Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
301 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Tuesday Night/...

High pressure will remain anchored off the SE coast of the US
through the period. The flow aloft and at the surface will be off of
the GOMEX, transporting abundant moisture northward. PWATS will be
well above normal for this time of year, with values approaching 2"
south of the Interstate 85 corridor. No change in pattern for
Tuesday, so expecting very similar precip timing/coverage to today.

With this type of airmass in place, convection will likely start
earlier in the day again tomorrow, especially in places where the
sun breaks through during the mid/late morning. Models have been
struggling a little with dewpoints, so have adjusted values upwards
of one to two degrees. Locally heavy downpours and lightning will be
the primary hazards.

Also, have kept slight pops in during the overnight periods. Do
think thunder chances decrease significantly with the sun setting,
but shra will have enough fuel to continue overnight.

NListemaa

.LONG TERM /Wednesday through Monday/...

The relentless onslaught of this abnormally moist airmass will
continue through the long term period with a steady fetch of Gulf
moisture flowing into the area keeping PWATs near the
climatological daily maximum. While the upper- level pattern will
remain a bit unsettled through the extended period, the flow will
be weak with the subtropical jet anchored well to the north. this
will allow the weather pattern to be primarily controlled by a
westward stretching ridge extending from the Bermuda High over the
Atlantic Ocean. This southerly flow of moist air will keep
dewpoints near 70 degrees around the Atlanta metro with afternoon
heat indices around 90 degrees. Precipitation will continue to be
diurnally driven with peak chances of showers and thunderstorms
occurring in the afternoon with chances generally circulating
between 30-60 percent each day.

Thiem

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Sct/nmrs shra/tsra likely for the remainder of the afternoon.
Tomorrow should be a lot like today,and expect convection to pop a
littler earlier than normal for the typical summertime diurnal
activity. Sct-bkn MVFR cigs for the remainder of the afternoon
with bkn-ovc IFR likely overnight with some potential for LIFR.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Med confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  84  68  87 /  60  60  30  50
Atlanta         69  83  69  87 /  40  60  30  50
Blairsville     64  80  65  81 /  40  60  40  70
Cartersville    68  84  68  87 /  30  60  30  50
Columbus        69  86  69  91 /  40  60  30  30
Gainesville     68  81  68  85 /  50  60  30  50
Macon           69  88  69  91 /  50  60  40  40
Rome            69  85  69  88 /  40  60  30  50
Peachtree City  68  84  67  88 /  30  60  30  40
Vidalia         70  88  71  88 /  70  50  30  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
503 AM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-080900-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
503 AM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central
Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected, primarily this afternoon
and evening. Locally heavy rain, frequent lightning, and gusty
winds will be the primary threats with the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

There will be a chance of thunderstorms each day through Saturday,
mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. A few strong to severe
thunderstorms cannot be ruled out on any of these days; however, no
organized or widespread severe weather is expected. The primary
threat from any thunderstorms will be frequent lightning, gusty winds
and brief heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
352 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

GAZ053-066-072015-
Coweta GA-Troup GA-
352 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR COWETA AND NORTHEASTERN TROUP
COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 352 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Grantville, or 11
miles south of Newnan...moving northeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Newnan, Hogansville, Grantville, Luthersville, Moreland, Sharpsburg,
Turin, East Newnan, Corinth, Arnco-Sargent, Thomas Crossroads and
Madras.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3323 8494 3326 8495 3346 8485 3342 8465
      3331 8458 3322 8468 3322 8469 3323 8470
      3323 8471 3322 8472 3322 8485 3319 8485
      3319 8486 3313 8486 3320 8499
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 214DEG 14KT 3322 8486

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
404 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

GAZ085-097-072030-
Johnson GA-Laurens GA-
404 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON AND
NORTHWESTERN LAURENS COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

At 404 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Harlow, or near
Dublin...moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dublin, Wrightsville, East Dublin, Dudley, Lovett, Spann, Harlow,
Tuckers Crossroad, Brewton and Chappells Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3243 8294 3253 8312 3267 8304 3271 8296
      3273 8295 3276 8295 3281 8280 3279 8277
      3277 8277 3277 8275 3268 8269
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 212DEG 19KT 3255 8299

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
430 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

GAZ071-072-081-082-072115-
Monroe GA-Bibb GA-Crawford GA-Jones GA-
430 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONROE...BIBB...
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHWESTERN JONES COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM
EDT...

At 429 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Lizella, or 9 miles
west of Macon...moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Macon, Payne, Payne City, Wesleyan, Lizella, Lake Tobesofkee,
Bolingbroke, Arkwright and Dames Ferry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3269 8375 3274 8387 3283 8392 3305 8373
      3305 8363 3293 8352
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 212DEG 18KT 3280 8381

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
506 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

GAZ086-111>113-072145-
Toombs GA-Wheeler GA-Emanuel GA-Montgomery GA-
506 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TOOMBS...NORTHEASTERN WHEELER...
SOUTHERN EMANUEL AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 506 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Alston, or 7 miles
southeast of Mount Vernon...moving northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Lyons, Mount Vernon, Vidalia, Glenwood, Uvalda, Oak Park, Ailey,
Higgston, Santa Claus, Alston, Tarrytown, Center, Ponderosa, Kibbee,
South Thompson, Rock Springs and Normantown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3199 8248 3214 8271 3232 8257 3235 8241
      3236 8241 3235 8228 3216 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 216DEG 23KT 3211 8249

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
545 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

GAZ036-037-047-049-072230-
Morgan GA-Walton GA-Clarke GA-Oconee GA-
545 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MORGAN...EASTERN
WALTON...CLARKE AND OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

At 544 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over North High Shoals, or
near Watkinsville...moving northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Watkinsville, Athens, Winterville, Bogart, North High Shoals,
Bostwick, Good Hope, Bishop, Athens-Clarke County, Whitehall,
Westgate Park, James Holland Youth Sports Cmpx, Beechwood Hills,
Oconee Heights, Eastville, Barnett Shoals, State Botanical Garden Of
Ga and Farmington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3401 8331 3388 8326 3370 8347 3379 8361
      3400 8349 3399 8348 3400 8346
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 216DEG 23KT 3380 8349

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
606 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

GAZ076-072230-
Jefferson GA-
606 PM EDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM EDT...

At 606 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Moxley, or near
Louisville...moving northeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Louisville, Wadley, Bartow, Matthews, Moxley and Stellaville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3311 8228 3305 8229 3294 8227 3285 8231
      3282 8236 3283 8249 3292 8251 3293 8252
      3327 8228 3327 8227 3323 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 221DEG 14KT 3293 8238

WIND...40MPH