Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Hastings, NE

June 25, 2021Rooks County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this special weather statement at Jun 25, 2021, 8:43 PM CDT for Rooks County, Kansas. It was in force for 47 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2021, 8:43 PM CDT (01:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 9:30 PM CDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE

County Rooks County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 25, 9:36 PM CDTHAIL 11 S Plainville, KSREPORT FROM TWITTER.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1147 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1147 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2013 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 25, 6:11 PM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 6:11 PM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
611 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

As of 2PM, convection is beginning to intensify in and just west
of the forecast area. This is on the south side of remnant MCV,
with enhancement from the upper trough. Although individual
solutions vary, CAMs have had a decent handle on this potential,
and as such, these storms are expected to persist as they move
across the forecast area later this afternoon and early this
evening. Although the highest instability axis has shifted south
of the area with the front, decent low level moisture persists and
latest SPC mesoanalysis shows 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Along
with 40kts of deep layer shear, this will support at least a few
severe updrafts as these storms move through.

After these storms weaken and/or move out of the area (by roughly
9pm), attention shifts to convection moving northeastward out of
southwestern KS. This convection will likely be weakening with
time as it moves away from the stronger instability and 850mb
convergence. Even still, this may impact portions of our Kansas
counties with marginally severe hail/wind.

A few showers may persist into Saturday morning, with additional
diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms possible in the
afternoon and early evening. Fortunately, the cooler and
increasingly dry airmass will reduce the risk for severe weather
across the local area. Temperatures will be roughly 10 degrees
below normal with highs only in the mid 70s to near 80 degrees.

Saturday night into Sunday morning should be mostly dry, but we
cannot totally rule out a few more showers or afternoon
thunderstorms as the upper trough remains overhead.

Daily slight chances for rain/thunder will continue through much
of next week as the upper trough makes very little eastward
progress. But despite all the PoPs, I expect that precipitation
will be pretty hit and miss and will not provide significant
relief from the increasingly dry conditions across parts of the
area. The good news is that the threat for severe weather should
be fairly low through next week.

The stagnant trough has also caused our temperature forecast to
trend a bit cooler as well. Temperatures may bounce back closer to
normal by the middle of the week, but we probably won't be seeing
any 90 degree days until at least the following week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Sunday)
Issued at 605 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

Scattered thunderstorms moving through central Nebraska currently
should exit the area by 03-04Z.

Skies will remain broken to overcast through the night, with some
low stratus still expected to develop in the early morning of
Saturday. A few showers may also develop around dawn on Saturday.

Isolated, diurnally-driven thunderstorms are expected to redevelop
Saturday afternoon.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Mangels
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 2:24 PM CDT, 6 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
224 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
261200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
224 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to move across the area
through 9PM. Some of these storms could be severe with hail to
the size of golf balls and wind gusts near 60 MPH.

Additional thunderstorms may arrive from the southwest after 9PM,
mainly impacting portions of northern Kansas. Again, some of these
storms may be strong to severe with hail to the size of quarters
and 60 MPH gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There are at least slight chances for thunderstorms each day
through Thursday. We cannot rule out a few strong or severe
storms, but the overall severe threat appears fairly low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed for portions of the outlook area
this afternoon and this evening.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 25, 6:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
634 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

NEZ040-047-260000-
Howard NE-Greeley NE-
634 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREELEY AND
NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

At 634 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Greeley to near Cotesfield. Movement was
east at 15 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
  Wolbach.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4133 9829 4131 9863 4156 9859 4156 9829
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 272DEG 15KT 4152 9851 4137 9854

Billings Wright
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 6:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
640 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

NEZ040-260030-
Greeley NE-
640 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GREELEY COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM CDT...

At 640 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Spalding, or 25 miles east of Ord, moving east at 25 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Spalding around 650 PM CDT.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4152 9829 4155 9859 4174 9854 4174 9829
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 271DEG 22KT 4166 9843

Billings Wright
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 6:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
642 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

NEZ041-047-048-062-260030-
Merrick NE-Nance NE-Howard NE-Hall NE-
642 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NANCE...MERRICK...
HOWARD AND NORTHERN HALL COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 641 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Elba to near Cairo. Movement was east at
35 mph. This replaces the warning previously in effect for Howard
and northern Hall Counties.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  St. Paul around 645 PM CDT.
  Cushing around 655 PM CDT.
  Palmer and St. Libory around 700 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Chapman, Central
City and Fullerton.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central and central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4107 9801 4102 9808 4100 9811 4100 9812
      4098 9816 4096 9817 4099 9868 4131 9863
      4136 9794
TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 264DEG 31KT 4128 9849 4099 9854

Billings Wright
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 7:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
717 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

NEZ041-048-049-063-064-260100-
Merrick NE-Hamilton NE-Nance NE-York NE-Polk NE-
717 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN NANCE...NORTHWESTERN
YORK...NORTHERN HAMILTON...MERRICK AND WESTERN POLK COUNTIES UNTIL
800 PM CDT...

At 717 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles west of Clarks to near Phillips.
Movement was east at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Central City around 720 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Clarks,
Marquette, Hampton and Silver Creek.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central, central and east central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4133 9754 4088 9782 4090 9828 4134 9827
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 270DEG 14KT 4124 9799 4095 9820

Billings Wright
Local storm report, Jun 25, 8:19 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
819 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0728 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CENTRAL CITY            41.11N 98.00W
06/25/2021                   MERRICK            NE   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: 1-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN;
            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF.

&&

REED
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 8:43 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
843 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

KSZ005-017-260230-
Rooks KS-Phillips KS-
843 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ROOKS AND SOUTHERN PHILLIPS
COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 843 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Speed to near Bogue. Movement was
southeast at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Damar around 900 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Palco, Stockton,
Woodston and Zurich.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
north central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3913 9960 3957 9960 3957 9963 3966 9963
      3966 9907 3957 9907 3957 9905 3951 9904
      3913 9905
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 315DEG 18KT 3961 9940 3933 9972

Rossi

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Kearney, Webster31 min
Jun 25, 7:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDMerrick43 min
Jun 25, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHamilton, Merrick, Polk, York47 min
Jun 25, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNance25 min
Jun 25, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Webster12 min
Jun 25, 9:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDOsborne, Rooks50 min
Jun 25, 10:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDMitchell, Osborne49 min
Jun 25, 11:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDMitchell51 min
Jun 25, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell34 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.