Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Precipitation has been widespread through much of the day, but
rainfall rates and accumulations have been manageable in the one
to two inch range and no flooding has been reported anywhere
across the region. The frontal boundary responsible continues to
work its way toward the coast this afternoon with short range
guidance indicating a broad band of showers and thunderstorms
continuing along and south of the I-10 corridor over the next few
hours before becoming more isolated late this evening.

A severe thunderstorm watch, which was issued earlier this
afternoon, remains in effect until 8 pm for Jefferson and Orange
counties as well as Calcasieu and Cameron parishes where better
heating has resulted in more substantial instability. Large hail
is the most likely severe threat although some storms could
produce damaging winds.

The frontal boundary isn't expected to make it too far offshore
before stalling and it's proximity combined with another weak,
upper level disturbance traversing the area beginning early
tomorrow morning will serve as a focus for another round of
widespread showers. The Flash Flood Watch continues until noon
tomorrow as the loss of upper level support should allow
convection to wane during the afternoon.

A second, more progressive cold front is still progged to swing
through the region Saturday and although another round of
convection will accompany the front, it should also be deep enough
to push some of the low level moisture out into the gulf allowing
for drier conditions Sunday through early next week.

Jones

&&

.MARINE...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through early
evening becoming more isolated by late evening, but redeveloping
early Thursday morning. The cold front responsible for the
precipitation will advance through the coastal waters this
evening turning winds offshore as it does so. Precipitation will
remain widespread Friday as an upper level trof swings through the
area and again on Saturday as a second cold front pushes through
the region. Drier conditions will develop Sunday through early
next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  56  72  54  68 /  70  30  50  80
LCH  62  74  62  76 /  70  70  40  70
LFT  62  73  60  74 /  70  50  40  70
BPT  63  74  62  76 /  70  70  30  70

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for LAZ027>033-
     041>045-052>055-073-074.

TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

PUBLIC...66

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

TXZ180-201-259>262-152100-
Tyler-Hardin-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-
Southern Newton-
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will decrease
through the evening before increasing once again early Thursday
morning. Some of these storms will have the potential to produce
locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

An upper level trof will swing across the area providing another
round of widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday
morning before becoming more isolated during the afternoon. Some of
these storms will have the potential to produce locally heavy
rainfall and frequent lightning.

Another upper trof will traverse the region Friday resulting in
widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will continue into
Saturday as another cold front pushes through the region. Precip will
come to an end late Saturday with drier conditions expected Sunday
into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LAZ027>033-042>045-052>055-152100-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-Vermilion-Iberia-
St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south
central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana and west central Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will decrease
through the evening before increasing once again early Thursday
morning. Some of these storms will have the potential to produce
locally heavy rainfall which could lead to flash flooding.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
An upper level trof will swing across the area providing another
round of widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday
morning before becoming more isolated during the afternoon. Some of
these storms will have the potential to produce locally heavy
rainfall and frequent lightning.

Another upper trof will traverse the region Friday resulting in
widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will continue into
Saturday as another cold front pushes through the region. Precip will
come to an end late Saturday with drier conditions expected Sunday
into early next week.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LAZ041-073-074-152100-
Calcasieu-West Cameron-East Cameron-
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region
through the afternoon and early evening. Some of these storms will
have the potential to become strong to severe with damaging winds and
large hail being the primary threats. Precipitation will decrease
through the evening before increasing once again early Thursday
morning. Some of these storms will have the potential to produce
locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
An upper level trof will swing across the area providing another
round of widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday
morning before becoming more isolated during the afternoon. Some of
these storms will have the potential to produce locally heavy
rainfall and frequent lightning.

Another upper trof will traverse the region Friday resulting in
widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will continue into
Saturday as another cold front pushes through the region. Precip will
come to an end late Saturday with drier conditions expected Sunday
into early next week.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

TXZ215-216-152100-
Jefferson-Orange-
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region
through the afternoon and early evening. Some of these storms will
have the potential to become strong to severe with damaging winds and
large hail being the primary threats. Precipitation will decrease
through the evening before increasing once again early Thursday
morning. Some of these storms will have the potential to produce
locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
An upper level trof will swing across the area providing another
round of widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday
morning before becoming more isolated during the afternoon. Some of
these storms will have the potential to produce locally heavy
rainfall and frequent lightning.

Another upper trof will traverse the region Friday resulting in
widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will continue into
Saturday as another cold front pushes through the region. Precip will
come to an end late Saturday with drier conditions expected Sunday
into early next week.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ435-452-455-470-472-475-152100-
Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA
out 20 NM-Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico and the
coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region
through the afternoon and early evening. Precipitation will decrease
through the evening before increasing once again early Thursday
morning. Some of these storms will have the potential to produce
locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning.

Away from precipitation, patchy fog will be possible across the
near shore waters through this evening prior to the passage of a cold
front.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
An upper level trof will swing across the area providing another
round of widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday
morning before becoming more isolated during the afternoon. Some of
these storms will have the potential to produce heavy rainfall and
frequent lightning.

Another upper trof will traverse the region Friday resulting in
widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will continue into
Saturday as another cold front pushes through the region. Precip will
come to an end late Saturday with drier conditions expected Sunday
into early next week.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ430-432-450-152100-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
358 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 95 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico and the
coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region
through the afternoon and early evening. A few of these storms will
have the potential to be strong to severe with damaging winds and
large hail being the primary threats. Precipitation will decrease
through the evening before increasing once again early Thursday
morning. Some of these storms will have the potential to produce
locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning.

Away from precipitation, patchy fog will be possible across the
near shore waters through this evening prior to the passage of a cold
front.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
An upper level trof will swing across the area providing another
round of widespread showers and thunderstorms through Thursday
morning before becoming more isolated during the afternoon. Some of
these storms will have the potential to produce heavy rainfall and
frequent lightning.

Another upper trof will traverse the region Friday resulting in
widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will continue into
Saturday as another cold front pushes through the region. Precip will
come to an end late Saturday with drier conditions expected Sunday
into early next week.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
206 PM CDT WED APR 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 AM     HAIL             5 N KIRBYVILLE          30.73N 93.90W
04/14/2021  E1.50 INCH       JASPER             TX   PUBLIC

            PICTURES POSTED TO SOCIAL MEDIA OF PING PONG BALL SIZED
            HAIL JUST NORTH OF KIRBYVILLE.

&&

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
430 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

LAZ041-TXZ216-262-142215-
Calcasieu LA-Orange TX-Southern Newton TX-
430 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 430 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Orange, moving east at 25 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sulphur, Orange, West Orange, Vinton, Carlyss, Pinehurst, Buhler,
Forest Heights, Toomey and Edgerly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
southwestern Louisiana...and southeastern Texas.

LAT...LON 3008 9382 3014 9386 3020 9383 3029 9371
      3036 9335 3005 9336
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 273DEG 20KT 3014 9375

Warthen