Areal Flood Advisory 49, NWS Northern Indiana

320 
WGUS83 KIWX 081351
FLSIWX

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
951 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

INC033-151-081401-
/O.EXP.KIWX.FA.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-211008T1400Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
De Kalb IN-Steuben IN-
951 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR WESTERN 
DE KALB AND SOUTHWESTERN STEUBEN COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4170 8520 4169 8507 4158 8504 4131 8508
      4129 8515 4135 8519 4168 8520 4169 8520

$$

Lewis

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
700 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 235 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Periodic rain showers will continue through tonight, with
isolated thunderstorms. Mostly dry conditions are expected
Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures will be above normal for
October, with highs gradually warming this weekend, reaching into
the lower 80s for Sunday. Rain will return Monday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 235 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

The upper low will continue to bring unsettled weather to the
region. It is currently centered over northern Illinois, with a
vort max rotating up from the southwest into northwest Indiana.
Ahead of this shortwave, convection is firing across northern
Indiana into northwest Ohio. There is just enough elevated
instability and shear to also sustain a few thunderstorms. These
showers and storms will continue to track northward this morning.
There may then be a break in activity late morning, but if skies
can partially clear allowing daytime heating to further
destabilize the lower atmosphere, scattered thunderstorms will
again be possible this afternoon, as depicted by the CAMs. The low
will then lift into Michigan and weaken tonight, and convection
will dissipate.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 235 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

There may be a few lingering showers on the backside of the low on
Saturday, especially across southeast Michigan and northwest Ohio,
but the area will otherwise be dry with upper ridging building in.
This ridge will move over the area Saturday night into Sunday, and
subsidence, combined with increasing southerly flow, will cause
temperatures to warm into the low 80s - which is more than 10
degrees above normal. It will remain warm on Monday, then cool
down some on Tuesday as another weather system brings more rain to
the area. Dry conditions should return Tuesday night into
Wednesday as transitory high pressure moves over the region. The
high will also bring another warm up, although temperatures should
stay in the 70s. Models depict a cold front on Thursday, but there
are timing and strength differences, as usual this far out, so
just kept a slight chance of rain in the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 655 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

A large upper low over northern IL near Chicago will drift north
today with showers and isolated thunder chances continuing east of
the low over northern Indiana. Shower and storm coverage has
increased overnight so will continue with the activity this
morning. The showers and storms will continue this afternoon.
Lower clouds have moved into FWA with the ceiling at 004.
Conditions will improve this afternoon, although showers will
continue.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Cobb
SHORT TERM...Cobb
LONG TERM...Cobb
AVIATION...Skipper

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
451 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-090900-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
451 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021 /351 AM CDT Fri Oct 8 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible, but severe weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-090900-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
451 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.