Severe Thunderstorm Warning 267, NWS Jackson, MS

251 
WWUS54 KJAN 020022
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
722 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

MSC023-020031-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-210902T0030Z/
Clarke MS-
722 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3178 8974 3214 8973 3209 8942 3198 8920
      3191 8892 3183 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 352DEG 25KT 3190 8937 3193 8841 

$$

MSC061-127-129-020030-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-210902T0030Z/
Jasper MS-Simpson MS-Smith MS-
722 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN JASPER...EASTERN SIMPSON AND SMITH COUNTIES...

At 721 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line 
extending from near Raleigh to near Heidelburg, moving south at 30 
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Magee, Stringer, Bay Springs, Raleigh, Taylorsville, Heidelberg,
Stafford Springs, Moss, White Oak, Mize and Sylvarena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3178 8974 3214 8973 3209 8942 3198 8920
      3191 8892 3183 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 352DEG 25KT 3190 8937 3193 8841 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

DL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
233 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Through Thursday: It's a hot and humid day as moisture pools
ahead of a cold front which is moving southward toward the area.
Heat indices have been meeting advisory criteria consistently
since midday at many locations mainly west of I-55. Meanwhile, a
convective cluster clipped the Golden Triangle earlier this
afternoon, resulting in tree damage in Lowndes County. Additional
scattered convective development is expected later this afternoon
into this evening, both ahead of the front across south AR and
north MS and along a seabreeze boundary pushing northward from
south MS and south LA. Given the strong instability that has
materialized across the area and modestly strong 0-3 km flow, a
few more strong storms cannot be ruled out with damaging wind
gusts being the main concern. Weak mid level lapse rates and
marginal deep layer shear should preclude a more noteworthy severe
threat.

With the presence of the front, convection may fester later into
the evening, though it should lose intensity as instability
greatly diminishes. By tomorrow morning, the front will extend
roughly from southeast AR through the Meridian area and continue
slowly southward through the day. Isolated to scattered convection
will remain possible Thursday in the area south of the front from
central LA across the US 98 corridor in south MS. It will remain
warm in that area as well, with enough moisture lingering for heat
indices to possibly tease 100F-105F in the MissLou area.
Confidence in this is not high enough to add mention to the HWO,
but once again we'll reassess later tonight with an eye toward
remaining power outages in areas most heavily impacted by Ida.
/DL/

Thursday night through Tuesday...
Cooler and drier air filters into the region behind the front,
resulting in more comfortable conditions across the region.
Overnight lows Thursday night/Friday morning will be the coolest
temperatures in the forecast with lows dropping to the low to mid
60s. Temperatures will only climb into the 80s in most locations
on Friday with the Delta most likely in the lower 90s. Surface
ridge axis slips through the region Friday night and winds come
around to more southerly. At first though, the southerly winds are
generally light and the dewpoints take a bit to respond. As a
result, Saturday is warm but still noticeably less humid.
Southerly flow picks up a bit through the weekend, and temps begin
to rebound in earnest by Sunday as the warmer mid level temps in
the southwest begin to advect into the region...and the dewpoints
climb back to the 70s as well. With the moisture return and the
heat back into the 90s, the pops return to the forecast as well to
wrap up the weekend...lingering into the start of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
VFR conditions prevail across the area this afternoon. Scattered
SHRA/TS will develop and move across the region ahead of a cold
front late this afternoon through this evening, with brief
categorical reductions possible in localized +RA. Early Thu
morning to around daybreak, brief patchy fog development is
possible again, mainly across south MS and central LA. Otherwise,
VFR conditions will continue. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       72  89  66  89 /  36   8   1   4
Meridian      69  87  64  87 /  37   3   1   2
Vicksburg     74  92  69  92 /  30  10   1   3
Hattiesburg   73  90  68  90 /  42  22   2   5
Natchez       72  91  70  91 /  27  31   3   5
Greenville    70  89  64  89 /  11   2   1   0
Greenwood     69  89  63  88 /   8   1   1   1

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-025-027-
     034>036-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>064-072.

LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

DL/HJS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
443 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-025-MSZ034>058-064>066-022145-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Tensas-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
443 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

A few severe storms will move southward across the outlook area
for the remainder of the afternoon into the early evening.
Damaging wind gusts and hail to the size of quarters will be
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

LAZ023-024-026-MSZ018-019-025>033-059>063-072>074-022145-
Franklin LA-Catahoula-Concordia-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-
Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
443 PM CDT Wed Sep 1 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

20

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
616 PM CDT WED SEP 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0536 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BENTON                  32.82N 90.26W
09/01/2021                   YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWNED ON ACADEMY DR AND SEVERAL
            TREES DOWNED ON MS HWY 433 ABOUT ONE MILE
            SOUTH OF MS HWY 16.

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
620 PM CDT WED SEP 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CARTHAGE                32.74N 89.54W
09/01/2021                   LEAKE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN SCATTERED ACROSS LEAKE
            CO.

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
632 PM CDT WED SEP 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW PHILADELPHIA      32.77N 89.14W
09/01/2021                   NESHOBA            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWNED SCATTERED ACROSS
            NESHOBA CO.

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
633 PM CDT WED SEP 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KOSCIUSKO               33.06N 89.59W
09/01/2021                   ATTALA             MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A TOWER AT A RADIO STATION FELL ON THE
            BUILDING. NO INJURIES REPORTED.

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
634 PM CDT WED SEP 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CANTON                  32.61N 90.04W
09/01/2021                   MADISON            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWNED ACROSS MADISON CO.

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
635 PM CDT WED SEP 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW GLUCKSTADT        32.53N 90.11W
09/01/2021                   MADISON            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A LARGE TREE FELL ACROSS STRIBLING ROAD EXT.

&&

AJ