Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 34, NWS Jacksonville, FL

July 6, 2021Columbia County, Hamilton County, Suwannee County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this river flood warning at Jul 6, 2021, 9:54 PM EDT for Columbia County, Hamilton County, Suwannee County, Florida. It took effect at Jul 8, 2021, 5:29 PM EDT. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2021, 9:54 PM EDT (01:54 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 8, 2021, 5:29 PM EDT
Expired
Jul 8, 2021, 10:05 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Columbia County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Suwannee County, FL

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Suwannee River at White Springs (in NAVD88) (WSPF1).

Action stage
69 ft
Minor stage
74 ft
Moderate stage
80 ft
Major stage
86 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02315500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

898 
WGUS42 KJAX 070154
FLWJAX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
954 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

...The National Weather Service in Jacksonville FL has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Florida...

  Suwannee River At White Springs affecting Hamilton, Columbia and 
  Suwannee Counties.

  Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs affecting Hamilton and 
  Suwannee Counties.

For the SUWANNEE - UPPER...including White Springs, Suwannee 
Springs...Minor flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday evening at 1000 PM EDT.

&&


FLC023-047-121-080200-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FL.W.0034.210708T2129Z-210710T1348Z/
/WSPF1.1.ER.210708T2129Z.210709T1200Z.210710T0748Z.NO/
954 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Suwannee River At White Springs.
* From Thursday afternoon to late Saturday morning.
* At 9:30 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 57.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 74.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Thursday afternoon to a crest of 77.0 feet Friday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 70.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the boat ramp at 
  US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 72.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  park at US 41 in Hamilton County. All public boat ramps between 
  White Springs and Suwannee Springs are subject to closure.
* Impact...At 74.0 feet, The parking lot to the Blue Sink launch 
  floods in Suwannee County. The area is not accessible above this 
  level. Flooding expands into the park at US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 75.0 feet, Access to White Springs Swim House is 
  impassible.
* Impact...At 77.0 feet, Homes on NW Null Road in Columbia County 
  become isolated at this level. Homes not elevated begin to flood 
  at this level.
* Impact...At 79.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  Stephen F Foster State Park. Low areas within the park begin to 
  flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 8288 3034 8275 3035 8269 3032 8268
      3031 8277 3036 8290

$$

FLC047-121-080200-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FL.W.0035.210709T1952Z-000000T0000Z/
/LIKF1.1.ER.210709T1952Z.210711T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs.
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9:15 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 44.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 60.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday 
  afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 64.5 feet early Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, Water comes over the bank at Suwannee 
  Springs Park and begins to flood low lying areas of the park in 
  Suwannee County. In Hamilton County, portions of SW 79th Terrace 
  begin to flood.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Suwannee County, the entrance to the 
  Suwannee Springs Park floods. Deese-Howard boat ramp is 
  inacessible.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, In Hamilton County, much of SW 79th Terrace 
  is flooded at this level. Access to homes in the area is 
  restricted.
* Impact...At 64.0 feet, Water begins to flood 91st Drive in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 65.0 feet, In Hamilton County, water begins to 
  surround residences near SW 72nd Lane and Holton Creek. Structures 
  not elevated are subject to flooding above this level.
* Impact...At 66.0 feet, In Suwannee County, water begins to 
  surround homes of 91st Drive.


&&

LAT...LON 3044 8315 3046 8305 3039 8288 3036 8290
      3042 8306 3041 8312

$$

WOLF
5 follow-up statements
784 
WGUS82 KJAX 071403
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1003 AM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Suwannee River At White Springs affecting Hamilton, Columbia and 
  Suwannee Counties.

For the SUWANNEE - UPPER...including White Springs, Suwannee 
Springs...Minor flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 1015 AM EDT.

&&


FLC023-047-121-081415-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0034.210708T1729Z-210711T0100Z/
/WSPF1.1.ER.210708T1729Z.210709T1200Z.210710T1900Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River At White Springs.
* From Thursday afternoon to late Saturday evening.
* At 9:30 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 58.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 74.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 77.4 feet Friday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 70.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the boat ramp at 
  US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 72.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  park at US 41 in Hamilton County. All public boat ramps between 
  White Springs and Suwannee Springs are subject to closure.
* Impact...At 74.0 feet, The parking lot to the Blue Sink launch 
  floods in Suwannee County. The area is not accessible above this 
  level. Flooding expands into the park at US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 75.0 feet, Access to White Springs Swim House is 
  impassible.
* Impact...At 77.0 feet, Homes on NW Null Road in Columbia County 
  become isolated at this level. Homes not elevated begin to flood 
  at this level.
* Impact...At 79.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  Stephen F Foster State Park. Low areas within the park begin to 
  flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 8288 3034 8275 3035 8269 3032 8268
      3031 8277 3036 8290

$$

CORLESS
030 
WGUS82 KJAX 071928 RRA
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
328 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs affecting Hamilton and 
  Suwannee Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Suwannee River At White Springs affecting Hamilton, Columbia and 
  Suwannee Counties.

For the SUWANNEE - UPPER...including White Springs, Suwannee 
Springs...Minor flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday afternoon at 330 PM EDT.

&&


FLC023-047-121-081930-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0034.210708T1623Z-210710T1621Z/
/WSPF1.1.ER.210708T1623Z.210709T0600Z.210710T1021Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River At White Springs.
* From Thursday afternoon to early Saturday afternoon.
* At 2:30 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 60.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 74.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 78.5 feet early Friday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 70.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the boat ramp at 
  US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 72.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  park at US 41 in Hamilton County. All public boat ramps between 
  White Springs and Suwannee Springs are subject to closure.
* Impact...At 74.0 feet, The parking lot to the Blue Sink launch 
  floods in Suwannee County. The area is not accessible above this 
  level. Flooding expands into the park at US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 75.0 feet, Access to White Springs Swim House is 
  impassible.
* Impact...At 77.0 feet, Homes on NW Null Road in Columbia County 
  become isolated at this level. Homes not elevated begin to flood 
  at this level.
* Impact...At 79.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  Stephen F Foster State Park. Low areas within the park begin to 
  flood at this level.
* Impact...At 80.0 feet, Water moves toward NW Stephen Foster Drive 
  and begins to flood travel lanes in the 500 block in Columbia 
  County.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 8288 3034 8275 3035 8269 3032 8268
      3031 8277 3036 8290

$$

FLC047-121-081930-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0035.210709T1245Z-000000T0000Z/
/LIKF1.1.ER.210709T1245Z.210711T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
328 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs.
* From Friday morning until further notice.
* At 2:15 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 46.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 60.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday 
  morning and continue rising to a crest of 64.6 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, Water comes over the bank at Suwannee 
  Springs Park and begins to flood low lying areas of the park in 
  Suwannee County. In Hamilton County, portions of SW 79th Terrace 
  begin to flood.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Suwannee County, the entrance to the 
  Suwannee Springs Park floods. Deese-Howard boat ramp is 
  inacessible.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, In Hamilton County, much of SW 79th Terrace 
  is flooded at this level. Access to homes in the area is 
  restricted.
* Impact...At 64.0 feet, Water begins to flood 91st Drive in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 65.0 feet, In Hamilton County, water begins to 
  surround residences near SW 72nd Lane and Holton Creek. Structures 
  not elevated are subject to flooding above this level.
* Impact...At 66.0 feet, In Suwannee County, water begins to 
  surround homes of 91st Drive.


&&

LAT...LON 3044 8315 3046 8305 3039 8288 3036 8290
      3042 8306 3041 8312

$$

WOLF
202 
WGUS82 KJAX 080058 RRA
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
858 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Suwannee River At White Springs affecting Hamilton, Columbia and 
  Suwannee Counties.

  Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs affecting Hamilton and 
  Suwannee Counties.

For the SUWANNEE - UPPER...including White Springs, Suwannee 
Springs...Minor flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday evening at 900 PM EDT.

&&


FLC023-047-121-090100-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0034.210708T1740Z-210710T1124Z/
/WSPF1.1.ER.210708T1740Z.210709T0600Z.210710T0524Z.NO/
858 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River At White Springs.
* From Thursday afternoon to Saturday morning.
* At 8:30 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 64.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 74.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 77.0 feet early Friday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 70.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the boat ramp at 
  US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 72.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  park at US 41 in Hamilton County. All public boat ramps between 
  White Springs and Suwannee Springs are subject to closure.
* Impact...At 74.0 feet, The parking lot to the Blue Sink launch 
  floods in Suwannee County. The area is not accessible above this 
  level. Flooding expands into the park at US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 75.0 feet, Access to White Springs Swim House is 
  impassible.
* Impact...At 77.0 feet, Homes on NW Null Road in Columbia County 
  become isolated at this level. Homes not elevated begin to flood 
  at this level.
* Impact...At 79.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  Stephen F Foster State Park. Low areas within the park begin to 
  flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 8288 3034 8275 3035 8269 3032 8268
      3031 8277 3036 8290

$$

FLC047-121-090100-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0035.210709T1048Z-210712T0900Z/
/LIKF1.1.ER.210709T1048Z.210711T0600Z.210712T0300Z.NO/
858 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs.
* From Friday morning to early Monday morning.
* At 8:15 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 48.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 60.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday 
  morning to a crest of 64.6 feet early Sunday morning. It will then 
  fall below flood stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, Water comes over the bank at Suwannee 
  Springs Park and begins to flood low lying areas of the park in 
  Suwannee County. In Hamilton County, portions of SW 79th Terrace 
  begin to flood.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Suwannee County, the entrance to the 
  Suwannee Springs Park floods. Deese-Howard boat ramp is 
  inacessible.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, In Hamilton County, much of SW 79th Terrace 
  is flooded at this level. Access to homes in the area is 
  restricted.
* Impact...At 64.0 feet, Water begins to flood 91st Drive in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 65.0 feet, In Hamilton County, water begins to 
  surround residences near SW 72nd Lane and Holton Creek. Structures 
  not elevated are subject to flooding above this level.
* Impact...At 66.0 feet, In Suwannee County, water begins to 
  surround homes of 91st Drive.


&&

LAT...LON 3044 8315 3046 8305 3039 8288 3036 8290
      3042 8306 3041 8312

$$

WOLF
496 
WGUS82 KJAX 081441
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1041 AM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Suwannee River At White Springs affecting Hamilton, Columbia and 
  Suwannee Counties.

  Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs affecting Hamilton and 
  Suwannee Counties.

For the SUWANNEE - UPPER...including White Springs, Suwannee 
Springs...Minor flooding is forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 1045 AM EDT.

&&


FLC023-047-121-091445-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0034.210709T0452Z-210710T1708Z/
/WSPF1.1.ER.210709T0452Z.210709T1800Z.210710T1108Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River At White Springs.
* From late tonight to early Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 68.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 74.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 75.6 feet early tomorrow 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 70.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the boat ramp at 
  US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 72.0 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank at the 
  park at US 41 in Hamilton County. All public boat ramps between 
  White Springs and Suwannee Springs are subject to closure.
* Impact...At 74.0 feet, The parking lot to the Blue Sink launch 
  floods in Suwannee County. The area is not accessible above this 
  level. Flooding expands into the park at US 41 in Hamilton County.
* Impact...At 75.0 feet, Access to White Springs Swim House is 
  impassible.
* Impact...At 77.0 feet, Homes on NW Null Road in Columbia County 
  become isolated at this level. Homes not elevated begin to flood 
  at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 8288 3034 8275 3035 8269 3032 8268
      3031 8277 3036 8290

$$

FLC047-121-091445-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0035.210709T1410Z-210712T1648Z/
/LIKF1.1.ER.210709T1410Z.210711T1200Z.210712T1048Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Suwannee River At Suwannee Springs.
* From Friday morning to early Monday afternoon.
* At 10:15 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 52.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 60.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 63.4 feet Sunday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, Water comes over the bank at Suwannee 
  Springs Park and begins to flood low lying areas of the park in 
  Suwannee County. In Hamilton County, portions of SW 79th Terrace 
  begin to flood.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Suwannee County, the entrance to the 
  Suwannee Springs Park floods. Deese-Howard boat ramp is 
  inacessible.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, In Hamilton County, much of SW 79th Terrace 
  is flooded at this level. Access to homes in the area is 
  restricted.
* Impact...At 64.0 feet, Water begins to flood 91st Drive in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 65.0 feet, In Hamilton County, water begins to 
  surround residences near SW 72nd Lane and Holton Creek. Structures 
  not elevated are subject to flooding above this level.


&&

LAT...LON 3044 8315 3046 8305 3039 8288 3036 8290
      3042 8306 3041 8312

$$

DD
802 
WGUS82 KJAX 090205
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1005 PM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Suwannee River At White Springs affecting Hamilton, Columbia and 
  Suwannee Counties.

FLC023-047-121-090315-
/O.CAN.KJAX.FL.W.0034.210709T0452Z-210709T0205Z/
/WSPF1.1.ER.210709T0452Z.210709T1800Z.210710T1108Z.NO/
1005 PM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Suwannee River At White Springs has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Suwannee River At White Springs.
* At 9:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 70.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 74.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 71.5 feet 
  tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 8288 3034 8275 3035 8269 3032 8268
      3031 8277 3036 8290

$$

ZIBURA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 6, 9:15 PM EDT, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 9:15 PM EDT, 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
915 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

.UPDATE...

Main updates for tonight was to adjust sfc winds, and POPs based
on latest trends in the mosaic radar imagery. Not much in the
terms of convection as most forcing has weakened at the moment and
thunderstorms have diminished inland areas as instabilty wanes
there. Nonetheless, instabilty is rather high per JAX sounding and
SPC mesoanalysis due to the dewpoints in the mid and upper 70s so
we can't rule out thunderstorms later tonight if some banding
convection develops after midnight. Overall, have adjusted POPs
down for rest of tonight. Otherwise, rest of the forecast on
track. Elsa still projected to begin to impact the area Wednesday
morning and have not made much change to the ongoing forecast
except for some slight tweaks to the hurricane threat graphics
associated with Elsa.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [745 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Tonight through Wednesday]...Strengthening Tropical
Storm Elsa will track up the west coast of Florida tonight and
then move inland along the north Florida Gulf coast early
Wednesday morning. Elsa will move across ne Fl and se Ga into
Wednesday evening. A surge in tropical moisture and increasing
shear/helicity will bring the threat of flooding rainfall and
isolated tornadoes late tonight through Wednesday. Rainfall
amounts are expected to be in the 3-5 inch range with isolated
amounts up to 8 inches possible.

.SHORT TERM [Wednesday night through Friday Night]...
T.S. Elsa will move into the Carolinas Wednesday night with rain
ending over se Ga/ne Fl overnight. A moist sw flow in wake of Elsa
will prevail over the area Thursday through Friday. Scattered to
numerous storms are expected each afternoon and evening. Temperatures
will be close to average.

.LONG TERM [Saturday Through Tuesday]...Subtropical high pressure
ridge from the western Atlantic across south Florida on Saturday will
build north over the area Sunday and Monday and then into the
Carolinas on Tuesday. This will result in a decrease in rain
chances with an increase in daytime temperatures early next week
to near climatological levels. Enough moisture will remain over
the area for at least scattered diurnal convection each afternoon
high temperatures in the lower 90s.

.AVIATION...
[Through 00Z Thursday]

Most of the isolated to scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms
have pushed further inland this evening and will be heading northwest.
Just isolated potential for showers rest of the evening and then
increasing chances of showers and embedded thunderstorms by sunrise
on Wednesday. For Wednesday, Tropical Cyclone Elsa will affect
KGNV first with stronger bands of showers and embedded thunderstorms
with sfc winds increasing to strong winds to tropical storm force
at least in gusts. Have showed MVFR and IFR conditions in some of
the TAFs at this time for showers and thunderstorms. Will continue
to monitor Elsa as it approaches, adjusting forecasted wind
speeds as it draws nearer.

.MARINE...Tropical Storm Elsa will track northward across the eastern
Gulf of Mexico tonight and make landfall on the Florida Gulf
coast early Wednesday morning. Elsa will track across northeast
Florida and southeast Georgia through Wednesday departing to the
north Wednesday night. Small Craft Advisory conditions will
progress south to north across across the FL waters after
midnight through sunrise Wed morning, with the best potential of
Tropical Storm force winds focused across the GA waters where a
Tropical Storm Watch is in effect. Winds and seas will decrease
in wake of Elsa with a southwest flow developing Thursday through
the weekend.

Rip Currents: Moderate rip current risk today with a high risk on
Wednesday as T.S. Elsa impacts the area.

.HYDROLOGY...River flooding will continue on the Santa Fe and St.
Marys Rivers the next several days. Heavy rainfall from Tropical
Storm Elsa will likely increase and extend river flooding.
Localized flooding will also develop especially in some flood
prone and urban areas through Wednesday evening. A flood watch is
in effect for all of ne Fl/se Ga.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  73  81  71  86  72 /  60 100  70  60  20
SSI  78  82  75  88  76 /  50 100  80  50  20
JAX  75  82  72  88  73 /  60 100  60  50  10
SGJ  77  84  74  88  74 /  70 100  50  50  10
GNV  74  80  72  87  73 /  80 100  50  50  10
OCF  74  80  72  88  73 / 100 100  50  50  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch through late Thursday night for Baker-Bradford-
     Central Marion-Coastal Duval-Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-
     Coastal St. Johns-Eastern Alachua-Eastern Clay-Eastern
     Marion-Eastern Putnam-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland Flagler-
     Inland Nassau-Inland St. Johns-Northern Columbia-South
     Central Duval-Southern Columbia-Suwannee-Trout River-Union-
     Western Alachua-Western Clay-Western Duval-Western Marion-
     Western Putnam.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Baker-Bradford-Central Marion-Eastern
     Alachua-Eastern Marion-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland Nassau-
     Northern Columbia-Southern Columbia-Suwannee-Union-Western
     Alachua-Western Marion.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM Wednesday to midnight EDT Wednesday
     night for Coastal Duval-Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-
     Coastal St. Johns-Eastern Clay-Eastern Putnam-Inland
     Flagler-Inland St. Johns-South Central Duval-Trout River-
     Western Clay-Western Duval-Western Putnam.

     Tropical Storm Watch for Western Clay-Western Duval.

GA...Flood Watch through late Thursday night for Appling-Atkinson-
     Bacon-Brantley-Clinch-Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-Coffee-
     Echols-Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Northeastern
     Charlton-Northern Ware-Pierce-Southern Ware-Wayne-Western
     Charlton.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Brantley-Clinch-Coastal Camden-
     Coastal Glynn-Echols-Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-
     Northeastern Charlton-Northern Ware-Pierce-Southern Ware-
     Wayne-Western Charlton.

AM...Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to
     Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA
     to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Wednesday to 3 AM EDT Thursday
     for Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler
     Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St.
     Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to
     Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 6, 5:18 PM EDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
518 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

GAZ132-133-062200-
Coffee GA-Jeff Davis GA-
518 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR COFFEE AND SOUTHWESTERN JEFF
DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

* At 518 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Pridgen, or near Broxton,
  moving north at 30 mph.

* Winds in excess of 45 mph possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Douglas, Broxton, Ambrose and Pridgen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3186 8276 3145 8274 3143 8314 3146 8315
      3147 8312 3151 8308 3156 8306 3161 8306
      3163 8301 3166 8301 3166 8300 3179 8299
      3178 8292 3179 8290 3178 8289 3178 8287
      3182 8284 3183 8279 3185 8279 3186 8277
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 165DEG 24KT 3164 8296

NGUYEN
Special weather statement, Jul 6, 5:43 PM EDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
543 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

GAZ133-135-136-062230-
Appling GA-Jeff Davis GA-Wayne GA-
543 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WAYNE...NORTHEASTERN
JEFF DAVIS AND APPLING COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

* At 543 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Baxley, moving north at 25 mph.

* Winds in excess of 45 mph possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Baxley, Hazlehurst, Graham, Surrency, Plant Hatch and Pine Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3196 8238 3194 8238 3193 8232 3195 8231
      3194 8228 3190 8219 3191 8213 3189 8212
      3190 8211 3186 8212 3182 8205 3168 8208
      3167 8235 3192 8266 3193 8259 3196 8256
      3195 8249 3197 8250 3197 8247
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 165DEG 23KT 3177 8227

NGUYEN
Special weather statement, Jul 6, 6:20 PM EDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
620 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

FLZ020-021-023-122-222-GAZ162-163-062300-
Southern Columbia FL-Baker FL-Hamilton FL-Suwannee FL-
Northern Columbia FL-Clinch GA-Echols GA-
620 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BAKER...NORTHERN
COLUMBIA...NORTHERN SUWANNEE...HAMILTON...ECHOLS AND SOUTH CENTRAL
CLINCH COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

* At 620 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 9 miles
  northeast of Suwannee Valley to near Suwannee Springs to Dowling
  Park. Movement was northwest at 30 mph.

* Winds in excess of 45 mph possible with these storms.

* Locations impacted include...
  Live Oak, Jasper, Jennings, White Springs, Fargo, Statenville,
  Suwannee River State Park, Suwannee Springs, Suwannee Valley and
  Belmont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3063 8314 3080 8313 3083 8260 3022 8237
      3029 8289 3011 8323 3017 8323 3018 8325
      3026 8325 3031 8321 3035 8321 3035 8319
      3038 8319 3039 8317 3041 8318 3042 8322
      3046 8322 3047 8324 3062 8327 3063 8331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 151DEG 26KT 3039 8259 3036 8291 3023 8323

NGUYEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 9:53 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Columbia13 days
Jul 6, 9:54 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXHamilton, Suwannee71 hr
Jul 6, 11:03 PM EDTRip Current StatementJAXDuval, Flagler, Nassau28 hr
Jul 7, 4:02 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Marion28 min
Jul 7, 4:29 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Marion31 min
Jul 7, 4:33 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXMarion27 min
Jul 7, 5:05 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua, Marion40 min
Jul 7, 5:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua, Gilchrist49 min
Jul 7, 6:02 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Union28 min
Jul 7, 6:33 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua, Suwannee, Union57 min
Jul 7, 6:40 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Columbia, Union35 min
Jul 7, 7:02 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXColumbia, Suwannee28 min
Jul 7, 7:23 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Hamilton, Union67 min
Jul 7, 8:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXBaker, Hamilton44 min
Jul 7, 8:39 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXBaker, Columbia11 min
Jul 7, 9:59 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXNassau46 min
Jul 7, 12:00 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Columbia, Gilchrist, Hamilton, Suwannee and 1 more3 hr
Jul 7, 1:38 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval and 4 more3 hr
Jul 7, 2:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXFlagler, Saint Johns60 min
Jul 7, 2:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXBaker, Clay, Duval, Nassau58 min
Jul 7, 2:49 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXHamilton, Suwannee116 min
Jul 7, 2:54 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford111 min
Jul 7, 3:24 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXColumbia, Gilchrist, Suwannee93 days
Jul 7, 3:31 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXBaker, Clay, Duval, Nassau2 hr
Jul 7, 3:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXClay, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns60 min
Jul 7, 4:32 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXDuval, Saint Johns28 min
Jul 7, 4:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXDuval, Nassau60 min
Jul 7, 4:54 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJAXDuval, Nassau36 min
Jul 7, 5:15 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXDuval, Nassau, Saint Johns2 hr
Jul 7, 6:42 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX93 min
Jul 7, 7:18 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXNassau117 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.