Alert archive / Oregon / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 134, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this small craft advisory at Dec 22, 2021, 2:29 PM PST. It took effect at Dec 23, 2021, 2:27 AM PST. It was in force for 66 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 22, 2021, 2:29 PM PST (22:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 23, 2021, 2:27 AM PST
- Expired
- Dec 25, 2021, 8:00 PM PST
- In force
- 66 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
The text
As transmitted.
862 WHUS76 KMFR 222229 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 229 PM PST Wed Dec 22 2021 PZZ370-376-231130- /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0082.000000T0000Z-211223T0900Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.211223T0900Z-211224T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.A.0034.211224T1800Z-211225T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211225T0600Z-211226T0000Z/ Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 229 PM PST Wed Dec 22 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST THURSDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM PST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous seas 8 to 11 ft at 17 seconds. For the first Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 15 ft at 15 seconds expected. For the second Small Craft Advisory, seas 14 to 19 ft at 13 seconds expected. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, very steep and hazardous seas 17 to 20 ft at 14 seconds possible. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 1 AM PST Thursday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 1 AM Thursday to 10 AM PST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM Friday to 4 PM PST Saturday. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, from Friday morning through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ350-356-231130- /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0083.000000T0000Z-211223T0900Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.211223T0900Z-211226T0000Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- 229 PM PST Wed Dec 22 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST THURSDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM PST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Steep wind-driven seas of 7 to 8 feet this morning, becoming very steep and hazardous at 8 to 10 feet this afternoon into this evening, with south winds 25 to 30 kt and gusts up to 35 kt. Steep seas of 8 to 10 feet at 12 seconds are then expected into the weekend. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 1 AM PST Thursday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 1 AM Thursday to 4 PM PST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
7 follow-up statements
246 WHUS76 KMFR 231027 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 227 AM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 PZZ376-232330- /O.CAN.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1800Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211223T1027Z-211226T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0034.211224T1800Z-211225T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0000Z/ Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 227 AM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST SATURDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and combined seas becoming very steep at 15 to 17 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 12 to 14 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...Small Craft conditions are expected for all areas, with very steep and hazardous seas expected beyond 20 nm from shore Friday. * WHEN...The Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 4 PM PST Saturday, with a Hazardous Seas Warning in effect from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Friday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ370-232330- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0034.211224T1800Z-211225T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211225T0000Z-211226T0000Z/ Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- 227 AM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM PST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and combined seas becoming very steep at 15 to 18 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 12 to 14 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...A Small Craft Advisory is in effect until 4 AM PST Friday, followed by a Hazardous Seas Warning from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Friday. A second Small Craft Advisory is then in effect from 4 PM Friday to 4 PM PST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ350-232330- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0135.211225T0000Z-211226T0000Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- 227 AM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM PST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and combined seas becoming very steep at 13 to 16 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 10 to 13 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...A Small Craft Advisory is in effect until 4 AM PST Friday, followed by a Hazardous Seas Warning from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Friday. A second Small Craft Advisory is then in effect from 4 PM Friday to 4 PM PST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ356-232330- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211226T0000Z/ Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- 227 AM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and combined seas becoming 9 to 12 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 10 to 13 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...Until 4 PM PST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds and steep seas could capsize or damage smaller vessels, and will pose an increased risk to inexperienced mariners. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners and those operating smaller vessels should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous conditions. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
781 WHUS76 KMFR 232145 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 145 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 PZZ370-241045- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211225T0000Z-211226T1200Z/ Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- 145 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 4 AM PST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and combined seas becoming very steep at 15 to 18 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 12 to 14 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, now until 4 AM PST Friday. Then from 4 PM Friday to 4 AM PST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ350-241045- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0135.211225T0000Z-211226T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- 145 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 4 AM PST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and combined seas becoming very steep at 13 to 16 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 10 to 13 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM PST Friday. Then from 4 PM Friday to 4 AM PST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ376-241045- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-211226T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0000Z/ Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 145 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and combined seas becoming very steep at 15 to 17 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 12 to 14 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...Small Craft conditions are expected for all areas, with very steep and hazardous seas expected beyond 20 nm from shore Friday. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, from 4 AM to 4 PM PST Friday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM PST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ356-241045- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211226T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- 145 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Steep northwest seas around 10 feet at 8 seconds. Winds becoming west 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and combined seas becoming 9 to 12 feet Friday morning and afternoon. Steep northwest seas of 10 to 13 feet at 13 seconds then continue into the weekend. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or damage smaller vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners and those operating smaller vessels should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous conditions. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
576 WHUS76 KMFR 240514 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 914 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 PZZ370-241815- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- 914 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 12 ft at 12 seconds. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, west winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt and very steep and hazardous seas 12 to 17 ft at 11 seconds expected. For the second Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 15 ft at 13 seconds expected. * WHERE...All of the area. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, from 4 AM Friday to 1 AM PST Saturday. For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM PST Friday. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ350-241815- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0135.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- 914 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 9 to 11 ft at 12 seconds. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, west winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt and very steep and hazardous seas 11 to 16 ft at 11 seconds expected. For the second Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 9 to 15 ft at 13 seconds expected. * WHERE...All of the area. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, from 4 AM Friday to 1 AM PST Saturday. For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM PST Friday. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ376-241815- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-211227T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1200Z-211225T0900Z/ Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 914 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM PST SATURDAY... * WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, west winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep and hazardous seas 13 to 18 ft at 11 seconds expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 16 ft at 13 seconds. * WHERE...Small Craft conditions are expected for all of the area, except very steep and hazardous seas are expected beyond 20 nm from shore Friday through Friday night. * WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, from 4 AM Friday to 1 AM PST Saturday. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially treacherous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ356-241815- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211227T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- 914 PM PST Thu Dec 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 16 ft at 13 seconds. * WHERE...All of the area. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or damage smaller vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners and those operating smaller vessels should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous conditions. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
651 WHUS76 KMFR 241005 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 205 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 PZZ370-242315- /O.CAN.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1005Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- 205 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds around 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep wind-driven seas of 12 to 16 feet through this evening. Seas becoming northwest 13 to 17 feet at 12 seconds tonight through Sunday night. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...The Hazardous Seas Warning is in effect until 1 AM PST Saturday, followed by a Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ350-242315- /O.CAN.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211224T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1005Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0135.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- 205 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep wind-driven seas of 12 to 15 feet through this evening. Seas becoming northwest 13 to 16 feet at 12 seconds tonight through Sunday night. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...The Hazardous Seas Warning is in effect until 1 AM PST Saturday, followed by a Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ376-242315- /O.CAN.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-211227T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1005Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0136.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 205 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep wind-driven seas of 12 to 16 feet through this evening. Seas becoming northwest 13 to 17 feet at 12 seconds tonight through Sunday night. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...The Hazardous Seas Warning is in effect until 1 AM PST Saturday, followed by a Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ356-242315- /O.UPG.KMFR.SC.Y.0133.000000T0000Z-211227T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KMFR.SE.W.0084.211224T1005Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.EXA.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- 205 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep wind-driven seas of 10 to 14 feet through this evening. Seas becoming northwest 13 to 17 feet at 12 seconds tonight through Sunday night. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...The Hazardous Seas Warning is in effect until 1 AM PST Saturday, followed by a Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
858 WHUS76 KMFR 241953 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 1153 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 PZZ356-370-251500- /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0084.000000T0000Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- 1153 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep wind-driven seas of 10 to 14 feet through this evening. Seas becoming northwest 13 to 17 feet at 12 seconds tonight through Sunday night. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...The Hazardous Seas Warning is in effect until 1 AM PST Saturday, followed by a Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ350-251500- /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0084.000000T0000Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0135.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- 1153 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep wind-driven seas of 12 to 15 feet through this evening. Seas becoming northwest 13 to 16 feet at 12 seconds tonight through Sunday night. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...The Hazardous Seas Warning is in effect until 1 AM PST Saturday, followed by a Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ PZZ376-251500- /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0084.000000T0000Z-211225T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0136.211225T0900Z-211227T1200Z/ Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 1153 AM PST Fri Dec 24 2021 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and very steep wind-driven seas of 12 to 16 feet through this evening. Seas becoming northwest 13 to 17 feet at 12 seconds tonight through Sunday night. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...The Hazardous Seas Warning is in effect until 1 AM PST Saturday, followed by a Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port until conditions improve. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
138 WHUS76 KMFR 251155 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 355 AM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 PZZ356-370-260100- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-211226T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.A.0035.211226T1000Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0137.211227T0400Z-211228T0000Z/ Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- 355 AM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST SUNDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 12 to 16 ft at 13 seconds. For the second Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 14 ft at 11 seconds expected. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, very steep and hazardous seas 14 to 18 ft at 12 seconds possible. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM PST Sunday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM PST Monday. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, from late tonight through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossing could become especially hazardous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Consider altering your plans to avoid possible hazardous and very steep sea conditions. && $$ PZZ350-260100- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0135.000000T0000Z-211226T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.A.0035.211226T1000Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0137.211227T0400Z-211228T0000Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- 355 AM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST SUNDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 12 to 16 ft at 13 seconds. For the second Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 14 ft at 11 seconds expected. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, very steep and hazardous seas 14 to 18 ft at 12 seconds possible. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM PST Sunday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM PST Monday. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, from late tonight through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossing could become especially hazardous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Consider altering your plans to avoid possible hazardous and very steep sea conditions. && $$ PZZ376-260100- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0136.000000T0000Z-211226T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.A.0035.211226T1000Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0137.211227T0400Z-211228T0000Z/ Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 355 AM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST SUNDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 12 to 16 ft at 13 seconds. For the second Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 14 ft at 11 seconds expected. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, very steep and hazardous seas 14 to 18 ft at 12 seconds possible. * WHERE...All areas. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 2 AM PST Sunday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM PST Monday. For the Hazardous Seas Watch, from late tonight through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or damage vessels. Bar crossing could become especially hazardous. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Consider altering your plans to avoid possible hazardous and very steep sea conditions. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
380 WHUS76 KMFR 252235 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 235 PM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 PZZ356-261145- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-211226T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0035.211226T1000Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0085.211226T0400Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0046.211226T0400Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0137.211227T0400Z-211228T0000Z/ Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm- 235 PM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northwest winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 14 to 19 ft at 13 seconds expected. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous seas 12 to 17 ft at 13 seconds expected. For the first Small Craft Advisory, seas 10 to 13 ft at 13 seconds. For the second Small Craft Advisory, seas 9 to 12 ft at 11 seconds expected. * WHERE...Small Craft Advisory conditions for all areas. Gale Warning from Port Orford northward. Hazardous Seas Warning south of Port Orford. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning and Hazardous Seas Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PST Sunday. For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 8 PM PST this evening. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ PZZ376-261145- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0136.000000T0000Z-211226T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0035.211226T1000Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0085.211226T0400Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0046.211226T0400Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0137.211227T0400Z-211228T0000Z/ Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm- 235 PM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northwest winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 15 to 20 ft at 13 seconds expected. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous seas 13 to 18 ft at 13 seconds expected. For the first Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 11 to 14 ft at 13 seconds. For the second Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 10 to 13 ft at 11 seconds expected. * WHERE...Small Craft Advisory conditions for all areas. Gale Warning from Port Orford northward. Hazardous Seas Warning south of Port Orford. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PST Sunday. For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 8 PM PST this evening. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ PZZ370-261145- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-211226T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0035.211226T1000Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0046.211226T0400Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0137.211227T0400Z-211228T0000Z/ Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm- 235 PM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, northwest winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 15 to 21 ft at 13 seconds expected. For the first Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 13 to 15 ft at 13 seconds. For the second Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 11 to 14 ft at 11 seconds expected. * WHERE...All of the area. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PST Sunday. For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 8 PM PST this evening. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ PZZ350-261145- /O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0135.000000T0000Z-211226T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0035.211226T1000Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0046.211226T0400Z-211227T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0137.211227T0400Z-211228T0000Z/ Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm- 235 PM PST Sat Dec 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PST SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 13 to 19 ft at 13 seconds expected. For the first Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 11 to 13 ft at 13 seconds. For the second Small Craft Advisory, seas 9 to 14 ft at 11 seconds expected. * WHERE...All of the area. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PST Sunday. For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 8 PM PST this evening. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 8 PM Sunday to 4 PM PST Monday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected. * View the hazard area in detail at https://go.usa.gov/x6hks PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 22, 9:05 AM PST, 5 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 9:05 AM PST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
905 AM PST Wed Dec 22 2021
.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers are moving into the region ahead
of the front that is expected to bring moderate to heavy snow,
generally above 4000 ft elevation starting this afternoon.
Currently valley temperatures are a little above freezing, but
above the inversion quite a bit warmer, and this morning's
sounding supports the current snow level forecast. -Sven
&&
.MARINE...Updated 800 AM PST Wednesday, 22 December, 2021...Steep
seas will continue in the near shore waters through this morning,
with very steep and hazardous seas across the outer waters north of
Port Orford. The next front will arrive this afternoon, producing
gusty south to southwest winds and widespread very steep seas
through tonight. Winds may reach gale force briefly as the front
passes. Another strong front is likely Thursday night into Friday,
marking a general shift to a much colder pattern under westerly
flow. Moderate west winds are expected from Friday onward, with seas
becoming swell driven and remaining elevated through the early part
of next week. -Wright/BPN
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 634 AM PST Wed Dec 22 2021/
DISCUSSION...
A prolonged period of cold and wet weather is expected across SW
Oregon and Northern California over the next 10 days. Significant
winter travel impacts are expected, first at mid to higher
elevations today through Friday morning and then, likely, at low
to middle elevations from Friday/Christmas Eve through
approximately New Year's Day. If you will be traveling during this
time period, be sure to check the latest road conditions and
forecasts before you decide to hit the road. For everyone,
including those who live locally, now is a great time to prepare
for the upcoming wintry weather by packing a winter
travel/survival kit and preparing for colder, potentially snowy
weather. It is likely that elevations down to between 500 and 1500
feet will be impacted by snow at some point during the next 10
days.
This morning an impressively deep and high amplitude trough of
low pressure exists across the eastern Pacific Ocean with an
impressively large and high amplitude high pressure ridge west of
the trough over the central North Pacific extending well into the
Bering Sea to near the Arctic Circle. The trough, which was
mostly closed off from the main polar jet stream flow yesterday,
is now starting to merge back into the main flow. This is
resulting in increasing southwest flow over NorCal and SW Oregon
this morning that's likely to max out at about 150 knots at the
300mb level this evening into Thursday morning.
Scattered light showers this morning with snow levels mostly in
the 3kft to 4kft range are likely to increase across Northern
California and west of the Cascades today, especially along and
near the coast. Model guidance has trended wetter for this
afternoon through Thursday morning as the above mentioned jet
stream energy pumps subtropical moisture northeastward across the
area. This has resulted in the need to upgrade the Winter Weather
Advisory in effect for elevations above 4kft in the Mount Shasta
area to a Winter Storm Warning valid late this afternoon through
early Thursday morning. Numerical models suggest around 1.2 inches
of water is likely to fall in Mount Shasta City and the
surrounding area during a 12 hour time period this evening through
Thursday morning. This is, in part, due to a stronger, longer
duration, and more southerly flow at the 850mb level in that area.
Elsewhere, headlines have remained about the same for this frontal
system. Snow levels are likely to be in the 4-5kft range. The
Winter Weather Advisory for areas east of the Cascades has been
expanded some, mostly in Klamath County, due to more precipitation
expected there tonight into early Thursday.
Late Thursday morning through Friday morning a cold front will
move southward across the area with rain and snow showers as the
snow levels lower from ~4kft to ~2kft. Winter Weather Advisories
remain in effect for some areas for this front. We'll need to be
on the lookout for the potential need to expand the advisories to
other areas west of the Cascades if current wetter trends noted in
the 06Z NAM12 continue and show up in the 12Z SPC HREF guidance.
Christmas Eve Day/Friday begins the time period of most concern
for travel impacts for areas west of the Cascades. A Winter Storm
Watch has been issued for much of the area west of the Cascades
for elevations above 1500 feet from midday Friday through Monday
morning. The cold upper level trough swings in from the Pacific
Friday bringing temperatures of -30 to -35C at 500mb. This cold
air, along with plenty of vorticity and instability, is likely to
bring convective precipitation across the west side. This can
result in snow levels dipping lower in moderate to heavy showers,
also leading to potential accumulations. In fact, some rumbles of
thunder are not outside of the realm of possibility for even
inland areas on Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. Snow levels near
2500 feet on Friday are likely to fall to around 1500 feet
Saturday/Christmas morning.
From Christmas Day through New Year's Day, approximately 5
shortwave troughs move through the area with 850mb temperatures
between -3C and -12C. A rough rule of thumb for snow here at
1370ft MSL at the Rogue Valley International Airport is 850mb
temperatures of about -6C. Said another way, National Blend of
Model probabilities indicate a 75% chance of 6 inches or more of
snowfall at the Medford Airport in a 72 hour period from the 26th
through the 28th with about a 60% probability of 8 inches or
more. While the amount of snowfall in this blend of models may be
a bit overdone and the amount of snowfall compared to that on the
ground at any given time is likely to be less than that, even
just an inch of snow on the ground at the airport can yield
significant travel impacts. For mountainous areas such as Sexton
and Canyon Mountain Pass on upward, snow's likely to be measured
in feet of low density snow during this same time period due to
the cold temperatures and precipitation we're expecting.
Again, if you'll be needing to travel at all in the next 10 days,
now is a good time to get yourself and your means of travel ready
for wintry travel if you have not already done so. Also take note
that this period of wintry weather is likely to bring with it and
behind the coldest temperatures we've recorded, thus far, this
fall-winter. ~BTL
AVIATION...22/12Z TAFs...MVFR/IFR conditions and local LIFR
ceilings and visibilities are expected at the coast and in the West
Side valleys through this morning. Conditions should improve by late
morning or early afternoon as winds increase ahead of a front that
is expected to move onshore tonight. Expect widespread precipitation
and MVFR ceilings, IFR visibilities in areas of snow, and terrain
obscuration to spread inland through today, with mountain wave
turbulence and low level wind shear possible, especially east of the
Cascades. Freezing levels should hover around 4000 ft above MSL.
-BPN
MARINE...Updated 200 AM PST Wednesday, 22 December, 2021...Steep
seas will continue in the near shore waters through this morning,
with very steep and hazardous seas across the outer waters north of
Port Orford. The next front will arrive this afternoon, producing
gusty south to southwest winds and widespread very steep seas
through tonight. Winds may reach gale force briefly as the front
passes. Another strong front is likely Thursday night into Friday,
marking a general shift to a much colder pattern under westerly
flow. Moderate west winds are expected from Friday onward, with seas
becoming swell driven and remaining elevated through the early part
of next week. -BPN/CC
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST
Friday above 4500 feet in the for ORZ025>031.
Winter Storm Watch from Friday afternoon through Monday morning
above 1500 feet in the for ORZ023>026.
Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST
Friday for ORZ027-028.
CA...Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST
Friday above 4500 feet in the for CAZ085.
Winter Storm Watch from Friday afternoon through Monday morning
above 1500 feet in the for CAZ080.
Winter Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM PST
Thursday for CAZ080.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 4 AM PST Friday
above 4000 feet in the for CAZ082-083.
Winter Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM PST
Thursday above 4000 feet in the for CAZ082-083.
Wind Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM PST Thursday for
CAZ081.
Pacific Coastal Waters...
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST this morning for
PZZ350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Thursday to 11 AM PST Saturday
for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 1 AM PST Thursday for PZZ350-356.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 1 AM PST Thursday for PZZ370-376.
SBN/SBN/SBNThe office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2:52 AM PST | Small Craft Advisory | MFR | 47 hr | |
| Dec 22, 4:32 AM PST | Winter Storm Watch | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath and 1 more | 65 hr |
| Dec 22, 2:29 PM PST | Hazardous Seas Watch | MFR | 12 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Oregon, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.