Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 195, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 17, 2021Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 17, 2021, 4:46 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2021, 4:46 PM MST (23:46 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2021, 7:45 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 17, 5:15 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD3 Ssw Village At Oak Cr, AZDRY BEAVER CREEK GAUGE (DBVA3) ROSE 4.5 FT.
Aug 17, 5:30 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD4 Ssw Village At Oak Cr, AZDRY BEAVER CREEK NEAR RIMROCK STREAM GAGE (DBVA3) INDICATED A 4.4 FT. RISE BETWEEN 4:30PM MST AND 5:30PM MST.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 984 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 135 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
984 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
829 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

869 
WGUS55 KFGZ 172346
FFWFGZ
AZC025-180245-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0195.210817T2346Z-210818T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
446 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 745 PM MST.

* At 445 PM MST, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
  thunderstorms producing heavy rain near and south of the Village 
  of Oak Creek. Between 0.75 and 1.75 inches of rain have fallen. 
  Additional rainfall amounts of 0.75 to 1.50 inches are possible in 
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
           crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Rimrock, Montezuma Well, Village At Oak Creek, Lake Montezuma, 
  Mcguireville, Montezuma Castle National Monument, Wet Beaver Creek 
  Campground and V Bar V Visitors Center.

This includes the following swimming holes...
	Wet Beaver Creek Day Use Area and Bell Crossing "The Crack".

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 179 between mile markers 299 and 307.
	Interstate 17 between mile markers 294 and 309.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  West Clear Creek, Verde River, Walker Creek, Oak Creek, Dry Beaver 
  Creek, Russell Wash, Turkey Creek, Jacks Canyon, Long Canyon, 
  Rarick Canyon, Rattlesnake Canyon and Beaver Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water crossings 
which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross 
flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 11182 3478 11156 3458 11170 3467 11188

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

TPS
1 follow-up statement
861 
WGUS75 KFGZ 180247
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
747 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021

AZC025-180257-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0195.000000T0000Z-210818T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
747 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended over the Dry Beaver and Wet Beaver Creek 
drainages south of the Village of Oak Creek. Additional flash 
flooding is not expected. Please continue to heed remaining road 
closures.

LAT...LON 3480 11182 3478 11156 3458 11170 3467 11188

$$

JJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 5:04 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Aug 16, 6:33 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai27 min
Aug 16, 7:08 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai37 min
Aug 16, 7:37 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino23 min
Aug 16, 7:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Aug 16, 7:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino33 min
Aug 16, 8:04 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai26 min
Aug 16, 8:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino24 min
Aug 16, 9:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila42 min
Aug 16, 10:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai29 min
Aug 16, 10:33 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai25 min
Aug 17, 12:04 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Gila, Navajo3 hr
Aug 17, 12:15 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino60 min
Aug 17, 12:22 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 12:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Gila, Navajo46 min
Aug 17, 12:41 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 17, 12:59 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino46 min
Aug 17, 1:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 1:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino44 min
Aug 17, 1:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino39 min
Aug 17, 1:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino47 min
Aug 17, 1:37 PM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo9 hr
Aug 17, 2:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 2:09 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino51 min
Aug 17, 2:15 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino45 min
Aug 17, 2:18 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Aug 17, 3:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 17, 3:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino33 min
Aug 17, 3:44 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Aug 17, 4:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Aug 17, 4:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai26 min
Aug 17, 4:22 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.