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
249 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

.SYNOPSIS...An active weather pattern will continue through at
least the middle of next week as a series of storms move off of
the Pacific into the Pacific Northwest. After a brief break in the
more significant weather today, the next front will move into the
area this evening and overnight tonight. This system will bring
another round of lowland rain, breezy winds, and mountain snow.
Another system, very similar to Monday's, is expected Tuesday into
Wednesday. A ridge of high pressure may then develop over the
western US by the end of the week, pointing to the potential for
drier conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...The current synoptic pattern
depicts cyclonic flow extending roughly from the Aleutian Islands
into the Pacific Northwest, with several noticeable shorter wave
perturbations, one south of the Gulf of Alaska and another moving
towards the WA/OR Coast. Downstream of this flow resides a split-
flow pattern, with a weak ridge of high pressure over the 4
Corners/desert SW and a more quasi-zonal flow over the southern
Canadian Prairies. At the surface, a cold front is pushing across
Washington, with high pressure over the majority of the Rockies.

Recent MRMS radar imagery continues to depict a widespread area of
stratiform precipitation pushing across the local area from Puget
Sound eastward to the Cascade crest at the time of this writing
(2AM PT). Embedded areas of locally heavy rainfall led to the
issuance of an Areal Flood Advisory earlier this evening for
urban and small stream flooding. Recent trends suggest this threat
is diminishing as the cold front continues eastward and
precipitation continues to push more into the Cascades. The
precipitation over the Cascades will be the main forecast concern
overnight tonight as snow levels will continue to fall to between
2000-2500 feet by daybreak Sunday. Heavy snowfall is expected and
will continue to cause travel impacts across both Snoqualmie and
Stevens Pass overnight tonight and into Sunday morning. Upgraded
the Winter Weather Advisory over the Central Cascades to a Winter
Storm Warning earlier this evening due to travel impacts expected
along with additional snowfall amounts of between 5-10 inches
possible. The Winter Storm Warning will also continue for the
North and South Cascades thru 10AM Sunday. In addition to the
mountain snow, several rivers are expected to remain above flood
stage (see hydro section below).

The local area will see a break in the active weather to some
extent today. The mountain snow coverage will decrease quickly
through the early morning hours as both the surface cold front and
the upper level shortwave pull east of the area, with a few
scattered showers lingering in their wake. Another shortwave
(currently located near Haida Gwaii) is expected to dive into
southern BC and near the Canada/WA border this afternoon. This is
expected to aid in the development of more widespread shower
coverage through the second half of today. This wave will quickly
pass to the E/SE this evening with a shortwave ridge developing
over the area in its wake. It would be easy to be fooled into
thinking this would provide us a break in the active weather,
however, a deepening trough over the Pacific will help push a deep
plume of Pacific moisture towards the area. The deepening of this
wave will induce sfc cyclogenesis out ahead of it, of which the
associated warm frontal portion of the system will bring the next
swath of stratiform rain into the area this evening and overnight
tonight. This system will not be as strong as yesterday's system
but will bring another round of lowland rain, breezy winds, and
mountain snow to the area. Snow levels will begin between
2000-3000ft as the precipitation starts to creep into the area
from the south. They will then rise rather quickly as the warm
front passes to between 4000-5000 ft, however, this rise may be
delayed or not as significant over portions of the Cascades and
will need to be monitored. The progressive nature of the upper
level pattern will push the cold frontal portion of the sfc
cyclone through the area rather quickly through the day on Monday.
Scattered showers can then be expected Monday evening/Monday
night with another shortwave ridge moving into the area.

Yet another frontal system carrying similar impacts to Monday's
storm will follow Tuesday afternoon thru Wednesday morning as
broad scale cyclonic flow over the North Pacific remains
relentless.

Kovacik

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...Strong cyclonic flow
over the North Pacific will continue to influence the weather over
the Pacific Northwest as we begin the long term forecast period on
Wednesday. Tuesday's frontal system will be departing the area to
the east, with unsettled conditions persisting through most of the
day on Wednesday in the form of scattered showers. As this occurs,
interesting details lie well downstream of the region over the
North Atlantic/Greenland/E Canada vicinity. A strong ridge of high
pressure will rapidly intensify which signals the potential for a
pattern change. Usually this type of signal implies a -AO and -NAO
pattern which typically allows cold air to penetrate the US,
especially the southern US. There is indication of this
pattern/these conditions setting up during the latter half of next
week. In response, a ridge of high pressure attempt to set up
across some portion of the western US. Sifting through various
ensemble solutions suggest the ridge initially developing across
the Rockies, which may act to keep more of the deep Pacific trough
influence over Washington. This would allow for continued
unsettled conditions through the end of the week, tho there
appears to be the potential for slightly better breaks between
systems. Will keep at least a chance for precipitation through the
end of the week for now. Guidance is suggestive of the ridge
building back towards the PNW just outside of this forecast
period, with very impressive ridging continuing from Greenland
into Canada.

Kovacik

&&

.AVIATION...Westerly flow will persist aloft today as the current
system exits the area to the east. Flow will then become more
west-southwesterly again tonight ahead of the next incoming system
slated to move across the Western Washington late tonight into
Monday. Radar this morning shows the current frontal system
gradually making its way into the Cascades, with the heaviest
precipitation moving east across the foothills and mountains at
this hour. Showers have started to make their way across the
Olympic Peninsula in the wake of the system and are expected to
continue across Western Washington throughout the day as a
shortwave traverses the region. Current conditions at area
terminals have primarily rebounded to VFR in the wake of the
heaviest precipitation associated with the front. However, expect
MVFR conditions to redevelop at most area terminals this morning
with additional showers expected across the region. Showers will
taper this afternoon, likely yielding another rebound to VFR
conditions. The next round of rain will approach from the south
tonight and overnight into Monday, bringing another round of
reduced visibilities and ceilings. Winds will become more
southerly and gradually pick up, becoming gusty at times late
tonight and into the overnight period.

KSEA...Current conditions VFR. Expect MVFR conditions to redevelop
across the terminal this morning as additional showers make their
way into the area throughout the morning hours. Showers will
gradually taper by afternoon for a likely return to VFR
conditions. Southeasterly winds will become more southerly and
persist at 8-12 knots. 14

&&

.MARINE...Winds have eased across area waters tonight in the wake
of a strong frontal system. Small craft conditions will persist
across the majority of the area waters throughout the day. The
next system will approach the region late tonight and overnight
for another round of likely gales for the coastal waters and
northern inland waters. Small craft easterly winds look to develop
along the central and western Strait late tonight and into Monday
as well. Seas 18 to 22 feet will persist across the coastal waters
through this afternoon, before gradually subsiding this evening.
Additional rounds of high seas will be likely for the coastal
waters throughout the week. 14

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Steady, moderate rainfall continues to slowly
shift off to the east early this morning. 24 hour accumulations were
3 to 5 inches across the Olympics, a half inch to over an inch in
the lowlands, and 1.5 to 3.5 inches across the Cascades. Snow levels
remained fairly low for much of the event, limiting runoff to rivers
flowing off the Cascades. As such, only a few points of concern
remaining this morning - the Tolt, the Snoqualmie, and the
Stillaguamish - which still have the potential to reach minor flood
stage.

Across the Olympic Peninsula, flood warnings continue for the
Bogachiel and Satsop rivers which will crest shortly and recede
during the day today. The Skokomish River remains above moderate
flood stage and will see additional rises this week for a prolonged
period of flooding. Further to the south, a flood warning has been
issued for the Chehalis River near Doty. Several other points along
this river will continue to be monitored.

More rainfall expected this week but shouldn't be quite as heavy as
the past 24 hours. Additional rises on area rivers are likely but
widespread flooding not expected. In addition, the landslide threat
will remain elevated for at least the next few days as ground
remains saturated. A few minor mudslides were reported last night
across the Olympic Peninsula so will keep an eye on that going
forward.

Carpenter

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...Flood Watch through late tonight for Admiralty Inlet Area-
     Bellevue and Vicinity-Bremerton and Vicinity-Cascades of
     Pierce and Lewis Counties-Cascades of Snohomish and King
     Counties-Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties-Central
     Coast-East Puget Sound Lowlands-Eastern Strait of Juan de
     Fuca-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis
     Valley Area-North Coast-Olympics-San Juan County-Seattle
     and Vicinity-Southwest Interior-Tacoma Area-Western Skagit
     County-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca-Western Whatcom
     County.

     Winter Storm Warning until 10 AM PST this morning for Cascades
     of Pierce and Lewis Counties-Cascades of Snohomish and King
     Counties-Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties.

     High Surf Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for Central
     Coast-North Coast.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PST Monday for Grays Harbor Bar.

     Gale Watch from this evening through Monday morning for Coastal
     Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To
     60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville
     Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
     Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville
     To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM PST this evening for Coastal
     Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To
     60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville
     Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
     Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville
     To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

     Gale Watch from this evening through Monday morning for East
     Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland
     Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PST this evening for Admiralty
     Inlet-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
     Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands-Puget
     Sound and Hood Canal.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM PST Monday for West Entrance
     U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 7 AM PST Monday
     for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

&&

www.weather.gov/seattle

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 2, 10:45 PM PST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1045 PM PST SAT JAN 2 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SEABECK                 47.63N 122.83W
01/02/2021  M4.30 INCH       KITSAP             WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 2, 10:53 PM PST, 4 hours 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1053 PM PST SAT JAN 2 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      1.6 SE SKOKOMISH        47.32N 123.13W
01/02/2021                   MASON              WA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0703 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      BRINNON                 47.68N 122.90W
01/02/2021                   JEFFERSON          WA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 2:26 AM PST, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
226 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

WAZ001-503-504-506-507-509>517-555-556-558-559-567>569-041030-
San Juan County-Western Whatcom County-Southwest Interior-
Western Skagit County-Everett and Vicinity-Tacoma Area-
Admiralty Inlet Area-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area-
Olympics-Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca-
Western Strait of Juan De Fuca-North Coast-Central Coast-
East Puget Sound Lowlands-Bellevue and Vicinity-Seattle and Vicinity-
Bremerton and Vicinity-Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties-
Cascades of Snohomish and King Counties-
Cascades of Pierce and Lewis Counties-
226 AM PST Sun Jan 3 2021

...HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED
THREAT OF LANDSLIDES IN WESTERN WASHINGTON...

Recent heavy rainfall has increased soil moisture to high levels
across western Washington. Several minor mudslides were reported on Saturday
across the Olympic Peninsula. Additional rainfall is expected
through early Wednesday. This amount of rain will put extra pressure
on soil instability, leading to an increased threat of landslides.
Areas above 4000 feet in elevation will see some of the
precipitation as snow and not be as affected.

For more information about current conditions, visit
www.weather.gov/seattle, select Hydrology, and then scroll down
for the links to the landslide information pages.

For more information on landslides, visit the website for the
Washington State Department of Natural Resources landslide
geologic hazards at: http://bit.ly/2mtA3wn

www.weather.gov/seattle

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 5:17 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWClallam11 hr
Jan 2, 8:00 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor26 hr
Jan 2, 8:48 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor, Island, Jefferson, King, Kitsap, Mason and 3 more56 min
Jan 2, 9:40 PM PSTAreal Flood AdvisorySEWIsland, King, Kitsap, Mason, Pierce, Snohomish2 hr
Jan 2, 11:41 PM PSTAreal Flood AdvisorySEWKing, Lewis, Pierce, Snohomish, Thurston2 hr
Jan 3, 12:42 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis5 hr
Jan 3, 3:06 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW51 hr
Jan 3, 3:21 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis18 hr
Jan 3, 4:31 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston35 hr
Jan 3, 6:16 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor, Thurston4 days
Jan 3, 6:16 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor6 days
Jan 3, 6:18 AM PSTWinter Storm WatchSEW6 hr
Jan 3, 12:37 PM PSTWinter Storm WarningSEW37 hr
Jan 3, 2:20 PM PSTGale WarningSEW20 hr
Jan 3, 2:20 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW9 days
Jan 3, 2:27 PM PSTWind AdvisorySEW14 hr

Nearby

Gale Watches in Washington, 2021Every gale watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.