Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
308 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

.Short Term.../through Tuesday/...

Stalled frontal boundary will persist across area this afternoon,
and will be a focus for diurnally driven convection. In addition the
sea breezes will also provide sources for convergence. Expect
greatest coverage of convective activity across NE FL due to
location of frontal boundary. Due to the expected slow movement
of convection, periods of heavy rainfall anticipated, especially
across NE FL.

The boundary will dissipate overnight, with convection diminishing
around midnight. Lower chances for convection expected for Monday,
with this activity largely driven by diurnal instability, and
east coast sea breeze interactions.

Another cold front will move into southeastern US Tuesday providing
a prevailing flow from the southwest. This will keep the east coast
sea breeze from pushing inland. Convection will be limited in
coverage again Tuesday, with mainly diurnally driven activity.

Overnight lows will be near normal this period. Highs will trend
below normal on Monday, then near normal on Tuesday.

&&

.Long Term.../Tuesday night through Sunday/...

Cold frontal boundary will sink south across forecast area Tuesday
night, becoming stalled near the GA/FL line Wednesday, where it will
linger through Wednesday night. The front will dissipate during the
day Thursday. Better moisture will be south of the boundary, so
best convective focus over NE FL through Thursday.

High pressure will be to the east, with troughing to the north late
in the week through the weekend, with isolated to scattered
convection expected.

&&

.Marine...

A frontal boundary will remain stalled over region this afternoon,
and dissipate overnight. Another cold front will move into
southeastern US Tuesday, then stall across area Tuesday night
through Wednesday night, before dissipating Thursday. The region
will be between high pressure to the east and a trough of low
pressure to the north late in the week through the weekend.

Rip Currents: SE GA: Low through Monday
              NE FL: Low through Monday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  70  89  72  94  71 /  20  20  10  30  10
SSI  73  81  75  90  76 /  40  30  20  30  10
JAX  71  85  72  92  72 /  50  40  20  40  20
SGJ  71  83  72  89  74 /  70  50  20  40  20
GNV  71  88  71  88  72 /  70  50  40  50  30
OCF  71  88  72  87  74 /  40  50  40  40  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
349 PM EDT SUN JUN 13 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0339 PM     HAIL             2 N BUNNELL             29.50N 81.26W
06/13/2021  E0.70 INCH       FLAGLER            FL   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAM RADIO OPERATOR PASSED ALONG A REPORT
            FROM A TRAINED SPOTTER OF DIME SIZED HAIL
            FALLING AT THE INTERSECTION OF ROYAL PALMS
            PKWY AND US-1.

&&

KB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
350 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

FLZ140-240-132030-
Central Marion FL-Eastern Marion FL-
350 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM EDT...

* At 350 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm over Ocklawaha, or near The
  Villages, moving east at 10 mph.

* Penny size hail, wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph, and minor flooding due
  to heavy rainfall is possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Weirsdale, Ocklawaha, Moss Bluff and Lake Weir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. If
you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck! Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2912 8197 2915 8164 2905 8164 2905 8166
      2896 8166 2896 8206
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 286DEG 9KT 2902 8195

HESS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
401 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

FLZ038-137-138-132030-
Coastal Flagler FL-Inland Flagler FL-Eastern Putnam FL-
401 PM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FLAGLER AND SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

* At 401 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Crescent City, moving east at
  15 mph.

* Small hail, wind gusts up to 50 mph, and minor flooding due to
  heavy rainfall is possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Palm Coast, Flagler Beach, Bunnell, Crescent City, Andalusia,
  Beverly Beach and Espanola.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. If
you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck! Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2946 8110 2946 8112 2943 8110 2942 8114
      2941 8115 2931 8115 2926 8118 2926 8141
      2940 8142 2940 8143 2938 8145 2935 8156
      2952 8155 2954 8111 2952 8110
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 286DEG 12KT 2942 8145

HESS

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