Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021
River Flood Warning 23, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued this river flood warning at May 16, 2021, 11:39 AM CDT for Matagorda County, Wharton County, Texas. It took effect at May 17, 2021, 12:06 AM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 16, 2021, 11:39 AM CDT (16:39 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 17, 2021, 12:06 AM CDT
- Expired
- May 22, 2021, 6:44 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 days
- Issued by
- NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
Counties Matagorda County, TX, Wharton County, TX
The radar
The Houston radar (KHGX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tres Palacios River near Midfield (MTPT2). The gauge peaked at 29.23 ft at May 19, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 15 ft
- Minor stage
- 24 ft
- Moderate stage
- 26 ft
- Major stage
- 29 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08162600, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
613
WGUS44 KHGX 161639
FLWHGX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1139 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021
...The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston TX has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Moderate flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1145 PM CDT.
&&
TXC321-481-170445-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0023.210517T0506Z-210518T1716Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210517T0506Z.210517T1800Z.210518T0515Z.NO/
1139 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* From late tonight to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just
after midnight tonight to a crest of 26.2 feet early tomorrow
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with water
well into the flood plain on the right upstream bank and within
inches of spilling over the east approach to the bridge at FM
456. The river will be almost one quarter mile wide in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.2
feet on 04/19/2015.
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$13 follow-up statements
128
WGUS44 KHGX 170127
FLWHGX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
827 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021
...The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston TX has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas...
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity or
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
East Mustang Creek near Louise affecting Wharton and Jackson
Counties.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Major flooding is
forecast.
For the East Mustang Creek...including Louise...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville,
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 1030 AM CDT.
&&
TXC239-171530-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0026.210517T0532Z-210517T1913Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210517T0532Z.210517T0600Z.210517T0712Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* From late tonight to Monday afternoon.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just
after midnight tonight to a crest of 21.1 feet just after midnight
tonight. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins with flow
backing through preipheral channels adjacent to the river and
reaches into sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.1
feet on 03/30/2012.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed
Lavaca River
Edna 21.0 19.9 Sun 7 pm CDT 9.2 6.6 5.8
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC321-481-171530-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.210517T0127Z-210519T1510Z/
/MTPT2.3.ER.210516T2300Z.210517T1800Z.210519T0310Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity and
increased in duration until late Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* From this evening to Wednesday morning.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:30 PM CDT Sunday was 25.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.7 feet
early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as both
approaches to the FM 456 bridge are cut off and water is over the
road on FM 1468 near Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM
2853 southeast of Blessing with several homes in the El Dorado
Country subdivision upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks
downstream flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.7
feet on 05/16/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 25.4 Sun 7 pm CDT 29.6 24.9 18.1
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC239-481-171530-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-210517T2155Z/
/LMCT2.2.ER.210516T1552Z.210516T2100Z.210517T1555Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the East Mustang Creek near Louise.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:30 PM CDT Sunday was 23.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.4 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding with water to the
floor of the FM 647 bridge floor and the approaches to the bridge
are cut off.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.3
feet on 06/18/2015.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed
East Mustang Creek
Louise 19.0 22.1 Sun 7 pm CDT 15.1 7.0 5.8
&&
LAT...LON 2915 9632 2907 9635 2903 9642 2903 9652
2907 9645 2915 9642
$$335
WGUS84 KHGX 171425
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
925 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Moderate flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 930 PM CDT.
&&
TXC321-481-180230-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210519T0620Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210516T2300Z.210517T1800Z.210518T1820Z.NO/
925 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday
morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 AM CDT Monday was 27.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.8 feet
this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early tomorrow
afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Water is over the road on FM 1468 near
Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM 2853 southeast of
Blessing all in Matagorda County with homes in the subdivisions of
El Dorado Country upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks
downstream threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.9
feet on 05/08/1972.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 27.8 Mon 8 am CDT 25.9 18.2 11.9
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
cr793
WGUS84 KHGX 180222
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
922 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty
Counties.
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor,
Goodrich, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Moderate flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning by 930 AM CDT.
&&
TXC321-481-181600-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210519T0417Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210516T2300Z.210517T1330Z.210518T1617Z.NO/
922 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 26.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Monday was 27.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
tomorrow morning and continue falling to 6.4 feet Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with water
well into the flood plain on the right upstream bank and within
inches of spilling over the east approach to the bridge at FM
456. The river will be almost one quarter mile wide in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.7
feet on 06/17/2004.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 26.7 Mon 8 pm CDT 22.1 15.8 10.1
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC071-291-181600-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210521T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Monday was 12.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.5 feet
early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6
feet on 07/03/2019.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu
Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 12.8 Mon 8 pm CDT 13.3 13.4 13.4
&&
LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487
$$967
WGUS84 KHGX 180752
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
252 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.
Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty
Counties.
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor,
Goodrich, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 300 PM CDT.
&&
TXC321-481-182000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210519T0430Z/
/MTPT2.1.ER.210516T2300Z.210517T1330Z.210518T1630Z.NO/
252 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until this evening.
* At 2:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 2:30 AM CDT Tuesday was 27.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this morning and continue falling to 5.6 feet early Sunday
morning. However, additional rainfall over the next several days
could produce new rises or longer duration flooding.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with water
well into the flood plain on the right upstream bank and within
inches of spilling over the east approach to the bridge at FM
456. The river will be almost one quarter mile wide in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6
feet on 07/03/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 25.7 Tue 2 am CDT 18.6 11.8 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC291-182000-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210519T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
252 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 2:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 2:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 26.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.2 feet
just after midnight tonight and then slowly fall to around 26.2
feet around late Saturday evening. Any additional rainfall over
the next several days could produce new rises or longer duration
flooding.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as roads
into several outlying communities above Liberty are closed with
residents in 5 or 6 subdivisions cut off if not evacuated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.1
feet on 12/16/1998.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri
Trinity River
Liberty 26.0 26.3 Tue 2 am CDT 27.2 27.2 27.0
&&
LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489
$$
TXC071-291-182000-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210521T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
252 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 2:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 2:30 AM CDT Tuesday was 12.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.5 feet
early Friday morning and remain above 13 feet through late
Saturday evening. Any additional rainfall over the next several
days could produce new rises or longer duration flooding.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6
feet on 07/03/2019.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri
Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 12.9 Tue 2 am CDT 13.3 13.4 13.5
&&
LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487
$$957
WGUS44 KHGX 190358
FLWHGX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1058 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Major severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 1100 AM CDT.
&&
TXC321-481-191600-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.210520T0547Z-210524T0051Z/
/MTPT2.3.ER.210516T2300Z.210517T1330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Major severity and
increased in duration until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* From late Wednesday night to Sunday evening.
* At 10:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 18.5 feet tonight. It will rise
above flood stage no later than early Thursday morning and
continue to rise to 29.7 feet Friday morning
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as both
approaches to the FM 456 bridge are cut off and water is over the
road on FM 1468 near Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM
2853 southeast of Blessing with several homes in the El Dorado
Country subdivision upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks
downstream flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.7
feet on 05/16/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 17.6 Tue 10 pm CD 24.1 29.5 29.1
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$243
WGUS44 KHGX 191458
FLWHGX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk
and Trinity Counties.
East Mustang Creek near Louise affecting Wharton and Jackson
Counties.
...The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston TX has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas...
Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.
Navidad River at Sublime affecting Lavaca County.
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.
San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and
Brazoria Counties.
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor,
Goodrich, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Major flooding is
forecast.
For the East Mustang Creek...including Louise...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane
Park...Major flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville,
Edna...Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1000 PM CDT.
&&
TXC239-285-200300-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0040.210519T2136Z-210522T1838Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210519T2136Z.210521T1200Z.210522T0637Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Navidad River at Morales.
* From this afternoon to Saturday afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon to a crest of 31.5 feet Friday morning. It will
then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs as water
inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should
be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.6
feet on 05/29/2007.
&&
LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675
$$
TXC239-200300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0037.210519T1458Z-210523T0000Z/
/EDNT2.2.ER.210519T0931Z.210521T0000Z.210522T1200Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* From this morning to Saturday evening.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 22.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 22.6 feet this afternoon. It
will then fall to 22.4 feet and begin rising again this evening.
It will rise to 25.6 feet early Friday morning. It will then fall
below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding
secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are
isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6
feet on 09/10/2010.
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC239-200300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-210523T0725Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210519T0912Z.210521T1200Z.210522T1924Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 25.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 25.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 27.0 feet this evening. It will
then fall to 26.6 feet and begin rising again tomorrow morning. It
will rise to 28.4 feet early Friday afternoon. It will then fall
below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins with the
river close to one third of a miles wide in the vicinity of the
gage. County Road 401 is inundated and closed and the lowest homes
in the flood plain are threatened. Livestock can be cut off in low
lying parts of the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.2
feet on 11/07/2002.
&&
LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675
$$
TXC285-200300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-210521T0720Z/
/SBMT2.3.ER.210519T0728Z.210520T0000Z.210520T1920Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Sublime.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:00 AM CDT Wednesday was 25.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.8 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early tomorrow
afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as two
channels under the Highway 90A bridge merges becoming one channel
several hundered yards wide. The lowest homes in the floodplain
downstream near Vienna and in Jackson County are threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.6
feet on 04/15/1991.
&&
LAT...LON 2957 9678 2946 9676 2937 9669 2937 9681
2946 9686 2957 9688
$$
TXC373-407-455-471-200300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0031.210519T1458Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210524T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Riverside.
* From this morning until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 134.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 134.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 135.8 feet Monday
morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 136.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage. The lowest homes in the Green Rich Shores
Subdivision are flooded and Thomas Lake Road is inundated and
impassable. Low roads in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision are
inundated. The lowest roads into properties off FM 980 northwest
of Riverside are inundated and the lowest buildings are threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.7
feet on 06/29/2004.
&&
LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
3087 9562 3088 9584
$$
TXC239-481-200300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210521T0740Z/
/LMCT2.1.ER.210519T0442Z.210520T0000Z.210521T0140Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the East Mustang Creek near Louise.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 20.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 21.8 feet this evening. It will
then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening to 12.9 feet and
begin rising again Friday evening. It will rise to 13.0 feet early
Saturday morning. It will then fall again and remain below flood
stage.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding with water to the
floor of the FM 647 bridge floor and the approaches to the bridge
are cut off.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9
feet on 08/31/2001.
&&
LAT...LON 2915 9632 2907 9635 2903 9642 2903 9652
2907 9645 2915 9642
$$
TXC321-481-200300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.210519T1458Z-210523T1230Z/
/MTPT2.3.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T1200Z.210523T0030Z.NR/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* From this morning to Sunday morning.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
This approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 28.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.1 feet
tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday
evening.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Water will be into the house on the right
upstream side of the river. The bridge at FM 456 is cut off and
water is over the road on FM 1468 near Clemville, FM 2431 east of
Midfield, and FM 2853 southeast of Blessing with many homes in the
El Dorado Country subdivision upstream and Oak Grove and Tres
Palacios Oaks subdivisions flooded. The river will be almost one
half mile wide in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.1
feet on 09/11/1973.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 28.6 Wed 9 am CDT 31.1 29.5 26.3
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC039-200300-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210519T0439Z.210520T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:45 AM CDT Wednesday was 13.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 15.1 feet tomorrow morning. It
will then fall to 14.5 feet and begin rising again early Friday
afternoon. It will rise to 14.7 feet Saturday morning. It will
then fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water begins inundating the boat ramp off
of FM 521. Pan American Road and Riverglen Street become
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8
feet on 05/12/2019.
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
2902 9565 2913 9577
$$
TXC039-157-481-200300-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOLT2.3.ER.210518T1218Z.210524T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:46 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:46 AM CDT Wednesday was 25.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 35.6 feet early tomorrow
afternoon. It will then fall to 34.0 feet and begin rising again
Friday morning. It will rise to 35.0 feet early Saturday morning.
It will then fall to 34.9 feet and begin rising again early
Saturday afternoon. It will rise to 36.2 feet Sunday evening. It
will then fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 36.0
feet on 11/07/2002.
&&
LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
2930 9595 2940 9605
$$036
WGUS84 KHGX 191948
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
West Mustang Creek near Ganado affecting Wharton and Jackson
Counties.
East Mustang Creek near Louise affecting Wharton and Jackson
Counties.
Navidad River near Speaks affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.
Navidad River at Sublime affecting Lavaca County.
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk
and Trinity Counties.
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor,
Goodrich, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Major flooding is
forecast.
For the West Mustang Creek...including Ganado...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the East Mustang Creek...including Louise...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime...Major flooding is
forecast. Including Speaks, Morales, Strane Park...Moderate flooding
is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville,
Edna...Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight at 245 AM CDT.
&&
TXC239-200800-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210522T1818Z/
/EDNT2.2.ER.210519T0931Z.210521T0000Z.210522T0618Z.NO/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday
afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 2:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 2:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 23.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.1 feet
tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding
secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are
isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.2
feet on 11/02/1981.
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC239-285-200800-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-210521T2105Z/
/SPAT2.1.ER.210520T0400Z.210521T0000Z.210521T0905Z.NO/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River near Speaks.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this evening
to 26.1 feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
early Friday morning to 8.1 feet and begin rising again early
Sunday afternoon. It will rise to 8.2 feet Sunday evening. It will
then fall again and remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
approaches to the FM 530 bridge inundated and the gage cut off.
large areas of the floodplain are cut off potentially isolated and
drowning cattle.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.3
feet on 10/14/1997.
&&
LAT...LON 2937 9669 2932 9664 2920 9669 2920 9679
2932 9677 2937 9681
$$
TXC239-200800-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-210522T2254Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210519T0912Z.210521T1200Z.210522T1054Z.NO/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 2:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 2:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 25.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 28.4 feet early Friday
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday
morning to 10.7 feet and begin rising again early Sunday morning.
It will rise to 10.9 feet Sunday evening. It will then fall again
and remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins with the
river close to one third of a miles wide in the vicinity of the
gage. County Road 401 is inundated and closed and the lowest homes
in the flood plain are threatened. Livestock can be cut off in low
lying parts of the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.2
feet on 11/07/2002.
&&
LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675
$$
TXC285-200800-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-210521T0305Z/
/SBMT2.3.ER.210519T0728Z.210520T0000Z.210520T1505Z.NO/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Sublime.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 2:00 PM CDT Wednesday was 25.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.4 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as two
channels under the Highway 90A bridge merges becoming one channel
several hundered yards wide. The lowest homes in the floodplain
downstream near Vienna and in Jackson County are threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5
feet on 11/04/1965.
&&
LAT...LON 2957 9678 2946 9676 2937 9669 2937 9681
2946 9686 2957 9688
$$
TXC239-481-200800-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210520T1609Z/
/LMCT2.1.ER.210519T0442Z.210519T0945Z.210520T1009Z.NO/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the East Mustang Creek near Louise.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 20.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.5 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tonight.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor lowland begins as water spills into
the flood plain downstream of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.5
feet on 06/24/2004.
&&
LAT...LON 2915 9632 2907 9635 2903 9642 2903 9652
2907 9645 2915 9642
$$
TXC321-481-200800-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210522T2221Z/
/MTPT2.3.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T1800Z.210522T1021Z.NR/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 29.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
This approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.0 feet
early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Water will be into the house on the right
upstream side of the river. The bridge at FM 456 is cut off and
water is over the road on FM 1468 near Clemville, FM 2431 east of
Midfield, and FM 2853 southeast of Blessing with many homes in the
El Dorado Country subdivision upstream and Oak Grove and Tres
Palacios Oaks subdivisions flooded. The river will be almost one
half mile wide in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.1
feet on 09/11/1973.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 29.0 Wed 1 pm CDT 31.0 27.0 22.8
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC239-481-200800-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0038.210520T0600Z-210521T1520Z/
/GNDT2.1.ER.210520T0600Z.210520T1800Z.210521T0320Z.NO/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the West Mustang Creek near Ganado.
* From late tonight to Friday morning.
* At 1:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just
after midnight tonight to a crest of 20.6 feet early tomorrow
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as water
reaches the bottom concrete of the Highway 59 bridge. Secondary
roads near the river are inundated and closed and livestock in the
floodplain are threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.7
feet on 08/29/2017.
&&
LAT...LON 2918 9636 2907 9642 2903 9642 2903 9652
2907 9652 2918 9646
$$
TXC373-407-455-471-200800-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210524T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
248 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 134.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 134.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 135.6 feet early
Monday afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 136.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage. The lowest homes in the Green Rich Shores
Subdivision are flooded and Thomas Lake Road is inundated and
impassable. Low roads in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision are
inundated. The lowest roads into properties off FM 980 northwest
of Riverside are inundated and the lowest buildings are threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.6
feet on 02/14/2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
3087 9562 3088 9584
$$003
WGUS84 KHGX 200234
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River near Speaks affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.
Navidad River at Sublime affecting Lavaca County.
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...
Little Cypress Creek NEAR Becker Road affecting Harris County.
Sandy Creek near Cordele affecting Wharton, Jackson and Colorado
Counties.
West Mustang Creek near Ganado affecting Wharton and Jackson
Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
East Mustang Creek near Louise affecting Wharton and Jackson
Counties.
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk
and Trinity Counties.
Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.
Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty
Counties.
East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Liberty
and Montgomery Counties.
San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.
San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and
Brazoria Counties.
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich,
Romayor, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the East Fork San Jacinto River...including New Caney,
Cleveland...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Little Cypress Creek...including Cypress-Rosehill Road,
Kluge Road, Becker Road...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Major flooding is
forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane
Park...Major flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville,
Edna...Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued tomorrow morning by 1030 PM CDT.
&&
TXC201-200345-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-210520T0234Z/
/LCHT2.1.ER.210519T1210Z.210520T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning for the Little Cypress Creek NEAR Becker Road
has been cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Little Cypress Creek NEAR Becker Road.
* At 3:50 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 195.2 feet.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 3:50 PM CDT Wednesday was 195.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 195.6 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 3003 9581 3003 9579 3002 9579 3002 9581
$$
TXC089-239-481-200345-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210520T0234Z/
/CODT2.2.ER.210519T2231Z.210520T0600Z.210520T1531Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning for the Sandy Creek near Cordele has been
cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Sandy Creek near Cordele.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 17.2 feet tomorrow morning. It
will then fall to 11.1 feet and begin rising again early Sunday
morning. It will rise to 11.4 feet Sunday evening. It will then
fall again and remain below flood stage.
&&
LAT...LON 2925 9644 2916 9649 2906 9652 2906 9662
2916 9659 2925 9654
$$
TXC239-481-200345-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0038.210520T0600Z-210520T0234Z/
/GNDT2.1.ER.210520T0600Z.210520T1800Z.210521T0320Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning for the West Mustang Creek near Ganado has been
cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the West Mustang Creek near Ganado.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.7 feet
early tomorrow afternoon.
&&
LAT...LON 2918 9636 2907 9642 2903 9642 2903 9652
2907 9652 2918 9646
$$
TXC239-285-201445-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210522T1332Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210519T1752Z.210521T1200Z.210522T0132Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday was 29.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 31.4 feet Friday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage Friday evening to 12.4 feet and
begin rising again Saturday evening. It will rise to 16.7 feet
early Monday morning. It will then fall again and remain below
flood stage.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs as water
inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should
be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.6
feet on 05/29/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Navidad River
Morales 29.0 29.7 Wed 8 pm CDT 31.1 29.9 12.4
&&
LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675
$$
TXC239-201445-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210522T1634Z/
/EDNT2.2.ER.210519T0931Z.210521T0000Z.210522T0434Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 23.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 25.6 feet early Friday morning.
It will then fall below flood stage late Friday evening to 15.3
feet and begin rising again early Sunday morning. It will rise to
19.1 feet Monday morning. It will then fall again and remain below
flood stage.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding
secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are
isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6
feet on 09/10/2010.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Lavaca River
Edna 21.0 23.7 Wed 8 pm CDT 25.6 22.6 15.4
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC239-285-201445-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-210521T2130Z/
/SPAT2.1.ER.210520T0730Z.210521T0000Z.210521T0930Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River near Speaks.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after
midnight tonight to 26.1 feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall
below flood stage early Friday morning to 7.5 feet and begin
rising again early Saturday afternoon. It will rise to 12.5 feet
Sunday evening. It will then fall again and remain below flood
stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
approaches to the FM 530 bridge inundated and the gage cut off.
large areas of the floodplain are cut off potentially isolated and
drowning cattle.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.3
feet on 10/14/1997.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Navidad River
Speaks 24.0 23.0 Wed 8 pm CDT 26.1 11.3 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2937 9669 2932 9664 2920 9669 2920 9679
2932 9677 2937 9681
$$
TXC239-201445-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-210522T2324Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210519T0912Z.210521T1200Z.210522T1124Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 26.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 27.8 feet early Friday
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning to
11.3 feet and begin rising again early Sunday morning. It will
rise to 14.3 feet Monday morning. It will then fall again and
remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins
threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right
approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel
difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.8
feet on 04/20/2009.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Navidad River
Strane Park 24.0 26.1 Wed 8 pm CDT 27.5 27.6 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675
$$
TXC285-201445-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-210521T0620Z/
/SBMT2.3.ER.210519T0728Z.210520T0600Z.210520T1820Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Sublime.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.0 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as two
channels under the Highway 90A bridge merges becoming one channel
several hundered yards wide. The lowest homes in the floodplain
downstream near Vienna and in Jackson County are threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1
feet on 06/08/1997.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Navidad River
Sublime 24.0 28.4 Wed 8 pm CDT 18.9 9.0 10.8
&&
LAT...LON 2957 9678 2946 9676 2937 9669 2937 9681
2946 9686 2957 9688
$$
TXC239-481-200900-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210520T0900Z/
/LMCT2.1.ER.210519T0442Z.210519T0945Z.210520T0300Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
the East Mustang Creek near Louise.
* Until late tonight.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 20.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this evening and continue falling to 7.1 feet Monday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor lowland begins as water spills into
the flood plain downstream of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.2
feet on 01/27/2001.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
East Mustang Creek
Louise 19.0 19.3 Wed 8 pm CDT 15.1 10.6 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 2915 9632 2907 9635 2903 9642 2903 9652
2907 9645 2915 9642
$$
TXC321-481-201445-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210522T1500Z/
/MTPT2.3.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T1200Z.210522T0300Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 29.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.5 feet
tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage late Friday
evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as both
approaches to the FM 456 bridge are cut off and water is over the
road on FM 1468 near Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM
2853 southeast of Blessing with several homes in the El Dorado
Country subdivision upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks
downstream flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.5
feet on 07/27/2006.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 29.1 Wed 8 pm CDT 29.2 24.4 21.1
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC201-291-339-201445-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCET2.1.ER.210520T2100Z.210523T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 57.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 58.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 60.4 feet
early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with
secondary roads near the river inundated, including FM 1485 west
of the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 60.5
feet on 09/14/2008.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (10 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
East Fork San Jacinto
New Caney 58.0 57.1 Wed 8 pm CDT 58.2 59.3 60.2
&&
LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520
3014 9517
$$
TXC373-407-455-471-201445-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210525T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 134.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 134.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 135.1 feet Monday
evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues as
significant backwater up Thomas Lake floods the lowest areas in
the Green Rich Shore Subdivision in Walker County with the boat
ramp completely inundated. The lowest lying areas in the Deep
River Plantation Subdivision and FM 980 northwest of Riverside are
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.1
feet on 10/30/2009.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Trinity River
Riverside 133.5 134.3 Wed 8 pm CDT 134.6 134.7 134.9
&&
LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
3087 9562 3088 9584
$$
TXC039-201445-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210519T0439Z.210520T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:45 PM CDT Wednesday was 15.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.4 feet
tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water begins inundating the boat ramp off
of FM 521. Pan American Road and Riverglen Street become
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8
feet on 05/12/2019.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
San Bernard River
Sweeny 7.0 15.2 Wed 8 pm CDT 15.2 13.2 12.7
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
2902 9565 2913 9577
$$
TXC039-157-481-201445-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210518T1218Z.210523T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:46 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:46 PM CDT Wednesday was 27.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 28.4 feet tomorrow morning. It
will then fall to 25.2 feet and begin rising again Friday morning.
It will rise to 31.6 feet early Sunday afternoon. It will then
fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, There is widespread moderate lowland
flooding upstream from the gage with significant backwater
flooding up West Bernard Creek and Peach Creek in Wharton County
and low lying areas in the El Lobo subdivision are threatened.
Backwater flooding up Snake Creek in Fort Bend County threatens
low areas in the Tierra Grande subdivision.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.5
feet on 06/21/2015.
&&
LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
2930 9595 2940 9605
$$
TXC291-201445-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210523T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 27.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 28.0 feet early Sunday
morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as roads
into several outlying communities above Liberty are closed with
residents in 5 or 6 subdivisions cut off if not evacuated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.0
feet on 01/19/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Trinity River
Liberty 26.0 27.1 Wed 8 pm CDT 27.4 27.7 27.9
&&
LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489
$$
TXC071-291-201445-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210523T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 13.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.6 feet
tomorrow morning. It will then rise to 13.7 feet Saturday evening.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.8
feet on 11/18/1998.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat
Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 13.5 Wed 8 pm CDT 13.6 13.5 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487
$$779
WGUS84 KHGX 201649
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River near Speaks affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.
Navidad River at Sublime affecting Lavaca County.
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...
East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Liberty
and Montgomery Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk
and Trinity Counties.
Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.
Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty
Counties.
San Bernard River Near East Bernard affecting Wharton, Fort Bend,
Austin and Colorado Counties.
San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.
San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and
Brazoria Counties.
For the San Bernard River...including Sweeny, East Bernard, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 1245 PM CDT.
&&
TXC201-291-339-201800-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-210520T1649Z/
/NCET2.1.ER.210520T2100Z.210523T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning for the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney
has been cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 56.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 58.0 feet by early
Friday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
East Fork San Jacinto
New Caney 58.0 56.9 Thu 10 am CDT 59.5 60.7 60.9
&&
LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520
3014 9517
$$
TXC239-285-210500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRAT2.1.ER.210519T1752Z.210520T0545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:00 AM CDT Thursday was 29.9 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding occurs as water
inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should
be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.8
feet on 05/02/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Navidad River
Morales 29.0 29.7 Thu 11 am CDT 30.9 27.3 14.0
&&
LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675
$$
TXC239-210500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210519T0931Z.210520T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:15 AM CDT Thursday was 24.2 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins with the
river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding
secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are
isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.1
feet on 06/08/1979.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Lavaca River
Edna 21.0 24.2 Thu 11 am CDT 25.1 18.4 12.6
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC239-285-210500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPAT2.1.ER.210520T1035Z.210520T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River near Speaks.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:00 AM CDT Thursday was 24.9 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor lowland flooding begins with the
river one hundred yards wide in the vicinity of the gauge. The
approaches to the FM 530 bridge are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.0
feet on 10/05/2009.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Navidad River
Speaks 24.0 24.9 Thu 11 am CDT 21.1 11.6 8.8
&&
LAT...LON 2937 9669 2932 9664 2920 9669 2920 9679
2932 9677 2937 9681
$$
TXC239-210500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210519T0912Z.210520T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:15 AM CDT Thursday was 26.3 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins
threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right
approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel
difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.2
feet on 04/19/2015.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Navidad River
Strane Park 24.0 26.3 Thu 11 am CDT 27.3 25.9 11.6
&&
LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675
$$
TXC285-210500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBMT2.3.ER.210519T0728Z.210520T0615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Sublime.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:00 AM CDT Thursday was 29.2 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as two
channels under the Highway 90A bridge merges becoming one channel
several hundered yards wide. The lowest homes in the floodplain
downstream near Vienna and in Jackson County are threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.7
feet on 02/22/1969.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Navidad River
Sublime 24.0 27.0 Thu 11 am CDT 14.1 10.6 9.0
&&
LAT...LON 2957 9678 2946 9676 2937 9669 2937 9681
2946 9686 2957 9688
$$
TXC321-481-210500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:30 AM CDT Thursday was 29.1 feet.
* Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, water is over the road on FM 1468 near
Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM 2853 southeast of
Blessing all in Matagorda County with homes in the subdivisions of
El Dorado Country upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks
downstream threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.4
feet on 05/10/1997.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 28.4 Thu 10 am CDT 24.9 21.7 18.7
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC015-089-157-481-210500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.210520T0815Z.210521T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River Near East Bernard.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:00 AM CDT Thursday was 19.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning to
16.8 feet and then begin rising above flood stage late Sunday
evening to 17.4 feet early Tuesday morning. It will fall again but
remain above flood stage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.9
feet on 03/16/2007.
&&
LAT...LON 2970 9625 2970 9605 2940 9592 2940 9605
2952 9611
$$
TXC373-407-455-471-210500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210520T1530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 134.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:30 AM CDT Thursday was 134.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 135.9 feet by Saturday
evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues as
significant backwater up Thomas Lake floods the lowest areas in
the Green Rich Shore Subdivision in Walker County with the boat
ramp completely inundated. The lowest lying areas in the Deep
River Plantation Subdivision and FM 980 northwest of Riverside are
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 134.6
feet on 05/15/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Trinity River
Riverside 133.5 134.6 Thu 10 am CDT 134.8 134.9 134.9
&&
LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
3087 9562 3088 9584
$$
TXC039-210500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210519T0439Z.210520T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:45 AM CDT Thursday was 15.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 11.0 feet Tuesday
morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water begins inundating the boat ramp off
of FM 521. Pan American Road and Riverglen Street become
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8
feet on 05/12/2019.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
San Bernard River
Sweeny 7.0 15.9 Thu 10 am CDT 13.4 10.6 12.0
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
2902 9565 2913 9577
$$
TXC039-157-481-210500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210518T1218Z.210523T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:15 AM CDT Thursday was 27.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to 23.4 feet and begin rising again
early Saturday. It will rise to 31.3 feet early Sunday afternoon.
It will then fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, major lowland flooding occurs upstream from
gage with significant backwater flooding up Peach and West Bernard
Creeks in Wharton County and Snake Creek in Fort Bend County. Low
lying areas in the El Lobo subdivision in Wharton County and
Tierra Grande subdivision in Fort Bend County are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.3
feet on 04/14/1959.
&&
LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
2930 9595 2940 9605
$$
TXC291-210500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210520T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 27.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 11:15 AM CDT Thursday was 27.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.9 feet
just after midnight tonight and then slowly fall to around 26.2
feet by Friday afternoon. Any additional rainfall over the next
several days could produce new rises or longer duration flooding.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins as roads
into several outlying communities above Liberty are closed with
residents in 5 or 6 subdivisions cut off if not evacuated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.4
feet on 04/07/2012.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Trinity River
Liberty 26.0 27.4 Thu 11 am CDT 27.9 27.9 27.8
&&
LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489
$$
TXC071-291-210500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210520T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1149 AM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:30 AM CDT Thursday was 13.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.0 feet
late Saturday night. Any additional rainfall over the next several
days could produce new rises or longer duration flooding.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, minor lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6
feet on 07/03/2019.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 13.6 Thu 10 am CDT 13.6 13.8 14.0
&&
LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487
$$266
WGUS84 KHGX 210249
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
San Bernard River Near East Bernard affecting Wharton, Fort Bend,
Austin and Colorado Counties.
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River near Speaks affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk
and Trinity Counties.
Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.
Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty
Counties.
San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.
San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and
Brazoria Counties.
.Although no rain of significance fell across the region today more
rainfall is expected as a surge of deep tropical moisture associated
with a tropical disturbance spreads into the region late Friday.
Heavy rainfall may develop with the system and the track of the
system is still highly uncertain. Much of the region is going to
receive widespread rainfall which could slow down the fall on rivers
or could worsen flooding. Stay tuned for the latest forecasts. .
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich,
Romayor, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the San Bernard River...including East Bernard, Sweeny, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane
Park...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville,
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 930 AM CDT.
&&
TXC015-089-157-481-211500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-210526T0000Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.210520T0815Z.210521T0600Z.210525T1200Z.UU/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River Near East Bernard.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:00 PM CDT Thursday was 19.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river should fall below flood stage early Saturday
but may rise back above flood Sunday afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.9
feet on 03/16/2007.
&&
LAT...LON 2970 9625 2970 9605 2940 9592 2940 9605
2952 9611
$$
TXC239-285-211500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210523T0151Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210519T1752Z.210521T1800Z.210522T1351Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 29.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:00 PM CDT Thursday was 29.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise into Moderate flood around 30 feet
near midnight then fall out of moderate flooding Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs as water
inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should
be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.7
feet on 06/26/2004.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Navidad River
Morales 29.0 29.5 Thu 9 pm CDT 30.6 20.3 18.0
&&
LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675
$$
TXC239-211500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210523T0350Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210519T0931Z.210521T1200Z.210522T1550Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 PM CDT Thursday was 24.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river will hold steady or creep up slightly through
Friday afternoon then should begin a slow fall.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding
secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are
isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.6
feet on 04/13/1969.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Lavaca River
Edna 21.0 24.3 Thu 8 pm CDT 24.3 17.6 14.3
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC239-285-211500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-210522T0807Z/
/SPAT2.1.ER.210520T1035Z.210521T0600Z.210521T2007Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River near Speaks.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:00 PM CDT Thursday was 26.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is near crest and will hold near this level
through Friday afternoon then begin to fall.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
approaches to the FM 530 bridge inundated and the gage cut off.
large areas of the floodplain are cut off potentially isolated and
drowning cattle.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.3
feet on 10/14/1997.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Navidad River
Speaks 24.0 26.3 Thu 9 pm CDT 22.0 9.9 13.4
&&
LAT...LON 2937 9669 2932 9664 2920 9669 2920 9679
2932 9677 2937 9681
$$
TXC239-211500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-210523T1302Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210519T0912Z.210521T1800Z.210523T0102Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 9:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 PM CDT Thursday was 26.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 27.4 feet Friday night. The
river should hold near that level before beginning to fall
Saturday.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins
threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right
approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel
difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.3
feet on 07/03/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Navidad River
Strane Park 24.0 26.3 Thu 9 pm CDT 27.4 24.8 16.0
&&
LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675
$$
TXC321-481-211500-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210522T1545Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T0000Z.210522T0345Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Thursday was 29.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river should continue a slow steady fall and should
fall down into minor flooding levels by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Water is over the road on FM 1468 near
Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM 2853 southeast of
Blessing all in Matagorda County with homes in the subdivisions of
El Dorado Country upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks
downstream threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5
feet on 09/21/1983.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 27.5 Thu 8 pm CDT 24.5 21.4 19.0
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC373-407-455-471-211500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210522T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 134.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Thursday was 134.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 134.8 feet.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues as
significant backwater up Thomas Lake floods the lowest areas in
the Green Rich Shore Subdivision in Walker County with the boat
ramp completely inundated. The lowest lying areas in the Deep
River Plantation Subdivision and FM 980 northwest of Riverside are
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.0
feet on 05/11/1966.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Trinity River
Riverside 133.5 134.7 Thu 8 pm CDT 134.9 135.0 135.0
&&
LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
3087 9562 3088 9584
$$
TXC039-211500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210519T0439Z.210520T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:45 PM CDT Thursday was 15.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall overnight but remain in
moderate flood then rise again late Saturday.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water begins inundating the boat ramp off
of FM 521. Pan American Road and Riverglen Street become
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8
feet on 05/12/2019.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
San Bernard River
Sweeny 7.0 15.3 Thu 8 pm CDT 11.9 11.2 12.5
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
2902 9565 2913 9577
$$
TXC039-157-481-211500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210518T1218Z.210523T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:01 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:01 PM CDT Thursday was 27.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is falling but the fall should slow overnight
and start rising Friday by late morning. A higher crest of 30 to
31.3 feet early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs upstream from
gage with significant backwater flooding up Peach and West Bernard
Creeks in Wharton County and Snake Creek in Fort Bend County. Low
lying areas in the El Lobo subdivision in Wharton County and
Tierra Grande subdivision in Fort Bend County are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.3
feet on 04/14/1959.
&&
LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
2930 9595 2940 9605
$$
TXC291-211500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210524T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:15 PM CDT Thursday was 27.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.3 feet
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as homes in
several subdivisions above Liberty begin flooding. Extensive
flooding over much of Liberty County can be expected with each
incremental rise in the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.3
feet on 06/02/1965.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Trinity River
Liberty 26.0 27.6 Thu 8 pm CDT 27.9 28.0 28.2
&&
LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489
$$
TXC071-291-211500-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210523T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 PM CDT Thu May 20 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Thursday was 13.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise slowly through Monday to around 14
feet.
* Impact...At 15.2 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.0
feet on 02/13/2005.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 13.7 Thu 8 pm CDT 13.7 13.9 13.9
&&
LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487
$$
kp691
WGUS84 KHGX 211541
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.
East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Liberty
and Montgomery Counties.
San Bernard River Near East Bernard affecting Wharton, Fort Bend,
Austin and Colorado Counties.
Navidad River near Speaks affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.
Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk
and Trinity Counties.
Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.
Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty
Counties.
San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.
San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and
Brazoria Counties.
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich,
Romayor, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the East Fork San Jacinto River...including New Caney,
Cleveland...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the San Bernard River...including East Bernard, Sweeny, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane
Park...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville,
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 11:00 PM CDT.
&&
TXC201-291-339-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-210526T1930Z/
/NCET2.2.ER.210521T0147Z.210522T0300Z.210526T0730Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday
afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 61.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 58.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:00 AM CDT Friday was 61.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 62.5 feet
late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins with
secondary roads near the river inundated, including FM 1485 west
of the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 62.6
feet on 03/07/1992.
&&
LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520
3014 9517
$$
TXC199-291-373-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-210522T1048Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210520T1911Z.210521T0530Z.210522T0448Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until late tonight.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 21.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:15 AM CDT Friday was 22.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this evening and continue falling to 15.3 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor lowland flooding begins as water
escapes the main channel in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4
feet on 03/23/2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
3053 9486 3056 9475
$$
TXC015-089-157-481-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-210522T1600Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.210520T0815Z.210520T2200Z.210522T0400Z.UU/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River Near East Bernard.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:00 AM CDT Friday was 19.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this evening and continue falling to 12.1 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage with minor roads along the river inundated.
Backwater flooding up Britt Branch and Bratcher Slough begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.4
feet on 12/10/2018.
&&
LAT...LON 2970 9625 2970 9605 2940 9592 2940 9605
2952 9611
$$
TXC239-285-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210523T0224Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210519T1752Z.210522T0000Z.210522T1424Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 29.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:00 AM CDT Friday was 29.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 30.4 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding occurs as water
inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should
be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.7
feet on 06/26/2004.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Navidad River
Morales 29.0 29.9 Fri 10 am CDT 27.5 15.2 12.7
&&
LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675
$$
TXC239-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210523T0541Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210519T0931Z.210521T1500Z.210522T1741Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:15 AM CDT Friday was 24.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 6.9 feet Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins with the
river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding
secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are
isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4
feet on 05/20/1965.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Lavaca River
Edna 21.0 24.4 Fri 10 am CDT 20.9 14.4 14.9
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC239-285-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-210522T0738Z/
/SPAT2.1.ER.210520T1035Z.210521T0315Z.210521T1938Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until just after midnight
tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River near Speaks.
* Until late tonight.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:00 AM CDT Friday was 26.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this
afternoon and continue falling to 6.2 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor lowland flooding begins with the
river one hundred yards wide in the vicinity of the gauge. The
approaches to the FM 530 bridge are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.0
feet on 10/05/2009.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Navidad River
Speaks 24.0 25.0 Fri 10 am CDT 11.2 8.9 7.0
&&
LAT...LON 2937 9669 2932 9664 2920 9669 2920 9679
2932 9677 2937 9681
$$
TXC239-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-210523T0942Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210519T0912Z.210522T0000Z.210522T2142Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:15 AM CDT Friday was 26.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.4 feet
this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins
threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right
approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel
difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.2
feet on 04/19/2015.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Navidad River
Strane Park 24.0 26.2 Fri 10 am CDT 25.3 14.1 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675
$$
TXC321-481-220345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210522T2125Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T0000Z.210522T0925Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:30 AM CDT Friday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
tonight and continue falling to 12.5 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins with water
well into the flood plain on the right upstream bank and within
inches of spilling over the east approach to the bridge at FM
456. The river will be almost one quarter mile wide in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.2
feet on 04/19/2015.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 26.2 Fri 9 am CDT 22.9 20.1 16.9
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC373-407-455-471-220345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210522T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 134.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:30 AM CDT Friday was 134.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 134.9 feet
this evening.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet, minor lowland flooding continues as
significant backwater up Thomas Lake floods the lowest areas in
the Green Rich Shore Subdivision in Walker County with the boat
ramp completely inundated. The lowest lying areas in the Deep
River Plantation Subdivision and FM 980 northwest of Riverside are
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.0
feet on 06/19/2019.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Trinity River
Riverside 133.5 134.8 Fri 9 am CDT 134.9 134.9 134.9
&&
LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
3087 9562 3088 9584
$$
TXC039-220345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210519T0439Z.210520T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:45 AM CDT Friday was 15.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 8.3 feet Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, water is within 5 feet of the top of the
dock at the Phillips Terminal near Sweeny. Tugs can not push
barges upstream and are unable to dock and there is widespread
inundation of the floodplain.
* Flood History...No available flood history.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
San Bernard River
Sweeny 7.0 13.7 Fri 9 am CDT 11.2 11.9 12.1
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
2902 9565 2913 9577
$$
TXC039-157-481-220345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210518T1218Z.210523T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:01 AM CDT Friday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:01 AM CDT Friday was 26.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 28.8 feet early Sunday morning.
It will then fall to 28.3 feet and begin rising again early Sunday
afternoon. It will rise to 28.4 feet Sunday evening. It will then
fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, there is widespread moderate lowland
flooding upstream from the gage with significant backwater
flooding up West Bernard Creek and Peach Creek in Wharton County
and low lying areas in the El Lobo subdivision are threatened.
Backwater flooding up Snake Creek in Fort Bend County threatens
low areas in the Tierra Grande subdivision.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.8
feet on 06/29/2004.
&&
LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
2930 9595 2940 9605
$$
TXC291-220345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210523T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:15 AM CDT Friday was 27.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.0 feet
early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins as roads
into several outlying communities above Liberty are closed with
residents in 5 or 6 subdivisions cut off if not evacuated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.0
feet on 01/19/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Trinity River
Liberty 26.0 27.7 Fri 9 am CDT 27.9 28.0 27.9
&&
LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489
$$
TXC071-291-220345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210524T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:30 AM CDT Friday was 13.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.0 feet
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 15.2 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.0
feet on 02/13/2005.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 13.7 Fri 9 am CDT 13.9 13.9 14.0
&&
LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487
$$031
WGUS84 KHGX 220153
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
853 PM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Saturday morning at 900 AM CDT.
&&
TXC321-481-221400-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210522T1840Z/
/MTPT2.1.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T0000Z.210522T0640Z.NO/
853 PM CDT Fri May 21 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow
afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:30 PM CDT Friday was 27.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
after midnight tonight and continue falling to 9.8 feet Wednesday
evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins as water
spills into the flood plain on the right upstream bank and covers
the meander point at the meander curve.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5
feet on 01/27/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 24.5 Fri 8 pm CDT 21.4 17.8 14.1
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$858
WGUS84 KHGX 221144
FLSHGX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...
Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda
Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk
and Trinity Counties.
Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.
Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty
Counties.
East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Liberty
and Montgomery Counties.
San Bernard River Near East Bernard affecting Wharton, Fort Bend,
Austin and Colorado Counties.
San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.
San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and
Brazoria Counties.
Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.
Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.
Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.
For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich,
Romayor, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the East Fork San Jacinto River...including New Caney,
Cleveland...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the San Bernard River...including East Bernard, Sweeny, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane
Park...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville,
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further
updates.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this morning by 930 AM CDT.
&&
TXC321-481-221245-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210522T1144Z/
/MTPT2.1.ER.210516T2300Z.210520T0000Z.210522T0640Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning for the Tres Palacios River near Midfield has
been cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* At 5:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river has fallen below flood stage and is expected
to continue to fall through the next several days.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Tres Palacios River
Midfield 24.0 21.7 Sat 5 am CDT 19.6 15.9 13.0
&&
LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
2892 9622 2905 9620
$$
TXC199-291-373-222345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-210523T1200Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210520T1911Z.210521T0530Z.210523T0600Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 6:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:15 AM CDT Saturday was 21.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 20.9 feet this afternoon. It
will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning to 18.5 feet and
begin rising again early tomorrow afternoon. It will rise to 18.9
feet early Monday afternoon. It will then fall again and remain
below flood stage.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins as water
escapes the main channel in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.9
feet on 04/30/2009.
&&
LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
3053 9486 3056 9475
$$
TXC201-291-339-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCET2.2.ER.210521T0147Z.210522T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 62.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 58.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:00 AM CDT Saturday was 62.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 59.1 feet Wednesday
evening.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with
secondary roads near the river inundated, including FM 1485 west
of the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 62.6
feet on 03/07/1992.
&&
LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520
3014 9517
$$
TXC015-089-157-481-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-210523T0000Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.210520T0815Z.210520T2200Z.210522T1200Z.UU/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River Near East Bernard.
* Until this evening.
* At 5:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:00 AM CDT Saturday was 18.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this
morning and continue falling to 15.1 feet Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage with minor roads along the river inundated.
Backwater flooding up Britt Branch and Bratcher Slough begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.2
feet on 02/03/2005.
&&
LAT...LON 2970 9625 2970 9605 2940 9592 2940 9605
2952 9611
$$
TXC239-285-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210523T1412Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210519T1752Z.210522T1015Z.210523T0212Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 6:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:00 AM CDT Saturday was 31.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this evening and continue falling to 9.9 feet Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs as water
inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should
be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.2
feet on 07/03/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Navidad River
Morales 29.0 31.0 Sat 6 am CDT 22.4 11.7 11.3
&&
LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675
$$
TXC239-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210523T0531Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210519T0931Z.210521T2345Z.210522T1731Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until late tonight.
* At 6:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:15 AM CDT Saturday was 24.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this
afternoon and continue falling to 8.2 feet Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the
river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding
secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are
isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.3
feet on 12/08/1976.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Lavaca River
Edna 21.0 24.3 Sat 6 am CDT 14.7 12.6 10.2
&&
LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674
$$
TXC239-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-210524T0322Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210519T0912Z.210522T1115Z.210523T1522Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 6:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 26.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:15 AM CDT Saturday was 26.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.6 feet
this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins
threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right
approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel
difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.0
feet on 05/30/2007.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Navidad River
Strane Park 24.0 26.7 Sat 6 am CDT 25.8 10.4 9.2
&&
LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675
$$
TXC373-407-455-471-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210522T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 5:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 135.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:30 AM CDT Saturday was 135.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 135.0 feet
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues as
significant backwater up Thomas Lake floods the lowest areas in
the Green Rich Shore Subdivision in Walker County with the boat
ramp completely inundated. The lowest lying areas in the Deep
River Plantation Subdivision and FM 980 northwest of Riverside are
threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.0
feet on 02/09/2005.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Trinity River
Riverside 133.5 135.0 Sat 5 am CDT 134.9 135.0 135.0
&&
LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
3087 9562 3088 9584
$$
TXC039-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-210526T1400Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210519T0439Z.210520T1515Z.210526T0800Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 5:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:45 AM CDT Saturday was 14.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.1 feet
this morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Lazy G RV Park becomes threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.7
feet on 12/09/2018.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
San Bernard River
Sweeny 7.0 10.1 Sat 5 am CDT 11.1 11.1 8.9
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
2902 9565 2913 9577
$$
TXC039-157-481-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210526T1424Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210518T1218Z.210520T0401Z.210526T0224Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 6:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:15 AM CDT Saturday was 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.7 feet
tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage late Tuesday
evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, There is widespread moderate lowland
flooding upstream from the gage with significant backwater
flooding up West Bernard Creek and Peach Creek in Wharton County
and low lying areas in the El Lobo subdivision are threatened.
Backwater flooding up Snake Creek in Fort Bend County threatens
low areas in the Tierra Grande subdivision.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.3
feet on 07/06/2007.
&&
LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
2930 9595 2940 9605
$$
TXC291-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210524T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:15 AM CDT Saturday was 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.4 feet
early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as homes in
several subdivisions above Liberty begin flooding. Extensive
flooding over much of Liberty County can be expected with each
incremental rise in the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.4
feet on 02/11/1992.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Trinity River
Liberty 26.0 28.0 Sat 6 am CDT 28.2 28.3 28.4
&&
LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489
$$
TXC071-291-222345-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210523T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
644 AM CDT Sat May 22 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 5:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:30 AM CDT Saturday was 13.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 13.9 feet.
* Impact...At 15.2 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.0
feet on 02/13/2005.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 13.9 Sat 5 am CDT 14.0 14.0 14.0
&&
LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 16, 4:28 AM CDT, 7 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 16, 4:28 AM CDT, 7 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
428 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and even some lightning strikes are springing up around
Matagorda Bay very early this morning as we begin a transition to
a rainy period ahead this week. Confidence is still pretty high in
seeing an environment conducive to continued shower and
thunderstorm chances for the entire week, with most of the
specific details to be determined by subtle disturbances crossing
the region.
The main exception to this will be centered around Wednesday, as
a closed upper low to our west finally makes its way across the
region. This will be supportive of a heavier and more widespread
swath of rain. This is perhaps the most likely window for any
flooding issues - flash or river - to crop up, but with a juicy,
unstable atmosphere in place, we'll have to take each day with an
eye for at least localized heavy rain.
.SHORT TERM [Through Monday Night]...
The forecasted multi-day wet weather pattern across SE Texas will
finally arrive today as an environmental setup favorable for higher
rain chances evolves. To begin, an upper level short wave
propagating eastward is progged to move overhead today. Southerly
flow transporting warm moist air from the Gulf will rise PWATs to
near 2.0 inches starting along the western counties early this
morning, spreading east over most of the CWA by mid morning.
Forecast soundings still show a pocket of drier air along the 850-
700MB levels along with some residual capping, though weak, early
this morning. However, this residual cap erodes rather quickly this
morning and SB/MU CAPE values rise to around 1500-2000 J/kg. The
airmass also saturates past the 500MB level and maintains this
saturated moisture profile through the evening. All of this is
sufficient to support the development of shower and thunderstorms
today over SE Texas. Moreover, given the amount of moisture
available well into the 500 MB level, locally heavy rainfall falling
over the same spots for long periods of time could lead to minor
flooding issues today. SE Texas is under a Marginal Risk for most of
the CWA today with a Slight Risk for the coastal locations. SPC has
also the majority of SE Texas under a Marginal Risk for Severe
Thunderstorms today.
In general, look for showers and thunderstorms to begin mainly along
the western portions in the morning, gradually shifting east into
the central portions late morning/early afternoon and finally
reaching the eastern portions later in the afternoon and evening
(following the moisture trend). Interestingly enough, stronger storms
are favorable over Central Texas today. HiRes models bring these
storms (possible MCS) in a slightly weaker state into our NW
counties this afternoon and makes its way east into the NE counties
through the evening. We will have to see how these storms initiate
and whether or not they will hold up by the time they reach SE Texas
to know the associated hazards. But...we can at least expect some
heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds out of it.
Activity will ebb a bit during the night hours as the shortwave
moves east of SE Texas. However, another stormy day is expected
Monday as another short wave moving east northeast along the base of
an upper level low located over the Four Corners, interacts with our
slightly more unstable air mass.
High temperatures will generally be in the low to mid 80s today and
in the mid 80s Monday. Some areas affected by showers and
thunderstorms may have brief moments of cooler temperatures,
however. Lows will continue on the rise, ranging in the upper 60s
to low 70s tonight and in the low to mid 70s Monday night.
.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Sunday]...
Tuesday morning. 500 millibars. Our "friend", the closed upper
low, will be slowly making its way east, and will have almost
arrived at the OK/TX Panhandles Tuesday morning. This is probably
a little too far off to really strongly influence our direct area,
and the main action is more likely to be to the northwest over
North Texas. But...we just need to be patient for our turn. For
Tuesday, we'll see an environment with strong consensus for
precipitable water in the ballpark of 1.75 inches, with deep
onshore flow that tends to enhance lift from daytime heating as
less dense, humid Gulf continues to stream into the area. Long
story short, expect showers and storms, but probably more of an
amped-up version of our typical daily wet season pattern.
It's a little tricky to tell how Tuesday night into Wednesday
will evolve this far out - all the deterministic global runs try
to have fun with mesoscale wackiness. And while I don't deny that
the globals are advancing to the point that they can TRY to do
these things, and they're something interesting to look at and
consider...I'm not at all surprised that they all look pretty
much nothing like each other at 66 hours, as each gets its own
special flavor of wackiness. So...let's look at the environment.
Precipitable water shows a strong consensus for 1.75 inches at a
minimum, and more likely up closer to 2 inches. The NAEFs ensemble
is showing both the inflow low level jet and precipitable water
near 90th percentile values...so while not necessarily extreme,
both look pretty juiced up.
Similarly, the Euro ensemble shows an Extreme Forecast Index over
Southeast Texas of 0.7 to 0.9 with a shift of tails around 1.
Both of these indicate that, at least relative to the Euro's model
climate, the Euro ensemble is indicating QPF that is anomalous to
its own predictions, and could suggest the potential for
unusually heavy rain.
Finally, the NBM continues to show signals for some decent rain in
our area for Wednesday. One inch exceedance probabilities show
this to be a likely outcome for much of Southeast Texas, and a
signal at the six inch exceedance threshold is now up to 5
percent. As I discussed the other day, a one-in-twenty shot is
not terribly large on an absolute scale. But 5 percent is five
times larger than the 1 percent probability I was discussing on
that day, which is already considerably larger than your typical
day, which is functionally zero.
So, I may not be guaranteeing you that we'll see places get six
inches of rain on Wednesday, but I am definitely saying it is
considerably more probable than usual. And would I be surprised to
see someone rack up some big totals on Wednesday? Absolutely not
one bit. Taking a look from another angle, the 90th percentile 6
hour QPF exceeds 1 inch for at least a portion of our CWA every
time step from Tuesday evening until Thursday afternoon. Most of
that period is in a globals-only timeframe, where I'm mostly
looking at QPF to highlight impact areas rather than specific
totals. And for a 24 hour total, Wednesday's 90th percentile
paints a 4-5 inch bullseye west/southwest of the Houston metro.
Hopefully this has all convinced you that it's looking more likely
that some folks, somewhere between Tuesday night and Thursday
morning, is likely to get a lot of rain. My main hope is that this
rain mainly falls over the dwindling area in the most recent
drought monitor's "abnormally dry" area and at a rate that will
not cause problems. Indeed, the Euro Ensemble and NBM currently
kind of suggest just such a thing. That would be nice. But...it
would be prudent to continue to monitor forecasts for the latest
info this week.
And of course, it's not over after this. Even though the main
upper low gets drawn up into the northern stream and well away
from us, some remnant vorticity is a common feature in the model
guidance for the rest of the week. Indeed, there are even some
indications that we get a very weak cutoff upper low over South
Texas just to make sure rain chances drag into the end of the
week. Eventually, a building eastern US ridge will build in and
turn the tap off...but I don't have a six hour PoP block without
something mentionable (slight chance or higher) until a week from
now, next Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION [09Z TAF Update]...
Mostly VFR conditions expected today. S winds at 10-15 KTS with
higher gusts expected at times. A stormy weather pattern will begin
today as a weak shortwave moves overhead and could bring a few
rounds of SHRA/TSRA over SE Texas today. Expect heavy rainfall,
gusty VRB winds, lightning and possible minor turbulence with these
storms. Cigs/Vis could also be reduced to MVFR-IFR. Activity will
lessen during the next hours but conditions could still be favorable
for some isolated activity to occur. Another stormy day expected
Monday with the passing of another shortwave.
&&
.MARINE...
Cautions will remain across the Gulf waters today along with a High
Risk of Rip Currents for the Gulf facing beaches. Exercise caution
if heading to the coast this weekend and remember to only enter the
water near a trained lifeguard. Additionally, with a prolonged
period of onshore winds, tidal levels that are already drifting
above typical astronomical tides are expected to continue growing
in distance from those predicted levels. Though not currently at
levels high enough to cause concern, this could become as issue
later in the week.
With surface pressures deepening to our west, the resultant
tightening of the gradient over SE TX will result in a further
increase in both winds and seas through the remainder of the weekend
and into next week. This may require the issuance of Advisories
early next week. Stormy weather will arrive today and is expected
persist well into the end of the work week.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
The Trinity at Riverside has slipped beneath flood stage and the
flood warning has been canceled, leaving only Moss Bluff as the
only warning currently in effect. This may be only a brief respite
given the rainy pattern expected, but every little extra fall
below flood stage helps get us prepared for the next round.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 79 70 86 72 85 / 70 40 60 20 80
Houston (IAH) 81 71 84 74 85 / 70 60 70 20 60
Galveston (GLS) 82 74 83 76 85 / 60 60 50 20 40
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for the following
zones: Bolivar Peninsula...Brazoria Islands...Galveston
Island...Matagorda Islands.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION through Tuesday evening for
the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to
Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from
High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Galveston
Bay...Matagorda Bay...Waters from Freeport to Matagorda
Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island
to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.
&&
DISCUSSION...Luchs
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM...Luchs
AVIATION...24
MARINE...24
HYDROLOGY...LuchsIn the hours before
Special weather statement, May 16, 6:30 AM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 630 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021 TXZ236-336-161215- Coastal Matagorda TX-Inland Matagorda TX- 630 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021 ...Strong Storm with heavy rain and possible small hail in South Central Matagorda County... At 628 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11 miles east of South Texas Nuclear Plant, moving northwest at 10 mph. Pea size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Bay City and Van Vleck. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 2880 9578 2876 9585 2893 9604 2902 9589 TIME...MOT...LOC 1128Z 151DEG 7KT 2883 9586
Special weather statement, May 16, 7:41 AM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 741 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021 TXZ226-235-236-335-336-161330- Coastal Matagorda TX-Inland Matagorda TX-Wharton TX- Coastal Jackson TX-Inland Jackson TX- 741 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... At 740 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 8 miles northeast of La Ward to near South Texas Nuclear Plant. Movement was north at around 15 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph and funnel clouds will be possible with these storms. Locations impacted include... Bay City, South Texas Nuclear Plant, Blessing, Markham, Wadsworth, Louise, Midfield and Danevang. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 2920 9637 2896 9575 2874 9598 2890 9654 TIME...MOT...LOC 1240Z 181DEG 13KT 2894 9637 2880 9597
Special weather statement, May 16, 9:14 AM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 914 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021 TXZ213-161500- Inland Harris TX- 914 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTY UNTIL 1000 AM CDT... At 913 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Spring Branch Central, or over Spring Branch North, moving northeast at 15 mph. Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Humble, Jersey Village, Hunters Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney Point Village, Aldine, Northside / Northline, Spring Branch North, Greater Greenspoint, Spring Branch West, Spring Valley, eastern Addicks Park Ten, northwestern Greater Heights, northwestern Memorial Park, Hedwig Village, Hilshire Village, Bush Intercontinental Airport, Spring Branch East, Spring Branch Central and Central Northwest. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 2974 9548 2980 9562 3005 9552 2995 9525 TIME...MOT...LOC 1413Z 209DEG 14KT 2982 9551 Cady
Local storm report, May 16, 10:53 AM CDT, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1053 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1042 AM FLASH FLOOD 9 NE LA WARD 28.95N 96.38W
05/16/2021 JACKSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED FLOODWATER
OVER ROADS AT TX-111 EAST OF FM 1157.
&&
CADYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Houston/Galveston, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 6:30 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | HGX | Matagorda | 45 min |
| May 16, 7:00 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | HGX | Matagorda | 90 min |
| May 16, 7:41 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | HGX | Matagorda | 49 min |
| May 16, 8:32 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | HGX | Brazoria, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton | 3 hr |
| May 16, 8:44 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton | 3 hr |
| May 16, 9:03 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | HGX | Austin, Brazoria, Colorado, Fort Bend, Jackson, Matagorda and 2 more | 7 hr |
| May 16, 9:11 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | HGX | Harris | 64 min |
| May 16, 9:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | HGX | Harris | 46 min |
| May 16, 9:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Colorado, Jackson, Wharton | 115 min |
| May 16, 11:26 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Colorado, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton | 4 hr |
| May 16, 11:37 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | HGX | Jackson, Wharton | 29 hr |
| May 16, 12:06 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | HGX | 24 min | |
| May 16, 2:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | HGX | Matagorda | 38 min |
| May 16, 2:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Jackson, Matagorda | 92 min |
| May 16, 2:31 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | HGX | 44 min | |
| May 16, 2:47 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | HGX | Matagorda | 43 min |
| May 16, 3:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Matagorda, Wharton | 82 min |
| May 16, 3:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | HGX | Matagorda | 51 min |
| May 16, 3:31 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | HGX | Jackson | 22 hr |
| May 16, 3:31 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | HGX | Jackson, Wharton | 11 hr |
| May 16, 3:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Matagorda | 59 min |
| May 16, 5:04 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | HGX | Matagorda | 101 min |
| May 16, 5:19 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | HGX | 56 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.