River Flood Warning 10, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

853 
WGUS84 KHGX 011911
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
211 PM CDT Sat May 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

&&


TXC239-020715-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0010.210502T1708Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210502T1708Z.210503T0600Z.210503T1908Z.NO/
211 PM CDT Sat May 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* From Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 22.6 feet early Monday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  hundreds of yards into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and 
  low areas. Minor roads and near the river flood and livestock are 
  isolated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.6 
  feet on 11/19/2004.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

022 
WGUS84 KHGX 020213
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
913 PM CDT Sat May 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday morning at 915 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-021415-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0010.210502T1110Z-210504T1247Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210502T1110Z.210503T0600Z.210504T0046Z.NO/
913 PM CDT Sat May 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* From Sunday morning to Tuesday morning.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 24.1 feet early Monday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the 
  river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding 
  secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are 
  isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.1 
  feet on 11/18/2003.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

780 
WGUS84 KHGX 021412
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
912 AM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda 
  Counties.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Moderate flooding 
is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 915 PM CDT.

&&


TXC239-030215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210502T2221Z.210503T0600Z.210503T1654Z.NO/
912 AM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 21.9 feet just after midnight 
  tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  well into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 07/02/2004.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC321-481-030215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-210503T1720Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210501T1141Z.210502T0430Z.210503T0520Z.NO/
912 AM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM CDT Sunday was 28.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 6.7 feet Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Water is over the road on FM 1468 near 
  Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM 2853 southeast of 
  Blessing all in Matagorda County with homes in the subdivisions of 
  El Dorado Country upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks 
  downstream threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on 02/22/1990.


&&

LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
      2892 9622 2905 9620

$$

052 
WGUS84 KHGX 021847
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
147 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 200 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-030700-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210503T0900Z.210503T1200Z.210503T1800Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until further notice.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 21.1 feet tomorrow morning. It will then 
  fall below flood stage early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins with flow 
  backing through preipheral channels adjacent to the river and 
  reaches into sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.1 
  feet on 03/30/2012.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

270 
WGUS84 KHGX 030109
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
809 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda 
  Counties.

  West Mustang Creek near Ganado affecting Wharton and Jackson 
  Counties.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 815 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-481-031315-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210503T1314Z/
/GNDT2.1.ER.210502T1105Z.210502T1745Z.210503T0113Z.NO/
809 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the West Mustang Creek near Ganado.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 7:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 PM CDT Sunday was 20.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  evening and continue falling to 6.0 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 
  feet on 07/03/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 2918 9636 2907 9642 2903 9642 2903 9652
      2907 9652 2918 9646

$$

TXC239-031315-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210504T0300Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210503T0900Z.210503T1200Z.210503T1500Z.NO/
809 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 21.1 feet tomorrow morning. It will then 
  fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins with flow 
  backing through preipheral channels adjacent to the river and 
  reaches into sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.1 
  feet on 03/30/2012.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC321-481-031315-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-210504T0127Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210501T1141Z.210502T0430Z.210503T1326Z.NO/
809 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Sunday was 28.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 8.9 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with water 
  well into the flood plain on the right upstream bank and within 
  inches of spilling over the east approach to the bridge at FM 
  456.  The river will be almost one quarter mile wide in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.5 
  feet on 02/09/2005.


&&

LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
      2892 9622 2905 9620

$$

786 
WGUS44 KHGX 031440
FLWHGX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
940 AM CDT Mon May 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 945 PM CDT.

&&


TXC239-040245-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210503T0452Z.210503T1800Z.210504T0600Z.NO/
940 AM CDT Mon May 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 21.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:15 AM CDT Monday was 21.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.6 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  well into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.6 
  feet on 06/01/1970.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

910 
WGUS84 KHGX 031855
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
155 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 200 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-040700-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210503T0452Z.210504T0000Z.210504T0818Z.NO/
155 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until further notice.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:15 PM CDT Monday was 21.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.8 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tonight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  well into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 02/03/2005.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

097 
WGUS84 KHGX 040144
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
844 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning at 845 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-041345-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210505T0400Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210503T0452Z.210504T0115Z.210504T1600Z.NO/
844 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 PM CDT Monday was 21.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 7.5 feet Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  well into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 02/03/2005.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

550 
WGUS84 KHGX 041407
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
907 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  West Fork San Jacinto near Humble affecting Harris and Montgomery 
  Counties.

  San Bernard River Near East Bernard affecting Wharton, Fort Bend, 
  Austin and Colorado Counties.

  San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.

  San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and 
  Brazoria Counties.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Liberty 
  and Montgomery Counties.

For the East Fork San Jacinto River...including New Caney, 
Cleveland...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the West Fork San Jacinto River...including Sendera Ranch Road, 
Conroe, Porter, Humble, Sheldon...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the San Bernard River...including East Bernard, Sweeny, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

&&


TXC239-041515-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210504T1407Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210503T0452Z.210504T0115Z.210504T1600Z.NO/
907 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Lavaca River near Edna has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.6 feet Sunday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC201-339-050215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMMT2.1.ER.210503T1022Z.210504T0445Z.210505T0700Z.NO/
907 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the West Fork San Jacinto near Humble.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 49.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 49.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 49.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 43.6 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 49.3 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage. North side turnaround at US 59 begins to 
  flood. Low points on Thelma Road, Aqua Vista Drive, and Riverview 
  Drive begin to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.5 
  feet on 07/05/2018.


&&

LAT...LON 3015 9529 3004 9520 2998 9527 3008 9536

$$

TXC201-291-339-050215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-210507T0500Z/
/NCET2.2.ER.210502T2108Z.210503T1015Z.210506T1700Z.NO/
907 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 62.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 58.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 65.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon and continue falling to 50.6 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with 
  secondary roads near the river inundated, including FM 1485 west 
  of the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 62.1 
  feet on 01/06/2019.


&&

LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520
      3014 9517

$$

TXC015-089-157-481-050215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.210502T0125Z.210503T1600Z.210504T1350Z.UU/
907 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River Near East Bernard.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 17.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.8 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage with minor roads along the river inundated.  
  Backwater flooding up Britt Branch and Bratcher Slough begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.1 
  feet on 04/02/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 2970 9625 2970 9605 2940 9592 2940 9605
      2952 9611

$$

TXC039-050215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210501T1608Z.210503T0830Z.210506T1200Z.NO/
907 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Thursday morning and continue falling to 2.2 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water begins inundating the boat ramp off 
  of FM 521. Pan American Road and Riverglen Street become 
  threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 
  feet on 05/12/2019.


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
      2902 9565 2913 9577

$$

TXC039-157-481-050215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210501T1356Z.210502T2015Z.210506T1536Z.NO/
907 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:46 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:46 AM CDT Tuesday was 31.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  Thursday morning and continue falling to 7.5 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, There is widespread moderate lowland 
  flooding upstream from the gage with significant backwater 
  flooding up West Bernard Creek and Peach Creek in Wharton County 
  and low lying areas in the El Lobo subdivision are threatened. 
  Backwater flooding up Snake Creek in Fort Bend County threatens 
  low areas in the Tierra Grande subdivision.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.1 
  feet on 07/09/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
      2930 9595 2940 9605

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
734 AM CDT Sat May 1 2021

.AVIATION [12Z TAF Issuance]...
Heavy rainfall continues southwest of DWH to HOU to LBX. Ceilings
range from VFR over the northwestern counties to IFR closer in to
the heavy rain axis. Strong easterly winds on the back side of the
convection/shear axis over CLL with sustained winds 15-20kts
gusting to 30 kts.

Expect the line to impact the LBX/SGR/HOU/IAH/GLS terminals 12-16z
then weaken and scattered showers to take over. Next band of
storms should move in from the southwest late this afternoon 22z
through 05z. Strong easterly inflow into these storms is possible
and could have a period of strong easterly or southeast winds.
Current TAFs have not been elevated to that point except GLS where
confidence in the stronger winds is present. By around 09z expect
steady improvements in VISBY/precip but MVFR-VFR should prevail.
45

&&

.MARINE...
Stronger ENE-ESE winds on tap today and as the big band of storms
coming ashore Freeport slowly shifts east expect gusty winds in
the storms/very low visby in heavy rain. SCA in effect for the
western Gulf waters mid morning and SCEC elsewhere. Winds this
afternoon could be a stronger and the SCA may need to be adjusted
into the eastern waters. Seas of 3-5 feet early this morning
should be building throughout the day and into tonight with seas
flirting with SCA conditions as well.

Strong rip currents and could become unusually strong rip currents
this afternoon...these strong rips should continue well into
Sunday morning.

SSW winds take over Sunday morning and then back to the SE Sunday
night and weaken Monday. Seas will still be elevated with the
longer fetch that develops. Cold front pushes off the coast around
sunset Tuesday and SCEC/SCA conditions should occur overnight.
45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 452 AM CDT Sat May 1 2021/...

.SHORT TERM [ Through Saturday Night]...

Widespread moderate to heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms will
continue to be the main concern over the next 12 to 24 hours.

Per latest water vapor satellite imagery, a broad upper-level low
is currently spinning just west of the Big Bend, TX. At the
surface, a coastal low continues to move over the Corpus Christi
area/Middle Coast, slowly moving northward into our region through
the day. The environment continues to be favorable for rainfall
early this morning. The warm front is almost stationary south of
Galveston to Victoria line, that, in combination with a strong
low-level frontogenesis maximized in the 925-825 mb layer, PWATs
near 2.0 inches and upper- level jet support; widespread rain will
continue to develop across the region. A constant weak low level
jet feed is also noted into the frontogenesis area; therefore, the
strongest rainfall rates continue to move across our
west/southwestern counties early this morning. Light rain are
expected across the entire region; however, the best focus for
moderate to heavy rain will be along and west of I-10 through late
morning. Additional rain totals of 1 to 3 inches will be
possible, locally higher. While instability looks limited (SBCAPE
<700 J/kg) due to extensive cloud cover, a few strong
thunderstorms cannot be ruled out given effective bulk shear in
the 30-45 knots range. The main focus for strong storms will be
south of a line from CLL to SGR to LBX with gusty winds as the
main threat.

As the day progresses, there could be a brief lull in
precipitation late this morning/early afternoon, mainly north of
I-10. The next round for moderate to heavy rain and isolated to
scattered thunderstorms arrives late this afternoon (between
22-00Z Sunday). Forcing and dynamics will be enhanced across the
region as the aforementioned upper low lifts northeastward into
eastern TX and the Lower MS Valley. Have leaned towards CAMS /Hi-
res models for PoPs for this period. Convection/showers will
gradually diminish from southwest to northeast by late
tonight/early Sunday morning.

Have continued with the Flash Flood Watch across much of the
region through 12Z Sunday. 05

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Saturday]...

Drier conditions will gradually filter in on Sunday with some
lingering showers possible across our northeastern counties as the
sfc low and upper-low move out of the region. It will be warm as
southerly winds returns to the area during the afternoon hours.
Speaking of warm conditions, Monday is shaping up to be a very
warm day. 850 mb temperatures exceed the 90th percentile of NAEFS
guidance and southerly flow should bring highs in the upper 80s
and low 90s. Raised high temperatures toward the 75th percentile
of model guidance.

Another upper trough will moves into the southern Plains early
next week with a cold front passage Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Latest GFS, ECMWF and NAM continue in good agreement with this
system, brining the front by midday Tuesday and off the coast by
Tuesday evening. Scattered showers and storms are expected along
and ahead the front. With PWATs in the 2.0 inches, some locally
heavy rain cannot be ruled out. Drier weather returns by Wednesday
with an upper-ridge over the southern Plains.

05

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  75  66  85  70  89 /  90  90  20   0   0
Houston (IAH)          76  67  84  71  90 /  80  80  30   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        75  71  81  74  84 /  70  80  30   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for the following
     zones: Austin...Brazoria
     Islands...Brazos...Burleson...Coastal Brazoria...Coastal
     Jackson...Coastal Matagorda...Colorado...Fort
     Bend...Grimes...Houston...Inland Brazoria...Inland
     Harris...Inland Jackson...Inland
     Matagorda...Madison...Matagorda
     Islands...Montgomery...Northern Liberty...Polk...San
     Jacinto...Trinity...Walker...Waller...Washington...Wharton.

     High Rip Current Risk through this evening for the following
     zones: Bolivar Peninsula...Brazoria Islands...Galveston
     Island...Matagorda Islands.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 7 PM CDT this evening
     for the following zones: Coastal waters from High Island to
     Freeport TX out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Matagorda
     Bay...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60
     NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda
     Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport to
     Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 9 AM CDT this morning
     for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to
     Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport
     to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM...05
AVIATION...45
MARINE...45
FIRE WEATHER...45