Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 14, NWS Grand Junction, CO

July 14, 202117 counties in Colorado; Grand County, San Juan County, Utah

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this flash flood watch at Jul 14, 2021, 2:19 AM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado; Grand County, San Juan County, Utah. It took effect at Jul 14, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2021, 2:19 AM MDT (08:19 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 14, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jul 14, 2021, 8:03 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO
Flood severity
None

Counties Archuleta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Eagle County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Pitkin County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, Routt County, CO, San Juan County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 414 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 377 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -46 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
377 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2810 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 13, 11:31 PM MDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 11:31 PM MDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 2:52 AM MDT, 23 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
252 AM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-141300-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
252 AM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Smoky skies will continue across the region through at least this
morning. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will
develop this afternoon with storms producing gusty outflow winds
as well as brief moderate to heavy rain. Isolated activity will
linger overnight, particularly down south.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Another round of widespread showers and thunderstorms is expected
for Wednesday with slow moving storms capable of producing heavy
rain. Drier conditions look to return for the end of the week as
high pressure returns, though diurnal storms will persist over the
higher terrain through the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight, however
spotters are encouraged to relay rainfall amounts or any observed
flooding to the National Weather Service in Grand Junction.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:02 PM MDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 14, 2:04 AM MDT, 15 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 7:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTDolores44 min
Jul 14, 1:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTGarfield46 min
Jul 14, 2:15 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJTGarfield113 min
Jul 14, 2:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTGarfield, Mesa34 min
Jul 14, 3:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTGarfield44 min
Jul 14, 3:35 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJTEagle, Garfield115 min
Jul 14, 5:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTMesa41 min
Jul 14, 3:17 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTUintah43 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Utah, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.