Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
122 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.AVIATION...
[Through 06Z Wednesday]

An area of rain with embedded thunderstorms will overspread the
region from the west southwest this morning. Restrictions in the
rain and stratus will be possible this morning and afternoon. The
rain coverage and potential for restrictions will decrease late in
the afternoon, with the rain ending in the evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [850 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Tonight through Tuesday]...High pressure to the north
will move off the east coast tonight while a weak mid-level
trough in the southern stream aloft brings the front located over
south Florida back north. The warm front will traverse the area
on Tuesday bringing showers and scattered thunderstorms from late
tonight through Tuesday. A few storms may become strong Tuesday
afternoon due to heating and strong wind shear present over the
area. Temperatures will warm back into the upper 70s and lower 80s
on Tuesday.

.SHORT TERM [Wednesday through Thursday Night]...
The area will be in the warm sector on Wednesday with an approaching
cold front and upper trough over the Ms River Valley. Showers and
thunderstorms are expected Wednesday afternoon and night as the
front moves across the area...exiting by early Thursday morning.
Highest pops will be over se Ga where the best lift and instability
is expected to be located. Temperatures will be in the upper 80s
on Wednesday ahead of the front. Temperatures on Thursday will be
mostly in the 60s.

.LONG TERM [Friday Through Monday]...Surface high building in from
the northwest on Friday will shift east and off the east coast
Sunday and Monday. Dry pattern with below normal temperatures will
occur Friday and Saturday with frost possible over se Ga Friday
night as lows drop into the mid 30s. Temperatures will rebound
Sunday and Monday as readings will be near average levels.

.MARINE...High pressure to the north will move off the east coast
tonight allowing a warm front to return north across the area on
Tuesday. This will bring an increase in showers and thunderstorms
late tonight and Tuesday. A cold front will move southeast across
the area Wednesday night. High pressure will build to the northwest
Thursday and off the southeast coast this weekend. Advisory
conditions are expected to develop offshore Thursday through
Friday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  77  64  86  50  62 /  50  10  30  30  10
SSI  70  64  80  54  65 /  60  10  30  30  10
JAX  75  65  86  56  67 /  50  10  30  20  10
SGJ  75  67  83  59  69 /  40  10  20  20  10
GNV  80  66  87  58  70 /  50  30  20  20  10
OCF  84  67  88  61  73 /  50  40  10  20  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
207 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

FLZ021-035-222-300645-
Southern Columbia FL-Suwannee FL-Gilchrist FL-
207 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL GILCHRIST...
SOUTHWESTERN COLUMBIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SUWANNEE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM
EDT...

* At 207 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 9 miles south of Obrien, or 11 miles
  northwest of Bell, moving northeast at 20 mph.

* Small hail possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Ichetucknee Spring, Fort White, Branford and Hildreth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3007 8280 2999 8273 2991 8270 2986 8288
      2989 8288 2988 8289 2990 8290 2989 8291
      2989 8292 2990 8291 2992 8293 2995 8292
      2996 8293 2996 8295 2999 8296
TIME...MOT...LOC 0607Z 244DEG 15KT 2990 8295

SHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
508 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

FLZ023-030>032-136-300945-
Eastern Alachua FL-Baker FL-Union FL-Bradford FL-Clay FL-
508 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BRADFORD...NORTH CENTRAL
ALACHUA...SOUTHEASTERN BAKER...CENTRAL UNION AND WEST CENTRAL CLAY
COUNTIES UNTIL 545 AM EDT...

* At 507 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Lake Butler, moving northeast
  at 25 mph.

* Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Starke, Lake Butler, Raiford, Worthington Spring, Worthington
  Springs, Groves, New River, Beasley, Camp Blanding and Kingsley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2983 8238 3001 8246 3020 8206 3000 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 0907Z 244DEG 22KT 2997 8234

SHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
Issued by National Weather Service Key West FL
528 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

FLZ023-024-030-031-033-132-136-222-232-236-325-425-301015-
Eastern Clay FL-Eastern Alachua FL-Southern Columbia FL-
Western Alachua FL-Baker FL-Western Clay FL-Union FL-
Western Duval FL-South Central Duval FL-Inland Nassau FL-Bradford FL-
Inland St. Johns FL-
528 AM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NASSAU...BRADFORD...
NORTHEASTERN ALACHUA...NORTHWESTERN ST. JOHNS...SOUTHERN BAKER...
UNION...NORTHERN CLAY...SOUTHEASTERN COLUMBIA AND SOUTHWESTERN DUVAL
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM EDT...

* At 526 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a large cluster of strong thunderstorm near Maxville, or
  8 miles northwest of Middleburg, moving east at 20 mph.

* Small hail possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Orange Park, Starke, Lake Butler, Raiford, Worthington Spring,
  Middleburg, Alachua, Macclenny, Glen St. Mary and Worthington
  Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3009 8164 2970 8240 3002 8269 3036 8209
      3036 8206 3037 8204 3039 8204 3049 8186
TIME...MOT...LOC 0926Z 255DEG 14KT 3016 8199

APA