Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 175, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 13, 2021Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 13, 2021, 9:51 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2021, 9:51 PM MST (04:51 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2021, 12:45 AM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 430 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
430 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1694 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

173 
WGUS55 KFGZ 140451
FFWFGZ
AZC025-140745-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0175.210814T0451Z-210814T0745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
951 PM MST Fri Aug 13 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Goodwin Fire scar in...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 1245 AM MST.

* At 950 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Goodwin Fire scar. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches 
  of rain have fallen in less than an hour. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Goodwin
           Fire scar.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Goodwin Fire scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mayer.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 69 between mile markers 268 and 274.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn Around, Don't Drown! Flash flooding is occurring or imminent 
and could affect roadways in Mayer near Big Bug Creek!

&&

LAT...LON 3443 11235 3445 11227 3438 11219 3437 11219
      3436 11227 3440 11230

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

McCollum
2 follow-up statements
056 
WGUS75 KFGZ 140700
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1200 AM MST Sat Aug 14 2021

AZC025-140745-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0175.000000T0000Z-210814T0745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
1200 AM MST Sat Aug 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GOODWIN FIRE SCAR REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 1245 AM MST SATURDAY FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

At 1156 PM MST, Stream gauge reports along Big Bug Creek in Mayer 
show water levels continue to decrease with a current stage of 0.9 
feet. Light rain continues at this time but water levels should 
continue to recede over the next 45 minutes.

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Goodwin Fire scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Goodwin Fire scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mayer.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 69 between mile markers 268 and 274.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn Around, Don't Drown! Flash flooding is occurring or imminent 
and could affect roadways in Mayer near Big Bug Creek!

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3443 11235 3445 11227 3438 11219 3437 11219
      3436 11227 3440 11230

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

MCT
144 
WGUS75 KFGZ 140737
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1237 AM MST Sat Aug 14 2021

AZC025-140747-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0175.000000T0000Z-210814T0745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
1237 AM MST Sat Aug 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GOODWIN FIRE SCAR WILL EXPIRE AT 1245 
AM MST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

The stream gauge on Big Bug Creek in Mayer indicates flood waters 
have receded. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. 
Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 200 AM MST for portions 
of east central Arizona and west central Arizona.

LAT...LON 3443 11235 3445 11227 3438 11219 3437 11219
      3436 11227 3440 11230

$$

MCT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 5:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai21 min
Aug 13, 6:09 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino25 min
Aug 13, 6:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai27 min
Aug 13, 7:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai15 min
Aug 13, 7:39 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila26 min
Aug 13, 8:09 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino36 min
Aug 13, 8:15 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila, Yavapai2 hr
Aug 13, 8:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Yavapai52 min
Aug 13, 9:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai42 min
Aug 13, 9:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai47 min
Aug 13, 10:07 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai53 min
Aug 14, 3:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila39 min
Aug 14, 3:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Navajo36 min
Aug 14, 3:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila29 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.