Alert archive / Texas / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 39, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 25, 2021Borden County, Scurry County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this areal flood advisory at May 25, 2021, 1:44 AM CDT for Borden County, Scurry County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 25, 2021, 1:44 AM CDT (06:44 UTC)
Expired: May 25, 2021, 3:45 AM CDT
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Borden County, TX, Scurry County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 507 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2330 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at May 25, 12:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 12:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, May 24, 4:08 PM CDT, 9 hours 36 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
408 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-252115-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
408 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021 /308 PM MDT Mon May 24 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for the northern Permian
Basin and Western Low Rolling Plains until 11 PM CDT this evening.

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and tonight.  Any storms
that do develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small
hail, gusty winds, and brief, heavy rainfall. There is a slight risk
of severe storms, capable of producing large hail, damaging winds,
and an isolated tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms Tuesday and
Wednesday. Any severe storms that do develop will be accompanied by
large hail and damaging winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is recommended. Please report any severe weather
to the NWS or local law enforcement.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

44

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 24, 8:26 PM CDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
826 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

NMZ028-033-034-TXZ059-274-250215-
Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM-Central Lea County NM-
Loving TX-Reeves County Plains TX-
826 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDDY...SOUTHWESTERN
LEA...NORTHWESTERN REEVES AND NORTHERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM
CDT/815 PM MDT/...

At 826 PM CDT/726 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 24 miles east of Loving to
9 miles northeast of Orla to 23 miles northwest of Toyah. Movement
was east at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Orla and Slash Ranch.

LAT...LON 3254 10333 3197 10344 3179 10358 3175 10401
      3189 10389 3241 10382
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 263DEG 11KT 3240 10370 3190 10377 3157 10406

89

Special weather statement, May 24, 8:48 PM CDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
848 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

TXZ047-048-052-053-250230-
Mitchell TX-Scurry TX-Howard TX-Borden TX-
848 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SCURRY...MITCHELL...BORDEN AND
NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 848 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms near
J B Thomas Reservoir, or 16 miles west of Snyder, moving north at 20
mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible.

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Colorado City, Gail, Loraine, Fluvanna, Colorado City
Airport, J B Thomas Reservoir, Lake Colorado City, Lake Colorado City
State Park, Inadale, Champion Creek Reservoir, Westbrook, Vincent,
Hermleigh, Randalls Corner, Winston Field, Cuthbert, Knapp, Buford
and Dunn.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 194 and 228.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3208 10108 3296 10166 3296 10079 3261 10066
      3209 10067
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 157DEG 16KT 3267 10119

89

Special weather statement, May 24, 8:59 PM CDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
859 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

NMZ033-034-TXZ050-059-060-274-250245-
Southern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-Loving TX-Andrews TX-
Reeves County Plains TX-Winkler TX-
859 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA...WESTERN
ANDREWS...NORTHERN REEVES...SOUTHWESTERN GAINES...WESTERN WINKLER AND
EASTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT/845 PM MDT/...

At 858 PM CDT/758 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 13 miles west of Eunice
Airport to 18 miles northwest of Wink to near Mentone. Movement was
east at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Kermit, Eunice, Jal, Wink, Mentone, Jal Airport, Eunice Airport,
Bennett, Oil Center and Winkler County Airport.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT/1000
PM MDT/ for western Texas.

LAT...LON 3252 10299 3183 10305 3166 10311 3167 10370
      3197 10346 3254 10334
TIME...MOT...LOC 0158Z 270DEG 18KT 3239 10346 3186 10344 3169 10365

89

Special weather statement, May 24, 9:53 PM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
953 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

NMZ034-TXZ045-050-059>061-067-274-250345-
Southern Lea County NM-Loving TX-Andrews TX-Ector TX-Ward TX-
Reeves County Plains TX-Gaines TX-Winkler TX-
953 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA...NORTHWESTERN
ECTOR...WESTERN ANDREWS...CENTRAL REEVES...NORTHWESTERN WARD...SOUTH
CENTRAL GAINES...WINKLER AND EASTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM
CDT/945 PM MDT/...

At 952 PM CDT/852 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 7 miles east of Eunice to 7
miles south of Jal to 10 miles south of Mentone. Movement was
northeast at 25 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Kermit, Eunice, Jal, Wink, Mentone, Barstow, Pyote, Jal Airport,
Eunice Airport, Bennett, Frankel City and Winkler County Airport.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 49 and 71.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT/1000
PM MDT/ for western Texas.

LAT...LON 3190 10349 3248 10324 3256 10269 3196 10275
      3142 10313 3146 10392
TIME...MOT...LOC 0252Z 233DEG 23KT 3244 10304 3201 10321 3156 10357

89

Special weather statement, May 24, 9:57 PM CDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 25, 12:55 AM CDT, 49 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 24, 7:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	44 min
May 24, 7:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Loving	42 min
May 24, 7:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden, Dawson	41 min
May 24, 7:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Yoakum	40 min
May 24, 7:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	39 min
May 24, 8:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	38 min
May 24, 8:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Loving, Reeves	61 min
May 24, 8:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Loving	49 min
May 24, 8:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden, Mitchell, Scurry	42 min
May 24, 8:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Winkler	46 min
May 24, 9:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Loving, Winkler	51 min
May 24, 9:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward, Winkler	52 min
May 24, 9:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		48 min
May 25, 12:55 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	50 min
May 25, 2:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	48 min
May 25, 2:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	58 min
May 25, 2:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	55 min
May 25, 3:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Pecos	50 min
May 25, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	47 min
May 25, 3:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	45 min
May 25, 3:46 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos	4 hr
May 25, 4:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	39 min
May 25, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	60 min
May 25, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos	57 min
May 25, 4:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	59 min
May 25, 4:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Ector, Midland, Pecos, Upton, Ward	56 min
May 25, 5:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Crane, Ector, Martin, Midland, Upton	64 min
May 25, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Terrell	56 min
May 25, 5:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	51 min
May 25, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry	60 min
May 25, 6:04 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector, Midland	116 min
May 25, 6:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland	56 min
May 25, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Scurry	72 min
May 25, 6:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	51 min
May 25, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry	62 min
May 25, 6:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	43 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Texas, 2021 Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.