River Flood Warning 11, NWS Wakefield, VA

699 
WGUS81 KAKQ 170207
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...

  Appomattox River Above Farmville affecting Amelia, Cumberland and 
  Prince Edward Counties.

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

  Cashie River Near Windsor affecting Bertie County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  James River At Richmond Westham affecting City of Richmond, 
  Chesterfield and Henrico independent cities.

  Blackwater River Above Franklin affecting Southampton, City of 
  Franklin, Isle of Wight and City of Suffolk independent cities.

  Nottoway River At Sebrell affecting Southampton County.

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham, 
Cartersville, Richmond Locks...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Appomattox Basin...including Farmville, Mattoax, Matoaca...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Chowan Basin...including Sebrell, Emporia, Rawlings, Stony 
Creek, Lawrenceville, Franklin...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lower Roanoke Basin...including Windsor...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 915 AM EST.

&&


VAC007-049-147-171415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210218T0200Z/
/FRMV2.1.ER.210216T2350Z.210217T1200Z.210217T2000Z.NO/
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Appomattox River Above Farmville.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 8:50 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:50 PM EST Tuesday was 16.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water approaches back of homes on Old Plank 
  Rd, upstream of gage.  Parking lot on Elm St. north of Main St. on 
  southside of river begins to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.0 
  feet on 07/12/2013.


&&

LAT...LON 3739 7843 3736 7834 3752 7812 3734 7817
      3721 7839 3729 7851

$$

VAC183-171415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.210216T2337Z.210218T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EST Tuesday was 15.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 16.8 feet Thursday evening. It 
  will then fall to 15.8 feet and begin rising again early Saturday 
  afternoon. It will rise to 15.9 feet Sunday morning. It will then 
  fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowlands on the righthandside upstream of 
  the gage begin to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 
  feet on 10/08/2006.


&&

LAT...LON 3686 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3679 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7723

$$

NCC015-171415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.210215T1600Z.210218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cashie River Near Windsor.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 PM EST Tuesday was 9.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.6 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Livermon Park and Zoo are inundated.  
  Portions of King St, Granville St, Queen St, Rascoe St and Camden 
  St are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.6 
  feet on 05/03/1989.


&&

LAT...LON 3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693

$$

VAC025-171415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210221T0435Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210214T1912Z.210218T0600Z.210220T2235Z.NO/
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 8:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 PM EST Tuesday was 17.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 19.7 feet early Thursday 
  morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Friday morning 
  to 14.9 feet and begin rising again Friday morning. It will rise 
  above flood stage late Friday morning and continue to rise to 17.5 
  feet early Saturday morning. It will then fall below flood stage 
  again Saturday afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.7 
  feet on 11/18/2006.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3665 7756 3668 7783
      3665 7793 3672 7803

$$

VAC041-087-760-171415-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210218T0834Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.210216T2230Z.210217T1200Z.210218T0234Z.NO/
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the James River At Richmond Westham.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 8:30 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EST Tuesday was 12.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to 12.4 feet and then begin rising 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then rise again to 12.7 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  evening to 10.8 feet and then begin rising early Thursday 
  afternoon then rise again.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Approximately 20 acres of lowland flooded 
  in vicinity of gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 
  feet on 03/08/2011.


&&

LAT...LON 3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7748 3753 7770
      3760 7784

$$

VAC093-175-620-800-171415-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FKNV2.1.ER.210216T1045Z.210220T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Above Franklin.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 PM EST Tuesday was 11.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.8 feet 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 12.3 feet, A portion of State Route 611, Joyners 
  Bridge Road, in Isle of Wight County is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 
  feet on 03/05/1994.


&&

LAT...LON 3672 7698 3686 7692 3689 7684 3686 7680
      3670 7687 3661 7684 3661 7700

$$

VAC175-171415-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.2.ER.210215T1200Z.210222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River At Sebrell.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 PM EST Tuesday was 17.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 19.4 feet Sunday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Sections of State Route 653, Carys Bridge 
  Road are innundated, including areas 1/4 mile east of the bridge 
  crossing the Nottoway River.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.4 
  feet on 02/19/1984.


&&

LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3686 7709 3664 7695
      3660 7702

$$

44

044 
WGUS81 KAKQ 170938
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  James River At Richmond Westham affecting City of Richmond, 
  Chesterfield and Henrico independent cities.

  James River At Richmond Locks affecting City of Richmond and 
  Henrico independent cities.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...

  Appomattox River Above Farmville affecting Amelia, Cumberland and 
  Prince Edward Counties.

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

  Blackwater River Above Franklin affecting Southampton, City of 
  Franklin, Isle of Wight and City of Suffolk independent cities.

  Nottoway River At Sebrell affecting Southampton County.

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

  Cashie River Near Windsor affecting Bertie County.

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham, 
Cartersville, Richmond Locks...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Appomattox Basin...including Farmville, Mattoax, Matoaca...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Chowan Basin...including Sebrell, Emporia, Rawlings, Stony 
Creek, Lawrenceville, Franklin...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lower Roanoke Basin...including Windsor...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 400 PM EST.

&&


VAC007-049-147-172100-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210217T2100Z/
/FRMV2.1.ER.210216T2350Z.210217T0550Z.210217T1500Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Appomattox River Above Farmville.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 4:20 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 4:20 AM EST Wednesday was 16.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.7 feet 
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late this 
  morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water approaches back of homes on Old Plank 
  Rd, upstream of gage.  Parking lot on Elm St. north of Main St. on 
  southside of river begins to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.6 
  feet on 03/17/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 3739 7843 3736 7834 3752 7812 3734 7817
      3721 7839 3729 7851

$$

VAC041-087-760-172145-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.210216T2230Z.210217T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the James River At Richmond Westham.
* Until further notice.
* At 3:30 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 3:30 AM EST Wednesday was 13.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 13.4 feet this morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late this evening to 10.9 feet and 
  begin rising again early tomorrow afternoon. It will rise above 
  flood stage late Friday morning and continue to rise to 12.6 feet 
  Friday evening. It will then fall again but remain above flood 
  stage.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet, Portions of Huguenot Flatwater park begin 
  to flood
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.4 
  feet on 02/25/2016.


&&

LAT...LON 3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7748 3753 7770
      3760 7784

$$

VAC087-760-172145-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.210217T1000Z-210218T0200Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.210217T1000Z.210217T1400Z.210217T2000Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the James River At Richmond Locks.
* Until this evening.
* At 3:54 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage to 8.6 feet late 
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, The Ancarrow's Boat Landing is closed at 
  this level.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 
  feet on 12/27/2009.


&&

LAT...LON 3740 7741 3747 7748 3756 7744 3752 7738

$$

VAC183-172145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.210216T2337Z.210218T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* Until further notice.
* At 3:30 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 3:30 AM EST Wednesday was 15.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 16.8 feet tomorrow evening. It 
  will then fall to 15.8 feet and begin rising again early Saturday 
  afternoon. It will rise to 15.9 feet Sunday morning. It will then 
  fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowlands on the righthandside upstream of 
  the gage begin to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 
  feet on 10/08/2006.


&&

LAT...LON 3686 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3679 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7723

$$

VAC093-175-620-800-172145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FKNV2.1.ER.210216T1045Z.210220T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Above Franklin.
* Until further notice.
* At 3:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 3:45 AM EST Wednesday was 11.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.8 feet 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 12.3 feet, A portion of State Route 611, Joyners 
  Bridge Road, in Isle of Wight County is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 
  feet on 03/05/1994.


&&

LAT...LON 3672 7698 3686 7692 3689 7684 3686 7680
      3670 7687 3661 7684 3661 7700

$$

NCC015-172145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.210215T1600Z.210218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cashie River Near Windsor.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:15 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 4:15 AM EST Wednesday was 9.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.6 feet 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Livermon Park and Zoo are inundated.  
  Portions of King St, Granville St, Queen St, Rascoe St and Camden 
  St are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.6 
  feet on 05/03/1989.


&&

LAT...LON 3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693

$$

VAC175-172145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.2.ER.210215T1200Z.210222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River At Sebrell.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:15 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 4:15 AM EST Wednesday was 17.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 19.4 feet Sunday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Sections of State Route 653, Carys Bridge 
  Road are innundated, including areas 1/4 mile east of the bridge 
  crossing the Nottoway River.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.4 
  feet on 02/19/1984.


&&

LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3686 7709 3664 7695
      3660 7702

$$

VAC025-172145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210221T0435Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210214T1912Z.210218T0600Z.210220T2235Z.NO/
438 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 3:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 3:45 AM EST Wednesday was 17.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 19.7 feet just after midnight 
  tonight. It will then fall below flood stage early Friday morning 
  to 14.9 feet and begin rising again Friday morning. It will rise 
  above flood stage late Friday morning and continue to rise to 17.5 
  feet early Saturday morning. It will then fall below flood stage 
  again Saturday afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.7 
  feet on 11/18/2006.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3665 7756 3668 7783
      3665 7793 3672 7803

$$

Fisher

837 
WGUS81 KAKQ 171604
FLSAKQ

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  James River At Richmond Locks affecting City of Richmond and 
  Henrico independent cities.

  Meherrin River At Lawrenceville affecting Brunswick County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Virginia...

  Appomattox River Above Farmville affecting Amelia, Cumberland and 
  Prince Edward Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...

  Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County.

  James River At Richmond Westham affecting City of Richmond, 
  Chesterfield and Henrico independent cities.

  Blackwater River Above Franklin affecting Southampton, City of 
  Franklin, Isle of Wight and City of Suffolk independent cities.

  Nottoway River At Sebrell affecting Southampton County.

  Cashie River Near Windsor affecting Bertie County.

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham, 
Cartersville, Richmond Locks...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Appomattox Basin...including Farmville, Mattoax, Matoaca...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Chowan Basin...including Sebrell, Emporia, Rawlings, Stony 
Creek, Lawrenceville, Franklin...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lower Roanoke Basin...including Windsor...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this by 500 PM EST this evening.

&&


VAC007-049-147-171715-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210217T1604Z/
/FRMV2.1.ER.700119T1611Z.700119T1612Z.700119T1612Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Appomattox River Above Farmville has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Appomattox River Above Farmville.
* At 10:50 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to around 11 feet 
  Thursday morning before rising to a crest of 15.9 feet Friday 
  evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3739 7843 3736 7834 3752 7812 3734 7817
      3721 7839 3729 7851

$$

VAC087-760-180415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RICV2.1.ER.210217T1050Z.210220T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the James River At Richmond Locks.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:54 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:54 AM EST Wednesday was 8.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river will oscillate around flood stage with a 
  maximum value of 8.6 feet early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, The Ancarrow's Boat Landing is closed at 
  this level.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 
  feet on 12/27/2009.


&&

LAT...LON 3740 7741 3747 7748 3756 7744 3752 7738

$$

VAC183-180415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-210222T1716Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.210216T2337Z.210221T0600Z.210222T1115Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:30 AM EST Wednesday was 15.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 15.7 feet tomorrow morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Friday afternoon to 14.8 
  feet and begin rising again early Friday afternoon. It will rise 
  above flood stage Friday evening and continue to rise to 16.3 feet 
  early Sunday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage again 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowlands on the right-hand side upstream of 
  the gage begin to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.3 
  feet on 05/21/1954.


&&

LAT...LON 3686 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3679 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7723

$$

VAC025-180415-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210222T0336Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.210214T1912Z.210220T1800Z.210221T2136Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meherrin River At Lawrenceville.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 10:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:45 AM EST Wednesday was 18.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 18.7 feet this evening. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early tomorrow afternoon to 12.3 feet 
  and begin rising again early Friday morning. It will rise above 
  flood stage Friday evening and continue to rise to 19.4 feet early 
  Saturday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage again 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.4 
  feet on 11/30/1948.


&&

LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3665 7756 3668 7783
      3665 7793 3672 7803

$$

VAC041-087-760-180415-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.210216T2230Z.210217T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the James River At Richmond Westham.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:30 AM EST Wednesday was 13.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday 
  morning and continue rising to a crest of 13.1 feet early Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Approximately 20 acres of lowland are 
  flooded in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.1 
  feet on 10/01/1959.


&&

LAT...LON 3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7748 3753 7770
      3760 7784

$$

VAC093-175-620-800-180415-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FKNV2.1.ER.210216T1045Z.210220T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Above Franklin.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:45 AM EST Wednesday was 11.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.3 feet 
  early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.3 feet, A portion of State Route 611, Joyners 
  Bridge Road, in Isle of Wight County is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.3 
  feet on 04/13/2003.


&&

LAT...LON 3672 7698 3686 7692 3689 7684 3686 7680
      3670 7687 3661 7684 3661 7700

$$

NCC015-180415-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.210215T1600Z.210220T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cashie River Near Windsor.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:15 AM EST Wednesday was 9.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.3 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Livermon Park and Zoo are inundated.  
  Portions of King St, Granville St, Queen St, Rascoe St and Camden 
  St are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 
  feet on 02/25/2019.


&&

LAT...LON 3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693

$$

VAC175-180415-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.2.ER.210215T1200Z.210222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Nottoway River At Sebrell.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:15 AM EST Wednesday was 17.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 19.3 feet Sunday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Sections of State Route 653, Carys Bridge 
  Road, are inundated. This includes areas 1/4 mile east of the 
  bridge crossing the Nottoway River.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.2 
  feet on 03/13/1998.


&&

LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3686 7709 3664 7695
      3660 7702

$$

EI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
437 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
An active weather pattern continues through late in the week.
Mainly dry conditions are expected tonight and Wednesday, but a
wintry mix of precipitation is likely for much of the region
late Wednesday night through Thursday. Dry and cool weather will
prevail this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 410 PM EST Tuesday...

The latest weather analysis depicts a 997mb low over the Gulf
of Maine, with a 998mb low centered over nrn VT. This second low
has a cold front trailing to the SW through the Hudson Valley,
eastern PA, and into the Shenandoah Valley. Breezy and mild for
most of the area with temperatures in the upper 50s to upper
60s. Some locations from central VA to the Eastern Shore
maintained cloud cover longer and are int the upper 40s to low
50s.

The cold front will cross the area this evening ushering in a
colder and drier airmass associated with a cold arctic high over
the Upper Midwest. Becoming clear tonight for the entire area
with low temperatures expected to range from the low 20s NW, to
the mid/upper 20s from the SW Piedmont to the MD Eastern Shore,
and low 30s for far SE VA and coastal NE NC. The arctic high
will shift toward the Eastern Great Lakes and New England
Wednesday and build into the Mid- Atlantic. Mostly sunny and
cool with high temperatures ranging from the upper 30s NE, to
the mid 40s SW, along with a light NE wind. Quite dry Wednesday
with dewpoints in the teens to low 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 410 PM EST Tuesday...

Another winter storm will impact the region late Wednesday
night through Thursday night with the potential very substantial
impacts due to ice, especially across the Piedmont.

Have expanded the Winter Storm Watch from the Piedmont counties
to the I-95 corridor, and NE for interior portions of the
Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula. A row of counties along the
Bay is not in the watch due to easterly flow, as well as the MD
Ern Shore and Accomack County. However, these areas still have a
threat for a minor snow/sleet accumulation and some icing away
from the coast. All watches begin at 06z Thursday, with the
northwest segment running through 11z Friday, the SW portion
through 06z Friday, the middle/NE portion through 23z Thursday,
and the SE portion through noon Thursday.

The strong surface high (~1035mb) will continue to keep a
supply of very cold/dry air from the N Thursday (at least
through the morning hrs). As the high shifts NE to the St
Lawrence Valley/northern New England by late Thursday/Thursday
night, there appears to be just enough low level warming from
the I-95 corridor and points E to have the p-type change over to
plain rain. For sfc temperatures Thursday, continued to follow
close to the NAM/GFS sfc wet bulb values which clearly depict
the typical delayed warming that occurs in these type of
patterns (i.e temperatures staying at or below 32F in the
Piedmont for several hrs longer than what a model blend will
show). Where the uncertainty lies is probably more in exact
p-type rather than temperatures in the low levels. The 12Z suite
of models have trended colder, with most guidance suggesting a
period of snow/sleet (possibly predominate sleet for a few
hours), followed by freezing rain. All guidance continues to
place a heavy emphasis on significant icing for the I-85
corridor that was particularly hard hit in the last event. There
is an overall trend for strong easterly flow at or above 900mb
to drive a substantial warm nose inland that will result in a
change to freezing rain for all areas by Thursday aftn. This
process will also help drive pcpn rates.

A blend of forecast model scenarios yields up to 2-3" of
snowfall across the far N/NW zones (most of this late Wednesday
night and morning and 3-5" possible for far NW Louisa), with
0.25" to nearly 0.50" (and possible higher) of ice across most
of the AKQ Piedmont counties. Even in excess of 0.25" is
possible in the RIC metro. For now, maintained snow/sleet
amounts around 1" or less except over the far northern tier. The
MD Eastern Shore will need to be monitored as a quick 1-2" of
snow is possible NW of SBY if moisture spreads far enough into
the cold air. The SE portion of the watch area includes
locations that have 0.1-0.25" ice forecast and a few tenths of
an inch of snow. These area have the most uncertainty for
warning criteria, but there is enough potential to have the area
in a watch. Highs Thursday will be 30-32F range in the
Piedmont, low/mid 30s metro RIC, with upper 40s/around 50F
across the far SE. Another period of freezing rain is possible
over the Piedmont (and possibly to the I-95 corridor) Thursday
night as a second wave tracks along the coast, and potentially
drags some cooler air back S in northerly flow. Additional rain
will fall across SE portions.

Another issue will be flooding. Forecast QPF is ~1.5" with
localized amounts up to 2" possible Thursday into Thursday
night. A flood watch may eventually be necessary due to to
combination of expected rainfall and very saturated ground.

A cold front crosses the region late Thursday night/Friday
morning w/ low temps ranging from around 30F NW to the m40s SE,
with highs Friday in the mid/upper 40s, with PoPs diminishing
from NW-SE in the morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 410 PM EST Tuesday...

Cold front exits the coast Friday morning to be followed by
drying and colder wx into the weekend. With the upper trough
still not crossing the area until later Fri, will hang onto
lingering low end PoPs along the coast eastern VA and coastal NE
NC Friday evening. Lows Fri night from the teens NW to the
upper 20s SE. High pressure reaches the local area from the W
late Sat then exits to the E Sun night. Cold Sat with highs in
the mid 30s to around 40. Diminishing winds Sat night will make
for a cold night under a clear sky with lows ranging from the
mid teens NW to the mid-upper 20s far SE. Some moderation begins
Sun as winds become SSW (highs mostly in the low to mid 40s). A
cold front approaches from the W Sun night then crosses the FA
Mon (though the exact timing of that frontal passage uncertain
attm). Dry wx Sat-Sun then an increased prob for rain on Monday.
Lows Sun night in the upr 20s NW to the low-mid 30s SE. Highs
Mon in the upr 40s to low 50s N to the mid 50s in NE NC.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EST Tuesday...

Gradually improving conditions are expected this afternoon as
low-clouds slowly scatter. MVFR conditions are expected at
RIC/SBY through 20-21z along with a WSW wind of 10-15kt with
gusts to ~20kt at all sites. The wind will shift to NW then N
tonight with speeds of 8-12kt as high pressure builds into the
area under a clear sky. Sunny Wednesday with a light NNE wind.

Conditions are expected to deteriorate late Wednesday night all
as another low pressure system from the SW tracks across the FA.
Expect widespread flight restrictions all day Thursday into
Thursday night. Mainly rain expected at ORF/PHF/ECG (a brief
mix possible at the onset early Thursday). SBY will have a
longer period Thursday morning with a potential mixed p-type
and RIC could see SN/IP changing to freezing rain before a
transition to all rain later Thursday. Another wave could bring
another round of rain Thursday night, and this could be freezing
rain at RIC. Conditions gradually improve Friday with high
pressure building in for the weekend.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 425 PM EST Tuesday...

Late this aftn, one cold front was off the coast while a second
cold front was pushing through east-central portions of the
area. Winds were 10-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, with waves 1-3 ft
and seas 3-5 ft.

The second cold front will push offshore this evening, with
winds turning to the NW then N 15-25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt
behind the front into Wed morning. Waves in the bay 2-4 ft and
seas 4-6 ft. After a brief respite on Wed, with high pressure
building in from the north, a system originating from the Gulf
will impact the region Thu into Fri morning resulting in
additional SCA for winds/seas. High pressure will build into
and over the area later Fri into Sun, with SCAs possible for
most of the waters Fri night through Sat.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 410 PM EST Tuesday...

Latest Obs show ongoing flooding along the Nottoway, Meherrin
and Cashie Rivers. A Flood Warning remains in effect for the
Meherrin River at Lawrenceville, the Nottoway River at Sebrell,
the Cashie River at Windsor, and the Blackwater River above
Franklin which is forecast to rise above minor flood stage later
today. Also, an areal Flood Warning continues for the
Chickahominy River at Providence Forge. Flood warnings have been
issued for Stony Creek and Richmond Westham.

Looking ahead, guidance from the River Forecast Center indicates
river levels approaching minor flood thresholds by Tuesday
aftn/evening along the Nottoway River at Stony Creek.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
     Thursday night for VAZ048-062-064-509>511.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday
     morning for VAZ079>082-087>090.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday
     afternoon for VAZ075-076-083-512>522.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
     Thursday night for VAZ060-061-065>069.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ650-652-
     654.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ656-658.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ630>632-
     634.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ633-
     638.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AJZ/LKB
NEAR TERM...AJZ
SHORT TERM...AJZ/LKB
LONG TERM...JDM
AVIATION...AJZ
MARINE...CMF/TMG
HYDROLOGY...AKQ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

NCZ013>017-030>032-102-VAZ095>098-100-525-172130-
Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-
Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-
Virginia Beach-Northampton-Hampton/Poquoson-
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heavy rain Thursday into Thursday night could lead to areas of
flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ079>082-087>090-172130-
Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-Greensville-Sussex-
Surry-James City-
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia, south
central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

Melting ice and additional rainfall could lead to areas of flooding
Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ075-076-083-512>522-172130-
Westmoreland-Richmond-New Kent-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and east
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

Melting ice and additional rainfall could lead to areas of flooding
Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ048-062-064-509>511-172130-
Fluvanna-Goochland-Caroline-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-
Western Hanover-
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and north
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ060-061-065>069-172130-
Prince Edward-Cumberland-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-
Powhatan-
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ021-022-172130-
Dorchester-Wicomico-
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is the potential for a wintry mix of precipitation late
Wednesday night through Thursday morning. Snow amounts of 1 to 2
inches and a light glaze of ice are possible. Heavy rain Thursday
afternoon into Thursday night could lead to areas of flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ023>025-NCZ012-VAZ077-078-084>086-092-093-099-523-524-172130-
Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Northampton-
Northumberland-Lancaster-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Southampton-
Isle of Wight-Accomack-York-Newport News-
422 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is the potential for a brief wintry mix of precipitation late
Wednesday night through Thursday morning. Heavy rain Thursday
afternoon into Thursday night could lead to areas of flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.