Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 538, NWS Juneau, AK

November 11, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 11, 2021, 3:57 AM AKST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Nov 11, 2021, 3:57 AM AKST (12:57 UTC)
Expired: Nov 14, 2021, 4:06 AM AKST
In force: 3 days
Issued by: NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

726 
FZAK52 PAJK 111257
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-120700-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front will sweep north over the Panhandle and
coastal waters on Thursday. The associated low will enter the
eastern Gulf Thursday night and make landfall in the vicinity of
Cross Sound Friday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ041-120700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
14 ft building to 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 17 ft.
W swell.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-120700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
10 ft building to 21 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-120700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 8 
ft building to 16 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas building to 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-120700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
8 ft building to 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. S swell. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-120700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft. S swell. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas building to 15 ft. S swell. Rain 
late.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Rain in the
afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

8 follow-up statements

590 
FZAK52 PAJK 120036
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-121845-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low will track northward across the eastern Gulf
Thursday night and make landfall in the vicinity of Cross Sound
Friday afternoon. A wind shift to the SW will occur behind the 
low. Outlook. Northerly outflow winds develop Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-121845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW late. Seas 19 ft. SW
swell in the evening. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-121845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-121845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-121845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. SE swell in the morning.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S late. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-121845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas building to 13 
ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SE swell. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

863 
FZAK52 PAJK 121256
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-130700-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low will continue to track northward across the 
eastern Gulf of Alaska making landfall in the vicinity of Cross 
Sound and weakening this afternoon. A broad trough will remain 
over the eastern Gulf through the weekend with another low 
pressure system projected to move into the southern Panhandle 
Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-130700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21
ft. Showers early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 19 ft 
subsiding to 13 ft late. SW swell in the evening. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-130700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 
ft. Showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 13 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-130700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 
ft. Rain showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 18 ft
subsiding to 12 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-130700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming N in the morning becoming W in 
the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. S swell early in the morning. Rain 
showers. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-130700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 25 kt in the morning, then
becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers early in 
the morning. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S late. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

707 
FZAK52 PAJK 130039
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-131845-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low moves inland just south of Icy Strait while 
weakening this evening. A broad trough will remain over the 
eastern Gulf through the weekend with another low pressure system 
projected to approach the panhandle from the south on Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-131845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 12 ft late. SW swell late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-131845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft 
subsiding to 12 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-131845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 17 ft
subsiding to 11 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-131845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-131845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

936 
FZAK52 PAJK 131222
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-140630-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad trough will remain over the eastern Gulf  through the
weekend with another low pressure system projected to  approach
the panhandle from the south on Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-140630-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-140630-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-140630-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-140630-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-140630-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 131311
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-140715-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad trough will remain over the eastern Gulf  through the
weekend with another low pressure system projected to  approach
the panhandle from the south on Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-140715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 



$$

PKZ042-140715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 



$$

PKZ043-140715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 



$$

PKZ051-140715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Isolated thunderstorms early in
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 



$$

PKZ052-140715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 



$$

931 
FZAK52 PAJK 131626 AAC
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-141030-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad trough will remain over the eastern Gulf  through the
weekend with another low pressure system projected to  approach
the panhandle from the south on Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-141030-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-141030-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-141030-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-141030-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Isolated thunderstorms early in
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-141030-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

361 
FZAK52 PAJK 140017
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-141830-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure over the NW gulf will track to the SE gulf through
the weekend. Multiple frontal bands will rotate about the low
and over the southern panhandle Sunday into Monday. 

$$

PKZ041-141830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to
7 ft late.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-141830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to
7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE late. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-141830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming E in the evening, then 
increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 7 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-141830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 
6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E late. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-141830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming E. Seas 8 ft in
the evening subsiding to 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

408 
FZAK52 PAJK 141306
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-150715-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure over Dixon Entrance rides NW through this evening
and dissipates over Baranof Island. A low in the central gulf 
strengthens to gale force this afternoon and then weakens on its 
way SE into Haida Gwaii Mon. Weak low pressure develops in the 
northern gulf Mon. High pressure persists across the Canadian 
Yukon. 

$$

PKZ041-150715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming W and increasing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain 
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-150715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 8 ft in the late afternoon. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-150715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-150715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-150715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 10, 3:23 PM AKST, 12 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 3:23 PM AKST, 12 hours 34 minutes before

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
323 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

.SHORT TERM...SW flow aloft has kept isolated showers around
today, but lee side shadows have also cause a lot of large breaks,
making for a rather pleasant day. Showers will decrease through
this evening and winds will turn back out of the N-NE due to a low
pressure system well to the SW tracking across the north Pacific.
This system will be the main forecast challenge for the rest of
the short term period.

The low will cause rain to spread into the far southern panhandle
late tonight, then progress northward through Thursday afternoon
as the low starts tracking northward into the SE gulf. The low
position being so far south will limit the precip amounts (QPF)
over the far north until the evening hours. At that point the
precip should start as snow for Haines/Skagway and at least a mix
as far south as Hoonah. As precip rates increase in the evening,
mainly snow will fall in the Juneau area, particularly the back of
the Mendenhall Valley. The low position will also keep winds
across the northern portion of the panhandle to be N-NELY and keep
low level temps cooler than they would be otherwise. Overrunning
will happen since mid-level winds will be out of the due south for
the entire event, allowing for moisture transport into the
northern inner channels. MOS is indicating temps in the Icy Strait
to Juneau area to be above freezing, but think that Juneau will
still be cold enough for accumulating snow. An advisory has been
posted for both Juneau and Haines, please see the latest statement
for more details.

As the low shifts north, a southerly push of winds is expected.
This will cause an abrupt increase in winds out of the south
along with much warmer temperatures, leading to a change over to
rain showers Friday morning/afternoon. Then after the front
passes, CAA will transition the showers back to a mix or all snow
through late Friday night. This could lead to some additional
accumulating snow and will need to be monitored if more organized
bands set up rather than scattered showers.

.LONG TERM.../ Friday through Wednesday as of 10 PM Tuesday /
Snow will be a continuing possibility during the evening and
overnight periods across the N panhandle and Icy Strait Corridor.
Some areas could see measurable accumulations, with Juneau in
particular looking favored, though it is looking probable that
many locations will see their first accumulating snow of the
season. As the low responsible dissipates in the N panhandle,
precip will slowly diminish, with clearer weather trying to
establish itself across the N half of the area.

The cause of this clearing g skies will be an outflow event,
which will take place as the pressure gradient strengthens between
a new low impacting the S panhandle and a high in the Yukon.
Timing of the low, as well as just how far it manages to push into
the panhandle, remains a forecasting challenge. In either case,
Sunday through Monday could see strong N winds across at least the
northern half of the panhandle, with gale force conditions
possible in Lynn Canal. There may also be an opportunity for a
weak or moderate strength mountain wave event to setup over
downtown Juneau, though am not yet confident in this given the
differences in timing of the low to the south.

Disagreement among ensembles and operational runs alike rapidly
increases after this time period, but it does look like the low
in the S departs the area between Monday and Tuesday. It is
possible that a new wave could impact the N part of the panhandle
Tuesday or Wednesday.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind Thursday afternoon for AKZ027.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM Thursday to 8 AM AKST Friday
     for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind Thursday afternoon for AKZ023-028.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM Thursday to 6 PM AKST Friday
     for AKZ019.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-036-041>043-051-310.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ013-022-033>035-052-053.

&&

Ferrin/GFS

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 10, 3:50 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AJK	37 hr
Nov 10, 3:50 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AJK	60 hr
Nov 10, 3:53 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AJK	59 hr
Nov 10, 3:54 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AJK	59 hr
Nov 11, 4:19 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AJK	35 hr
Nov 11, 4:19 AM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AJK	47 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021 Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.