Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Advisories in 2021

River Flood Advisory 37, NWS Nashville, TN

March 25, 2021Davidson County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this river flood advisory at Mar 25, 2021, 9:57 PM CDT for Davidson County, Tennessee. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 25, 2021, 9:57 PM CDT (02:57 UTC)
Expired: Mar 26, 2021, 12:27 AM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Davidson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Richland Creek near Belle Meade (BMDT1). The gauge peaked at 7.56 ft at Mar 25, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 5 ft
Minor stage: 7 ft
Moderate stage: 9 ft
Major stage: 12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03431655, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

314 
WGUS84 KOHX 260257
FLSOHX

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Nashville TN
957 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a Flood 
Advisory for the following rivers in Tennessee...

  Richland Creek At Belle Meade Near Harding Place affecting 
  Davidson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or 
ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.


TNC037-261500-
/O.NEW.KOHX.FL.Y.0037.210326T0257Z-000000T0000Z/
/BMDT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
957 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a

* Flood Advisory for
  the Richland Creek At Belle Meade Near Harding Place.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 9:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 6.6 feet and falling.
* Action stage is 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet, Flooding of areas along the creek begins, 
  including residential areas near Percy Warner Boulevard, portions 
  of the Belle Meade Country Club Golf Course, commercial property 
  at Harding Place and U.S. 70 - Harding Pike, and along Harding 
  Pike from the Belle Meade Mansion to near Belle Meade Boulevard.


&&

LAT...LON 3606 8690 3617 8689 3615 8683 3606 8680

$$

07

1 follow-up statement

773 
WGUS84 KOHX 260527
FLSOHX

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1227 AM CDT Fri Mar 26 2021

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...

  Richland Creek At Belle Meade Near Harding Place affecting 
  Davidson County.

TNC037-260630-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FL.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-210326T0527Z/
/BMDT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1227 AM CDT Fri Mar 26 2021

...The Flood Advisory for the Richland Creek At Belle Meade Near 
Harding Place has been cancelled...

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  the Richland Creek At Belle Meade Near Harding Place.
* At 11:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 3.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast...Richland Creek levels will continue to fall. 


&&

LAT...LON 3606 8690 3617 8689 3615 8683 3606 8680

$$

13

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Mar 25, 8:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 8:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
833 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

.UPDATE...
FOR EVENING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Updated suite of forecast products to reflect issuance of Tornado
Watch 54 through 1 AM CDT Friday. Blended latest NAMNest,
CONSShort, and HRRR models per best initialization and evolution
of main line of showers and thunderstorms moving across mid state
region during these early to mid evening hours. Tweaked hourly
temperature, dewpoint, and wind speed/direction grids. Remainder
of forecast continues to be on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CKV/BNA/MQY/CSV...Several admendments probable for rounds of
shwrs/tstms across mid state region thru 26/04Z. Generally VFR
ceilings and vsbys expected thru 26/24Z. With continuing
uncertainty of tstms moving across terminals, continue to mention
vcnty tstm at terminals thru 26/04Z. With strong low level jet
dynamics in place, wind shear at top of 2 Kft layer 45-55kts.
During relatively same time frame, surface wind gusts to around
30kts possible. Initial sustained southerly winds 7-12kts will
veer to west thru 26/24Z. Convection should end across mid state
region by no later than 26/06Z. Surface pressure gradient
influences should weaken by around 26/10Z.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 1 AM CDT Friday for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-
Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-
Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-
Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van
Buren-Warren-Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.

Wind Advisory until 4 AM CDT Friday for Bedford-Cannon-Cheatham-
Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Fentress-Giles-
Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-
Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-Putnam-Robertson-
Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-Wayne-
White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......JB Wright
AVIATION........JB Wright

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 25, 4:38 PM CDT, 5 hours 19 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Nashville TN
438 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-261000-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-
Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee-
Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
438 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Remainder of this Afternoon and Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely across Middle Tennessee remainder
of this afternoon into evening hours. Severe thunderstorms will be
capable of producing damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater, large
hail, and tornadoes, of which a couple could be long-track.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for all of Middle Tennessee until
1 AM CDT Friday. Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall will cause
excessive rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with locally higher
amounts of around 4 inches possible.

A Wind advisory is in effect for all of Middle Tennessee until
4 AM CDT Friday. Southwest winds of 20 to 30 mph are expected
with localized gusts to around 40 mph possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Strong to severe storms are possible on Saturday across all of Middle
Tennessee. Damaging wind gusts and hail are the main threats with
these storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS while
following all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

Spotter Thunderstorm Reporting Criteria...
Tornado
Funnel Cloud
Flooding
Hail >= 1/2 Inch
Winds > 50 MPH (Measured)
Structural Damage
Trees or Power Lines Down

JB Wright

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:17 PM CDT, 4 hours 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
517 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     HAIL             2 N WHITE HOUSE         36.50N  86.65W
03/25/2021  M2.00 INCH       ROBERTSON          TN   SOCIAL MEDIA

            LARGE HAIL REPORT FROM 37048 ABOVE RIDGE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2100318

CMA

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:20 PM CDT, 4 hours 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
520 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     HAIL             PORTLAND                36.59N  86.52W
03/25/2021  E1.50 INCH       SUMNER             TN   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TSPOTTER REPORT OF 1.5" ESTIMATED HAIL FROM PORTLAND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2100319

CMA

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:24 PM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
524 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0522 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E NASHVILLE           36.17N  86.75W
03/25/2021                   DAVIDSON           TN   SOCIAL MEDIA

            LARGE TREES DOWN IN EAST NASHVILLE OFF OF RIVERSIDE AND
            CARTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2100320

CMA

Special weather statement, Mar 25, 6:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
640 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

TNZ007-260000-
Robertson TN-
640 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ROBERTSON COUNTY
UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

At 640 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Springfield, moving northeast at 80 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield and Orlinda.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3665 8670 3649 8685 3659 8703 3665 8699
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 214DEG 68KT 3661 8689

Rose

Special weather statement, Mar 25, 6:55 PM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
655 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

TNZ025>027-057-059-260030-
Hickman TN-Williamson TN-Dickson TN-Davidson TN-Cheatham TN-
655 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN DAVIDSON...
SOUTHEASTERN DICKSON...NORTHWESTERN WILLIAMSON...SOUTH CENTRAL
CHEATHAM AND CENTRAL HICKMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 655 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Centerville, moving northeast at 65 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dickson, Centerville, White Bluff, Kingston Springs, Pegram, Burns,
Fairview, Bon Aqua, Primm Springs, Lyles and Nunnelly.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 40 between mile markers 171 and 193.
 Interstate 840 between mile markers 1 and 12.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3621 8720 3604 8694 3584 8718 3585 8721
      3585 8722 3580 8722 3562 8743 3562 8747
      3563 8750 3563 8753 3570 8764
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 219DEG 54KT 3571 8750

Rose

Special weather statement, Mar 25, 7:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
739 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

TNZ008-027>029-059-060-062-260115-
Rutherford TN-Williamson TN-Davidson TN-Wilson TN-Maury TN-
Trousdale TN-Sumner TN-
739 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DAVIDSON...
NORTHWESTERN RUTHERFORD...NORTHERN MAURY...SOUTHEASTERN SUMNER...
CENTRAL WILLIAMSON...WESTERN WILSON AND SOUTHWESTERN TROUSDALE
COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

At 739 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hermitage to near Franklin to 10 miles
north of Mount Pleasant. Movement was east at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Lebanon, Hartsville, Hendersonville, Smyrna, Brentwood, La
Vergne, Spring Hill, Mount Juliet, Nolensville, Forest Hills, Oak
Hill, Lakewood, Thompson's Station, Hermitage, Rural Hill, Antioch,
Belinda City, Berry Hill and Dickerson Chapel Recreation Area.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3644 8608 3605 8640 3574 8687 3564 8733
      3565 8733 3589 8697 3624 8669
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 251DEG 34KT 3620 8668 3592 8691 3570 8724

Rose

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 25, 7:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman, Lewis, Maury, Williamson	26 min
Mar 25, 7:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Lewis, Perry, Wayne	41 min
Mar 25, 7:12 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Lewis, Perry, Wayne	2 hr
Mar 25, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman, Lewis, Maury, Williamson	9 min
Mar 25, 7:36 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Lawrence, Lewis, Maury, Wayne	39 min
Mar 25, 7:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Trousdale, Williamson	36 min
Mar 25, 7:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Lawrence, Wayne	40 min
Mar 25, 7:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Williamson	38 min
Mar 25, 8:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Davidson, DeKalb, Rutherford, Smith, Williamson, Wilson	32 min
Mar 25, 8:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Bedford, Marshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson	25 min
Mar 25, 8:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Bedford, Giles, Marshall, Maury, Rutherford	34 min
Mar 25, 8:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Smith, Trousdale, Wilson	34 min
Mar 25, 8:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Rutherford	26 min
Mar 25, 9:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Jackson, Macon, Smith	14 min
Mar 25, 9:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Smith, Wilson	36 min
Mar 25, 9:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	DeKalb, Putnam, White	35 min
Mar 25, 9:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson	3 hr
Mar 25, 9:54 PM CDT	River Flood Advisory	OHX	Davidson	3 hr
Mar 25, 10:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Fentress, Overton, Pickett, White	38 min
Mar 25, 10:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Cumberland	38 min
Mar 25, 10:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Grundy, Van Buren	23 min
Mar 26, 5:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	OHX	Bedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland and 32 more	42 hr

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Tennessee, 2021 Every river flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.