Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 581, NWS Juneau, AK

November 27, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 27, 2021, 3:13 PM AKST. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 27, 2021, 3:13 PM AKST (00:13 UTC)
Expired
Dec 3, 2021, 8:55 AM AKST
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

894 
FZAK53 PAJK 280013
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
313 PM AKST Sat Nov 27 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-281815-
Yakutat Bay-
313 PM AKST Sat Nov 27 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers late. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Snow showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE late. Seas 9 ft. Snow
showers in the evening. 
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. S swell. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$
13 follow-up statements
755 
FZAK53 PAJK 281300
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
400 AM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-290700-
Yakutat Bay-
400 AM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 6 
ft building to 11 ft. Snow showers. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft.
.MONDAY...NE wind increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 
ft. Rain.
.MONDAY NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. South swell. Rain.
.TUESDAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WEDNESDAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THURSDAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$
913 
FZAK53 PAJK 290009
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
309 PM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-291815-
Yakutat Bay-
309 PM AKST Sun Nov 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NE late. Seas 10 ft. Snow
showers. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain in the
afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. S swell
in the evening. Rain and snow. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$
558 
FZAK53 PAJK 291317
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
417 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-300730-
Yakutat Bay-
417 AM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow. Rain in
the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt decreasing to 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the 
morning. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$
264 
FZAK53 PAJK 300007
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
307 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-301815-
Yakutat Bay-
307 PM AKST Mon Nov 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow early in the evening.
Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. S swell. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain in the
evening. 
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Rain and snow. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
634 
FZAK53 PAJK 301257
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
357 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-010700-
Yakutat Bay-
357 AM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow early in the morning,
then rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. S
swell. Snow and rain. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. S swell. Snow and rain. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$
231 
FZAK53 PAJK 010031
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
331 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-011845-
Yakutat Bay-
331 PM AKST Tue Nov 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft. S 
swell. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
886 
FZAK53 PAJK 011252
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
352 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-020700-
Yakutat Bay-
352 AM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE in the morning, then becoming
W in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Rain early in the
morning. Snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. S swell.
Snow showers in the evening. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Snow showers in
the morning. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of
Disenchantment Bay. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
495 
FZAK53 PAJK 020018
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
318 PM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-021830-
Yakutat Bay-
318 PM AKST Wed Dec 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. SW swell.
Snow showers. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Snow showers in
the morning. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 9 ft. 

$$
236 
FZAK53 PAJK 021246
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
346 AM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-030700-
Yakutat Bay-
346 AM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Snow showers early
in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Out of Disenchantment Bay, gusts to
35 kt in the evening. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft. 

$$
500 
FZAK53 PAJK 030023
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
323 PM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-031830-
Yakutat Bay-
323 PM AKST Thu Dec 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
310 
FZAK53 PAJK 031302
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
402 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-040715-
Yakutat Bay-
402 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. SW swell early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
294 
FZAK53 PAJK 031631 RRA
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
730 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-040715-
Yakutat Bay-
730 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. SW swell early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
240 
FZAK53 PAJK 031759 AAA
CWFYAK

Marine Forecast for Yakutat Bay
National Weather Service Juneau AK
855 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Yakutat Bay

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ053-040715-
Yakutat Bay-
855 AM AKST Fri Dec 3 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 27, 3:13 PM AKST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 3:13 PM AKST, 0 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
313 PM AKST Sat Nov 27 2021

.SHORT TERM.../ Through Sunday night / Saturdays low moving
inland over the southcentral panhandle with rain spreading north
to roughly southern Admiralty Island this evening. The low then
continues to weaken and dissipate. Cooler air works its way back
in off the gulf of Alaska. Can see shower-like band or open cells
in the western gulf (west of 140 as of this evening) on satellite
imagery that will continue eastward.

A second weak low is persisting near Middleton Island and this
will try to keep the showers going or getting restarted over the
northeast gulf coast this evening. Snowfall accumulations 1 to 3
inches for 12 our block through Sunday night. Snow was not
falling that heavy in Hyder so will cancel the Winter Weather
Advisory for the Misty Fjords early. A few more inches will fall
Saturday evening but not enough for the advisory.

Brief gusty winds for Prince of Wales Island Saturday evening
with the low and front moving through but becoming westerly and
weakening to 20 kt and gusts to 25 mph for the mid evening.

.LONG TERM.../Monday through Thursday as of 4 PM Saturday/ A
strong storm moves into the Gulf Monday through Tuesday.
This system brings with it strong gales to low end storm force
winds through the gulf, as well as, the potential for heavy snow
across the north and heavy rain across the south. Current thinking
is that temperatures will stay cool to keep things all snow across
the north. The question is how well will the cold air remain over
the north central panhandle before the southerly flow warms
temperatures above freezing. Accumulating snow is likely across
the northern and central panhandle but rates should be on the
slower side has this system looks to have limited moisture
support. Due to this, issuing any winter products have been held
off as accumulations look to remain below criteria.

By Tuesday, a second low spins around the parent low and pushes
onshore from the south. This system looks to have better moisture
support allowing for higher precipitation amounts. The main focus
on this system is the track. Cooler temperatures will be in place
north of the low, so areas that find themselves just north of the
precipitation bands could see decent snow accumulations. Model
agreement is struggling to resolve the longterm weather pattern so
trying to focast the exact track and timing of each low that forms
is challenging.

Signals are suggesting that colder temperatures could be on the
way for the end of next week as an arctic front pushes south.
Incorporated this into the forecast for Friday and Saturday.
Overall though the pattern through the long term remains wetter
and cooler. As upper level troughing persists over the Gulf
bringing multiple waves of precipitation.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ027-028.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ041.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-035-036-042-043-051>053.

&&

Bezenek/CC

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 28, 3:57 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK11 hr
Nov 28, 4:24 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK31 hr
Nov 28, 5:05 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK23 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.