Tornado Warning 52, NWS Birmingham, AL

002 
WWUS54 KBMX 252022
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
322 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

ALC119-252100-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0052.000000T0000Z-210325T2100Z/
Sumter AL-
322 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN SUMTER COUNTY...
    
At 322 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Emelle, or 11 miles northwest of Livingston, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville, Epes, Emelle and Sumterville. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3279 8837 3288 8818 3286 8816 3285 8816
      3284 8818 3283 8818 3283 8814 3280 8810
      3280 8807 3279 8806 3277 8808 3278 8810
      3277 8811 3272 8808 3269 8812 3268 8809
      3269 8804 3267 8806 3262 8838
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 233DEG 42KT 3269 8836 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

32/Davis

911 
WWUS54 KBMX 252038
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
338 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

ALC119-252100-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0052.000000T0000Z-210325T2100Z/
Sumter AL-
338 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY...
    
At 338 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Gainesville, or 12 miles north of Livingston, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3281 8826 3288 8818 3286 8816 3285 8816
      3284 8818 3283 8818 3283 8814 3280 8810
      3280 8807 3279 8806 3277 8808 3278 8810
      3277 8811 3275 8810 3274 8812 3272 8823
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 241DEG 39KT 3278 8818 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

32/Davis

215 
WWUS54 KBMX 252048
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
348 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

ALC119-252058-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.W.0052.000000T0000Z-210325T2100Z/
Sumter AL-
348 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning in NORTHERN Sumter County has 
moved out of the area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for west central
Alabama.

Remember, a Tornado Warning still REMAINS IN EFFECT for SOUTHERN 
Sumter County.

LAT...LON 3281 8826 3288 8818 3286 8816 3285 8816
      3284 8818 3283 8818 3283 8814 3280 8810
      3280 8807 3279 8806 3277 8808 3278 8810
      3277 8811 3275 8810 3274 8812 3272 8823
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 244DEG 38KT 3283 8806 

$$

32/Davis

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1239 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

.UPDATE...
For 18Z Aviation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 450 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021/
Today through Friday.

So far this AM we have had widespread showers with embedded
thunderstorms as it spread NE across C AL. The activity has been
elevated and while we are watching for any rogue storms, severe
activity during the early morning hours should be marginal at
best until the warm front makes its way northward later today. We
have increased the severe threat in the NW half of C AL for this
afternoon and evening. This probably doesn't come as much of a
surprise as this system is ramping up to be significant there with
strong tornadoes a possibility. The SE half of C AL is a
different story. While we have a marginal threat this AM for
portions of C AL, for the rest of the afternoon and evening,
parameters are much lower in the SE counties with convection not
as likely there until later this evening. After the current
convection currently on the radar pushes N, we should have a
somewhat lull in activity in the SE.

In contrast, by around 11am, our warm front should be to the N of
the area. Models suggest some cellular activity will likely pop
up in the NW first. MUCAPE will not be lacking, but will be
highest in the west for this afternoon. 0-6km bulk shear will be
in ample supply across C AL. However, 0-1km shear will be
decidedly higher in the NW. Although amounts vary, guidance is in
agreement decreasing this low level shear significantly after 6z
as the bulk of the instability skirts to the NE. This will be not
only with the front moving across, but our negatively tilted upper
shortwave that is expected to be over the Arklatex ~18z today
expected to race off toward IL/IN by midnight tonight. With the
bulk of the activity in the SE counties expected for later this
evening, this greatly decreases the chance for severe weather for
them S of the I85 corridor. This is the reason for the sharp risk
gradient in our severe graphics. Timing is pretty similar to what
we had yesterday except possibly starting in the NW at 11am
instead of noon. The front is expected to make progress after
midnight with the risk for TS in the SE counties much lower for
the day on Friday with lower dew points moving in behind the
front.

08

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 450 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021/
Friday night through Wednesday.

Rain chances should be minimal for Friday evening but increase
after midnight into the pre-dawn hours on Saturday with some
thunderstorms possible in the NW with shortwave activity. Rain
chances increase once again for Saturday into Sunday with the
approach of another frontal system number 2. However, the upper
dynamics still need to be worked out. The upper setup does not
show a negatively tilted system like front 1. However, we will
have warm and moist air waiting for this springtime front. While
some strong storms cannot be ruled out, will hold off adding
severe just yet with the weekend system. Extended guidance
diverges on timing and strength of the upper low/shortwave behind
the front for Mon/Tue time frame, so only going with low pops for
now. A third front approaches by end of the extended by Wednesday
with elevated shower and thunderstorm chances returning.

08

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Discussion.

Less than ideal flying conditions continue across Central
Alabama. Severe convective weather continues to impact the area
along with the challenge of wind shear, gusty surface winds, and
turbulence. Mainly southerly sfc winds at 10-15 kts with higher
gusts are expected through the afternoon. TAFs are mainly MVFR
for much of the afternoon along with the expectation of TSRA
across northern terminals. MGM/TOI are staying on the better side
of conditions, however. A convective line of strong to severe
thunderstorms will eventually sweep across the area later this
afternoon and evening. This will impact most terminals and also
cause a wind shift after FROPA. Any IFR conditions should be
associated with convection through the TAF period. Will monitor
closely for any needed amendments.

40/Sizemore

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A moist air mass with high relative humidity values will develop
today and continue through the weekend with multiple episodes of
showers and thunderstorms. A warm front will lift northward
today and produce numerous showers and a few thunderstorms.
Southerly winds will increase to 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts
today as a strong storm system approaches from the west. There is
risk of severe thunderstorms with tornadoes this afternoon and
evening. Rain chances are lower on Friday, but more showers and
thunderstorms are expected for over the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     52  75  54  79  61 /  90  10  40  70  80
Anniston    57  78  59  82  63 /  90  10  40  60  60
Birmingham  55  76  60  81  64 /  90  10  50  70  80
Tuscaloosa  54  78  62  82  64 /  80  10  40  60  80
Calera      57  76  62  82  64 /  90  10  40  60  70
Auburn      63  76  64  82  64 /  80  30  20  30  20
Montgomery  64  78  65  85  67 /  70  20  20  30  30
Troy        65  80  66  85  67 /  70  40  20  20  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for the following
counties: Autauga...Barbour...Bibb...Blount...Bullock...
Calhoun...Chambers...Cherokee...Chilton...Clay...Cleburne...
Coosa...Dallas...Elmore...Etowah...Fayette...Greene...Hale...
Jefferson...Lamar...Lee...Lowndes...Macon...Marengo...Marion...
Montgomery...Perry...Pickens...Pike...Randolph...Russell...
Shelby...St. Clair...Sumter...Talladega...Tallapoosa...
Tuscaloosa...Walker...Winston.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
504 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

ALZ011>015-017>050-261315-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
504 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

A couple severe storm may occur this morning with a threat of a
couple tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail up to quarter size. This
morning threat is mainly for areas near and west of Interstate 65
through around 11 am.

A significant severe weather event is expected across much of
Central Alabama from around 11 am through midnight. The greatest
threat will be along and northwest of Interstate 59, where strong
tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail will be possible. The
overall threat gradually decreases to the southeast of there.

A Wind Advisory is in effect from 11 AM through 10 PM for most of
Central Alabama excluding areas generally south of Interstate 85.
Sustained winds will be out of the south around 10 to 20 mph with
occasional gusts up to 40 mph outside of any thunderstorm activity,
especially in higher terrain areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Minor flooding may occur along portions of the Tombigbee and Black
Warrior River Basins this weekend and into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is expected
on today into this evening.

08

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
123 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0119 PM     TORNADO          4 S BESSEMER AIRPORT    33.25N 86.92W
03/25/2021                   SHELBY             AL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            CONFIRMED TORNADO PER TDS OFF OF KBMX RADAR.

&&

AS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
153 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE HELENA             33.31N 86.82W
03/25/2021                   SHELBY             AL   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL TREES UPROOTED AT THE PELHAM HIGH
            SCHOOL. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
159 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     TORNADO          1 NW HIGHLAND LAKES     33.40N 86.66W
03/25/2021                   SHELBY             AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED NEAR HIGHWAY 280 AND
            DOUG BAKER BLVD. TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 280.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
216 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     TORNADO          1 WNW HIGHLAND LAKES    33.40N 86.67W
03/25/2021                   SHELBY             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS STRUCTURES REPORTED DAMAGED IN THE
            EAGLE POINT AND GREYSTONE SUBDIVISIONS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
240 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0237 PM     TORNADO          3 SSW NEELY HENRY DAM   33.74N 86.07W
03/25/2021                   CALHOUN            AL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            CONFIRMED TORNADO PER TDS OFF OF KBMX RADAR.

&&

AS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
244 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0107 PM     TORNADO          3 WNW RIVERSIDE         33.62N 86.25W
03/25/2021                   ST. CLAIR          AL   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED AND POWER LINES
            DOWNED ON OLD COAL CITY ROAD.

&&