Alert archive / Mississippi / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, MS

September 1, 2021Carroll County, Holmes County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this special weather statement at Sep 1, 2021, 4:02 PM CDT for Carroll County, Holmes County, Mississippi. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2021, 4:02 PM CDT (21:02 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2021, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Hail
0.25 in
Wind
40

Counties Carroll County, MS, Holmes County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Sep 1, 2:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 1, 2:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
233 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Through Thursday: It's a hot and humid day as moisture pools
ahead of a cold front which is moving southward toward the area.
Heat indices have been meeting advisory criteria consistently
since midday at many locations mainly west of I-55. Meanwhile, a
convective cluster clipped the Golden Triangle earlier this
afternoon, resulting in tree damage in Lowndes County. Additional
scattered convective development is expected later this afternoon
into this evening, both ahead of the front across south AR and
north MS and along a seabreeze boundary pushing northward from
south MS and south LA. Given the strong instability that has
materialized across the area and modestly strong 0-3 km flow, a
few more strong storms cannot be ruled out with damaging wind
gusts being the main concern. Weak mid level lapse rates and
marginal deep layer shear should preclude a more noteworthy severe
threat.

With the presence of the front, convection may fester later into
the evening, though it should lose intensity as instability
greatly diminishes. By tomorrow morning, the front will extend
roughly from southeast AR through the Meridian area and continue
slowly southward through the day. Isolated to scattered convection
will remain possible Thursday in the area south of the front from
central LA across the US 98 corridor in south MS. It will remain
warm in that area as well, with enough moisture lingering for heat
indices to possibly tease 100F-105F in the MissLou area.
Confidence in this is not high enough to add mention to the HWO,
but once again we'll reassess later tonight with an eye toward
remaining power outages in areas most heavily impacted by Ida.
/DL/

Thursday night through Tuesday...
Cooler and drier air filters into the region behind the front,
resulting in more comfortable conditions across the region.
Overnight lows Thursday night/Friday morning will be the coolest
temperatures in the forecast with lows dropping to the low to mid
60s. Temperatures will only climb into the 80s in most locations
on Friday with the Delta most likely in the lower 90s. Surface
ridge axis slips through the region Friday night and winds come
around to more southerly. At first though, the southerly winds are
generally light and the dewpoints take a bit to respond. As a
result, Saturday is warm but still noticeably less humid.
Southerly flow picks up a bit through the weekend, and temps begin
to rebound in earnest by Sunday as the warmer mid level temps in
the southwest begin to advect into the region...and the dewpoints
climb back to the 70s as well. With the moisture return and the
heat back into the 90s, the pops return to the forecast as well to
wrap up the weekend...lingering into the start of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
VFR conditions prevail across the area this afternoon. Scattered
SHRA/TS will develop and move across the region ahead of a cold
front late this afternoon through this evening, with brief
categorical reductions possible in localized +RA. Early Thu
morning to around daybreak, brief patchy fog development is
possible again, mainly across south MS and central LA. Otherwise,
VFR conditions will continue. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       72  89  66  89 /  36   8   1   4
Meridian      69  87  64  87 /  37   3   1   2
Vicksburg     74  92  69  92 /  30  10   1   3
Hattiesburg   73  90  68  90 /  42  22   2   5
Natchez       72  91  70  91 /  27  31   3   5
Greenville    70  89  64  89 /  11   2   1   0
Greenwood     69  89  63  88 /   8   1   1   1

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-025-027-
     034>036-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>064-072.

LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

DL/HJS
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 1, 2:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 1, 1:47 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 1, 2:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
237 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

MSZ031-039-012000-
Lowndes MS-Noxubee MS-
237 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Noxubee and
southeastern Lowndes Counties through 300 PM CDT...

At 237 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Deerbrook, or 13 miles west of Pickensville, moving southeast at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Pickensville, Macon, Brooksville, Crawford, Prairie Point,
Deerbrook, Bigbee Valley, Mashulaville, Cooksville and Paulette.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 8834 3309 8882 3315 8881 3353 8837
      3343 8828
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 297DEG 32KT 3320 8849

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

JNE
Special weather statement, Sep 1, 2:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 1, 3:13 PM CDT, 49 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 1, 3:34 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 1, 4:02 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 4:08 AM CDTHeat AdvisoryJANAdams, Bolivar, Carroll, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin and 18 more15 hr
Sep 1, 1:03 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLowndes42 min
Sep 1, 1:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes38 min
Sep 1, 2:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNoxubee23 min
Sep 1, 2:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClay29 min
Sep 1, 3:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw32 min
Sep 1, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha50 min
Sep 1, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Winston45 min
Sep 1, 3:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCarroll41 min
Sep 1, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Noxubee40 min
Sep 1, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo40 min
Sep 1, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Kemper, Lauderdale, Leake, Neshoba, Newton and 1 more48 min
Sep 1, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper45 min
Sep 1, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Yazoo41 min
Sep 1, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Madison, Rankin, Scott, Yazoo68 min
Sep 1, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton56 min
Sep 1, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Leake, Neshoba, Newton34 min
Sep 1, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo60 min
Sep 1, 6:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke, Jasper, Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith55 min
Sep 1, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin, Simpson76 min
Sep 1, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton60 min
Sep 1, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Simpson, Smith53 min
Sep 1, 5:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAshley44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Mississippi, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.