Alert archive / Indiana / River Flood Advisories in 2021

River Flood Advisory 39, NWS Chicago, IL

October 28, 2021Jasper County, Porter County, Indiana

NWS Chicago, IL issued this river flood advisory at Oct 28, 2021, 8:41 PM CDT for Jasper County, Porter County, Indiana. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 28, 2021, 8:41 PM CDT (01:41 UTC)
Expired
Nov 3, 2021, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Chicago, IL
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Jasper County, IN, Porter County, IN

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge (DBRI3). The gauge peaked at 9.95 ft at Oct 31, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor8101210/2910/3010/3111/0111/0211/0311/04
Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
12 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05517500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

905 
WGUS83 KLOT 290141
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
841 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

...The National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a Flood 
Advisory for the following rivers in Indiana...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

&&


INC073-127-291945-
/O.NEW.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.211029T0141Z-211103T1200Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
841 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a

* Flood Advisory for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* From this evening to Wednesday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.9 feet 
  Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

Ratzer
10 follow-up statements
789 
WGUS83 KLOT 291405
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
905 AM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...Illinois...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

  Kankakee River near Wilmington affecting Will, Kankakee and 
  Grundy Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

The next statement is expected by 1000 PM CDT this evening.

&&


INC073-127-300815-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211103T0000Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.9 feet 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

ILC063-091-197-300815-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-211101T0600Z/
/WLMI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
905 AM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from confluence with Iroquois River downstream to 
  confluence with the Illinois River, including the Wilmington gauge.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 5.3 feet 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in areas 
  immediately adjacent to the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4137 8829 4141 8824 4115 8784 4106 8784
      4122 8814

$$

Petr
782 
WGUS83 KLOT 300029 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
729 PM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Kankakee River near Wilmington affecting Will, Kankakee and 
  Grundy Counties.

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

For the Kankakee River...including Dunns Bridge, Shelby, Momence, 
Wilmington...elevated river levels are forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

The next statement is expected around 130 PM CDT Saturday afternoon.

&&


ILC063-091-197-301830-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-211101T1200Z/
/WLMI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
729 PM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from confluence with Iroquois River downstream to 
  confluence with the Illinois River, including the Wilmington gauge.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 6:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 5.8 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in areas 
  immediately adjacent to the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4137 8829 4141 8824 4115 8784 4106 8784
      4122 8814

$$

INC073-127-301830-
/O.CON.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211103T0000Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
729 PM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory remains in effect...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.8 feet 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

Ratzer
585 
WGUS83 KLOT 301522
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
1022 AM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory is extended for the following rivers in 
Indiana...Illinois...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

  Kankakee River near Wilmington affecting Will, Kankakee and 
  Grundy Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

&&


INC073-127-310930-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211103T0600Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until early Wednesday morning.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.8 feet by 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

ILC063-091-197-310930-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-211102T0000Z/
/WLMI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until Monday evening...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from confluence with Iroquois River downstream to 
  confluence with the Illinois River, including the Wilmington gauge.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 5.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below action stage of 5.0 
  feet Monday morning.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in areas 
  immediately adjacent to the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4137 8829 4141 8824 4115 8784 4106 8784
      4122 8814

$$

Petr
962 
WGUS83 KLOT 310154 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
854 PM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...Illinois...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

  Kankakee River near Wilmington affecting Will, Kankakee and 
  Grundy Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

&&


INC073-127-312000-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211103T0000Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
854 PM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.9 feet 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

ILC063-091-197-312000-
/O.CON.KLOT.FL.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-211102T0000Z/
/WLMI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
854 PM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory remains in effect...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from confluence with Iroquois River downstream to 
  confluence with the Illinois River, including the Wilmington gauge.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 5.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below action stage by 
  early Monday.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in areas 
  immediately adjacent to the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4137 8829 4141 8824 4115 8784 4106 8784
      4122 8814

$$

Ratzer
962 
WGUS83 KLOT 311506 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
1006 AM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...Illinois...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

  Kankakee River near Wilmington affecting Will, Kankakee and 
  Grundy Counties.

For the Kankakee River...including Dunns Bridge, Shelby, Momence, 
Wilmington...elevated river levels are forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

The next statement is expected around 400 AM CDT late tonight.

&&


INC073-127-010915-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211102T1800Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1006 AM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until early Tuesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to crest today before starting to 
  fall Monday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

ILC063-091-197-010915-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-211101T1800Z/
/WLMI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1006 AM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from confluence with Iroquois River downstream to 
  confluence with the Illinois River, including the Wilmington gauge.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue to fall.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in areas 
  immediately adjacent to the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4137 8829 4141 8824 4115 8784 4106 8784
      4122 8814

$$

BKL
067 
WGUS83 KLOT 010101 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
801 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

...The Flood Advisory is extended for the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Kankakee River near Wilmington affecting Will, Kankakee and 
  Grundy Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

&&


INC073-127-011915-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211103T0000Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
801 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain near the 10 foot flood 
  stage tonight and Monday, then fall below flood stage on Tuesday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

ILC063-091-197-011800-
/O.CON.KLOT.FL.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-211101T1800Z/
/WLMI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
801 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

...The Flood Advisory remains in effect...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from confluence with Iroquois River downstream to 
  confluence with the Illinois River, including the Wilmington gauge.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below action stage early 
  Monday.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in areas 
  immediately adjacent to the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4137 8829 4141 8824 4115 8784 4106 8784
      4122 8814

$$

Ratzer
998 
WGUS83 KLOT 011500 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
1000 AM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

  Iroquois River near Foresman affecting Newton County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

&&


INC073-127-020900-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211102T1800Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1000 AM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to gradually fall the rest of the 
  week.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

INC111-020900-
/O.EXT.KLOT.FL.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-211103T1200Z/
/FSMI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Iroquois River from Near I-65 east of Foresman downstream to near 
  US-41 north of Kentland, including the Foresman gauge.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to gradually fall the rest of the 
  week.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins to low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4086 8749 4094 8727 4085 8723 4077 8746

$$

LOT
577 
WGUS83 KLOT 020117 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
817 PM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

&&


INC073-127-021800-
/O.CON.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211102T1800Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
817 PM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...The Flood Advisory remains in effect...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below the 9.5 foot action 
  stage on Tuesday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

Ratzer
269 
WGUS83 KLOT 020139 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
839 PM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

&&


INC073-127-021800-
/O.CON.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211102T1800Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
839 PM CDT Mon Nov 1 2021

...The Flood Advisory remains in effect...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.7 feet Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Flooding begins of low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

Ratzer
242 
WGUS83 KLOT 021356 RRA
FLSLOT

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Chicago IL
856 AM CDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Kankakee River at Dunns Bridge affecting Jasper and Porter 
  Counties.

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Indiana...

  Iroquois River near Foresman affecting Newton County.

For the Kankakee River...including Dunns Bridge, Shelby, Momence, 
Wilmington...elevated river levels are forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These forecasts are based on observed precipitation as well as 
forecast precipitation 48 hours into the future. Changes to the 
rainfall forecast, or any additional rainfall after 48 hours, may 
cause changes to these river forecasts.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/Chicago and 
water.weather.gov

The next statement is expected later this evening.

&&


INC073-127-021500-
/O.CAN.KLOT.FL.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-211102T1356Z/
/DBRI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
856 AM CDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...The Flood Advisory for Kankakee River from US-421 south of La 
Crosse downstream to IN-49 south of Kouts, including the Dunns 
Bridge gauge has been cancelled...

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  Kankakee River from US-421 south of La Crosse downstream to IN-49 
  south of Kouts, including the Dunns Bridge gauge.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.4 feet Tuesday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4128 8728 4132 8713 4129 8689 4121 8687
      4118 8697 4117 8725

$$

INC111-030800-
/O.CON.KLOT.FL.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-211103T1800Z/
/FSMI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 AM CDT Tue Nov 2 2021

...The Flood Advisory remains in effect...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  Iroquois River from Near I-65 east of Foresman downstream to near 
  US-41 north of Kentland, including the Foresman gauge.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 12.0 feet Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins to low lying agricultural 
  areas near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4086 8749 4094 8727 4085 8723 4077 8746

$$

Doom

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Chicago, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Oct 28, 6:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 6:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
644 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

.SHORT TERM...
315 PM CDT

Through Friday night...

A 992 mb surface low centered over southern Missouri continues
its slow movement towards the east-northeast, with light to
moderate rain rotating around it, especially towards its northeast
where dynamic support is stronger (upper level jet support and
diffluence). Although surface winds are from the east, winds
become more southeasterly with height, and that is helping move
rain over the area. Rain amounts have mainly been light so far,
and upstream too, though a couple reports around one half inch in
eastern Illinois. Showers will continue late this afternoon into
this evening. There may be some diminishing and light fog in the
far south later tonight as the low shifts into the Lower Ohio
River Valley, but otherwise rain showers are likely to prevail.
This looks to be even a steady rain over parts of northeast
Illinois later tonight and continuing into Friday morning, where
lake enhancement will be a factor due to onshore flow and
relatively warm lake temperatures inducing lake-effect
instability. This could result in some widespread slower
conditions during the Friday morning commute due to the widespread
rain.

As the low moves closer, winds will pick up due to the tightening
surface gradient. Gusts up to 35 to 40 mph will be possible
starting mid morning and into Friday evening, especially near the
lake front. This strong northeasterly flow will create high waves
along the Lake Michigan shore of Illinois especially, with regular
wave heights on Friday as high as 10-11 ft tonight. This is less
than the waves with the storm earlier this week, however still may
end up resulting in spotty issues of minor flooding or spray from
the lake.

Rain continues throughout Friday and into Friday night but likely
focuses more in the eastern CWA. With still continued lake
enhancement, it is expected that far northeast Illinois, including
the Chicago metro, will see the most rain with this event. We
have inched up our forecast rainfall amounts with some locations
receiving over 1.25 inches looking more likely. Cannot rule out 2
or even a little over, considering the 12Z HREF probability
matched mean (PMM) guidance indicates that for an event total in
northeast Illinois. This is likely not to be enough for flooding,
but may present some ponding issues during the morning commute.

Cloud cover will keep temperatures fairly steady over the next 36
hours or so, with temperatures remaining in the low to mid 50s,
including lows Friday morning. Winds will become more northerly by
Saturday morning, so although we'll still have widespread cloud
cover, temperatures will be a bit cooler Saturday morning, with
lows in the upper 40s/near 50.

BKL/MTF

&&

.LONG TERM...
315 PM CDT

Saturday through Wednesday...

The key messages in the extended period include 1. pleasant
weekend weather in store for Halloween and 2. consensus that we
are entering a cooler than normal pattern bringing more widespread
sub-freezing temps to the area and possibly our first snowflakes
of the season.

The closed upper low responsible for our late week rain showers
will be well on its way east of the area by Saturday. North
northeast winds will persist on the back side of the low, however,
which could bring some lingering lake effect showers through the
morning hours across northeast Illinois near the lake then
trending east into northwest Indiana over the afternoon. A cold
front does push through the area sometime Sunday morning which
will bring some breezy northwest winds and limit warming only
into the mid-upper 50s in the afternoon. Dry conditions are still
on tap on Sunday which should make for a pleasant Halloween.
Temperatures do begin to cool down after sunset with mid-upper 40s
in the city and the lower 40s in the suburbs expected in the
evening for Trick-or-Treat time.

Beyond the weekend, cold air from Canada continues to dive
southward across the Upper Midwest. This will bring below normal
temperatures across the area for the remainder of the work week
with high temperatures only in the 40s. In turn, temperatures
overnight will begin to dip into the lower 30s with more
widespread sub-freezing temps becoming increasingly likely,
especially across more rural areas outside of the metro later in
the week. As to be expected when temperatures dip below freezing,
we could very well see our first snowflakes of the season. At
this time there remains some variability and thus uncertainty with
the timing and placement of various mid-level shortwaves rounding
the base of the upper trough, so for now will simply maintain
slight chances for light rain/snow off and on during the Monday
through Thursday period.

Petr

&&

.AVIATION...
For the 00Z TAFs...

Aviation Forecast Concerns:

* IFR ceilings through the period, with some potential for LIFR
  300-400 foot later tonight/early Friday morning. Visibility high
  end IFR to MVFR in showers/drizzle/fog much of the period as
  well.

* Northeast winds gradually back north-northeast and increase and
  become gusty near 30 kts Friday.

Surface low pressure was located near the confluence of the Ohio
and Mississippi rivers early this evening. This disturbance will
continue to track slowly to the east-northeast across the Ohio
Valley through Friday. Cyclonic (counter-clockwise) flow around
the northern periphery of the low will continue to pull moisture
across the forecast area through the period, resulting in fairly
persistent showers/drizzle (and resulting low clouds/vis) for the
terminals through much of the TAF period. Extensive MVFR ceilings
were already in place across northern IL/IN early this evening,
with pockets of IFR and visibility 3-4SM in spots in rain and
light fog. Expectation is for IFR ceilings to expand early this
evening, and gradually lower overnight. Some guidance continues to
indicate the potential for a period of patchy 300-400' LIFR
ceilings across the Chicago terminals after midnight.

IFR conditions, showers and light fog are expected to persist
through the day and into the evening Friday for the Chicago
terminals, while conditions likely improve a bit farther to the
west at KRFD by later afternoon. Otherwise, east-northeast winds
will back to northeast overnight and to north-northeast Friday as
the low passes to the south of the area. Tightening of the
pressure gradient and cooler air aloft supporting better low level
mixing over Lake Michigan will result in winds increasing near 20
kts with gusts near 30 kts especially later in the
afternoon/evening.

Ratzer

&&

.MARINE...
315 PM CDT

Another strong low pressure system will move eastward across the
middle of the country over the next 36 hours, though this one
further south than the earlier week one. The pressure gradient
and lower atmospheric winds will be less over the area with this.
With instability still over the lake, the potential for some 35 kt
gales on Friday is there, namely into the Illinois nearshore.
Confidence is high that if a gale ends up occurring, it would not
exceed a mid 30 kt gale.

MTF

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
IN...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory...IL nearshore waters until 7 PM Saturday.

     Small Craft Advisory...LMZ743-LMZ744-LMZ745...1 AM Friday to 7
     PM Saturday.

&&

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 28, 3:32 PM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
332 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-292045-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
332 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021 /432 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North Central
Illinois...Northeast Illinois and Northwest Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

  No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Friday...
  Limited Lakeshore Flood Risk.
  Limited Non Thunderstorm Wind Risk.
Sunday night through Wednesday...
  Elevated to Significant Freeze Risk.

DISCUSSION:

Northeast winds regularly gusting to 35 to near 40 mph along the
Lake Michigan shore of Illinois throughout Friday will build
waves to 8 to 11 ft. Spotty minor lakeshore flooding is possible
along the Illinois and far northwest Indiana shore.

Sunday night through Wednesday will feature periods of subfreezing
temperatures for outlying northern Illinois.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be necessary through tonight.

LMZ740>745-292045-
Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL-
Wilmette Harbor to Northerly Island IL-
Northerly Island to Calumet Harbor IL-
Calumet Harbor IL to Gary IN-Gary to Burns Harbor IN-
Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN-
332 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Illinois
nearshore waters of Lake Michigan and the Indiana nearshore
waters of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Hazardous conditions for small craft.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Friday and Saturday...
  Hazardous conditions for small craft are likely.

Petr/MTF

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Chicago, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 28, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLOTLake, Newton5 days
Oct 28, 9:08 PM CDTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryLOTLake34 hr

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Indiana, 2021Every river flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.