River Flood Warning 206, NWS New Orleans, LA

492 
WGUS84 KLIX 290101
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
801 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Tangipahoa River Near Kentwood affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Mississippi...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

  Tangipahoa River Near Robert affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

  Tangipahoa River At Osyka affecting Pike County.

  Tangipahoa River Near Amite affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Tangipahoa River...including Osyka, Kentwood, Amite, 
Robert...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-291915-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.210830T2130Z-210901T1334Z/
/NRBL1.1.ER.210830T2130Z.210831T1800Z.210901T0734Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* From Monday afternoon to Wednesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ida will cause the river 
  to rise above flood stage Monday afternoon to a crest of 18.0 feet 
  early Tuesday afternoon. This forecast may change based on the 
  track of Ida. Continue to monitor these forecasts for updates.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, At 18 feet recreational camps and a few 
  commercial buildings near the river will flood. At this level, 
  nearly four feet of water will cover low areas near the approach 
  to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

LAC105-291915-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0207.210830T2241Z-210901T2145Z/
/KENL1.1.ER.210830T2241Z.210831T0000Z.210901T1545Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tangipahoa River Near Kentwood.
* From Monday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 2.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ida will cause the river 
  to rise above flood stage early Tuesday morning to a crest of 14.5 
  feet early Tuesday afternoon. This forecast may change based on 
  the track of Ida. Continue to monitor these forecasts for updates.
* Impact...At 14.5 feet, There will be water on Louisiana Highway 
  1054. Secondary roads off Highway 1054 and Highway 51 may be 
  closed. Several homes east of Highway 51 will be threatened. 
  Pasture land, woodlands, and farms in low lying areas will be 
  flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3090 9044 3090 9050 3098 9047 3097 9042

$$

LAC105-291915-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0204.210830T1451Z-000000T0000Z/
/ROBL1.3.ER.210830T1451Z.210901T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tangipahoa River Near Robert.
* From Monday morning until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ida will cause the river 
  to rise above flood stage late Monday morning and continue rising 
  to a crest of 21.0 feet Wednesday morning. This forecast may 
  change based on the track of Ida. Continue to monitor these 
  forecasts for updates.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Water will be in homes along Highway 445 
  and Highway 443. Highway 445 will be under water and closed from 
  Highway 190 to Interstate 12. Louisiana Highway 22 will be under 
  water in many places. Access to Magnolia Island and Lee's Landing 
  will be cut off.


&&

LAT...LON 3036 9025 3030 9030 3069 9050 3069 9043

$$

MSC113-291915-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0205.210830T1800Z-210901T1845Z/
/OSYM6.1.ER.210830T1800Z.210831T1200Z.210901T1245Z.NR/
801 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tangipahoa River At Osyka.
* From Monday afternoon to early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. This approaches the flood of record.
* Forecast...Heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ida will cause the river 
  to rise above flood stage early Monday afternoon to a crest of 
  17.5 feet Tuesday morning. This forecast may change based on the 
  track of Ida. Continue to monitor these forecasts for updates.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Pastures and woodlands along with some crop 
  land near the river will be inundated.
* Impact...At 18.7 feet, Flood of Record occurred on April 28, 1997.


&&

LAT...LON 3097 9042 3098 9048 3103 9048 3103 9042

$$

LAC105-291915-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0208.210901T0600Z-210901T1200Z/
/AMIL1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
801 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tangipahoa River Near Amite.
* From late Tuesday night to Wednesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ida will cause the river 
  rise to a crest of 21.0 feet early Wednesday morning. This 
  forecast may change based on the track of Ida. Continue to monitor 
  these forecasts for updates.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Gravel pit operations will be suspended and 
  equipment threatened. Low-lying pastures and farmland near the 
  river east of Highway 51 will flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3063 9044 3056 9036 3053 9036 3064 9049
      3075 9050 3074 9046

$$

JFL

195 
WGUS44 KLIX 291344
FLWLIX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
844 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

.All river forecasts a based on current rainfall and take into 
account the next 48 hours of expected rainfall from Hurricane Ida.
These forecasts may change based on the actual about of
rain that falls. Please closely monitor the forecast for updates.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-300745-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.210830T1125Z-210901T1724Z/
/NRBL1.2.ER.210830T1125Z.210831T1200Z.210901T1124Z.NO/
844 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until early Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* From Monday morning to early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 21.0 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Low lying areas between the Natalbany and 
  Little Natalbany Rivers will flood at the 20 foot stage. 
  Recreational camps and a few commercial buildings near the river 
  will flood. At this level, nearly four feet of water will cover 
  low areas near the approach to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

KO

923 
WGUS84 KLIX 300201
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
901 PM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

.All river forecasts a based on current rainfall and take into 
account the next 48 hours of expected rainfall from Hurricane Ida.
These forecasts may change based on the actual about of
rain that falls. Please closely monitor the forecast for updates.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-302015-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.210830T1115Z-210901T1741Z/
/NRBL1.2.ER.210830T1115Z.210831T1200Z.210901T1141Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* From Monday morning to early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 21.0 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Low lying areas between the Natalbany and 
  Little Natalbany Rivers will flood at the 20 foot stage. 
  Recreational camps and a few commercial buildings near the river 
  will flood. At this level, nearly four feet of water will cover 
  low areas near the approach to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

JFL

064 
WGUS84 KLIX 300803
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
303 AM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-310215-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.210830T0803Z-000000T0000Z/
/NRBL1.2.ER.210830T0626Z.210831T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
303 AM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* From early this morning until further notice.
* At 2:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:00 AM CDT Monday was 16.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 22.0 feet this 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Highway 190 will be closed between Albany 
  and Baptist as the water level approaches the bridge deck. The 
  parking lot of the truck depot on the right bank near the Highway 
  190 bridge will begin to flood. Louisiana Highway 1040 will be 
  impassable west of Bankston Road. Bankston Road will be under 
  water.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

158 
WGUS84 KLIX 301726
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1226 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-311130-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.000000T0000Z-210831T2343Z/
/NRBL1.1.ER.210830T0626Z.210830T1800Z.210831T1742Z.NO/
1226 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* Until tomorrow evening.
* At 12:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 12:00 PM CDT Monday was 18.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.0 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, At 18 feet recreational camps and a few 
  commercial buildings near the river will flood. At this level, 
  nearly four feet of water will cover low areas near the approach 
  to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

13

623 
WGUS84 KLIX 311123
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
623 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-311915-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.000000T0000Z-210831T1903Z/
/NRBL1.1.ER.210830T0626Z.210831T0430Z.210831T1303Z.NO/
623 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 6:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 18.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  morning and continue falling to 4.2 feet Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, At 18 feet recreational camps and a few 
  commercial buildings near the river will flood. At this level, 
  nearly four feet of water will cover low areas near the approach 
  to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

136 
WGUS84 KLIX 311634
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1134 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-011045-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.000000T0000Z-210902T0252Z/
/NRBL1.1.ER.210830T0626Z.210831T0430Z.210901T2052Z.NO/
1134 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* Until late tomorrow evening.
* At 11:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 11:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 6.7 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, At 18 feet recreational camps and a few 
  commercial buildings near the river will flood. At this level, 
  nearly four feet of water will cover low areas near the approach 
  to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

983 
WGUS84 KLIX 010100
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
800 PM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-011900-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.000000T0000Z-210902T0028Z/
/NRBL1.1.ER.210830T0626Z.210831T0430Z.210901T1828Z.NO/
800 PM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* Until tomorrow evening.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:00 PM CDT Tuesday was 17.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 12.2 feet Sunday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, At 18 feet recreational camps and a few 
  commercial buildings near the river will flood. At this level, 
  nearly four feet of water will cover low areas near the approach 
  to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

13

812 
WGUS84 KLIX 011451
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
951 AM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

For the Natalbany River...including Baptist...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-020900-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.000000T0000Z-210902T0900Z/
/NRBL1.1.ER.210830T0626Z.210831T0430Z.210902T0300Z.NO/
951 AM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* Until late tonight.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM CDT Wednesday was 17.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 6.1 feet Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, At 18 feet recreational camps and a few 
  commercial buildings near the river will flood. At this level, 
  nearly four feet of water will cover low areas near the approach 
  to the Highway 1040 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

181 
WGUS84 KLIX 020117
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
817 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Natalbany River Near Baptist affecting Tangipahoa Parish.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


LAC105-020945-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0206.000000T0000Z-210902T0937Z/
/NRBL1.1.ER.210830T0626Z.210831T0430Z.210902T0337Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Natalbany River Near Baptist.
* Until late tonight.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:00 PM CDT Wednesday was 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 6.1 feet Monday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, The bridge on Highway 1040 will become 
  impassable with water over the roadway on the west end of the 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 9049 3039 9054 3064 9063 3064 9057

$$

13

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville Fl
710 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

.Aviation...12Z TAFs

Outside of shower and thunderstorm influences, VFR conditions will
continue through most of the period. A weak disturbance aloft will
usher waves of scattered to numerous showers and storms across
southern LA and coastal southwest Mississippi today. In and near
convection, brief MVFR or lower conditions can occur. This activity
is expected to develop after 16z then diminish around 01z this
evening. Easterly winds increasing 10-15 knots with gusts around 20
knots. By early Sunday morning, the outer bands of Hurricane Ida
will be nearing coastal TAF sites. After the TAF period, more solid
rains will be on the increase with tropical force wind gusts with
outer rain bands particularly for coastal TAFs after 9 am Sunday.

&&

.Short Term (Today through Monday)...
The main concern in the short term will continue to be Hurricane Ida
as it approaches SE Louisiana. Ida is continuing its northwest track
through the Gulf and is expected to reach the north central Gulf
coast by Sunday. This storm is forecast to be a MAJOR Hurricane as
it nears Louisiana and is expected to reach category 4 intensity
just before landfall Sunday afternoon/evening. Conditions will start
to deteriorate mainly along coastal areas this evening and will get
continue to get worse as the hurricane moves inland on Sunday.

Hurricane Ida is forecast to bring CATASTROPHIC storm surge to a
large portion of SELA and these extreme surge values will be found
in coastal Mississippi as well. Hurricane conditions will occur to
all of SE Louisiana and possibly even portions of southern MS.
Extremely life-threatening inundation of 10 to 15 ft will be
possible from Morgan City,LA to the Mouth of the Mississippi River.
7 to 11 ft will be possible from the Mouth of the Mississippi to
Ocean Springs, Ms. 4 to 7 ft will be possible from Ocean Springs, MS
to the AL border. Lake Pontchartrain may see inundation of 4 to 7ft
and Lake Maurepas may see 3 to 5 ft. The Storm Surge warning
continues to be in effect at this time.

Hurricane Ida will likely bring heavy rainfall to the entire area as
it makes landfall on Sunday. Flash Flooding will likely become a
problem in urban and flood prone areas across SE LA and Coastal MS.
Event total rainfall is expected to be 8 to 16 inches with an
isolated 20 inches possible. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from
Sunday morning through Tuesday morning for all of the area.

Hurricane force winds will be possible across all SE Louisiana
parishes starting Sunday. Catastrophic wind damage will be possible
where the core of Ida moves onshore. Tropical Force winds capable of
producing significant wind damage will be possible along the MS
coast including our MS counties of responsibility. Hurricane and
Tropical Storm warnings continue to be in effect for these areas.

This is a very dangerous situation that should be taken very
seriously, so listening to your local officials could be life
dependent! If you are in areas with evacuation orders; it is crucial
that you adhere to them and leave now. Any additional hurricane
preparations should be RUSHED and FINALIZED TODAY! /TDB/

&&

.Long Term (Monday night and beyond)...

Focus will primarily be on the short term portion of the forecast,
where the significant impacts are. Current Hurricane Ida should be
over central Mississippi Monday evening, moving northeast of the
area, and should be a tropical storm or depression at that point.
Impacts should be diminishing locally at that point. Northerly winds
behind the system would normally bring somewhat drier air into at
least the northern portions of the area, but forecast soundings keep
precipitable water values near or over 2 inches through at least
Wednesday, especially over southern portions of the area. May
eventually be able to dry out northern portions of the area by the
end of the week. Wet ground should keep temperatures near below
normal during the day, but with high humidity levels. 35

&&

.Marine...
The main concern for the marine forecast will continue to be
Hurricane Ida as it tracks northwest into the Gulf. Hurricane Ida
continue to intensify and is forecast to be a Category 4 Major
Hurricane at landfall. Can expect to start seeing marine impacts
from Ida as early as tonight. Seas are forecast to be greater than
20ft in the inner waters, and greater than 30ft in the outer waters.
Hurricane force winds up to 60kts are forecast to impact the coastal
LA waters starting Sunday morning. Tropical storm force winds up to
40kts are forecast to impact coastal MS waters east of the Mouth of
MS River early Sunday morning. These conditions will continue to
deteriorate throughout the day Sunday as Ida moves onshore.
Hurricane Warnings will continue for coastal LA from the Lower
Atchafalaya River to SW Pass of the MS River. East of the Mouth of
MS River, a Tropical Warning and Hurricane Watch will continue. /TDB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  90  74  85  72 /  80  80 100 100
BTR  91  74  87  73 /  90  90  90  90
ASD  88  76  85  76 /  90  90 100 100
MSY  87  79  86  78 /  90  90 100 100
GPT  88  77  85  77 /  80  70 100 100
PQL  88  75  85  75 /  80  70 100 100

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Hurricane Warning for LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056>061-063>072-
     075>078.

     Storm Surge Warning for LAZ046-049-050-056>061-063>070-072-075-
     076-078.

     Flash Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Tuesday morning
     for LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056>061-063>072-075>078.

GM...Hurricane Warning for GMZ530-534-538-550-552-555-570-572-575.

     Hurricane Watch for GMZ532-536-557-577.

     Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ532-536-557-577.

MS...Storm Surge Warning for MSZ080>082.

     Flash Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Tuesday morning
     for MSZ068>071-077-080>082.

     Hurricane Watch for MSZ068>071-077-080>082.

     Tropical Storm Warning for MSZ068>071-077-080>082.

GM...Hurricane Warning for GMZ534-538-550-552-555-570-572-575.

     Hurricane Watch for GMZ536-557-577.

     Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ536-557-577.

&&