Severe Thunderstorm Warning 266, NWS Little Rock, AR

242 
WWUS54 KLZK 110702
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
102 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

ARC029-110711-
/O.CAN.KLZK.SV.W.0266.000000T0000Z-211111T0730Z/
Conway AR-
102 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CONWAY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3479 9222 3493 9261 3502 9251 3513 9250
      3507 9212 3501 9212 3501 9211 3492 9209
TIME...MOT...LOC 0701Z 284DEG 33KT 3508 9242 3501 9242 3493 9250 

$$

ARC045-105-119-110730-
/O.CON.KLZK.SV.W.0266.000000T0000Z-211111T0730Z/
Perry AR-Faulkner AR-Pulaski AR-
102 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CST
FOR EAST CENTRAL PERRY...SOUTHERN FAULKNER AND NORTHEASTERN PULASKI
COUNTIES...

At 101 AM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Conway to near Mayflower to Roland in Pulaski County,
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
North Little Rock...              Conway...
Sherwood...                       Jacksonville...
Maumelle...                       Little Rock AFB...
North Little Rock Airport...      Vilonia...
Mayflower...                      Little Italy...
Gravel Ridge...                   Morgan...
Marche...                         Oak Grove in Pulaski County...
Olmstead...                       Roland in Pulaski County...
Gibson...                         Camp Robinson...
Sylvan Hills...                   Lakewood...

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 40 between mile markers 122 and 146.
 US Highway 67 between mile markers 2 and 5.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3479 9222 3493 9261 3502 9251 3513 9250
      3507 9212 3501 9212 3501 9211 3492 9209
TIME...MOT...LOC 0701Z 284DEG 33KT 3508 9242 3501 9242 3493 9250 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

232

211 
WWUS54 KLZK 110712
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
112 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

ARC105-110721-
/O.CAN.KLZK.SV.W.0266.000000T0000Z-211111T0730Z/
Perry AR-
112 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3479 9222 3492 9255 3502 9247 3511 9245
      3507 9212 3501 9212 3501 9211 3492 9209
TIME...MOT...LOC 0711Z 285DEG 28KT 3506 9235 3499 9235 3491 9243 

$$

ARC045-119-110730-
/O.CON.KLZK.SV.W.0266.000000T0000Z-211111T0730Z/
Faulkner AR-Pulaski AR-
112 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CST
FOR SOUTHERN FAULKNER AND NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...

At 111 AM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Pickles Gap to near Mayflower to near Morgan,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
North Little Rock...              Conway...
Sherwood...                       Jacksonville...
Maumelle...                       Little Rock AFB...
North Little Rock Airport...      Vilonia...
Mayflower...                      Gravel Ridge...
Morgan...                         Marche...
Oak Grove in Pulaski County...    Olmstead...
Roland in Pulaski County...       Gibson...
Camp Robinson...                  Sylvan Hills...
Lakewood...                       Hamlet...

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 40 between mile markers 126 and 146.
 US Highway 67 between mile markers 2 and 5.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3479 9222 3492 9255 3502 9247 3511 9245
      3507 9212 3501 9212 3501 9211 3492 9209
TIME...MOT...LOC 0711Z 285DEG 28KT 3506 9235 3499 9235 3491 9243 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

232

110 
WWUS54 KLZK 110723
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
123 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

ARC045-119-110732-
/O.EXP.KLZK.SV.W.0266.000000T0000Z-211111T0730Z/
Faulkner AR-Pulaski AR-
123 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN FAULKNER AND
NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 130 AM CST...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 3479 9222 3492 9255 3502 9247 3511 9245
      3507 9212 3501 9212 3501 9211 3492 9209
TIME...MOT...LOC 0722Z 284DEG 33KT 3504 9225 3497 9225 3489 9233 

$$

232

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1115 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

.AVIATION...
Updated for 06Z terminals...

A trough of low pressure will bring a cold front across the state
tonight with showers and thunderstorms. Gusty southwest winds are
expected ahead of the front, and northwest winds behind the
front. Low ceilings and restricted visibilities (IFR or lower) are
expected at times, especially with heavier precipitation. Rain
should exit eastern sections in the morning. Clouds will decrease
in the afternoon. Expect VFR conditions by mid day or early
afternoon as the front exits the state.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 231 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021)
SHORT TERM...Today Through Friday

Showers and storms continue developing across OK and KS this
afternoon in response to a deepening upper trough, currently
positioned over the central Plains, and sharpening attendant cold
front draped from northern KS southwestward across West TX. At
present, only increasing cloud cover is noted over AR although
isolated to widely scattered showers will become increasingly
likely by late afternoon into the evening.

The cold front will accelerate through AR tonight into Thursday
morning as the parent upper trough advances eastward across the
Plains. Increasing H850 flow and pre-frontal WAA will further
increase convective coverage as the front moves in with virtually
the entire area expected to see measurable rain, although lower
deep tropospheric moisture content will limit max values to under
2 inches, except in localized heavier downpours.

Severe weather potential remains low based on this morning's
guidance and trends, although there will be modest potential for a
couple of strong storms across western/southwestern AR as
convection grows upscale along the surging front. Instability
progs keep MUCAPE values just under 1000 J/kg and weakening deep
layer shear/kinematics will preclude a more substantial severe
weather risk. Damaging winds and isolated severe hail will be
possible in the strongest storms this evening and overnight.

The front and associated convective activity will push east of
the area by very early afternoon at the latest with clearing
skies and breezy northwesterly winds in its wake. While drier air
will filter in through the day tomorrow, the bulk of cooler air
will not arrive until very late in the period as another front
quickly drops in from the north on Friday. Some rain is possible
over northern sections during the day Friday with seasonably cool
air moving in by later Friday and into the long term.

LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Wednesday

By late Friday, an upper trough axis will be pushing east of the
state and NW upper flow will have set in across much of the
Plains. The upper ridge that had expanded across the western
states will weaken as a SWT moves along the leeward side of the
ridge across the northern Plains Saturday, prolonging NW upper
flow. As the SWT continues SEward, the larger upper trough will
deepen across the Midwest and Ohio River Valley Regions Sunday. At
the same time, another upper ridge will build and expand across
the western states with continued surface high pressure across the
southern Plains.

From early to mid next week, the upper ridge will progress eastward,
followed by a large-scale upper trough extending from an upper low
over Canada southward through the Plains. This will be reflected at
the surface as a low pressure system in Canada, with a frontal
boundary extending southward. Our next chance for widespread
precipitation will be ahead of that boundary the middle of next
week.

Temperatures are forecast below average until next Tuesday, when
southerly flow on the west side of surface high pressure will return
warmer southerly air to near normal levels.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Aviation...51/57

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
236 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-111000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
236 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

As a cold front sweeps through the state tonight, showers and
storms will become widespread. Isolated strong to severe storms
will be possible over western and southwestern Arkansas, although
the threat for severe weather remains low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

Hazardous weather is not expected.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter Activation Will Not Be Needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

DTC/57/71

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