Alert archive / Virginia / Flash Flood Watches in 2021
Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Wakefield, VA
NWS Wakefield, VA issued this flash flood watch at Aug 19, 2021, 2:57 PM EDT for 42 counties in Virginia; 9 counties in North Carolina; Dorchester County, Somerset County, Wicomico County, Maryland. It took effect at Aug 20, 2021, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 19, 2021, 2:57 PM EDT (18:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 20, 2021, 2:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Aug 20, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wakefield, VA
- Flood severity
- None
All 54 counties
Dorchester County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Gates County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1006 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -47 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 881 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 64 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
279 WGUS61 KAKQ 191857 FFAAKQ URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Wakefield VA 257 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 MDZ021>023-VAZ048-061-062-064-075>078-085-509>511-517>522-200300- /O.NEW.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.210820T0600Z-210820T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline- Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Crisfield, Central Plains, Lancaster, Haynesville, Cooper, Corbin, Church View, Princess Anne, Regina, Biscoe, Louisa, Indian Neck, Nesting, Lively, Stoddert, Newtown, Lake Monticello, Brook Vale, Burruss Corner, Henley Fork, Owenton, Kennard, Emmerton, Grafton, Bybee, Downing, Potomac Mills, Dunnsville, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Alfonso, Farnham, Lewisetta, Cunningham, Mineral, West Point, Beanes Corner, Leedstown, Cedar Fork, Potomac Beach, Ethel, Westmoreland, Ashland, Oak Grove, Harmony Village, Aylett, Jamaica, Sandy Point, Cambridge, Angola, Reeds, Goochland, Colonial Beach, Nahor, Healys, Saint Stephens Church, Naylors Beach, Palmyra, Beazley, King And Queen Court House, Troy, Salisbury, Kilmarnock, Tappahannock, Dawn, Raines Tavern, and King William 257 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas, in southeast Maryland, Dorchester, Somerset and Wicomico. In Virginia, Caroline, Cumberland, Eastern Essex, Eastern King William, Eastern King and Queen, Eastern Louisa, Fluvanna, Goochland, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond, Western Essex, Western Hanover, Western King William, Western King and Queen, Western Louisa and Westmoreland. * From 2 AM EDT Friday through Friday afternoon. * A shortwave trough is forecast to track over the area from tonight through Friday, while a weak cold front slowly crosses the region from north to south. This will result in multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms from late tonight through the day on Friday. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ NCZ012>014-VAZ068-069-080>084-086>090-092-093-095>098-512>516- 523>525-200300- /O.NEW.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.210820T1000Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Amelia-Powhatan-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry- James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk- Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Williamsburg, Mountcastle, Lee Hall, Severn, Emporia, Ordinary, Chuckatuck, Menchville, Benns Church, Glass, Hopewell, Amelia Courthouse, Achilles, Barnetts, Fine Creek Mills, Deep Creek, Wakefield, Hog Island Game Reserve, Reams, Chesterfield, Dam Neck, Worshams, New Point, Booth Fork, Norfolk International Arpt, Margarettsville, Downtown Suffolk, Bayside, New Kent Airport, Maryus, Crittenden, Petersburg, Midlothian, Wards Corner, Fox Hill, Greenbrier, Scotts Fork, Hallwood, Bethel Church, Back Bay, Mannboro, Bacons Castle, Lees Mill, Chester, Bottoms Bridge, Orapax Farms, Newport News, Mechanicsville, Barham, Fort Monroe, Wayside, Chula, Tabb, Longview, Quinton, Peary, Mount Pleasant, Richmond, Subletts, Great Bridge, Goodwins Store, Chippokes State Park, Driver, Cape Henry, Denbigh, Earls, Norfolk NAS, Roxbury, Fort Eustis, Carrsville, Clayville, Naxera, Franklin, Gallups Corner, Bavon, Flat Rock, Gwaltney Corner, Norview, Chesapeake Airport, Langley AFB, Grand View, New Point Comfort, Kempsville, Poolesville, Beaconsdale, Bon Air, Gloucester Point, Ahoskie, Downtown Norfolk, Cleopus, Buckroe Beach, Jetersville, Sandston, Grafton, Browns Corner, Corapeake, Carrollton, Ghent, Hilton Village, London Bridge, Genito, Denaro, Lawson, Talleysville, Bowers Hill, Ocean View, Hampton, Fentress, Elwood, Deanes, and Colonial Heights 257 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of northeast North Carolina and Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast North Carolina, Gates, Hertford and Northampton. In Virginia, Amelia, Charles City, Chesapeake, Dinwiddie, Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights), Eastern Hanover, Eastern Henrico, Gloucester, Greensville, Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, New Kent, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Powhatan, Prince George, Southampton, Suffolk, Surry, Sussex, Virginia Beach, Western Chesterfield, Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) and York. * From Friday morning through Friday evening. * A shortwave trough is forecast to track over the area from tonight through Friday, while a weak cold front slowly crosses the region from north to south. This will result in multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms from Friday morning through Friday evening. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ EI
5 follow-up statements
785 WGUS61 KAKQ 200121 FFAAKQ Flood Watch National Weather Service Wakefield VA 921 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 MDZ021>023-VAZ048-061-062-064-075>078-085-509>511-517>522-201400- /O.CON.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.210820T0600Z-210820T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline- Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Crisfield, Central Plains, Lancaster, Haynesville, Cooper, Corbin, Church View, Princess Anne, Regina, Biscoe, Louisa, Indian Neck, Nesting, Lively, Stoddert, Newtown, Lake Monticello, Brook Vale, Burruss Corner, Henley Fork, Owenton, Kennard, Emmerton, Grafton, Bybee, Downing, Potomac Mills, Dunnsville, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Alfonso, Farnham, Lewisetta, Cunningham, Mineral, West Point, Beanes Corner, Leedstown, Cedar Fork, Potomac Beach, Ethel, Westmoreland, Ashland, Oak Grove, Harmony Village, Aylett, Jamaica, Sandy Point, Cambridge, Angola, Reeds, Goochland, Colonial Beach, Nahor, Healys, Saint Stephens Church, Naylors Beach, Palmyra, Beazley, King And Queen Court House, Troy, Salisbury, Kilmarnock, Tappahannock, Dawn, Raines Tavern, and King William 921 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of southeast Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas, in southeast Maryland, Dorchester, Somerset and Wicomico. In Virginia, Caroline, Cumberland, Eastern Essex, Eastern King William, Eastern King and Queen, Eastern Louisa, Fluvanna, Goochland, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond, Western Essex, Western Hanover, Western King William, Western King and Queen, Western Louisa and Westmoreland. * From 2 AM EDT Friday through Friday afternoon. * A shortwave trough is forecast to track over the area from tonight through Friday, while a weak cold front slowly crosses the region from north to south. This will result in multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms from late tonight through the day on Friday. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ NCZ012>014-VAZ068-069-080>084-086>090-092-093-095>098-512>516- 523>525-201400- /O.CON.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.210820T1000Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Amelia-Powhatan-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry- James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk- Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Williamsburg, Mountcastle, Lee Hall, Severn, Emporia, Ordinary, Chuckatuck, Menchville, Benns Church, Glass, Hopewell, Amelia Courthouse, Achilles, Barnetts, Fine Creek Mills, Deep Creek, Wakefield, Hog Island Game Reserve, Reams, Chesterfield, Dam Neck, Worshams, New Point, Booth Fork, Norfolk International Arpt, Margarettsville, Downtown Suffolk, Bayside, New Kent Airport, Maryus, Crittenden, Petersburg, Midlothian, Wards Corner, Fox Hill, Greenbrier, Scotts Fork, Hallwood, Bethel Church, Back Bay, Mannboro, Bacons Castle, Lees Mill, Chester, Bottoms Bridge, Orapax Farms, Newport News, Mechanicsville, Barham, Fort Monroe, Wayside, Chula, Tabb, Longview, Quinton, Peary, Mount Pleasant, Richmond, Subletts, Great Bridge, Goodwins Store, Chippokes State Park, Driver, Cape Henry, Denbigh, Earls, Norfolk NAS, Roxbury, Fort Eustis, Carrsville, Clayville, Naxera, Franklin, Gallups Corner, Bavon, Flat Rock, Gwaltney Corner, Norview, Chesapeake Airport, Langley AFB, Grand View, New Point Comfort, Kempsville, Poolesville, Beaconsdale, Bon Air, Gloucester Point, Ahoskie, Downtown Norfolk, Cleopus, Buckroe Beach, Jetersville, Sandston, Grafton, Browns Corner, Corapeake, Carrollton, Ghent, Hilton Village, London Bridge, Genito, Denaro, Lawson, Talleysville, Bowers Hill, Ocean View, Hampton, Fentress, Elwood, Deanes, and Colonial Heights 921 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of northeast North Carolina and Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast North Carolina, Gates, Hertford and Northampton. In Virginia, Amelia, Charles City, Chesapeake, Dinwiddie, Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights), Eastern Hanover, Eastern Henrico, Gloucester, Greensville, Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, New Kent, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Powhatan, Prince George, Southampton, Suffolk, Surry, Sussex, Virginia Beach, Western Chesterfield, Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) and York. * From 6 AM EDT Friday through Friday evening. * A shortwave trough is forecast to track over the area from tonight through Friday, while a weak cold front slowly crosses the region from north to south. This will result in multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms from Friday morning through Friday evening. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ JM
014 WGUS61 KAKQ 200815 FFAAKQ URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Wakefield VA 415 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 VAZ048-509-200915- /O.CAN.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210820T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Fluvanna-Western Louisa- Including the cities of Central Plains, Louisa, Cunningham, Bybee, Nahor, Troy, Palmyra, and Lake Monticello 415 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Virginia, including the following areas, Fluvanna and Western Louisa has been cancelled. The Flood Watch is cancelled. $$ NCZ012>014-VAZ068-069-080>084-086>090-092-093-095>098-512>516- 523>525-201700- /O.EXT.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.210820T0815Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Amelia-Powhatan-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry- James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk- Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Williamsburg, Mountcastle, Lee Hall, Severn, Emporia, Ordinary, Chuckatuck, Menchville, Benns Church, Glass, Hopewell, Amelia Courthouse, Achilles, Barnetts, Fine Creek Mills, Deep Creek, Wakefield, Hog Island Game Reserve, Reams, Chesterfield, Dam Neck, Worshams, New Point, Booth Fork, Norfolk International Arpt, Margarettsville, Downtown Suffolk, Bayside, New Kent Airport, Maryus, Crittenden, Petersburg, Midlothian, Wards Corner, Fox Hill, Greenbrier, Scotts Fork, Hallwood, Bethel Church, Back Bay, Mannboro, Bacons Castle, Lees Mill, Chester, Bottoms Bridge, Orapax Farms, Newport News, Mechanicsville, Barham, Fort Monroe, Wayside, Chula, Tabb, Longview, Quinton, Peary, Mount Pleasant, Richmond, Subletts, Great Bridge, Goodwins Store, Chippokes State Park, Driver, Cape Henry, Denbigh, Earls, Norfolk NAS, Roxbury, Fort Eustis, Carrsville, Clayville, Naxera, Franklin, Gallups Corner, Bavon, Flat Rock, Gwaltney Corner, Norview, Chesapeake Airport, Langley AFB, Grand View, New Point Comfort, Kempsville, Poolesville, Beaconsdale, Bon Air, Gloucester Point, Ahoskie, Downtown Norfolk, Cleopus, Buckroe Beach, Jetersville, Sandston, Grafton, Browns Corner, Corapeake, Carrollton, Ghent, Hilton Village, London Bridge, Genito, Denaro, Lawson, Talleysville, Bowers Hill, Ocean View, Hampton, Fentress, Elwood, Deanes, and Colonial Heights 415 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of northeast North Carolina and Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast North Carolina, Gates, Hertford and Northampton. In Virginia, Amelia, Charles City, Chesapeake, Dinwiddie, Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights), Eastern Hanover, Eastern Henrico, Gloucester, Greensville, Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, New Kent, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Powhatan, Prince George, Southampton, Suffolk, Surry, Sussex, Virginia Beach, Western Chesterfield, Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) and York. * Through this evening. * A shortwave trough continues to track over the area today through tonight, while a weak cold front slowly crosses the region from north to south. This will result in multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through this evening. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ MDZ021>023-VAZ061-062-064-075>078-085-510-511-517>522-201700- /O.CON.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210820T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline- Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Western King William-Eastern King William- Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Crisfield, Farnham, Lancaster, Cooper, Corbin, Church View, Princess Anne, Regina, Biscoe, Indian Neck, Nesting, Lively, Stoddert, Newtown, Dunnsville, Brook Vale, Burruss Corner, Henley Fork, Owenton, Kennard, Emmerton, Grafton, Downing, Potomac Mills, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Alfonso, Lewisetta, Mineral, West Point, Beanes Corner, Leedstown, Cedar Fork, Potomac Beach, Ethel, Westmoreland, Ashland, Oak Grove, Harmony Village, Aylett, Jamaica, Sandy Point, Cambridge, Angola, Reeds, Goochland, Colonial Beach, Haynesville, Healys, Saint Stephens Church, Naylors Beach, Beazley, King And Queen Court House, Salisbury, Kilmarnock, Tappahannock, Dawn, Raines Tavern, and King William 415 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of southeast Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas, in southeast Maryland, Dorchester, Somerset and Wicomico. In Virginia, Caroline, Cumberland, Eastern Essex, Eastern King William, Eastern King and Queen, Eastern Louisa, Goochland, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond, Western Essex, Western Hanover, Western King William, Western King and Queen and Westmoreland. * Through this afternoon. * A shortwave trough continues to track over the area today through tonight, while a weak cold front slowly crosses the region from north to south. This will result in multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through today. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ RMM
805 WGUS61 KAKQ 201552 FFAAKQ Flood Watch National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1152 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 MDZ021>023-VAZ061-062-064-075>078-085-510-511-517>522-202200- /O.CON.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210820T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline- Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex- Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Western King William- Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Angola, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Raines Tavern, Reeds, Stoddert, Goochland, Corbin, Burruss Corner, Cedar Fork, Dawn, Sandy Point, Westmoreland, Colonial Beach, Leedstown, Oak Grove, Potomac Beach, Potomac Mills, Naylors Beach, Downing, Emmerton, Ethel, Farnham, Haynesville, Kennard, Lewisetta, Alfonso, Beanes Corner, Brook Vale, Kilmarnock, Lancaster, Lively, Regina, Grafton, Harmony Village, Church View, Cooper, Healys, Jamaica, Nesting, Mineral, Ashland, Aylett, King William, West Point, Beazley, Biscoe, Henley Fork, Indian Neck, Newtown, Owenton, Saint Stephens Church, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 1152 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of southeast Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas, in southeast Maryland, Dorchester, Somerset, and Wicomico. In Virginia, Caroline, Cumberland, Eastern Essex, Eastern King William, Eastern King and Queen, Eastern Louisa, Goochland, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond, Western Essex, Western Hanover, Western King William, Western King and Queen, and Westmoreland. * Until 6 PM EDT this evening * An upper level disturbance combined with a weak cold front will combing resulting in areas of heavy rain this afternoon and evening. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. * Low lying and poor drainage areas will become flooded in areas of heavy rain. Some roads may flood in locations where heavy rain persists for more than 30 minutes to an hour. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ NCZ012>014-VAZ068-069-080>084-086>090-092-093-095>098-512>516- 523>525-210000- /O.CON.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Amelia-Powhatan-Dinwiddie- Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Mathews- Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- York-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Corapeake, Earls, Mannboro, Scotts Fork, Amelia Courthouse, Chula, Denaro, Jetersville, Fine Creek Mills, Flat Rock, Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, Genito, Reams, Petersburg, Hopewell, Barnetts, Wayside, Roxbury, Bottoms Bridge, Browns Corner, Mountcastle, New Kent Airport, Orapax Farms, Quinton, Talleysville, Achilles, Glass, Gloucester Point, Maryus, Naxera, Ordinary, Severn, Bavon, New Point, New Point Comfort, Peary, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Carrsville, Lees Mill, Benns Church, Bethel Church, Carrollton, Lawson, Longview, Downtown Norfolk, Ghent, Norfolk International Arpt, Norfolk NAS, Norview, Ocean View, Wards Corner, Chuckatuck, Cleopus, Crittenden, Deanes, Downtown Suffolk, Driver, Elwood, Mount Pleasant, Bowers Hill, Chesapeake Airport, Deep Creek, Fentress, Great Bridge, Greenbrier, Back Bay, Bayside, Cape Henry, Dam Neck, Gallups Corner, Kempsville, London Bridge, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Grafton, Tabb, Beaconsdale, Denbigh, Fort Eustis, Hilton Village, Lee Hall, Menchville, Newport News, Buckroe Beach, Fort Monroe, Fox Hill, Grand View, Hallwood, Hampton, and Langley AFB 1152 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of northeast North Carolina and Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast North Carolina, Gates, Hertford, and Northampton. In Virginia, Amelia, Charles City, Chesapeake, Dinwiddie, Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights), Eastern Hanover, Eastern Henrico, Gloucester, Greensville, Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, New Kent, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Powhatan, Prince George, Southampton, Suffolk, Surry, Sussex, Virginia Beach, Western Chesterfield, Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond), and York. * Until 10 PM EDT this evening * An upper level disturbance combined with a weak cold front will combing resulting in areas of heavy rain this afternoon and evening. Localized totals of 3 inches or greater are possible in spots. Given the amount of rain that has fallen during the past several days, a few instances of flash flooding are likely. * Low lying and poor drainage areas will become flooded in areas of heavy rain. Some roads may flood in locations where heavy rain persists for more than 30 minutes to an hour. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
966 WGUS61 KAKQ 201842 FFAAKQ URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Wakefield VA 242 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 MDZ021>023-VAZ061-062-064-075>078-085-510-511-517>522-201945- /O.CAN.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210820T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline- Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Western King William-Eastern King William- Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Crisfield, Farnham, Lancaster, Cooper, Corbin, Church View, Princess Anne, Regina, Biscoe, Indian Neck, Nesting, Lively, Stoddert, Newtown, Dunnsville, Brook Vale, Burruss Corner, Henley Fork, Owenton, Kennard, Emmerton, Grafton, Downing, Potomac Mills, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Alfonso, Lewisetta, Mineral, West Point, Beanes Corner, Leedstown, Cedar Fork, Potomac Beach, Ethel, Westmoreland, Ashland, Oak Grove, Harmony Village, Aylett, Jamaica, Sandy Point, Cambridge, Angola, Reeds, Goochland, Colonial Beach, Haynesville, Healys, Saint Stephens Church, Naylors Beach, Beazley, King And Queen Court House, Salisbury, Kilmarnock, Tappahannock, Dawn, Raines Tavern, and King William 242 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas, in southeast Maryland, Dorchester, Somerset and Wicomico. In Virginia, Caroline, Cumberland, Eastern Essex, Eastern King William, Eastern King and Queen, Eastern Louisa, Goochland, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland, Richmond, Western Essex, Western Hanover, Western King William, Western King and Queen and Westmoreland has been cancelled. The Flood Watch is cancelled. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures. $$ VAZ068-069-201945- /O.CAN.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Amelia-Powhatan- Including the cities of Fine Creek Mills, Worshams, Jetersville, Goodwins Store, Clayville, Chula, Scotts Fork, Denaro, Genito, Subletts, Amelia Courthouse, Earls, Flat Rock, and Mannboro 242 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Virginia, including the following areas, Amelia and Powhatan has been cancelled. The Flood Watch is cancelled. $$ NCZ015>017-030>032-102-210200- /O.EXA.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck- Including the cities of Sharon, Merry Hill, Edenhouse, Windsor, Saint Johns, Quitsna, Jacocks, Hancock, Mavaton, Edenton, Cape Colony, Horseshoe, Corolla, Knotts Island, Valhalla, Macedonia, Woodville, Lilly, Midway, and Elizabeth City 242 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has expanded the * Flash Flood Watch to include a portion of northeast North Carolina, including the following areas, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Eastern Currituck, Pasquotank, Perquimans and Western Currituck. * Until 10 PM EDT this evening. * Tropical moisture will combine with a weak front to create an area of heavy showers and a few thunderstorms across Northeast North Carolina late this afternoon and evening. * Heavy rain will likely result in flooding especially in low lying and poor drainage areas. A few roads may become flooded and impassible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ NCZ012>014-VAZ080>084-086>090-092-093-095>098-512>516-523>525-210200- /O.CON.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City- Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake- Virginia Beach-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-York-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Gallups Corner, Williamsburg, Mountcastle, Lee Hall, Bavon, Emporia, Ordinary, Chuckatuck, Menchville, Benns Church, Glass, Hopewell, Achilles, Barnetts, Deep Creek, Wakefield, Hog Island Game Reserve, Reams, Chesterfield, Dam Neck, New Point, Norfolk International Arpt, Margarettsville, Downtown Suffolk, Bayside, New Kent Airport, Maryus, Crittenden, Petersburg, Midlothian, Wards Corner, Fox Hill, Greenbrier, Hallwood, Bethel Church, Back Bay, Booth Fork, Bacons Castle, Lees Mill, Chester, Bottoms Bridge, Orapax Farms, Newport News, Barham, Fort Monroe, Wayside, Tabb, Longview, Quinton, Peary, Mount Pleasant, Richmond, Great Bridge, Chippokes State Park, Driver, Cape Henry, Denbigh, Bon Air, Roxbury, Carrsville, Naxera, Franklin, Fort Eustis, Severn, Gwaltney Corner, Norview, Chesapeake Airport, Langley AFB, Grand View, New Point Comfort, Kempsville, Poolesville, Beaconsdale, Norfolk NAS, Gloucester Point, Ahoskie, Downtown Norfolk, Cleopus, Buckroe Beach, Sandston, Grafton, Browns Corner, Corapeake, Carrollton, Ghent, Hilton Village, London Bridge, Mechanicsville, Lawson, Talleysville, Bowers Hill, Ocean View, Hampton, Fentress, Elwood, Deanes, and Colonial Heights 242 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of northeast North Carolina and Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast North Carolina, Gates, Hertford and Northampton. In Virginia, Charles City, Chesapeake, Dinwiddie, Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights), Eastern Hanover, Eastern Henrico, Gloucester, Greensville, Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, New Kent, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Prince George, Southampton, Suffolk, Surry, Sussex, Virginia Beach, Western Chesterfield, Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) and York. * Until 10 PM EDT this evening. * Tropical moisture will combine with a weak front to create an area of heavy showers and a few thunderstorms across portions of Central and Southeast Virginia in addition to Northeast North Carolina late this afternoon and evening. * Heavy rain will likely result in flooding especially in low lying and poor drainage areas. A few roads may become flooded and impassible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ JO
397 WGUS61 KAKQ 210158 FFAAKQ Flood Watch National Weather Service Wakefield VA 958 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ080>084-086>090-092-093-095>098-512>516- 523>525-210300- /O.EXP.KAKQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210821T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry- James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk- Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Williamsburg, Mountcastle, Lee Hall, Bavon, Emporia, Ordinary, Lilly, Chuckatuck, Menchville, Benns Church, Glass, Hopewell, Achilles, Barnetts, Deep Creek, Hancock, Wakefield, Hog Island Game Reserve, Horseshoe, Reams, Chesterfield, Dam Neck, Midway, New Point, Norfolk International Arpt, Margarettsville, Downtown Suffolk, Bayside, New Kent Airport, Saint Johns, Cape Colony, Maryus, Crittenden, Petersburg, Midlothian, Wards Corner, Fox Hill, Greenbrier, Mavaton, Hallwood, Bethel Church, Back Bay, Bon Air, Booth Fork, Bacons Castle, Lees Mill, Chester, Bottoms Bridge, Orapax Farms, Newport News, Quitsna, Barham, Fort Monroe, Wayside, Windsor, Chippokes State Park, Tabb, Longview, Quinton, Peary, Mount Pleasant, Richmond, Great Bridge, Jacocks, Driver, Cape Henry, Denbigh, Elizabeth City, Norfolk NAS, Roxbury, Fort Eustis, Carrsville, Corolla, Naxera, Franklin, Gallups Corner, Severn, Gwaltney Corner, Norview, Woodville, Chesapeake Airport, Langley AFB, Grand View, New Point Comfort, Kempsville, Poolesville, Sharon, Beaconsdale, Edenton, Gloucester Point, Ahoskie, Edenhouse, Cleopus, Merry Hill, Downtown Norfolk, Buckroe Beach, Sandston, Grafton, Browns Corner, Corapeake, Carrollton, Ghent, Hilton Village, London Bridge, Macedonia, Mechanicsville, Lawson, Talleysville, Bowers Hill, Ocean View, Hampton, Fentress, Valhalla, Knotts Island, Elwood, Deanes, and Colonial Heights 958 PM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of northeast North Carolina and Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast North Carolina, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Eastern Currituck, Gates, Hertford, Northampton, Pasquotank, Perquimans and Western Currituck. In Virginia, Charles City, Chesapeake, Dinwiddie, Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights), Eastern Hanover, Eastern Henrico, Gloucester, Greensville, Hampton/Poquoson, Isle of Wight, James City, Mathews, New Kent, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth, Prince George, Southampton, Suffolk, Surry, Sussex, Virginia Beach, Western Chesterfield, Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) and York will expire at 10 PM EDT this evening. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures. $$ JM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 19, 1:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 19, 1:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 132 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure builds across the southeastern states later in the week. Meanwhile, a series of weak areas of low pressure push across the lower mid-Atlantic region tonight through Friday night ahead of an approaching cold front. These systems will usher in another period of unsettled weather across the region Friday through Saturday, with additional showers and thunderstorms expected and locally heavy rainfall again possible. Drier weather looks to return early next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... As of 1055 AM EDT Thursday... Going forecast remains on track with only minor changes needed with the morning update. It is mainly sunny (but humid) this morning with temperatures generally in the mid 80s. Will watch the progression of showers over WV to see if they enter our far NW by late aftn, in addition to sea-breeze shower/tstm development over far SE VA and NE NC. Previous Discussion as of 400 AM EDT Thursday: Early morning analysis reveals the post-tropical remnants of TC Fred lifting across NE PA and western NY this morning, with a weak pre-frontal trough in place across the local area. Aloft, filling positively-tilted upper level trough was noted over the Great Lakes this morning, and will dig across the mid- south and Carolinas. This feature will serve to weaken/dampen the sub- tropical ridge in place across the Gulf coast region this morning. For today, quieter weather is expected, as the remnants of TC Fred continue to lift across New England. Meanwhile, the mid/upper trough axis over the Great Lakes slowly digs closer into the region. Day will be mainly dry for most, though iso to widely sct showers/T-storms are expected along sea-breeze across the southeast VA/NE NC coast. have maintained slight to low chances of late aftn/evening tstms across the rest of the area, focused along the lee trough. Most likely timing for tstms is after 3-4 PM with the highest PoPs (30-40%) west of I-95. High today in the upper 80s to low 90s. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 415 AM EDT Thursday... Unfortunately, looking like additional waves of moderate to locally heavy rainfall headed toward the local area later tonight and through the day on Friday. The upper trough axis crosses most of the area late tonight through Friday, but may linger near the coast through Saturday. Meanwhile, TC Henri is forecast to track westward before turning north as we head into the weekend, when it is still a bit offshore of the VA/NC coast. The primary impact still looks to be an increased rip current risk. However, SSW flow ahead of the approaching frontal boundary will only serve to reinforce lingering theta-e ridge/llvl moisture hanging in place along the coast. This moisture, in tandem with the approaching shortwave trough and ample forcing from the upper trough axis will allow shower/tstm chances to ramp up Friday morning, first across the northwest half of the area, then pushing e-se to the coastal plain Fri aftn and night as the frontal boundary drops across the region. Will need to watch presence of upper level jet streak pushing into the region on Friday morning, which could serve to enhance rainfall potential even a bit further. The result of all of that portends an ugly day weatherwise on Friday. More importantly though, another threat for localized flooding exists across much of the local area, again with greatest concern for areas in the RIC metro and nearby suburbs that have taken numerous rounds of tropical rainfall in the past week or so. To that end, WPC has upgraded to a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall across the entire area from 12z Fri- 12z Sat. Have not raised Flash Flood Watches at this time, but given the current/expected synoptic setup, another round may be need to be considered later today. Raised PoPs to Likely to categorical range for most areas Friday into Fri night. Considerable clouds and pcpn lower highs Fri back into the low 80s NW, with mid/upper 80s SE. Convection should diminish for a time Friday night inland, but with the trough axis remaining near the coast, expect aftn/evening convection to fire again on Sat. Highs Sat in the mid-upper 80s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 140 PM EDT Wednesday... Sfc front settles near or just south of the region this weekend...but the upper trough axis remains near the coast while the latest NHC forecast/models consensus shows TC Henri tracking offshore of the region while remaining parallel to the VA/MD coast. As far as the overall pattern, operational models and their respective ensembles are now forecasting the strong subtropical ridge to remain centered over the srn Plains/wrn Gulf coast from late this weekend through early next week. This will keep our region in W to NW flow aloft from late this weekend through early next week (Henri potentially comes very close to the New England coast by Monday). Will certainly see an elevated rip risk from the weekend through early next week. As for precipitation chances, will keep a low chance for iso to widely sct diurnal showers and t-storms on Sunday, as the tropical moisture and upper trough linger (especially near the coast). A lesser opportunity for showers and storms expected on Monday and Tuesday, as the upper trough will be northeast of the area. For temperatures, have generally run close to or just above the NBM for highs and lows, based up the continued moisture and the recent trend of overachieving during the day. So have lows generally in the upper 60s west to low to mid 70s east. For highs have readings in the mid to upper 80s on Sunday and push readings into the upper 80s-around 90F early next week. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 130 PM EDT Thursday... VFR conditions with SCT CU are expected through early this evening. There is a 20-30% chc of showers/tstms from 18-00z along the seabreeze from ORF-ECG...with shower/tstm chances increasing later this evening at RIC/SBY. A shortwave trough approaches late tonight into Friday bringing a chc of showers/tstms at RIC/SBY tonight, then showers/tstms are likely (PoPs 60-80%) across most of the area Friday (mainly during the morning-aftn at RIC/SBY...and during the aftn/evening at PHF/ORF/ECG). CIGs will fall to MVFR from WNW-ESE from late tonight through the day on Friday (CIGs may stay VFR at ECG through the 18z TAF period). A short period of IFR CIGs is possible at RIC late tonight-Fri AM. Any showers/tstms will produce brief flight restrictions. Winds generally remain SW-WSW aob 10kt through the evening, with light/VRB winds possible tonight. Winds shift to the N-NNE (but remain below 10kt on Fri). Outlook...Chances of mainly afternoon/early evening showers/tstms continue Saturday, with diminishing chances Sunday and Monday. Late night/early morning sub-VFR conditions are possible Friday night in ST/SC and MIFG. && .MARINE... As of 400 AM EDT Thursday... Have allowed the SCA for the Ches Bay to expire as winds have dropped to 10-15 kt. Current surface analysis depicts the remnants of Fred moving NE well north of the local waters in northern PA/southern NY. Winds are generally SSW/SW 10-15 kt with occasional gusts to 20 kt in the northern Ches Bay/northern coastal waters. Expect SW winds to diminish to 5-10 kt this morning before becoming SSE later this afternoon (10-15 kt over the coastal waters). Winds begin to increase to 10-15 over the Lower Bay this evening, briefly becoming S early tonight ahead of a cold front. The cold front and associated trough moves towards E VA tonight, becoming nearly stationary through the weekend. A sfc low develops along the front this evening, lingering through Friday night, producing more showers and storms over the local waters (particularly the Ches Bay). Winds behind the front become NW 5-10 kt tonight, N Fri, and E/SE late Fri afternoon/Fri night, remaining variable 5-10 kt through the weekend. Meanwhile, TS Henri will approach from the SE Fri before the shortwave trough over us deflects it away from the local waters as it moves N, paralleling the coast while remaining offshore as it strengthens to a hurricane. Although a direct impact is not expected at this time, the timing of both the shortwave trough and Henri will be key in determining how close Henri gets to the local waters. Given Henri's current expected track, expect elevated seas, long period swells, and a dangerous rip risk to occur through the weekend. Seas remain generally around 3 ft today with 3-4 ft seas over the northern coastal waters. Waves of 1-3 ft subside to 1-2 ft late this morning through Fri. In response to TS Henri approaching the local waters Fri into this weekend, seas increase to 3-4 ft tonight into Fri, 5-7 ft Sat into Sat night, and gradually subside Sun to 3-6 ft before finally dropping below 5 ft Sun night. SCAs will likely be needed Sat and Sun, but confidence is too low in reaching 5 ft seas within the next 48 hrs so will hold off on headlines for this update cycle. Today will be a moderate rip risk for all beaches due to a 10 second period. By Friday, expect a high risk for MD beaches and a moderate threat for VA and NC beaches in an increasing swell. All beaches will likely see a high rip risks and potentially dangerous surf Sat into Sunday. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...MAM NEAR TERM...ERI/MAM SHORT TERM...ERI/MAM LONG TERM...ERI/MAM AVIATION...ERI MARINE...RMM
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 19, 7:17 AM EDT, 7 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 717 AM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 MDZ021>024-NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093- 095>097-509>525-201130- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Hertford- Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans- Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg- Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond- Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville- Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth- Suffolk-Chesapeake-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 717 AM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms have the potential to produce locally heavy rainfall Friday into Friday night...as an upper level trough moves across the region. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed on Friday. MDZ025-NCZ102-VAZ098>100-201130- Maryland Beaches-Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-Accomack- Northampton- 717 AM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. An increased threat of rip currents is expected Friday into the weekend due to swell from Tropical Storm Henri. Showers and thunderstorms have the potential to produce locally heavy rainfall Friday into Friday night...as an upper level trough moves across the region. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed on Friday. 05
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 4:28 PM EDT | Beach Hazards Statement | AKQ | Accomack, Northampton, City of Virginia Beach | 3 days |
| Aug 19, 5:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | Louisa | 40 min |
| Aug 19, 7:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | Amelia, Goochland, Louisa, Powhatan | 38 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Virginia, 2021Flash Flood Watches in North Carolina, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Maryland, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.