Small Craft Advisory 534, NWS Juneau, AK

566 
FZAK52 PAJK 101241
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-110645-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure over the southern Panhandle weakens as it moves 
eastward through Wednesday morning and high pressure ridge tracks 
over the E Gulf. A gale force low moves into the SE Gulf by late 
Wednesday night. 

$$

PKZ041-110645-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt late. Seas 6 ft 
building to 14 ft late. 
.THU...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 13 ft subsiding to
9 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-110645-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt late. Seas 7 ft 
building to 11 ft late. 
.THU...E gale to 45 kt. Seas building to 20 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-110645-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft 
building to 9 ft late. 
.THU...E gale to 40 kt. Seas building to 19 ft. Rain in the 
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-110645-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft in the 
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-110645-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
341 AM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the evening. Seas 
building to 8 ft late.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

949 
FZAK52 PAJK 110053
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-111900-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A high pressure ridge tracks over the Eastern Gulf as a gale
force low moves into the SE Gulf by late Wednesday night. This
low will track to the NE along the panhandle coast through
Friday night. 

$$

PKZ041-111900-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt late. Seas 8 ft
building to 14 ft late. Showers late. 
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-111900-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to
12 ft late. 
.THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-111900-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt late. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-111900-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-111900-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
353 PM AKST Wed Nov 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 17 ft in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain late. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SE swell. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

726 
FZAK52 PAJK 111257
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-120700-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front will sweep north over the Panhandle and
coastal waters on Thursday. The associated low will enter the
eastern Gulf Thursday night and make landfall in the vicinity of
Cross Sound Friday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ041-120700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
14 ft building to 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 17 ft.
W swell.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-120700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
10 ft building to 21 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-120700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 8 
ft building to 16 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas building to 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-120700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
8 ft building to 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. S swell. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-120700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft. S swell. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas building to 15 ft. S swell. Rain 
late.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Rain in the
afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

590 
FZAK52 PAJK 120036
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-121845-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low will track northward across the eastern Gulf
Thursday night and make landfall in the vicinity of Cross Sound
Friday afternoon. A wind shift to the SW will occur behind the 
low. Outlook. Northerly outflow winds develop Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-121845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW late. Seas 19 ft. SW
swell in the evening. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-121845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-121845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-121845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. SE swell in the morning.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S late. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-121845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas building to 13 
ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SE swell. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

863 
FZAK52 PAJK 121256
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-130700-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low will continue to track northward across the 
eastern Gulf of Alaska making landfall in the vicinity of Cross 
Sound and weakening this afternoon. A broad trough will remain 
over the eastern Gulf through the weekend with another low 
pressure system projected to move into the southern Panhandle 
Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-130700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21
ft. Showers early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 19 ft 
subsiding to 13 ft late. SW swell in the evening. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-130700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 
ft. Showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 13 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-130700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 
ft. Rain showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 18 ft
subsiding to 12 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-130700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming N in the morning becoming W in 
the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. S swell early in the morning. Rain 
showers. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-130700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
356 AM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 25 kt in the morning, then
becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers early in 
the morning. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S late. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

707 
FZAK52 PAJK 130039
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-131845-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low moves inland just south of Icy Strait while 
weakening this evening. A broad trough will remain over the 
eastern Gulf through the weekend with another low pressure system 
projected to approach the panhandle from the south on Sunday. 

$$

PKZ041-131845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft
subsiding to 12 ft late. SW swell late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-131845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 20 ft 
subsiding to 12 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-131845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 17 ft
subsiding to 11 ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-131845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-131845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
339 PM AKST Fri Nov 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

936 
FZAK52 PAJK 131222
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-140630-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad trough will remain over the eastern Gulf  through the
weekend with another low pressure system projected to  approach
the panhandle from the south on Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-140630-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-140630-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-140630-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-140630-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-140630-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
322 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 131311
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-140715-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad trough will remain over the eastern Gulf  through the
weekend with another low pressure system projected to  approach
the panhandle from the south on Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-140715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers late. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 



$$

PKZ042-140715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 



$$

PKZ043-140715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 



$$

PKZ051-140715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Isolated thunderstorms early in
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 



$$

PKZ052-140715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
411 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 



$$

931 
FZAK52 PAJK 131626 AAC
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-141030-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad trough will remain over the eastern Gulf  through the
weekend with another low pressure system projected to  approach
the panhandle from the south on Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-141030-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-141030-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-141030-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-141030-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Isolated thunderstorms early in
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-141030-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
726 AM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

361 
FZAK52 PAJK 140017
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-141830-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure over the NW gulf will track to the SE gulf through
the weekend. Multiple frontal bands will rotate about the low
and over the southern panhandle Sunday into Monday. 

$$

PKZ041-141830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to
7 ft late.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-141830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to
7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE late. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-141830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming E in the evening, then 
increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 7 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-141830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 
6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E late. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-141830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
317 PM AKST Sat Nov 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming E. Seas 8 ft in
the evening subsiding to 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

408 
FZAK52 PAJK 141306
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-150715-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure over Dixon Entrance rides NW through this evening
and dissipates over Baranof Island. A low in the central gulf 
strengthens to gale force this afternoon and then weakens on its 
way SE into Haida Gwaii Mon. Weak low pressure develops in the 
northern gulf Mon. High pressure persists across the Canadian 
Yukon. 

$$

PKZ041-150715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming W and increasing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain 
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-150715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 8 ft in the late afternoon. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-150715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-150715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-150715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
406 AM AKST Sun Nov 14 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
259 PM AKST Tue Nov 9 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Through Friday Morning/...It's been a busy day for
the forecast team with some locations across the panhandle reporting
their first snowfall of the season. The near-term forecast only had
minor changes to account for current conditions. Our efforts
today were focused on analyzing the next storm approaching the
panhandle from the south Thursday into Friday. Wind and possible
advisory level snow totals are expected with this storm.

First, the track of the Thursday/Friday system was adjusted, with
models indicating a speed up and a track further east than the
previous forecast. There was good agreement between the
deterministic models and ensembles which added confidence to
adjusting the timing and track. The NAM (12z and 18z) brought the
track closest to the coast, however hedged away from the NAM since
ensemble low positions were more in line with the GFS, Canadian,
and ECMWF. Wind fields were adjusted to match the shift in track.

Model surface temps, 850mb temps, and 1000-850mb thickness fields
indicate that most areas south of Icy Strait will remain rain for
the duration of the precipitation with this next storm. Areas
north of the Icy Strait corridor (Haines / Skagway) will stay snow
the longest with 6 or more inches of snow possible Thursday night
into Friday. For the Icy Strait corridor itself (Juneau, Hoonah,
Gustavus), model soundings show several hours of impressive lapse
rates through a saturated dendritic growth zone. However, there
are hints at a warm layer which would detract from the snow
potential. However, however, if precipitation rates are high
enough and with snowmelt cooling, that could cool the column
enough to keep accumulating snow longer. The Icy Strait corridor
will likely see precipitation start as accumulating snow, and then
transition to rain late Friday morning. Hourly temperatures were
adjusted to keep precipitation snow until the wind shifts from NE
to S, with temperatures rising after the wind shift. Preliminary
snow amounts look to be around 3-6 inches Thursday night into
Friday morning for Juneau, Gustavus, Hoonah. There is an outside shot
at heavier snow should the snow-to-rain transition happen later
than expected. The NAM, although an outlier for the pressure
field, seemed to have the best conceptual model for snow level,
depicting the rising snow levels through the day on Friday.

.LONG TERM.../ Thursday through Tuesday as of 10 PM Monday / A
gale-force system will make its way into the Gulf Thursday,
bringing precipitation through the weekend. Models continue to be
in good agreement, so only focused changes were made to the
forecast. A second prominent surface system is forecasted to
approach the southern portion of the panhandle at the end of the
weekend, but much lower confidence and agreement on this system.

This late-week low will bring organized, widespread precipitation
that will be moderate to heavy at times. Measurable snowfall is
expected in the northern half of the panhandle. The gale- force
system, with winds up to 45 knots around the low center, will
produce breezy land conditions as well. Expect the system to
advect warmer air to the region, bringing temperatures closer to
near- normal. As the two systems leave the region, expect another
cooling trend towards more below- normal temperatures.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ013-022-031-041>043-051-052.

&&

BFL/KRT

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