Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 191, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 5, 20214 counties in New Jersey; New Castle County, Delaware; Delaware County, Montgomery County, Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Oct 5, 2021, 2:10 AM EDT for 4 counties in New Jersey; New Castle County, Delaware; Delaware County, Montgomery County, Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2021, 2:10 AM EDT (06:10 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2021, 6:15 AM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties New Castle County, DE, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2021-10-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1291 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2021-10-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1291 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1228 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

170 
WGUS81 KPHI 050610
FLSPHI

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
210 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

DEC003-NJC005-007-015-033-PAC045-091-101-051015-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0191.211005T0610Z-211005T1015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
New Castle DE-Burlington NJ-Camden NJ-Gloucester NJ-Salem NJ-
Delaware PA-Montgomery PA-Philadelphia PA-
210 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
  Northern New Castle County in northern Delaware...
  West Central Burlington County in southern New Jersey...
  Northwestern Camden County in southern New Jersey...
  Northwestern Gloucester County in southern New Jersey...
  Northwestern Salem County in southern New Jersey...
  Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Southeastern Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  Philadelphia County in southeastern Pennsylvania...

* Until 615 AM EDT.

* At 210 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rains due to 
  thunderstorms. This is causing urban and small stream flooding. 
  Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen.

* Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  Philadelphia, Camden, Wilmington, Newark, Gloucester City, 
  Chester, Deptford, West Deptford, Pennsville, Bellmawr, Yeadon, 
  and Woodbury.

This includes the following highways...
	New Jersey Turnpike near exit 2.
	Interstate 95 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 33.
	Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 7 and 23.
	Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 337 and 351.
	Interstate 76 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 3.
	Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 28.
	Interstate 676 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 1.
	Interstate 676 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 4.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 7576 3975 7576 3983 7564 3984 7560
      3985 7560 3996 7543 4014 7502 4009 7496
      4006 7498 4005 7497 4007 7493 3993 7498
      3973 7529 3962 7561

$$

PO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Oct 4, 7:47 PM EDT, 6 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 4, 7:47 PM EDT, 6 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
747 PM EDT Mon Oct 4 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will slowly push southward and weaken as it moves
through the region tonight. High pressure will settle near our area
later Tuesday. The high combined with a closed upper level low will
keep a persistent onshore flow across the region through the rest of
the week. Another system may impact the region over the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Wave of showers and thunderstorms that affected the region late
this afternoon through early this evening has largely moved out
of the region, and some scattered showers remain. Back door cold
front can be seen on KDIX radar, and is passing from northeast
from southwest and is in northeast Philadelphia county, across
northwest Burlington county, and across Ocean county. Latest
surface obs showing northeast winds behind the front and south
winds ahead of it. This back door cold front will continue to
track to the southwest going through the overnight.

Broad troughing will to our west will be closing off across the
lower Mississippi Valley late tonight through Tuesday. This
will leave the region in an area of weak mid-level flow, but
with a few areas of vorticity maxima moving through overnight
(albeit subtle). Meanwhile, ridging will build to the northwest.
At the surface, weak low pressure will move offshore as high
pressure builds in from the north.

A vorticity maxima located upstream will pass across the area
late this evening and early overnight (9 PM to 3 AM or so). With
modest elevated instability still in place, this will likely
bring another round of heavy showers and possibly some
thunderstorms into the area during this period. The SPC has
introduced a Marginal Risk for most of our forecast area, and
some very isolated instances of minor wind damage may be
possible with this activity. The heavy nature of the rain could
pose a localized flooding threat as well.

As the backdoor front pushes through the area overnight, low
clouds will move into the area in its wake and winds will shift
from southwesterly to northeasterly. Areas of drizzle and/or fog
will be possible behind the front as well. Lows are expected to
be generally in the low to mid 60s with mid 50s across the far
north.

On Tuesday, the near surface inversion in the wake of the front
should prove difficult to mix out through much of the morning
and a mostly cloudy day is expected once again. There will be a
20-30% chance of showers, mainly favoring the western and
southern zones which are more likely to mix out the shallow
stable layer sooner (and thus have higher instability). Some
thunder is possible as well. Highs will range from the mid 60s
north to mid 70s across the Philly metro to low 80s across our
southern Delmarva zones. The wind will remain from the north
around 5-10 mph.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
The upper level trough digs down into the Mississippi Valley
Tuesday night and cuts off through Wednesday. As we move towards
Wednesday night the low starts to lift to the north as it opens
up. The ridge axis across the Carolinas pushes northward into
the Mid-Atlantic as we get sandwiched between the closed low to
the west and another trough well to the east of the region.

At the surface, high pressure will shift to the south from eastern
Canada, settling over the region. With the high to the north, we
will have a continued easterly flow across the region.

Cloudy skies and drizzle or light showers are possible. Not much in
the way of lift around so likely see more drizzle than showers as
the persistent easterly flow continues. With the low levels
remaining saturated, we can also expect fog to develop though the
coverage and density is uncertain at this time.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The closed upper low starts to open up and moves into the Ohio
Valley around Friday. The low becomes more of a trough as we head
into the weekend.

At the surface, high pressure will remain nearby, keeping the
easterly flow across the region through Friday. Another round of fog
will be possible as winds go light at night and we have ample
moisture across the area. For the most part, conditions look to
remain dry though we could start to see some showers make their way
back into the region later Friday. The high starts to push towards
the northeast towards the weekend but we are unlikely to lose its
influence across the Mid-Atlantic.

The high settles to our northeast through the weekend but an
inverted ridge noses down across the Mid-Atlantic, keeping the
easterly flow across the region. With a tighter gradient though,
winds will pick up especially along the coast for Saturday and
Sunday. There will be increased chances for rain through the weekend
as the remnant of the upper low/trough crosses into our area with
its deep plume of moisture. Some timing differences on when the
plume and energy arrive though most agree that we should see rain on
Saturday.

Models are still showing signs of a a low developing offshore over
the weekend. However, there are significant differences in timing
and location and until these issues are resolved, it is hard to say
how much of an influence it may have for our forecast area.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE,
KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...IFR to LIFR ceilings developing from north to south
behind a backdoor cold front. Winds will concomitantly shift to
the northeast around 5 kts. An additional round and showers is
possible after 03Z which may result in VSBY restrictions, then
patchy fog and drizzle should keep VSBY low through the
remainder of the night. High confidence on IFR occurring, but
low confidence on the exact timing and details.

Tuesday...Initially IFR restrictions will slowly improve to MVFR
after 15Z. Winds northeasterly around 5-10 kts. Slight chance of
showers, mainly for ILG and MIV. High confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Friday...Periods of MVFR or lower conditions likely
as we become entrenched in a prolonged period of easterly flow.
Expect low ceilings and visibility restrictions in fog, rain, and
drizzle, with the lowest conditions most likely during the overnight
hours. East to northeast winds for Wednesday and Thursday becoming
southeast on Friday. Wind speeds will generally be around 5 to 10
knots during the day and light and variable overnight. Moderate
confidence with low confidence on timing and extent of sub-VFR
conditions.

Saturday...VFR with MVFR or lower possible in rain. Easterly winds
around 10 to 15 knots with higher gust possible during the
afternoon. Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-advisory conditions expected through Tuesday. Southwesterly
winds around 10-15 kts will become northeasterly late tonight
through Tuesday morning. Some gusts up to 20 kts possible. Seas 2-4
feet. Scattered showers and thunderstorms overnight.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Friday...Building seas in a prolonged easterly flow
but expect them to stay just below 5 feet at this time. Mainly east
to northeast winds around 10 to 20 knots. Fog is possible
during the overnight and morning hours.

Saturday... Seas continue to build and may reach 4 to 6 feet on
Saturday. East to northeast winds around 15 to 20 knots with gusts
around 25 to 30 knots possible. A Small Craft Advisory may be
needed.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Meola
Near Term...MPS/Staarmann
Short Term...Meola
Long Term...Meola
Aviation...Meola/MPS/Staarmann
Marine...Meola/Staarmann
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 4, 8:46 PM EDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

DEZ001-060046-
New Castle-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-060046-
Kent-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-060046-
Inland Sussex-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-060046-
Delaware Beaches-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-060046-
Carbon-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-060046-
Monroe-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-060046-
Berks-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-060046-
Lehigh-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-060046-
Northampton-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-060046-
Delaware-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-060046-
Philadelphia-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-060046-
Western Chester-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-060046-
Eastern Chester-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-060046-
Western Montgomery-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-060046-
Eastern Montgomery-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-060046-
Upper Bucks-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-060046-
Lower Bucks-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-060046-
Sussex-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-060046-
Warren-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-060046-
Morris-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-060046-
Hunterdon-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-060046-
Somerset-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-060046-
Middlesex-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-060046-
Western Monmouth-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-060046-
Eastern Monmouth-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-060046-
Mercer-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-060046-
Salem-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-060046-
Gloucester-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-060046-
Camden-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-060046-
Northwestern Burlington-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-060046-
Ocean-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-060046-
Cumberland-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-060046-
Atlantic-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-060046-
Cape May-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-060046-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-060046-
Coastal Atlantic-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-060046-
Coastal Ocean-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-060046-
Southeastern Burlington-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-060046-
Kent MD-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-060046-
Queen Annes-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-060046-
Talbot-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-060046-
Caroline-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-060046-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-060046-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-060046-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-060046-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-060046-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-060046-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-060046-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-060046-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0846 PM EDT Mon Oct 04 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 5, 12:32 AM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1232 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

PAZ060-101-103-050515-
Western Montgomery PA-Western Chester PA-Berks PA-
1232 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Berks,
northwestern Montgomery and northeastern Chester Counties through 115
AM EDT...

At 1232 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
New Morgan, or 10 miles east of New Holland, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Pottstown, Phoenixville, Birdsboro, Collegeville, Royersford, Trappe,
Honey Brook, Elverson, Bechtelsville, New Morgan, Pughtown,
Glenmoore, Chester Springs, Gilbertsville, Cedarville, Stowe,
Boyertown, Spring City, Pottsgrove and Lorane.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 296 and 311.
 Interstate 176 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 1 and 8.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4043 7562 4016 7543 3999 7588 4007 7594
      4011 7594 4014 7588 4022 7601
TIME...MOT...LOC 0432Z 239DEG 20KT 4015 7590

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PO
Special weather statement, Oct 5, 12:49 AM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1249 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

DEZ001-NJZ016-021-050515-
New Castle DE-Salem NJ-Cumberland NJ-
1249 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern New Castle,
northwestern Cumberland and Salem Counties through 115 AM EDT...

At 1248 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Bear to Port Penn to near Newport Meadows.
Movement was north at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Wilmington, Newark, Pennsville, Carneys Point, Elsmere, New Castle,
Penns Grove, Salem, Woodstown, Alloway, Quinton, Delaware City,
Elmer, Newport, Shiloh, Stanton, North Star, Glasgow, Bear and
Talleyville.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike near exit 1.
 Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 1 and 19.
 Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 8.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3976 7575 3982 7568 3984 7555 3975 7543
      3974 7538 3973 7538 3969 7532 3968 7525
      3966 7523 3967 7520 3963 7515 3939 7533
      3943 7557 3960 7579
TIME...MOT...LOC 0448Z 199DEG 16KT 3962 7570 3950 7555 3947 7540

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PO
Special weather statement, Oct 5, 1:24 AM EDT, 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
124 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

PAZ070-101>104-050600-
Eastern Montgomery PA-Western Montgomery PA-Delaware PA-
Western Chester PA-Eastern Chester PA-
124 AM EDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Montgomery, northeastern Chester and northeastern Delaware Counties
through 200 AM EDT...

At 124 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Phoenixville, or 11 miles north of West Chester, moving east at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Norristown, Phoenixville, Lansdale, West Norriton, East Norriton,
Conshohocken, Ambler, Collegeville, Royersford, Narberth, Trappe,
Pughtown, Bryn Mawr, Trout Lake, Radnor Township,
Lionville-Marchwood, Valley Forge, Plymouth Meeting, Paoli and
Chester Springs.

This includes the following highways...
 Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 312 and 338.
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 21 and 29.
 Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 338.
 Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 11 and 19.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4021 7567 4025 7519 4007 7519 4009 7522
      4006 7526 4001 7521 3999 7525 4003 7567
TIME...MOT...LOC 0524Z 270DEG 24KT 4013 7557

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 12:49 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHISalem26 min
Oct 5, 2:27 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICamden, Gloucester3 hr
Oct 5, 2:51 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic39 min
Oct 5, 3:20 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Ocean3 hr
Oct 5, 3:33 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic57 min
Oct 5, 12:32 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIChester43 min
Oct 5, 1:24 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMontgomery36 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2021Areal Flood Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2021Areal Flood Advisories in Delaware, 2021Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.