Areal Flood Advisory 71, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1201 AM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Thunderstorms have exited the TAF sites or will have by 06Z/Wed.
There are lot of debris clouds in the in 100-250 layer and will
likely remain thru mid morning. Also with an abundance of
residual mstr we expect that daytime heating will result in a BKN
deck 035-050 during max heating. It will take awhile yet for
winds to recovery from convective influences this morning, but
eventually se winds less than 10kts. Convective potential looks
to be greatest across srn areas this PM, possibly impacting FST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     82  61  80  62 /  50  60  30  20
Carlsbad                       85  61  83  62 /  60  40  30  10
Dryden                         85  66  86  65 /  50  40  40  40
Fort Stockton                  85  62  83  62 /  50  40  50  30
Guadalupe Pass                 81  59  78  60 /  60  30  40  20
Hobbs                          82  59  81  59 /  50  50  30  10
Marfa                          82  52  81  51 /  60  30  70  30
Midland Intl Airport           84  61  81  62 /  50  60  40  20
Odessa                         84  61  81  61 /  50  50  40  20
Wink                           87  62  86  62 /  50  40  30  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-031800-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021 /1146 AM MDT Wed Jun 2 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a slight risk of severe storms this afternoon and into the
overnight, a few storms may produce hail, strong winds, frequent
lightning, and locally heavy rain that may result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms remain in the forecast for most areas Wednesday and
Thursday, a few may be strong.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1046 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ051-052-062-063-030430-
Midland TX-Martin TX-Glasscock TX-Howard TX-
1046 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK...
MIDLAND...SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD AND SOUTHERN MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 1130
PM CDT...

At 1046 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Midland, moving east at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Midland, Greenwood, Garden City, Stanton, Lomax, Midland
International Air and Space Port, Cotton Flat, Warfield, Midland
Airpark, Skywest Airport, Courtney, Big Spring McMahon-Wrinkle
Airpark, Stanton Municipal Aiport and Spraberry.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 126 and 174.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 10225 3214 10220 3235 10154 3178 10146
TIME...MOT...LOC 0346Z 267DEG 33KT 3202 10201

87

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1115 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1019 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 W ODESSA              31.85N 102.47W
06/02/2021                   Ector              TX   PUBLIC

            TREES UPROOTED AT KELLUS TURNER PARK IN WEST ODESSA.

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1140 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ051-052-062-063-030530-
Midland TX-Martin TX-Glasscock TX-Howard TX-
1140 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GLASSCOCK...EASTERN MIDLAND...
NORTHERN REAGAN...SOUTHERN HOWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN COUNTIES
UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

At 1138 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms near Lenorah down to the southwest near the southern
Midland County line moving east at 30 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Big Spring, Greenwood, Garden City, Stanton, Coahoma, Forsan, Sand
Springs, Lomax, Big Spring Country Club, Big Spring McMahon-Wrinkle
Airpark, Saint Lawrence, Stanton Municipal Aiport, Elbow and
Spraberry.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 150 and 192.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 10149 3173 10208 3235 10177 3241 10120
TIME...MOT...LOC 0438Z 278DEG 18KT 3208 10167

87

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1143 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ046-030530-
Dawson TX-
1143 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN BORDEN AND CENTRAL DAWSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

At 1143 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lamesa, moving northeast at 5 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lamesa, Lamesa Municipal Airport, Los Ybanez, Sparenberg, Tenmile,
Patricia, Arvana, Hancock, Key and Klondike.

LAT...LON 3253 10185 3255 10215 3288 10203 3290 10178
      3276 10169
TIME...MOT...LOC 0443Z 208DEG 5KT 3264 10199

87

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1157 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ069-070-030545-
Reagan TX-Upton TX-
1157 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN REAGAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN UPTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 AM CDT...

At 1157 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Rankin, moving east at 10 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rankin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3108 10212 3141 10203 3144 10170 3108 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 0457Z 277DEG 8KT 3120 10194

87