Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 157, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 17, 2021Coconino County, Gila County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 17, 2021, 12:29 PM MST for Coconino County, Gila County, Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2021, 12:29 PM MST (19:29 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2021, 1:15 PM MST
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 984 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 135 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
984 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
829 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

790 
WUUS55 KFGZ 171929
SVRFGZ
AZC005-007-017-172015-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.SV.W.0157.210817T1929Z-210817T2015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1229 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Gila County in east central Arizona...
  Navajo County in north central Arizona...
  Coconino County in north central Arizona...

* Until 115 PM MST.

* At 1228 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles north of
  Forest Lakes, moving north at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
  Forest Lakes, Forest Road 169 Campground, Spillway Campground,
  Airplane Flat Campground, Gentry Campground, Canyon Point
  Campground, Forest Road 237 Camping Area, Rim Campground,
  Promontory Pit Road Campground, Woods Canyon Lake Campground,
  Canyon Creek Fish Hatchery, Black Canyon Rim Campground, Sinkhole
  Campground and Forest Road 171 Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3425 11057 3415 11081 3440 11100 3453 11074
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 160DEG 6KT 3445 11084 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

DB
1 follow-up statement
620 
WWUS55 KFGZ 172009
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
109 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021

AZC005-007-017-172019-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-210817T2015Z/
Gila-Navajo-Coconino-
109 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GILA...NAVAJO AND COCONINO
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 115 PM MST...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3425 11057 3415 11081 3440 11100 3453 11074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 160DEG 6KT 3451 11087 

$$

DB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 5:04 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Aug 16, 6:33 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai27 min
Aug 16, 7:08 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai37 min
Aug 16, 7:37 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino23 min
Aug 16, 7:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Aug 16, 7:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino33 min
Aug 16, 8:04 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai26 min
Aug 16, 8:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino24 min
Aug 16, 9:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila42 min
Aug 16, 10:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai29 min
Aug 16, 10:33 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai25 min
Aug 17, 12:04 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Gila, Navajo3 hr
Aug 17, 12:15 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino60 min
Aug 17, 12:22 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 12:41 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 17, 12:59 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino46 min
Aug 17, 1:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 1:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino44 min
Aug 17, 1:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino39 min
Aug 17, 1:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino47 min
Aug 17, 1:37 PM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo9 hr
Aug 17, 2:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 2:09 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino51 min
Aug 17, 2:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino45 min
Aug 17, 2:18 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 3:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 17, 3:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino33 min
Aug 17, 3:44 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Aug 17, 4:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Aug 17, 4:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai26 min
Aug 17, 4:22 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 17, 4:46 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.