Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS New York, NY

November 12, 2021Orange County, New York; Passaic County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this special weather statement at Nov 12, 2021, 9:12 AM EST for Orange County, New York; Passaic County, New Jersey. It was in force for 78 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 12, 2021, 9:12 AM EST (14:12 UTC)
Expired
Nov 12, 2021, 10:30 AM EST
In force
78 min
Issued by
NWS New York, NY
Hail
0.00 in
Wind
50

Counties Passaic County, NJ, Orange County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-11-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 191 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-11-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 262 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
191 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
601 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
370 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Nov 12, 6:57 AM EST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 12, 6:57 AM EST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 12, 4:32 AM EST, 4 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
432 AM EST Fri Nov 12 2021

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-130945-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-
Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
432 AM EST Fri Nov 12 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A strong frontal system will push across the forecast area today.
This system will bring a period of moderate to locally heavy
rainfall from this morning through early to mid afternoon. Although
widespread flooding is not expected, minor flooding of urban areas,
small streams, and poor drainage areas is possible. Rainfall amounts
will generally average around an inch, however locally higher
amounts up to an inch and a half may be possible. With most of the
rain falling in a 3-6 hour window, the local area has been placed in
a marginal risk of excessive rainfall.

In addition, The Storm Prediction Center has put the entire area in
a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms with the primary threat
being strong wind gusts up to 60mph. In addition, a brief tornado
can not be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-130945-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
432 AM EST Fri Nov 12 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A strong cold front will push across the area waters today. There is
potential for a brief period of gale conditions, particularly on the
ocean waters, ahead of a cold frontal passage.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 12, 9:12 AM EST, 0 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 12, 10:09 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKXRichmond66 min
Nov 12, 10:41 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKXPutnam, Westchester49 min
Nov 12, 11:07 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX53 min
Nov 12, 11:08 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Putnam, Queens and 3 more82 min
Nov 12, 11:16 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX59 min
Nov 12, 11:20 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX55 min
Nov 12, 11:47 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX43 min
Nov 12, 12:09 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKXSuffolk66 min
Nov 12, 12:24 PM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX66 min
Nov 12, 1:10 PM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX65 min
Nov 12, 1:28 PM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX62 min
Nov 12, 1:36 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKXSuffolk54 min
Nov 12, 2:12 PM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX63 min
Nov 12, 3:28 PM ESTGale WarningOKX30 hr
Nov 12, 6:10 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryOKX10 hr
Nov 12, 1:21 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKX54 min
Nov 12, 2:41 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementOKX49 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2021Special Weather Statements in New Jersey, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.