Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

April 28, 2021Cowley County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this special weather statement at Apr 28, 2021, 4:53 PM CDT for Cowley County, Kansas. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2021, 4:53 PM CDT (21:53 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2021, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
22 min
Issued by
NWS Wichita, KS

County Cowley County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 986 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 168 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
986 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
592 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 28, 3:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 28, 3:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
352 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 344 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

The main concern through is the threat for strong to marginally
severe storms through the remainder of the afternoon and evening
along and ahead of the sfc cold front steadily moving through the
area. As of 1945Z the cold front bisects the area in a line from
about Emporia KS to just west of Winfield KS.

Ample bulk shear running parallel to the cold front will continue
to support broken lines of convection as it continues to move
southeast this afternoon and evening. Overall, storms have been
under-performing model progged MLCAPE so far today, likely due to
extensive cloud cover/lack of destabilization across the area.
The strongest storms that can develop may be able to support some
dime to isolated quarter size hail as HiRes data continues to
paint a small region of 1000-1500 J/kg CAPE along/just ahead of
the front. In this same region, there is also a focused zone of
about 100-150 J/kg 0-3km MLCAPE with increased sfc vorticity and
LCLs in 500-700m AGL range. This combination has produced
(northern OK), and will continue to support, a brief funnel cloud
or two with updrafts along and just ahead of the front. The risk
of a landspout tornado is very low but non-zero.

A few additional showers and isolated storms will be possible along
the 850-700mb baroclinic zone behind the sfc front however moisture
becomes decreased in these areas thus expect a general taper-down in
activity toward the late evening hours with just a few lingering
elevated showers possible across far southeast KS around midnight.

As the main trough continues to push east of the area tomorrow upper
northwest flow will return to the region while sfc high pressure
builds into the area. Weak upper ridging is progged to remain
overhead through much of the weekend brining warm and dry conditions
back across the area with temps in the mid 70s to low 80s.
Meanwhile the 500mb low is progged to continue to meander across
the eastern dessert southwest/northern Mexico through Saturday
before it is forced northeast across Texas due to the next
shortwave diving south of the pacific northwest. There is some
consensus that the passing system brings some showers to the area
Sunday evening and night.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 344 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

As the pacific northwest trough continues its trek southeast, it
should be located near the central Rockies by late Monday and
ejecting out over the Central Plains by Tuesday. This will drive
a cold front/developing sfc low across the region brining
increased chances of showers and storms to the region. A big
western CONUS ridge will be building to end the period, returning
northwest flow to the region with dry condition and seasonable
high temps.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

A southward moving frontal boundary is currently located from KHUT
to near KEMP to KTOP. As the front moves south for the afternoon
hours expect a wind shift to the NW, with the frontal boundary
making it into SE KS by this evening.  Copious amounts of moisture
is located ahead of the front with MVFR cigs. Also seeing some
scattered showers and storms developing ahead of the front as well,
so plan on going with a VCTS for the KICT/KHUT and KCNU tafs as
afternoon heating leads to additional TSRA development ahead of the
front for the afternoon hours.

As the front moves south, post frontal MVFR to IFR cigs will be
common with some scattered showers around.  So will go with a VCSH
for this shower chance.

Ketcham

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 344 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

Increased RH and precipitation across the area will keep the fire
danger threat very low over the next few days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    53  74  46  76 /  60  10   0   0
Hutchinson      50  73  44  76 /  40  10   0   0
Newton          50  72  45  75 /  50  10   0   0
ElDorado        52  73  46  75 /  60  10   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   54  74  45  76 /  80  10  10   0
Russell         45  74  43  79 /  20   0   0   0
Great Bend      45  73  43  77 /  30   0   0   0
Salina          48  75  44  78 /  40   0   0   0
McPherson       49  73  44  75 /  50  10   0   0
Coffeyville     58  73  46  76 /  80  10  10   0
Chanute         57  73  46  75 /  80  10   0   0
Iola            56  73  46  74 /  80  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    58  74  47  75 /  80  10  10   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...KMB
LONG TERM...KMB
AVIATION...Ketcham
FIRE WEATHER...KMB
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 5:10 AM CDT, 11 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
510 AM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-291015-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
510 AM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected to develop later today along a cold
front moving across the area. A few strong to marginally severe
storms are possible this afternoon through midnight east of I-35.
The threats include dime to quarter sized hail and 50 to 60 mph
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms will be possible again Sunday night through Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 28, 11:46 AM CDT, 5 hours 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1146 AM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

KSZ052-053-281745-
Marion KS-Chase KS-
1146 AM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southern Marion County in central Kansas...
  Northern Chase County in east central Kansas...

* Until 1245 PM CDT.

* At 1144 AM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 6 miles north of Peabody...moving
  northeast at 40 mph.

hail up to the size of dimes will be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Hillsboro, Marion, Peabody, Florence, Elmdale, Hymer, Marion Lake,
  Tallgrass Prairie and Tallgrass Prairie Preserve.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 9635 3826 9684 3815 9712 3832 9725
      3852 9686
TIME...MOT...LOC 1646Z 239DEG 36KT 3827 9711

KETCHAM
Special weather statement, Apr 28, 2:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
225 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

KSZ094-095-098-099-282030-
Montgomery KS-Wilson KS-Chautauqua KS-Elk KS-
225 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northwestern Montgomery County in southeastern Kansas...
  Southwestern Wilson County in southeastern Kansas...
  Northeastern Chautauqua County in southeastern Kansas...
  Southeastern Elk County in southeastern Kansas...

* Until 330 PM CDT.

* At 223 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Longton, or 14 miles northeast
  of Sedan...moving northeast at 15 mph.

hail up to the size of dimes will be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Longton, Elk City, Hale and Buxton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The storms are not expected to become severe.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 9602 3730 9621 3757 9597 3739 9571
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 216DEG 15KT 3731 9606

KETCHAM
Special weather statement, Apr 28, 4:53 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
453 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

KSZ093-282215-
Cowley KS-
453 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southeastern Cowley County in south central Kansas...

* Until 515 PM CDT.

* At 449 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm over Hardy, or 15 miles east of
  Arkansas City...moving northeast at 40 mph.

hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Dexter and Maple City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Conditions are also favorable for the  development of funnel clouds
in and close to the highlighted area.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 9660 3729 9653 3700 9653 3700 9691
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 221DEG 34KT 3700 9677

MCGUIRE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 11:46 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTMarion59 min
Apr 28, 2:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTElk65 min
Apr 28, 5:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTCowley35 min
Apr 28, 5:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTElk23 min
Apr 28, 6:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTElk35 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.