Alert archive / Texas / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 272, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 1, 2021Burnet County, Llano County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this areal flood advisory at Oct 1, 2021, 2:57 AM CDT for Burnet County, Llano County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 1, 2021, 2:57 AM CDT (07:57 UTC)
Expired
Oct 1, 2021, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Burnet County, TX, Llano County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-10-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 316 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-10-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 135 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
316 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-174 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1274 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
258 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Oct 1, 2:30 AM CDT, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 1, 2:30 AM CDT, 27 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 7:17 PM CDT, 7 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
717 PM CDT Thu Sep 30 2021

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-020030-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
717 PM CDT Thu Sep 30 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected tonight.
Locally heavy rains of 2 to 6 inches are possible tonight into
Friday. With each successive round of rainfall, the potential for
flooding should increase as soils become more saturated and area
creeks and streams become swollen. There is also a marginal to
slight risk of strong to severe storms across the Edwards Plateau
and Rio Grande areas. Large hail and damaging winds are also
possible with the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue
Friday through Sunday. Locally heavy rains are possible Friday and
Saturday with 2 to 6 inches possible tonight into Friday and 1 to
3 inches possible on Saturday. With each successive round of
rainfall, the potential for flooding should increase as soils
become more saturated and area creeks and streams become swollen.
Gusty winds and hail are possible with the stronger storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Formal activation of storm spotters is not expected, but timely
reports of severe winds, hail, and flooding are appreciated.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 30, 11:19 PM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1119 PM CDT Thu Sep 30 2021

TXZ183>187-202-203-010515-
Uvalde TX-Kerr TX-Kinney TX-Val Verde TX-Edwards TX-Real TX-
Bandera TX-
1119 PM CDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Bandera, Kerr, Kinney, northern Uvalde, central Edwards, southeastern
Val Verde and Real Counties through 1215 AM CDT...

At 1119 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Barksdale, or 16 miles west of Leakey, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Del Rio, Brackettville, Rocksprings, Leakey, Vanderpool, Hunt, Camp
Wood, Lake View, Laguna, Tuff, Concan, Kerr Wildlife Management Area,
Waltonia, Reagan Wells, Alamo Village, Cienegas Terrace, Black Brush
Point, Amanda, Garner State Park and Val Verde Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2974 10103 2973 10025 3029 10018 3028 9930
      3014 9930 3013 9923 2929 9961 2919 10077
      2926 10081 2935 10095 2936 10100 2946 10106
      2947 10110
TIME...MOT...LOC 0419Z 291DEG 27KT 2975 10004

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

AAT
Local storm report, Sep 30, 11:55 PM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1155 PM CDT THU SEP 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1141 PM     HAIL             LAUGHLIN AFB            29.36N 100.78W
09/30/2021  E0.75 INCH       VAL VERDE          TX   OTHER FEDERAL

            LAUGHLIN AFB WEATHER OBSERVERS REPORT 0.50
            TO 0.75 INCH DIAMETER HAIL.

&&

EMP
Special weather statement, Oct 1, 12:16 AM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1216 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

TXZ185>188-202>204-217-010600-
Maverick TX-Uvalde TX-Gillespie TX-Kerr TX-Kinney TX-Medina TX-
Real TX-Bandera TX-
1216 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Medina,
Bandera, Kerr, Kinney, northern Maverick, Uvalde, western Gillespie
and southeastern Real Counties through 100 AM CDT...

At 1216 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Vanderpool, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Medina, Kerrville, Uvalde, Brackettville, Bandera, Leakey, Spofford,
Quemado, Tarpley, Vanderpool, Ingram, Hunt, Laguna, Tuff,
Kerrville-Schreiner Park, Concan, Kerr Wildlife Management Area,
Waltonia, Dabney and Anacacho.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3050 9902 2975 9907 2942 9929 2909 10003
      2909 10011 2903 10011 2881 10054 2883 10057
      2889 10059 2891 10064 2909 10067 2917 10078
      2923 10080 2926 10075 2934 10071 2962 10070
      2963 9985 3029 9956 3029 9930 3050 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 287DEG 21KT 2973 9950

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

AAT
Special weather statement, Oct 1, 12:58 AM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1258 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

TXZ202-203-217-218-010700-
Maverick TX-Uvalde TX-Kinney TX-Zavala TX-
1258 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Kinney,
northern Maverick, Uvalde and northern Zavala Counties through 200 AM
CDT...

At 1257 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Washer, or 10 miles southwest of Uvalde, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Uvalde, Spofford, Quemado, La Pryor, Batesville, Sabinal, Laguna,
Concan, Darling, Uvalde Estates, Dabney, Cline, Anacacho, Reagan
Wells, Utopia, Knippa, Blewett, Paloma, Washer and Montell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2878 10054 2882 10055 2883 10058 2885 10057
      2888 10060 2889 10059 2891 10062 2896 10065
      2909 10067 2911 10069 2914 10074 2920 10077
      2928 10024 2962 10010 2962 9942 2896 9941
TIME...MOT...LOC 0557Z 293DEG 25KT 2912 9992

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

AAT
Special weather statement, Oct 1, 12:59 AM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1259 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

TXZ171-186>190-010645-
Blanco TX-Gillespie TX-Kerr TX-Llano TX-Bandera TX-Kendall TX-
1259 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Bandera, eastern
Kerr, northwestern Blanco, Gillespie, Llano and Kendall Counties
through 145 AM CDT...

At 1259 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southeast of Tivydale, or 9 miles southwest of Fredericksburg,
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Medina, Kerrville, Boerne, Fredericksburg, Llano, Comfort, Bandera,
Tarpley, Ingram, Hunt, Stonewall, Castell, Field Creek, Bandera
Falls, Kerrville-Schreiner Park, Rocky Hill, Waltonia, Baby Head,
Blumenthal and Waring.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2994 9855 2962 9905 2963 9951 3029 9939
      3029 9930 3050 9931 3050 9896 3092 9896
      3092 9854
TIME...MOT...LOC 0559Z 267DEG 22KT 3018 9900

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

AAT
Special weather statement, Oct 1, 1:57 AM CDT, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
157 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

TXZ203-204-217>219-228-010800-
Frio TX-Maverick TX-Uvalde TX-Dimmit TX-Medina TX-Zavala TX-
157 AM CDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Medina,
northeastern Maverick, north central Dimmit, southern Uvalde, Zavala
and northwestern Frio Counties through 300 AM CDT...

At 157 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Batesville, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Uvalde, Crystal City, Carrizo Springs, La Pryor, Batesville, Chula
Vista-River Spur, Blewett, Washer, Las Colonias, Winter Haven, Uvalde
Estates, Loma Vista, Bluff, Frio Town, Knippa and Brundage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2851 9990 2902 10026 2909 10018 2909 10012
      2915 10011 2938 9985 2901 9898
TIME...MOT...LOC 0657Z 286DEG 24KT 2901 9963

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

AAT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 30, 7:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXTerrell45 min
Sep 30, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde56 min
Sep 30, 8:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde50 min
Sep 30, 8:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBurnet16 min
Sep 30, 9:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde49 min
Sep 30, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Val Verde50 min
Sep 30, 10:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde53 min
Sep 30, 10:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXEdwards, Real49 min
Sep 30, 11:12 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Val Verde3 hr
Sep 30, 11:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKerr, Kinney, Real, Uvalde56 min
Sep 30, 11:33 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXVal Verde3 hr
Oct 1, 12:13 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real3 hr
Oct 1, 12:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBandera, Kerr, Kinney, Uvalde44 min
Oct 1, 12:37 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXGillespie, Kerr3 hr
Oct 1, 12:48 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Val Verde3 hr
Oct 1, 12:58 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde62 min
Oct 1, 12:59 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Llano46 min
Oct 1, 1:25 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKinney, Uvalde, Zavala3 hr
Oct 1, 1:49 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala4 hr
Oct 1, 1:57 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXZavala63 min
Oct 1, 2:16 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXGillespie, Llano3 hr
Oct 1, 4:11 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKinney, Maverick4 hr
Oct 1, 4:16 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar3 hr
Oct 1, 4:26 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXHays, Travis, Williamson4 hr
Oct 1, 4:44 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXTravis3 hr
Oct 1, 5:07 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXWilson3 hr
Oct 1, 6:37 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop3 hr
Oct 1, 6:46 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar, Guadalupe3 hr
Oct 1, 6:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXTerrell38 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Texas, 2021Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.