Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 89, NWS Juneau, AK

February 11, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 11, 2021, 2:19 PM AKST. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2021, 2:19 PM AKST (23:19 UTC)
Expired
Feb 16, 2021, 3:32 PM AKST
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

105 
FZAK52 PAJK 112319
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
219 PM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-121730-
219 PM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Strong high pressure persists over the Canadian Yukon. A weather
front lifts into the southern gulf through Friday and then
weakens Saturday as it remains stationary. 

$$

PKZ041-121730-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
219 PM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-121730-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
219 PM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas
16 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and
snow showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-121730-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
219 PM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-121730-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
219 PM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-121730-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
219 PM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. S swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SE swell. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$
10 follow-up statements
332 
FZAK52 PAJK 121253
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 AM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-130700-
353 AM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Strong high pressure over the Canadian Yukon slowly  begins to
weaken. A weather front lifts into the southern gulf  through
Friday and then weakens Saturday as it remains stationary. 

$$

PKZ041-130700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
353 AM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-130700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
353 AM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...SE gale to 35 kt becoming E 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-130700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
353 AM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-130700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
353 AM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-130700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
353 AM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SE swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$
774 
FZAK52 PAJK 130014
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
314 PM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-131815-
314 PM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the SE gulf tracks slowly E and dissipates through late
Sat. A weather front tracks NE into the central gulf Sat night
and to Dixon Entrance Sun. High pressure persists across NW 
Canada. 

$$

PKZ041-131815-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
314 PM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 14 ft. 
Rain showers late. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-131815-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
314 PM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-131815-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
314 PM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-131815-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
314 PM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-131815-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
314 PM AKST Fri Feb 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
349 
FZAK52 PAJK 131252
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
352 AM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-140700-
352 AM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the SE gulf slowly dissipates through Sat. A front
tracks NE into the central gulf Sat night and to the Dixon 
Entrance Sun. High pressure lingers across NW Canada.  

$$

PKZ041-140700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
352 AM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 12 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-140700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
352 AM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. Rain in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-140700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
352 AM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-140700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
352 AM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-140700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
352 AM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$
134 
FZAK52 PAJK 140009
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
309 PM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-141815-
309 PM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weak front will produce small craft winds over the eastern
Gulf through Sunday. High pressure over western Canada will
shift southeast through Sunday night, relaxing the strong 
northeasterly outflow gradient. 

$$

PKZ041-141815-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
309 PM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 13 ft. Snow
late. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 19 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-141815-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
309 PM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 25 kt overnight. Seas 12 
ft. W swell.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-141815-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
309 PM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. Snow.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-141815-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
309 PM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. Snow.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-141815-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
309 PM AKST Sat Feb 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 12 ft. 

$$
010 
FZAK52 PAJK 141249
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
349 AM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-150700-
349 AM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weak front will produce small craft winds over the eastern Gulf
through Sunday. The persistent high pressure over northwestern 
Canada will continue to weaken, relaxing the strong northeasterly 
gradient that has been in place over southeastern Alaska that has 
been producing strong outflow winds there. Then, a ridge of high 
pressure builds in from the southwest over the Gulf and Panhandle 
areas through Tuesday night. 

$$

PKZ041-150700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
349 AM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. W
swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 20 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-150700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
349 AM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 20 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-150700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
349 AM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 19 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-150700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
349 AM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-150700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
349 AM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$
985 
FZAK52 PAJK 150010
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
310 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-151815-
310 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
The persistent high pressure over northwestern Canada will
continue to weaken, relaxing the strong northeasterly gradient 
and outflow winds. A ridge of high pressure will build in over the
southern Gulf through Tuesday, then shift east over the Panhandle
Tuesday night. 

$$

PKZ041-151815-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
310 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE and diminishing to 15 kt. 
Seas 12 ft. W swell.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
W swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. W swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. W swell. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 20 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-151815-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
310 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas
11 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 20 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-151815-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
310 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft.
SW swell. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 19 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-151815-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
310 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...Variable winds 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 11 
ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas
10 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-151815-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
310 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. Rain late. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 11 ft. 

$$
616 
FZAK52 PAJK 151253
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-160700-
353 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
The persistent high pressure over northwestern Canada continues
to weaken, relaxing the strong northeasterly gradient and outflow
winds over the northeastern Panhandle and inner channels. A ridge
of high pressure will build in over the Gulf from the southwest 
through Tuesday, then move eastward over the Panhandle Tuesday 
night. Outlook: A strong low looks to begin to enter the eastern 
Gulf from the south around Wednesday night. 

$$

PKZ041-160700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
353 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. W swell. 
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 20 ft. 
.THU...S gale to 35 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-160700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
353 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 20 ft. 
.THU...S gale to 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-160700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
353 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt late. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt increasing to gale to 40 kt. Seas
10 ft building to 16 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 35 kt becoming SW. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-160700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
353 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. SW
swell. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 11 ft. SW
swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-160700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
353 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. Rain in the
morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft. 

$$
428 
FZAK52 PAJK 160012
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
312 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-161815-
312 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weak front will move across the Gulf Monday night and reach
the outer coast on Tuesday afternoon. A second front will move
over the northeast Gulf coast on Wednesday.  

$$

PKZ041-161815-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
312 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE gale to 45 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-161815-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
312 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 10 kt becoming light late. Seas 11 ft. SW 
swell. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt late. Seas 10 ft. SW
swell. 
.WED...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt increasing to gale to 45 kt late. 
Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SE gale to 45 kt becoming S 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-161815-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
312 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 11 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E and increasing to gale to 
35 kt late. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-161815-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
312 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt late. Seas 10 ft. SW 
swell.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-161815-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
312 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming E 20 kt late. Seas 10 ft. SW 
swell.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 20 kt becoming N. Seas 13 ft building to
19 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$
081 
FZAK52 PAJK 161306
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
406 AM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-170715-
406 AM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weak trough of low pressure moving in from the Gulf will reach
the outer coast on Tuesday afternoon. A storm force low will 
begin to move into the eastern Gulf from the south on Wednesday. 
That low looks to come ashore around the northeastern Gulf coast 
around Friday morning. 

$$

PKZ041-170715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
406 AM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. W swell. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. W swell. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...S storm force wind to 50 kt diminishing to gale to
35 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-170715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
406 AM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.THU...SE storm force wind to 50 kt becoming S gale to
40 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-170715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
406 AM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-170715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
406 AM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. Snow showers and
rain showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-170715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
406 AM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. Rain showers and
snow showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt late. Seas 10 ft. Rain
and snow late. 
.WED...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt becoming N. Seas 15 ft building to
19 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$
601 
FZAK52 PAJK 170032
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
332 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-171845-
332 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weak trough of low pressure will pass through the region
Tuesday night. A storm force low will begin to move into the 
eastern Gulf from the south on Wednesday. That low looks to come 
ashore around the northeastern Gulf coast Friday morning. 

$$

PKZ041-171845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
332 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. W swell. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. W swell. 
.WED NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt becoming E storm force wind
to 50 kt late. Seas 12 ft building to 24 ft late. Rain late. 
.THU...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas
27 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-171845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
332 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E gale to 45 kt late.
Seas 12 ft building to 20 ft late. Rain late. 
.THU...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft building to 22 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-171845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
332 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming E late. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...E storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-171845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
332 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N gale to 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-171845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
332 PM AKST Tue Feb 16 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt late. Seas 10 ft. Rain
and snow late. 
.WED...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. SE swell. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 11, 6:51 AM AKST, 7 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 6:51 AM AKST, 7 hours 28 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
651 AM AKST Thu Feb 11 2021

.SHORT TERM...Temperatures throughout the evening have in many
areas remained substantially warmer than they were the previous
night. The source of these less frigid temperatures can be tracked
back to the breezy conditions throughout much of SE Alaska, which
have helped keep the atmosphere more mixed. A weak shortwave
moving into the area from the east will see these winds strengthen
in many parts of the area through Thursday morning. Downtown
Juneau in particular could see a mountain wave setup with wind
gusts as high as 50 to 55 mph through parts of Thursday. Further
north, a high wind warning remains in effect for Skagway and the
South Klondike Highway until noon AKST on Thursday. Though
temperatures may be slowly moderating, the wind will continue to
result in low wind chills, and a wind chill advisory remains in
effect for White Pass through Friday morning.

As temperatures slowly moderate, the high pressure over Canada
will concurrently weaken, reducing the outflow over the area. This
will set the stage for the possible return of active weather
towards the end of the short term forecast period. Am not
completely confident in model handling of a system progged to move
out of the South late Saturday into Sunday-think that the
lingering dry air may weaken its impacts. However, do think that
it will help usher in a change back to a more active pattern for
next week.

.LONG TERM.../Saturday through Wednesday...as of 10 PM
Wednesday/...The models are not in too terribly good agreement
about the location, timing, and strength of the features moving
into southeast Alaska for the long-term. Therefore, overall
forecast confidence is below average for the period. I primarily
went with a 50/50 combination of the GFS and ECMWF that were
available at the time of forecasting. It looked like that
combination gave a good average output of the model guidance that
we had to work with.

Through the period, the strong area of high pressure that has been
producing the tight pressure gradient will weaken drastically.
Therefore, the outflow winds that we have been experiencing in the
northeastern half of the Panhandle recently will gradually
subside within the first half of the long-term bringing an end to
the dangerously cold windchill. Temperatures will gradually warm
throughout the latter half of the long-term forecast period as
flow shifts from the northeast to southerly bringing warm air
advection into southeast Alaska as the models show a series of
lows that look to approach the area after the aforementioned
strong high weakens. This looks to bring precipitation amounts on
the lighter side toward the latter 2/3 of the long-term forecast
period.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind through late tonight for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind Friday morning for AKZ019.
     High Wind Warning until noon AKST today for AKZ018.
     Strong Wind from noon AKST today through late tonight for AKZ018.
     Wind Chill Advisory until noon AKST Friday for AKZ018.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ011.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012.
     Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-042-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-022-031-035-041-043-051.

&&

GFS/JLC

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 11, 9:40 AM AKST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
940 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N DOUGLAS             58.29N 134.39W
02/11/2021  M70 MPH          PKZ031             AK   MESONET

            MESONET STATION JMLA2 AML DOCK JUNEAU.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 10, 3:34 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK72 hr
Feb 10, 3:37 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK60 hr
Feb 10, 3:40 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK60 hr
Feb 11, 4:13 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK6 days
Feb 11, 2:19 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK38 hr
Feb 11, 2:37 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK37 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.