Special Weather Statement, NWS Memphis, TN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
718 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

.UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z Aviation Forecast Discussion below.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 307 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021/

DISCUSSION...

Skies are mostly sunny across the Mid-South this afternoon with
temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s. A warm front continues
to move north and is now just south of the region. A few
thunderstorms have developed just north of this warm front across
portions of southwest Arkansas.

As the warm front continues to move north late this afternoon and
this evening more thunderstorms are expected to develop with some
moving into the Mid-South. Some of these thunderstorms could have
large hail and damaging winds. In addition, a cold front will move
into Arkansas from the west tonight, bringing another round of
thunderstorms for tonight and into early Saturday morning. These
thunderstorms could also be severe with damaging winds, large hail
and isolated tornadoes. Temperatures tonight will be on the warm
side with lows Saturday morning in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

The cold front will move through the Mid-South Saturday morning
with gradually ending from the west to east during the morning.
All of the rain should be east of the region by afternoon.
Temperatures will be cooler on Saturday behind the front with
highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s.

High pressure will build into the region by Saturday night
bringing a period of dry weather from Saturday night through
Monday evening. Temperatures will be slightly below normal for
Saturday night with a warming trend for Sunday and Monday.

Another cold front will drop through the region Monday night with
a chance of showers mainly for western and southern sections of
the Mid-South. The weather pattern then becomes somewhat unsettled
for Tuesday through next Friday with periods of showers each day.
Temperatures will return to near or slightly below normal for this
period as well.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFs

Northern edge of TSRA will pass through southern MEM TRACON
through 01Z, with mainly -SRHA expected and isolated TS at most
into the early MEM arrival push. Thereafter, a secondary episode
of -SHRA with likely embedded TS near and south of MEM. Not
expecting solid line of TSRA overnight due to lack of instability.

PWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
433 AM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-101100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
433 AM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible across much of the Mid-
South from late this afternoon into the overnight hours. Damaging
winds will be the primary hazard, but large hail and a few
tornadoes are possible as well. The greatest risk will be across
north Mississippi and east-central Arkansas. Locally heavy
rainfall will contribute to a flash flooding threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Gusty west winds are expected on Saturday, mainly across northeast
Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, and northwest Tennessee. Wind
gusts may exceed 30 mph at times.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon through
tonight.

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
847 PM CDT FRI APR 09 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSW SHERMAN           34.31N  88.85W
04/09/2021                   PONTOTOC           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            8 INCHES OF WATER OVER ENDVILLE RD.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT...REMARKS

SGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
906 PM CDT FRI APR 09 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0903 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WOODLAND                33.78N  89.05W
04/09/2021                   CHICKASAW          MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE ON HOUSE IN CHICKASAW COUNTY MS.

&&

SGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
910 PM CDT FRI APR 09 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HOUSTON                 33.90N  89.00W
04/09/2021                   CHICKASAW          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT OF TREES ON 3 HOUSES, TREES
            SCATTERED ACROSS THE HWY AS WELL AS UPROOTED TREES
            ACROSS NATCHEZ TRACE.

&&

SGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
912 PM CDT FRI APR 09 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S BLUE SPRINGS        34.38N  88.87W
04/09/2021                   UNION              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HWY 178 IS IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.

&&

MJH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
949 PM CDT FRI APR 09 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0948 PM     FLASH FLOOD      TUPELO                  34.26N  88.73W
04/09/2021                   LEE                MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            VEHICLE STRANDED IN FLOODWATERS IN TUPERLO. FD
            DISPATCHED TO RESCUE.

&&

SGW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
959 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

TNZ052>054-090>092-100330-
Hardeman TN-Henderson TN-Chester TN-Madison TN-McNairy TN-Hardin TN-
959 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR...

Northeastern Hardeman County in western Tennessee...
Southwestern Henderson County in western Tennessee...
Chester County in western Tennessee...
Southeastern Madison County in western Tennessee...
McNairy County in western Tennessee...
Northwestern Hardin County in western Tennessee...

At 958 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Masseyville, or 9
miles south of Chickasaw State Forest, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Very heavy rain is also possible with this thunderstorm.

People in northeastern Hardeman...southwestern Henderson...Chester...
southeastern Madison...McNairy and northwestern Hardin Counties
should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3506 8877 3535 8894 3573 8846 3515 8822
TIME...MOT...LOC 0258Z 239DEG 15KT 3525 8878

SGW