Alert archive / Colorado / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

July 15, 2021Lincoln County, Colorado

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued this special weather statement at Jul 15, 2021, 2:42 PM MDT for Lincoln County, Colorado. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2021, 2:42 PM MDT (20:42 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2021, 3:30 PM MDT
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

County Lincoln County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-427 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 15, 11:46 AM MDT, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 11:46 AM MDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before
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<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 10:39 AM MDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1039 AM MDT Thu Jul 15 2021

COZ030>051-161645-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1039 AM MDT Thu Jul 15 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop over the
mountains and Cheyenne Ridge by early afternoon, and move or
develop southeastward across the plains through the late afternoon
and early evening. The main area for severe storms should be from
the Colorado-Wyoming border to the south and east, toward
Sterling, Fort Morgan, and Akron. The main threats from storms
will be large hail and damaging wind, if the airmass can
destabilize sufficiently. There is a limited risk of flash
flooding in the Cameron Peak and Calwood burn areas as the airmass
is beginning to dry slightly across the high country. Storms are
expected to diminish through the evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Isolated to scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms
will be possible from Friday through the weekend. One or two of
the storms across the far northeastern plains could become severe
Friday and Saturday. Dry weather is expected next week with
slightly above normal temperatures.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be required today or tonight, but any
reports of heavy rainfall, hail, or strong winds will be
appreciated.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 2:42 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Denver CO
242 PM MDT Thu Jul 15 2021

COZ046-047-152130-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County CO-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County CO-
242 PM MDT Thu Jul 15 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ELBERT AND CENTRAL
LINCOLN COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM MDT...

At 241 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles northeast of Kutch to 10 miles south of
Hugo to 7 miles south of Arriba, or along a line extending from 50
miles east of Colorado Springs to 21 miles southeast of Limon to 15
miles southwest of Flagler. Movement was south at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Hugo, Kutch, Karval, Boyero and Punkin Center.

LAT...LON 3903 10394 3903 10393 3905 10390 3906 10391
      3906 10393 3907 10393 3922 10329 3887 10317
      3871 10340 3868 10384
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 339DEG 28KT 3897 10383 3899 10351 3917 10331

ENTREKIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 6:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBOUWeld24 min
Jul 14, 6:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBOUMorgan31 min
Jul 14, 6:47 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBOUDenver88 min
Jul 14, 7:39 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBOUMorgan72 min
Jul 15, 1:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln38 min
Jul 15, 2:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln46 min
Jul 15, 3:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBOUWashington26 min
Jul 15, 3:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln52 min
Jul 15, 5:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld44 min
Jul 15, 5:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld29 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Colorado, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.