Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021
Flash Flood Warning 195, NWS Flagstaff, AZ
NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 17, 2021, 4:46 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 17, 2021, 4:46 PM MST (23:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 17, 2021, 7:45 PM MST
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Flagstaff, AZ
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Damage threat
- Considerable
- Flood severity
- None
County Yavapai County, AZ
The radar
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 5:15 PM MST | FLASH FLOOD | 3 Ssw Village At Oak Cr, AZ | DRY BEAVER CREEK GAUGE (DBVA3) ROSE 4.5 FT. |
| Aug 17, 5:30 PM MST | FLASH FLOOD | 4 Ssw Village At Oak Cr, AZ | DRY BEAVER CREEK NEAR RIMROCK STREAM GAGE (DBVA3) INDICATED A 4.4 FT. RISE BETWEEN 4:30PM MST AND 5:30PM MST. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 984 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -55 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 829 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 135 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 154 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.8
The text
As transmitted.
869
WGUS55 KFGZ 172346
FFWFGZ
AZC025-180245-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0195.210817T2346Z-210818T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
446 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021
The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Yavapai County in west central Arizona...
* Until 745 PM MST.
* At 445 PM MST, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain near and south of the Village
of Oak Creek. Between 0.75 and 1.75 inches of rain have fallen.
Additional rainfall amounts of 0.75 to 1.50 inches are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.
HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
producing flash flooding.
SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.
IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Rimrock, Montezuma Well, Village At Oak Creek, Lake Montezuma,
Mcguireville, Montezuma Castle National Monument, Wet Beaver Creek
Campground and V Bar V Visitors Center.
This includes the following swimming holes...
Wet Beaver Creek Day Use Area and Bell Crossing "The Crack".
This includes the following highways...
State Route 179 between mile markers 299 and 307.
Interstate 17 between mile markers 294 and 309.
This includes the following streams and drainages...
West Clear Creek, Verde River, Walker Creek, Oak Creek, Dry Beaver
Creek, Russell Wash, Turkey Creek, Jacks Canyon, Long Canyon,
Rarick Canyon, Rattlesnake Canyon and Beaver Creek.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water crossings
which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross
flooded roads. Find an alternate route.
&&
LAT...LON 3480 11182 3478 11156 3458 11170 3467 11188
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
$$
TPS1 follow-up statement
861 WGUS75 KFGZ 180247 FFSFGZ Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 747 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021 AZC025-180257- /O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0195.000000T0000Z-210818T0245Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Yavapai AZ- 747 PM MST Tue Aug 17 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY... The heavy rain has ended over the Dry Beaver and Wet Beaver Creek drainages south of the Village of Oak Creek. Additional flash flooding is not expected. Please continue to heed remaining road closures. LAT...LON 3480 11182 3478 11156 3458 11170 3467 11188 $$ JJ
The office that day
Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 5:04 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Apache, Navajo | 3 hr |
| Aug 16, 6:33 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 27 min |
| Aug 16, 7:08 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 37 min |
| Aug 16, 7:37 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 23 min |
| Aug 16, 7:42 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 33 min |
| Aug 16, 7:57 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 33 min |
| Aug 16, 8:04 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 26 min |
| Aug 16, 8:21 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 24 min |
| Aug 16, 9:18 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Gila | 42 min |
| Aug 16, 10:01 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 29 min |
| Aug 16, 10:33 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 25 min |
| Aug 17, 12:04 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Gila, Navajo | 3 hr |
| Aug 17, 12:15 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 60 min |
| Aug 17, 12:22 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 5 hr |
| Aug 17, 12:29 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Gila, Navajo | 46 min |
| Aug 17, 12:41 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 3 hr |
| Aug 17, 12:59 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 46 min |
| Aug 17, 1:06 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 5 hr |
| Aug 17, 1:16 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 44 min |
| Aug 17, 1:21 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 39 min |
| Aug 17, 1:28 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 47 min |
| Aug 17, 1:37 PM MST | Flash Flood Watch | FGZ | Apache, Coconino, Navajo | 9 hr |
| Aug 17, 2:03 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 5 hr |
| Aug 17, 2:09 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 51 min |
| Aug 17, 2:15 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 45 min |
| Aug 17, 2:18 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 5 hr |
| Aug 17, 3:03 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 3 hr |
| Aug 17, 3:42 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 33 min |
| Aug 17, 3:44 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Yavapai | 3 hr |
| Aug 17, 4:06 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino, Yavapai | 3 hr |
| Aug 17, 4:19 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 26 min |
| Aug 17, 4:22 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.