Special Weather Statement, NWS Kansas City, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
228 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021

.Discussion...
Issued at 220 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2021

Key messages:

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop again
  this afternoon. A few storms could be strong to severe, with
  wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to the size of half dollars
  being the primary threats.

- Localized moderate to heavy rainfall will be possible with these
  storms. A flash flood watch is in effect until 7 pm for areas
  south and southeast of the KC metro where up to 3 inches of rain
  fell earlier today.

- Much cooler than normal temperatures will persist through the
  holiday weekend and into the first few days of June.

Discussion:

The cold front is currently draped across northwest MO into
northeastern KS and slowly making its way to the southeast.
Towering cumulus and showers are beginning to develop along and
ahead of this cold front, with scattered thunderstorms expected to
develop by around 3 to 4 pm and move to the southeast through the
remainder of the afternoon and early evening hours. Some clearing
behind this mornings convection has allowed for some modest
destabilization to occur, so a few storms could be strong to
perhaps marginally severe, with strong wind gusts up to 60 mph and
hail up to the size of half dollars being the primary threats.
Localized moderate to heavy rainfall will also be possible, and a
flash flood watch is in effect through 7 pm tonight for areas
south and southeast of the KC metro where up to 3 to even 4 inches
of rain fell earlier today.

Showers and storms should completely exit the region by late
evening, with low level stratus hanging through the overnight
period and low temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s. Cloud
cover and cold air advection behind the cold front will lead to a
chilly Friday, with highs only expected to reach the mid 50s to
around 60 degrees. The record low high for KC for Friday's date
is 59 degrees, so that could potentially be threatened tomorrow
(forecast high as of now is 60 degrees).

Temperatures will warm a bit as we head into the holiday weekend,
although remaining below climatological normals, with highs
warming into the mid to upper 60s for Saturday through Monday.

A weak mid level impulse moves into the area Monday into Tuesday,
which will reintroduce chances for showers. Instability looks
marginal to nonexistent, so thunderstorms are not expected at this
time. As we enter into June and meteorological summer, high
temperatures will still only warm into the low 70s.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2021

Currently VFR at all terminals with some isolated showers in the
vicinity of the terminals. Winds have turned back to southeasterly
at all terminals except for STJ. Another round of scattered to
perhaps even widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop along and ahead of the approaching cold front this
afternoon, with the most likely time frame for these occurring between
20z and 23z (19z and 22z at STJ). Periods of lowered VSBY, heavy
rain, frequent lightning, gusty winds, and hail may be possible at
the terminals if impacted by a storm. Winds will shift to
northwesterly after the passage of the cold front. CIGs are
expected to lower to MVFR by around 10z Friday morning.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ057-060.

MO...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ043>045-053-
     054.

&&

Discussion...BMW
Aviation...BMW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
343 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-280845-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
343 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Early morning storms are expected to move through the area producing
gusty winds and brief heavy rain. Additional storms are possible
this afternoon. Some of these storms may be strong to severe
producing wind gusts to 65 mph, large hail, locally heavy rainfall
and perhaps a tornado. The severe threat is expected to quickly
diminish towards sunset.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Much cooler conditions are expected Friday night into the weekend.
Temperatures may fall into the upper 30s Friday night near the Iowa
Missouri border leading to areas of patchy frost.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
508 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     HAIL             4 SSW KEARNEY           39.31N 94.40W
05/27/2021  E1.50 INCH       CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

            CALLER PHONED INTO OFFICE REPORTING LARGE
            HAIL WHILE DRIVING NORTH ON I-35 TOWARDS
            KEARNEY.

&&

EMK

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>