Alert archive / North Carolina / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 1, NWS Raleigh, NC

January 1, 202116 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this areal flood advisory at Jan 1, 2021, 9:47 PM EST for 16 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2021, 9:47 PM EST (02:47 UTC)
Expired
Jan 1, 2021, 10:45 PM EST
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Durham County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Orange County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2021-01-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2021-01-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 883 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
416 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
883 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1043 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jan 1, 8:30 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 8:30 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 6:35 AM EST, 15 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
635 AM EST Fri Jan 1 2021

NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-075>078-084>086-088-089-021200-
Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-
Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Richmond-
Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
635 AM EST Fri Jan 1 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Areas of fog may become widespread and dense this afternoon into at
least early tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ007-021>024-038-039-073-074-083-021200-
Person-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Davidson-Randolph-Stanly-
Montgomery-Anson-
635 AM EST Fri Jan 1 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Areas of fog may become widespread and dense this afternoon and
evening, then again late tonight and Saturday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Areas of dense fog may linger for a few hours Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 1, 7:45 PM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
745 PM EST Fri Jan 1 2021

NCZ007>010-023>026-040-041-020145-
Chatham NC-Franklin NC-Vance NC-Durham NC-Alamance NC-Person NC-
Warren NC-Wake NC-Granville NC-Orange NC-
745 PM EST Fri Jan 1 2021

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT EASTERN ALAMANCE...PERSON...
NORTHWESTERN WARREN...VANCE...ORANGE...GRANVILLE...WAKE...EASTERN
CHATHAM...DURHAM AND WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM EST...

At 744 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking an area of heavy rain along
a line extending from near Milton to near Pittsboro. Movement was
east at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible along with heavy downpours.

Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Durham, Cary, Chapel Hill, Henderson, Oxford, Roxboro,
Hillsborough, Creedmoor and Pittsboro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3581 7828 3574 7839 3559 7932 3624 7932
      3625 7915 3654 7914 3654 7826
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 250DEG 47KT 3660 7920 3570 7921

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 1, 7:45 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHChatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Orange, Person and 2 more60 min
Jan 2, 8:15 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryRAHAlamance, Anson, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth and 14 more3 hr
Jan 2, 10:14 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHHalifax, Northampton7 days
Jan 2, 11:29 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHWayne10 days

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in North Carolina, 2021Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.