Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

608 
WWUS51 KPBZ 071948
SVSPBZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
348 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

OHC081-WVC029-072015-
/O.CON.KPBZ.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-210707T2015Z/
Jefferson OH-Hancock WV-
348 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND HANCOCK COUNTIES...

At 347 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Wintersville,
or 7 miles northwest of Steubenville, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts to 60 mph.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines, resulting in some 
         power outages.

Locations impacted include...
Weirton...                        Steubenville...
Toronto...                        Wintersville...
New Cumberland...                 Richmond...
Empire...                         Stratton...
Sun Valley...                     

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Please report severe weather by calling 412-262-1988, posting to 
the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH. 

&&

LAT...LON 4039 8074 4044 8082 4056 8069 4052 8059
      4043 8054
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 220DEG 4KT 4042 8078 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

241 
WWUS51 KPBZ 072006
SVSPBZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
406 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

OHC081-WVC029-072015-
/O.CON.KPBZ.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-210707T2015Z/
Jefferson OH-Hancock WV-
406 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND HANCOCK COUNTIES...

At 406 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Wintersville,
or 7 miles northwest of Steubenville, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts to 60 mph.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines, resulting in some 
         power outages.

Locations impacted include...
Weirton...                        Steubenville...
Toronto...                        Wintersville...
New Cumberland...                 Richmond...
Empire...                         Stratton...
Sun Valley...                     

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Please report severe weather by calling 412-262-1988, posting to 
the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH. 

&&

LAT...LON 4039 8074 4044 8082 4056 8069 4052 8059
      4043 8054
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 220DEG 4KT 4044 8076 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

955 
WWUS51 KPBZ 072013
SVSPBZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
413 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

OHC081-WVC029-072022-
/O.EXP.KPBZ.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-210707T2015Z/
Jefferson OH-Hancock WV-
413 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND
HANCOCK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 415 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds are still possible with
this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
northern West Virginia.

LAT...LON 4039 8074 4044 8082 4056 8069 4052 8059
      4043 8054
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 220DEG 4KT 4044 8076 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
145 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Friday with the
gradual passage of a low pressure system. .

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Warm, humid conditions will continue this afternoon with scattered
showers and thunderstorms. Effective shear is weak (around 20kts or
less) but with CAPE values >2000J/kg and a relatively high delta
theta-e min...there is potential for damaging winds via downbursts
with stronger updrafts. Convection will largely wane during the
evening with loss of heating, but with the approaching trough as
warm, moist advection continues, with model noting modest elevated
instability. As a result, iso/sct showers and thunderstorms should
continue overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
(Limited) diurnal heating and the approach/passage of a sfc cold
front will reinvigorate convection Thursday, with most locations
likely seeing rain. Little insolation will minimize instability and
mute any severe threat, but continued heavy rainfall may cause
issues, especially over locations that previously received heavy
rainfall. This threat could be further heightened if the region
(notably over southwest PA into northern WV) sees convective
enhancement due to the northward movement/position of Tropical Storm
Elsa. This will have to be monitored moving forward.

Precipitation will taper off Thursday night as the upper trough (and
Elsa) move east and weak dry advection develops within brief westerly
flow.

An additional shortwave will quickly follow Friday and tap into the
residual moisture in place to create another round of mostly
scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorm. Temperature Friday
will be near seasonal averages due to cold advection and only broken
sunshine.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A perturbed quasi-zonal flow may result in a series of troughs moving
through the upper Ohio River Valley into next week, providing
periodic chances for showers and thunderstorms and seasonable
temperature.

Model to model and run to run differences mean this period is fairly
low confidence and patience will be needed before any finer details
can be sussed out on actual temperature/precipitation trends, let
alone severe/flash flood threats.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase through the afternoon
with the approach of an upper trough, with eastern OH/northwest PA
the favored locations for convection. The presence of dry air aloft
means any storms that develop could produce brief and gusty wind
while the humid environment will support heavy rain that can quickly
create IFR visibilities.

The one limiting factor to monitor is warm air aloft that may
suppress some convection, creating a convective hole from PIT
southwest to the OH/WV border. Will maintain thunder mention, but
will keep convective window small.

While convection should diminish around 00z/02z tonight, the
continued presence of the trough and a moist environment means
iso/sct showers are likely to continue through the overnight period.
Though lightning will be possible, confidence will be too low for any
one terminal impact, so avoided inclusion for now. Expected cloud
cover in between showers should mitigate any fog threat, though
moisture pooling ahead of an incoming cold front may generate areas
of MVFR/IFR cigs.

The approach and eventual passage of the cold front will
reinvigorate storms Thursday, with restrictions likely under any
storm.

.Outlook...
Periodic restrictions will remain possible into Friday as
precipitation chances return with a quick hitting trough, then high
pressure should bring about VFR conditions Saturday. Periodic rain
and restrictions are possible with an active pattern heading into
next week.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
331 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

OHZ039-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ029-031-075-076-WVZ002>004-012-021-
509>514-081945-
Tuscarawas-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH-Muskingum-Guernsey-
Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Washington-Greene-Fayette-
Higher Elevations of Fayette-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-
Monongalia-Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-
Preston-Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
331 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, southwest
Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia and the northern panhandle of
West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

OHZ040-041-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-073-074-WVZ001-081945-
Carroll-Columbiana-Mercer-Venango-Forest-Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-
Jefferson PA-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-Indiana-Westmoreland-
Higher Elevations of Westmoreland-Hancock-
331 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 345 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, northwest
Pennsylvania, southwest Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania and
northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
323 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 PM     HAIL             1 NE THOMPSONVILLE      40.29N 80.11W
07/07/2021  U0.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         PA   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZED HAIL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
327 PM EDT WED JUL 07 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SWISSVALE               40.42N  79.89W
07/07/2021                   ALLEGHENY          PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREES DOWN AND POWER OUT

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ2101872

15

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
332 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

OHZ041-050-PAZ020-029-WVZ001-002-072000-
Jefferson-Columbiana-Beaver-Washington-Brooke-Hancock-
332 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WIND
WILL AFFECT NORTHERN JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN COLUMBIANA...
SOUTHWESTERN BEAVER...NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...BROOKE AND HANCOCK
COUNTIES...

At 331 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered over Toronto, or
near Weirton, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 55 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Weirton...                        Steubenville...
East Liverpool...                 Toronto...
Calcutta...                       Wintersville...
Ohioville...                      Midland...
Chester...                        Industry...
New Cumberland...                 Shippingport...

This storm may intensify, so monitor local radio or television
stations for additional information and possible warnings from the
National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4071 8052 4057 8032 4027 8076 4039 8087
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 230DEG 13KT 4047 8063

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
333 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W EDGEWOOD            40.44N 79.92W
07/07/2021                   ALLEGHENY          PA   PUBLIC

            ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. VEHICLES
            STRANDED.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
339 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S SHARPSBURG          40.46N 79.93W
07/07/2021                   ALLEGHENY          PA   PUBLIC

            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF STRUCTURE AND TREE LIMBS
            DOWN.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
341 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0337 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE MILLVALE           40.46N 79.94W
07/07/2021                   ALLEGHENY          PA   PUBLIC

            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF STRUCTURE AND TREE LIMBS
            DOWN.

&&