Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021
River Flood Warning 37, NWS Corpus Christi, TX
NWS Corpus Christi, TX issued this river flood warning at Jul 7, 2021, 3:30 AM CDT for Refugio County, Texas. It took effect at Jul 8, 2021, 12:36 AM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 7, 2021, 3:30 AM CDT (08:30 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 8, 2021, 12:36 AM CDT
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2021, 9:19 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 days
- Issued by
- NWS Corpus Christi, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Major
County Refugio County, TX
The radar
The Corpus Christi radar (KCRP), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Mission River at Refugio (REFT2). The gauge peaked at 31.23 ft at Jul 11, 2021, 3:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 20 ft
- Minor stage
- 23 ft
- Moderate stage
- 26 ft
- Major stage
- 30 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08189500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
029
WGUS44 KCRP 070830
FLWCRP
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
330 AM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
...The National Weather Service in Corpus Christi TX has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Flooding is occurring or is imminent. Most flood related deaths
occur in automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges,
dips, or low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream,
even a small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route
over higher ground.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-072330-
/O.NEW.KCRP.FL.W.0037.210708T0536Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210708T0536Z.210709T0000Z.210710T0500Z.NO/
330 AM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
The National Weather Service in Corpus Christi has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At 3:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 2.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 15.1 feet late this morning. It
will then fall to 10.5 feet and begin rising again this afternoon.
Based on forecast rainfall, it will rise above flood late tonight
and continue to rise to 31.3 feet tomorrow evening. It will then
fall to 31.2 feet and begin rising again tomorrow evening. It will
rise to 31.3 feet late tomorrow evening. Flooding is forecast
through the end of the week.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 2.7 Wed 3 am 26.6 29.8 21.9 13.0 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
PH24 follow-up statements
635
WGUS84 KCRP 071458
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
958 AM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...
Mission River at Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-080300-
/O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0037.210708T0536Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210708T1056Z.210709T0700Z.210710T1200Z.NO/
958 AM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Wednesday, the stage was 3.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Thursday
morning, crest near 31.5 feet early Friday morning, then drop
below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (10 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 3.4 Wed 9 am 27.4 29.5 21.9 12.6 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$337
WGUS84 KCRP 071928
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
228 PM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-081030-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.210708T1156Z-210711T0500Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210708T1156Z.210709T0700Z.210710T1300Z.NO/
228 PM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* From Thursday morning to early Sunday morning.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow morning to a crest of 31.5 feet early Friday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (2 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 6.1 Wed 2 pm 28.9 28.9 20.6 11.7 7.1
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC931
WGUS84 KCRP 080222
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
922 PM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-081730-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.210708T1500Z-210711T1045Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210708T1500Z.210709T1000Z.210710T1845Z.NO/
922 PM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* From Thursday morning to early Sunday morning.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
Thursday morning to a crest of 30.3 feet early Friday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.0
feet on 07/06/2007.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 9.7 Wed 9 pm 27.5 28.7 20.1 11.1 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TMT145
WGUS84 KCRP 080806
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
306 AM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-082315-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.210708T1800Z-210711T1240Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210708T1800Z.210710T0000Z.210710T2040Z.NO/
306 AM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* From this afternoon to Sunday morning.
* At 2:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will oscillate around the moderate flood
stage and will crest at around 29.2 feet Friday evening. The river
will fall below action stage on Sunday.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 10.7 Thu 2 am 23.1 27.4 18.3 9.2 5.3
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
ADAMS731
WGUS84 KCRP 081314
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
814 AM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-090415-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.210708T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210708T1800Z.210710T0000Z.210710T2040Z.NO/
814 AM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 7:01 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will oscillate around flood stage with a
maximum value of 29.4 feet tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 10.7 Thu 2 am 27.7 25.6 16.5 9.2 5.6
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
MCZ620
WGUS84 KCRP 081858
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
158 PM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-091000-
/O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210709T0820Z.210710T0100Z.210710T2200Z.NO/
158 PM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 1:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tonight to a crest of 29.5 feet tomorrow evening. It will then
fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (2 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 15.3 Thu 1 pm 28.7 24.3 14.6 6.7 3.9
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
MCZ188
WGUS84 KCRP 090234
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
934 PM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-091745-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210711T1937Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210709T0755Z.210709T1300Z.210711T0336Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until early Sunday afternoon.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after
midnight tonight to 27.5 feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall
to 27.2 feet and begin rising again tomorrow morning. It will rise
to 27.5 feet late tomorrow morning. It will then fall to 25.4 feet
and begin rising again tomorrow evening. It will rise to 27.1 feet
early Saturday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs. Flooding
occurs in the city park including the pavilion building.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (10 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 17.6 Thu 9 pm 25.6 23.3 13.9 6.6 4.3
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC700
WGUS84 KCRP 090919
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
419 AM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-100030-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210709T1132Z.210710T1300Z.210711T0512Z.NO/
419 AM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 3:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will oscillate around flood stage with a
maximum value of 27.7 feet Saturday morning. The river is expected
to fall below flood levels early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs. Flooding
occurs in the city park including the pavillion building.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (4 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 19.2 Fri 3 am 27.0 21.2 10.6 6.3 4.2
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
ANM900
WGUS84 KCRP 091418
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
918 AM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-100530-
/O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210709T1736Z.210710T1500Z.210711T1012Z.NO/
918 AM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this afternoon
and continue to rise to near 28.9 feet Saturday morning. The river
is expected to fall below flood levels early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 20.8 Fri 8 am 28.8 20.8 12.9 8.1 6.1
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
ANM899
WGUS84 KCRP 092005
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
305 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-101115-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210712T0900Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210709T2340Z.210710T1800Z.210711T1700Z.NO/
305 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this evening to
28.4 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall to 28.3 feet
and begin rising again early tomorrow afternoon. It will rise to
28.4 feet tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 21.9 Fri 2 pm 28.4 21.7 14.4 9.7 6.1
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC410
WGUS84 KCRP 100153
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
853 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-101700-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210712T1030Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210710T0205Z.210710T2100Z.210711T1830Z.NO/
853 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this evening to a crest of 28.4 feet tomorrow afternoon. It will
then fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 22.8 Fri 8 pm 27.6 20.2 13.4 8.6 6.0
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC434
WGUS84 KCRP 101416
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
916 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-110530-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210710T0254Z.210710T2300Z.210711T1600Z.NO/
916 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise to a crest of 26.8 feet
late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs. Flooding
occurs in the city park including the pavillion building.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 25.5 Sat 8 am 23.9 13.4 5.7 3.4 2.9
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
ANM462
WGUS84 KCRP 101958
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
258 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-111100-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210712T1000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210710T0254Z.210710T2200Z.210711T1800Z.NO/
258 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 28.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 2:00 PM CDT Saturday was 28.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.3 feet
late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early
tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 28.8 Sat 2 pm 22.4 12.9 5.7 3.9 3.5
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC208
WGUS44 KCRP 102237
FLWCRP
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
537 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Flooding is occurring or is imminent. Most flood related deaths
occur in automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges,
dips, or low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream,
even a small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route
over higher ground.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-111345-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210712T2140Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0100Z.210712T0540Z.NO/
537 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity and
increased in duration until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 5:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 5:00 PM CDT Saturday was 29.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to rise to 30 feet this evening
before starting a slow fall. It will then fall below flood stage
early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (6 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 29.7 Sat 5 pm 25.7 15.9 9.2 6.3 5.0
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC035
WGUS84 KCRP 102321
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
621 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Even 6 inches of fast-moving flood water can knock you off your feet
and a depth of 2 feet will float your car. Never try to walk, swim,
or drive through such swift water. If you come upon flood waters,
stop, turn around and go another way.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-111430-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210712T1945Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0300Z.210712T0345Z.NO/
621 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until early Monday afternoon.
* At 6:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 29.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 6:00 PM CDT Saturday was 29.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 30.8 feet late this evening
before beginning a slow fall. It will then fall below flood stage
late tomorrow evening. However, additional rises may be possible.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (6 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 29.9 Sat 6 pm 24.7 15.5 9.0 6.2 4.9
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC352
WGUS84 KCRP 110224
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
924 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-111730-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210713T0140Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0400Z.210712T0940Z.NO/
924 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 30.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:00 PM CDT Saturday was 30.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 30.9 feet
late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 30.8 Sat 9 pm 26.0 16.8 10.1 6.8 5.1
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
TC309
WGUS84 KCRP 110423
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1123 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-111930-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0500Z.210712T1145Z.NO/
1123 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 11:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 31.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.2 feet
just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (11 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 31.1 Sat 11 pm 26.2 16.6 10.0 6.7 5.0
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
87236
WGUS84 KCRP 111430
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
930 AM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio,
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-120530-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210713T0813Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0800Z.210712T1612Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until early Tuesday morning.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:00 AM CDT Sunday was 31.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and is expected to remain in
major flood through this afternoon. It will then fall below flood
stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 4.9 feet
Friday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 31.0 Sun 8 am 23.9 14.8 9.0 6.2 4.8
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
EMF567
WGUS84 KCRP 112017
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
317 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in Texas...
Mission River at Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Major flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-120345-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0800Z.210712T1948Z.NO/
317 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 3:00 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 30.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall, dropping below flood
stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet, major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 30.4 Sun 3 pm 22.9 14.5 8.9 6.2 4.7
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$234
WGUS84 KCRP 120205
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
905 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...
Mission River at Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-121615-
/O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.3.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0800Z.210712T2345Z.NO/
905 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Sunday, the stage was 29.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue a slow fall, dropping below
flood stage late Monday night.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet, major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 29.8 Sun 8 pm 22.2 13.7 9.7 7.0 5.5
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$987
WGUS84 KCRP 121330
FLSCRP
Flood Statement...RESENT
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
830 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-130430-
/O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0800Z.210713T0720Z.NO/
830 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 28.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just
after midnight tonight and continue falling to below caution stage
late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Flow is to
the slab elevation of the lowest homes in the northwest section of
Refugio, and requires evacuations.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 28.8 Mon 8 am 21.3 14.5 9.4 6.5 5.1
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
ANM388
WGUS84 KCRP 130124
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
824 PM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...
Mission River at Refugio affecting Refugio County.
For the Mission River...including Refugio...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-131530-
/O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.2.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0800Z.210713T1500Z.NO/
824 PM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Monday, the stage was 26.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue a slow fall, dropping below
flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 26.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding occurs. Flooding
occurs in the city park including the pavilion building.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 26.9 Mon 8 pm 20.1 14.6 9.8 7.0 5.4
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$437
WGUS84 KCRP 131519
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1019 AM CDT Tue Jul 13 2021
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/crp.
&&
TXC391-140630-
/O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REFT2.1.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0800Z.210713T1536Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Tue Jul 13 2021
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 26.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is continuing to fall, and is expected to
fall below flood stage late this morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding occurs. The lowest
areas of the city park and facilities, including the pavillion
building are flooded. Much of park is also flooded.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (10 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 23.2 Tue 10 am 16.6 11.6 8.3 6.2 5.0
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
ADAMS077
WGUS84 KCRP 140219
FLSCRP
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
919 PM CDT Tue Jul 13 2021
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in Texas...
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County.
TXC391-140330-
/O.CAN.KCRP.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210714T0219Z/
/REFT2.1.ER.210710T0254Z.210711T0800Z.210713T1523Z.NO/
919 PM CDT Tue Jul 13 2021
...The Flood Warning for the Mission River At Refugio has been
cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Mission River At Refugio.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has fallen below flood stage and is also
below caution stage. This will be the last forecast.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Mission River
Refugio 23.0 18.8 Tue 8 pm 13.0 9.0 6.7 5.3 4.5
&&
LAT...LON 2827 9737 2835 9730 2820 9714 2814 9721
2819 9730
$$
MCZWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 7, 12:55 AM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 12:55 AM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1255 AM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021
.AVIATION...06Z TAFs
Radar and surface observations shows a surface to mid level
circulation just west of ALI. Models keep this area of circulation
essentially stationary through the day. Stronger low level flow
from the Gulf will maintain a convergence zone along the coast.
Expect convection will continue to increase along the coast during
the overnight hours with showers developing on the western edge
of the circulation over the Brush Country before daybreak. MVFR
ceilings prevailing along the coast at this time while IFR
ceilings occurring over the inland coastal plains. Expect ceilings
will fall to IFR along the coast with MVFR to IFR ceilings
reaching the western Brush Country by 10Z. Periodic showers with
embedded thunderstorms will continue through the day with a
gradual decrease in coverage expected by late afternoon and early
evening. Expect another increase in convection over the coastal
counties Wednesday evening. IFR vsbys will occur within the
stronger showers and storms.
&&
PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 337 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021/
SHORT TERM (Tonight through Wednesday Night)...
The stage is now set for what looks to be a significant, multi-day
rainfall event over much of the Coastal Bend courtesy of a
stationary mid-level low and exceptionally rich PWATs of 2.3" to
2.6" spanning all of South Texas. Some spots in Aransas County
have already received just over 6 inches (radar estimated) in the
past 24 hours. Although a large MCS in the RGV has currently
disrupted much of rainfall over the region this afternoon, this
should change toward midnight as coastal convergence ramps up and
leads to numerous showers and storms along our coastal counties.
Model soundings remain textbook for flash flooding given deep,
warm rain processes with tall and skinny CAPE, and generally weak
steering flow. The 700-500 mb low is forecast to wobble over S TX
through Wednesday night with a deep S-SE fetch extending from the
western Gulf through the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads.
The greatest focus for flooding remains over these areas thanks to
stronger speed convergence along the coast, and mean northerly
shear carrying this activity slowly northward.
Conservative 48-hour QPF output from the HREF mean blankets our
coastal counties in 6-12" of rain, with pockets of even higher
values. Given increasing confidence in the location and timing of
convection in this pattern, we extended the Flash Flood Watch
until Thursday evening as another burst of nocturnal rainfall is
likely Wednesday night mainly along/near the coast. Rainfall
farther inland (west of the FF Watch) should be more scattered and
diurnal in nature with flash flooding less likely. WPC has upgraded
the Day 2 ERO to Moderate for roughly the eastern half of our
CWA. Lastly, no changes to note to the already seasonably cool
high temps in this cloudy and wet pattern.
LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)...
Unsettled weather continues through the long term as the overall
synoptic pattern remains largely unchanged with a Monsoonal High
pressure meandering between the Great Basin and 4 corners region,
eastern Conus troughing extending down from Canada, and a Bermuda
High over the Atlantic. This blocking pattern will keep a mid-
level low more or less in place near the S.TX/NE Mexico border
with some westward regression this weekend.
Model guidance for Thursday has PWAT's 2.25" - 2.50" which is well
above the normal value of ~1.90" for this time of year. The GFS is
suggesting a peak of 2.58" on Thursday. The GFS compared to recent
obs has been slightly underestimating the amount of moisture. The
latest model runs have trended a little higher while the GFS has
trended lower. That being said am leaning towards a PWAT 2.50" for
Thursday.
Heavy rainfall and the flash flooding threat will continue into the
early part of the extended with a skinny CAPE profile. CAPE values
generally ranging less than 1,400 J/kg. WPC has most of S. TX under
a Slight Risk ERO for Thursday. Considering the amount of rain
already received and the deep moisture profile with the lingering
low, expecting that additional flood/Flash Flood products will be
needed. Most of the uncertainty in the forecast lies in the exact
location of the low. If it remains close to S. TX with our CWA on
the eastern side, this scenario would result in higher rainfall
amounts as there would be more support and would help to promote a
deeper moisture layer profile.
As we head into the weekend, and as the low moves away, expecting
shower and thunder activity to decrease and PWAT's will trend lower,
perhaps dropping below 2.0" early next week. However, have
maintained chances each day throughout the period.
As Tropical Storm Elsa nears the Florida coast, wave heights and
swell periods across South Texas may increase heading into the
weekend. Guidance already has forecasted tide levels near 1.5 ft
above MSL, and combined with higher seas and longer swell periods,
increased rip current risk and minor coastal flooding will be
possible.
Expecting temperatures to remain largely unchanged with afternoon
highs in the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows ranging in the 70s
across South Texas.
MARINE...
Numerous showers and some thunderstorms will continue on and off
tonight through Wednesday night as an upper low remains parked
over South Texas. Moderate onshore flow is expected tonight and
Wednesday, with Small Craft Exercise Caution levels at times,
before becoming weak to moderate Wednesday evening. Occasional
strong storms will be capable of locally higher winds and waves,
along with brief waterspouts. Onshore flow becomes moderate
Thursday through the weekend. Swells from Tropical Storm Elsa
will likely move into the region and increase wave heights
Thursday through Saturday. Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions
are likely throughout this time-frame. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected Thursday and isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible daily from Friday
through the end of the period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 74 83 76 85 77 / 80 80 60 50 30
Victoria 72 83 74 83 76 / 80 70 60 50 30
Laredo 74 86 75 86 76 / 70 70 60 60 30
Alice 73 85 73 87 76 / 80 80 60 50 30
Rockport 76 86 78 88 79 / 80 80 60 50 30
Cotulla 73 88 75 89 76 / 60 70 40 60 30
Kingsville 74 83 74 85 76 / 80 80 60 50 30
Navy Corpus 76 85 78 87 81 / 80 80 60 40 30
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening For the following
zones: Aransas Islands...Bee...Calhoun Islands...Coastal
Aransas...Coastal Calhoun...Coastal Kleberg...Coastal
Nueces...Coastal Refugio...Coastal San Patricio...Goliad...
Inland Calhoun...Inland Kleberg...Inland Nueces...Inland
Refugio...Inland San Patricio...Jim Wells...Kleberg
Islands...Live Oak...Nueces Islands...Victoria.
GM...None.
&&
TMT/89...AVIATIONHazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 3:42 PM CDT, 11 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 342 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021 TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-072045- La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval- Jim Wells-Inland Kleberg-Inland Nueces-Inland San Patricio- Coastal Aransas-Inland Refugio-Inland Calhoun-Coastal Kleberg- Coastal Nueces-Coastal San Patricio-Aransas Islands- Coastal Refugio-Coastal Calhoun-Kleberg Islands-Nueces Islands- Calhoun Islands- 342 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021 This hazardous weather outlook is for South Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the Coastal Bend and the Victoria Crossroads until Thursday evening. Scattered to numerous showers and some thunderstorms are expected through tonight, with heavy rainfall and flash flooding at times, mainly from the Coastal Bend to the Victoria Crossroads. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected daily Wednesday through Thursday. Heavy rainfall could lead to localized flooding at times Wednesday through Thursday. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible Friday into the weekend. A higher risk of rip currents along with minor coastal flooding will be possible Wednesday through Friday in response to Tropical Storm Elsa. GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-072045- Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas- Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor- Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM-Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM- 342 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021 This hazardous weather outlook is for the Middle Texas Coastal Waters. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected over the Gulf waters through tonight. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected daily through Thursday. Some storms could produce gusty winds. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible Friday, becoming isolated for the weekend. Increased swells from Tropical Storm Elsa may lead to Small Craft Advisory Conditions Thursday and Friday.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 6, 9:33 PM CDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
933 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021
TXZ243-343-344-443-070315-
Inland Nueces-Coastal Nueces-Coastal San Patricio-Nueces Islands-
933 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021
...A SHOWER WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN NUECES AND SOUTH CENTRAL SAN
PATRICIO COUNTIES...
At 932 PM CDT, a shower was located over Flour Bluff, or 7 miles
southeast of Corpus Christi, moving northwest at 10 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this shower.
Locations impacted include...
Corpus Christi, Portland, Corpus Christi International Airport, Flour
Bluff, Corpus Christi Country Club, South Texas Botanical Gardens,
Corpus Christi North Beach, Cabaniss Field, Kings Crossing
Subdivision, Bay Area Medical Center, Del Mar College East Campus,
Cole Park, Spohn Hospital South, Driscoll Childrens Hospital, Del Mar
College West Campus, Texas A&M University Corpus Christi, Waldron
Field, Downtown Corpus Christi, La Palmera Mall and Corpus Christi
Naval Air Station.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 37 between mile markers 1 and 5.
US Highway 181 between mile markers 642 and 648.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
LAT...LON 2775 9757 2791 9733 2766 9717 2756 9732
2756 9735
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 152DEG 8KT 2767 9731
TELocal storm report, Jul 6, 11:23 PM CDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1123 PM CDT TUE JUL 6 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 W CC NAS 27.69N 97.33W
07/06/2021 NUECES TX BROADCAST MEDIA
SPECTRUM NEWS REPORTED FLOODING AT THE
INTERSECTION OF ENNIS JOSLIN AND SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND DRIVE (SPID).
&&
87Local storm report, Jul 6, 11:29 PM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1129 PM CDT TUE JUL 6 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW FLOUR BLUFF 27.65N 97.31W
07/06/2021 NUECES TX BROADCAST MEDIA
SPECTRUM NEWS REPORTED FLOODING ALONG GRAND
CANAL DRIVE IN FLOWER BLUFF.
&&
87Local storm report, Jul 6, 11:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1138 PM CDT TUE JUL 6 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW FLOUR BLUFF 27.65N 97.31W
07/06/2021 NUECES TX BROADCAST MEDIA
SPECTRUM NEWS STORM SPOTTER REPORTED
FLOODING ALONG GLEN OAK DRIVE, BETWEEN FLOUR
BLUFF DRIVE AND ST. PETER STREET, IN FLOUR
BLUFF.
&&
87Local storm report, Jul 6, 11:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1140 PM CDT TUE JUL 6 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW FLOUR BLUFF 27.65N 97.31W
07/06/2021 NUECES TX BROADCAST MEDIA
SPECTRUM NEWS STORM SPOTTER REPORTED FLOODING ALONG GRAND
CANAL DRIVE IN FLOUR BLUFF.
&&
87The office that day
Everything else NWS Corpus Christi, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 8:10 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 35 min | |
| Jul 6, 8:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | CRP | Nueces | 33 min |
| Jul 6, 9:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | CRP | Nueces | 42 min |
| Jul 6, 10:05 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio | 11 days |
| Jul 6, 10:19 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Nueces | 3 hr |
| Jul 6, 11:05 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Nueces | 3 hr |
| Jul 6, 11:59 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Bee, Refugio, San Patricio | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:21 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Aransas, Refugio | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 3:25 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 65 min | |
| Jul 7, 3:46 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | CRP | Nueces | 5 days |
| Jul 7, 4:26 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 64 min | |
| Jul 7, 5:00 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Kleberg, Nueces | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 5:56 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Aransas, Refugio | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 6:42 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 7:00 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 7:56 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun, Goliad, Refugio, Victoria | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 8:17 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 28 min | |
| Jul 7, 8:42 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Kleberg, Nueces | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 8:46 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio, San Patricio | 119 min |
| Jul 7, 9:12 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun, Refugio, Victoria | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 9:34 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | CRP | Calhoun, Refugio, Victoria | 8 days |
| Jul 7, 9:39 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Calhoun, Victoria | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 10:48 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 11:12 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 14 min | |
| Jul 7, 11:44 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas | 5 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:06 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 54 min | |
| Jul 7, 1:38 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Bee | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 1:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio | 116 min |
| Jul 7, 1:52 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Goliad, Refugio, Victoria | 113 min |
| Jul 7, 2:01 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun, Refugio | 119 min |
| Jul 7, 2:32 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 118 min | |
| Jul 7, 3:25 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 2 hr | |
| Jul 7, 3:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio | 7 hr |
| Jul 7, 3:54 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 2 hr | |
| Jul 7, 4:13 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CRP | Jim Wells | 26 min |
| Jul 7, 4:22 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 113 min | |
| Jul 7, 4:39 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Jim Wells | 81 min |
| Jul 7, 4:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | CRP | Jim Wells | 41 min |
| Jul 7, 5:59 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | CRP | 91 min | |
| Jul 7, 6:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Calhoun, Refugio, Victoria | 4 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.