Special Weather Statement, NWS Goodland, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
310 PM MDT Wed May 26 2021

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed May 26 2021

Tonight...the combination of sufficient moisture in the 850-700mb
layer along a subtle wind shift line from roughly Yuma to Burlington
and Tribune may act as a focus for initiation for our next round of
showers and thunderstorms early this evening. By 03z thunderstorm
activity should be east of a line from Yuma to Colby and Oakley and
by 06z extend from Trenton to Hill City east. Thunderstorm activity
should be just east of the forecast area a few hours after midnight
with dry conditions for the remainder of the night. All modes of
severe weather are possible. With precipitable water values as high
as 1.5-1.7 inches locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be
possible. Low temperatures are expected to fall into the upper 40s
to around 60.

Thursday-Thursday night...a cold front moves through the area during
the day with a 1025mb surface high nosing into the area from the
northeast during the night. North to northwest winds gusting up to
35 mph are expected through the day with decreasing winds during the
night. There is a slim chance for a thunderstorm or two across
southwest Cheyenne county CO in the evening as some mid level
moisture moves in from the northwest. High temperatures are expected
to be in the low to mid 70s. Low temperatures are expected to be in
the low to mid 40s.

Friday-Friday night...dry conditions are expected. 850mb
temperatures warm a few degrees across the western CWA where some
short wave ridging moves in ahead of a larger upper level low
centered north of Montana. Southerly winds slowly increase through
the day with gusts up to 35 mph possible. High temperatures are
expected to be in the low to upper 70s. Low temperatures fall into
the mid 40s to low 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed May 26 2021

Saturday...thunderstorm chances increase in the afternoon with a
high probability of precipitation during the night as a subtle upper
trough moves through from the west. Locally heavy rainfall is
expected and flash flooding cannot be ruled out. High temperatures
are expected to be in the low to mid 70s with low temperatures in
the lower 50s.

Sunday...precipitation chances remain fairly high as weather
disturbances periodically move through the area in west to northwest
flow aloft. High temperatures should reach the mid 60s to near 70
with low temperatures in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Monday...good chances for additional precipitation continue during
the day before some drier air aloft moves in from the northwest as
an upper trough starts to move away from the area. High temperatures
remain cool for this time of year in the low 60s to near 70. Low
temperatures are expected to be in the mid 40s to low 50s.

Tuesday...will need to maintain low chances for thunderstorms as
another weather system moves in from the northwest. High
temperatures look to be in the mid 60s to low 70s with low
temperatures in the mid 40s to low 50s.

Wednesday...a large upper trough moves across the area and will be
supportive of continued chances for showers and thunderstorms. High
temperatures warm back into the low to mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1130 AM MDT Wed May 26 2021

KGLD...VFR conditions are expected through the period. Southeast
winds gusting to 30kts or so are expected from taf issuance
through very early this evening before veering to the northwest
around 10kts by 09z as a cold front moves through. These northwest
winds increase in the morning with gusts around 30kts expected.
Presently, confidence in timing specific thunderstorm threats at
the terminal are too low to include a mention in the forecast. Its
possible that thunderstorm activity could be near the terminal in
the 00z-02z timeframe.

KMCK...VFR conditions are expected through the period. East-
southeast winds gusting up to 25kts or so are expected from taf
issuance through 23z. From 00z-06z winds will be from the east
10-13kts. After 06z winds shift to the north then northwest at
speeds under 10kts initially, picking up into the 20g30kt range by
mid morning. Thunderstorm chances exist from taf issuance through
about 20z or so with a possible lull in activity until the 02z-05z
timeframe when another threat moves toward the terminal. Large
hail and damaging winds are the primary threats and rainfall rates
could cause sub VFR vis and cigs.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
320 PM MDT Wed May 26 2021

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271300-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
320 PM MDT Wed May 26 2021 /420 PM CDT Wed May 26 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

The threat for severe thunderstorms remains possible through late
this evening. Any storms that do develop will be capable of producing
hail up to the size of tennis balls, wind gusts to 70 mph and a few
tornadoes. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible and could
produce flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the weekend and into
Monday. Areas receiving heavy rainfall may experience flash
flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed. We would appreciate reports of
hail in excess of one inch in diameter, wind gusts in excess of 60
mph, funnel clouds, tornadoes, and flash flooding via telephone and
social media.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>