Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 581, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 27, 2021, 3:13 PM AKST. It was in force for 6 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 27, 2021, 3:13 PM AKST (00:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 3, 2021, 8:55 AM AKST
- In force
- 6 days
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
894 FZAK53 PAJK 280013 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 313 PM AKST Sat Nov 27 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-281815- Yakutat Bay- 313 PM AKST Sat Nov 27 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers late. .SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE late. Seas 9 ft. Snow showers in the evening. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. S swell. Rain. .TUE...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 13 ft. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$
13 follow-up statements
755 FZAK53 PAJK 281300 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-290700- Yakutat Bay- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft. Snow showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft. .MONDAY...NE wind increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MONDAY NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. South swell. Rain. .TUESDAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WEDNESDAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THURSDAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$
913 FZAK53 PAJK 290009 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 309 PM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-291815- Yakutat Bay- 309 PM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NE late. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. S swell in the evening. Rain and snow. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
558 FZAK53 PAJK 291317 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 417 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-300730- Yakutat Bay- 417 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain. .TUE...E wind 20 kt decreasing to 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain in the morning. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
264 FZAK53 PAJK 300007 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 307 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-301815- Yakutat Bay- 307 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow early in the evening. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain in the morning. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain in the evening. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Rain and snow. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$
634 FZAK53 PAJK 301257 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 357 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-010700- Yakutat Bay- 357 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow early in the morning, then rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Snow and rain. .WED...S wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Snow and rain. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$
231 FZAK53 PAJK 010031 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 331 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-011845- Yakutat Bay- 331 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Rain and snow. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain and snow. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. .THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$
886 FZAK53 PAJK 011252 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 352 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-020700- Yakutat Bay- 352 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE in the morning, then becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain early in the morning. Snow. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Snow showers in the evening. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Snow showers in the morning. .THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of Disenchantment Bay. Seas 10 ft. S swell. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$
495 FZAK53 PAJK 020018 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 318 PM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-021830- Yakutat Bay- 318 PM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Snow showers. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Snow showers in the morning. .THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 9 ft. $$
236 FZAK53 PAJK 021246 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 346 AM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-030700- Yakutat Bay- 346 AM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Snow showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Out of Disenchantment Bay, gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the morning. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft. $$
500 FZAK53 PAJK 030023 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 323 PM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-031830- Yakutat Bay- 323 PM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the morning. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. $$
310 FZAK53 PAJK 031302 CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 402 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-040715- Yakutat Bay- 402 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. SW swell early in the morning. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. $$
294 FZAK53 PAJK 031631 RRA CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 730 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-040715- Yakutat Bay- 730 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. SW swell early in the morning. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. $$
240 FZAK53 PAJK 031759 AAA CWFYAK Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay National Weather Service Juneau AK 855 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ053-040715- Yakutat Bay- 855 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021 .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell early in the morning. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 27, 3:13 PM AKST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 3:13 PM AKST, 0 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
313 PM AKST Sat Nov 27 2021
.SHORT TERM.../ Through Sunday night / Saturdays low moving
inland over the southcentral panhandle with rain spreading north
to roughly southern Admiralty Island this evening. The low then
continues to weaken and dissipate. Cooler air works its way back
in off the gulf of Alaska. Can see shower-like band or open cells
in the western gulf (west of 140 as of this evening) on satellite
imagery that will continue eastward.
A second weak low is persisting near Middleton Island and this
will try to keep the showers going or getting restarted over the
northeast gulf coast this evening. Snowfall accumulations 1 to 3
inches for 12 our block through Sunday night. Snow was not
falling that heavy in Hyder so will cancel the Winter Weather
Advisory for the Misty Fjords early. A few more inches will fall
Saturday evening but not enough for the advisory.
Brief gusty winds for Prince of Wales Island Saturday evening
with the low and front moving through but becoming westerly and
weakening to 20 kt and gusts to 25 mph for the mid evening.
.LONG TERM.../Monday through Thursday as of 4 PM Saturday/ A
strong storm moves into the Gulf Monday through Tuesday.
This system brings with it strong gales to low end storm force
winds through the gulf, as well as, the potential for heavy snow
across the north and heavy rain across the south. Current thinking
is that temperatures will stay cool to keep things all snow across
the north. The question is how well will the cold air remain over
the north central panhandle before the southerly flow warms
temperatures above freezing. Accumulating snow is likely across
the northern and central panhandle but rates should be on the
slower side has this system looks to have limited moisture
support. Due to this, issuing any winter products have been held
off as accumulations look to remain below criteria.
By Tuesday, a second low spins around the parent low and pushes
onshore from the south. This system looks to have better moisture
support allowing for higher precipitation amounts. The main focus
on this system is the track. Cooler temperatures will be in place
north of the low, so areas that find themselves just north of the
precipitation bands could see decent snow accumulations. Model
agreement is struggling to resolve the longterm weather pattern so
trying to focast the exact track and timing of each low that forms
is challenging.
Signals are suggesting that colder temperatures could be on the
way for the end of next week as an arctic front pushes south.
Incorporated this into the forecast for Friday and Saturday.
Overall though the pattern through the long term remains wetter
and cooler. As upper level troughing persists over the Gulf
bringing multiple waves of precipitation.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ027-028.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ041.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-035-036-042-043-051>053.
&&
Bezenek/CC
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 3:57 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 11 hr | |
| Nov 28, 4:24 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 31 hr | |
| Nov 28, 5:05 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 23 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.