Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 351, NWS Juneau, AK

August 9, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Aug 9, 2021, 4:32 AM AKDT. It was in force for 35 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2021, 4:32 AM AKDT (12:32 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2021, 3:30 PM AKDT
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

069 
FZAK51 PAJK 091232
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-100230-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A short-lived ridge will build into the area on  Monday morning.
Another front moves into the region Monday  afternoon into
Tuesday.  

$$

PKZ011-100230-
Glacier Bay-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-100230-
Northern Lynn Canal-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-100230-
Southern Lynn Canal-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers early in 
the morning. Showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-100230-
Icy Strait-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning.
Showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-100230-
Cross Sound-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
Showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-100230-
Stephens Passage-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building to
6 ft late. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3
ft.


$$

PKZ032-100230-
Northern Chatham Strait-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers early in the morning.
Showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building to
6 ft late. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-100230-
Southern Chatham Strait-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 
ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 11 ft near ocean 
entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-100230-
Frederick Sound-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-100230-
Sumner Strait-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Gusts to
35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-100230-
Clarence Strait-
432 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft early in the morning then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, 
seas 5 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$
7 follow-up statements
103 
FZAK51 PAJK 091434 CCA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-100230-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A short-lived ridge will build into the area on  Monday morning.
Another front moves into the region Monday  afternoon into
Tuesday.  

$$

PKZ011-100230-
Glacier Bay-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-100230-
Northern Lynn Canal-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-100230-
Southern Lynn Canal-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-100230-
Icy Strait-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-100230-
Cross Sound-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Showers. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-100230-
Stephens Passage-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building to
6 ft late. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3
ft.


$$

PKZ032-100230-
Northern Chatham Strait-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building to
6 ft late. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-100230-
Southern Chatham Strait-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 
ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 11 ft near ocean 
entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-100230-
Frederick Sound-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-100230-
Sumner Strait-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Gusts to
35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-100230-
Clarence Strait-
634 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft early in the morning then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, 
seas 5 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$
256 
FZAK51 PAJK 091939 AAA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-100245-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A short-lived ridge will build into the area on  Monday morning.
Another front moves into the region Monday  afternoon into
Tuesday.  

$$

PKZ011-100245-
Glacier Bay-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ012-100245-
Northern Lynn Canal-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 



$$

PKZ013-100245-
Southern Lynn Canal-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ021-100245-
Icy Strait-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ022-100245-
Cross Sound-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Showers. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 



$$

PKZ031-100245-
Stephens Passage-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building to
6 ft late. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3
ft.



$$

PKZ032-100245-
Northern Chatham Strait-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building to
6 ft late. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ033-100245-
Southern Chatham Strait-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 
ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 11 ft near ocean 
entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ034-100245-
Frederick Sound-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ035-100245-
Sumner Strait-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Gusts to
35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ036-100245-
Clarence Strait-
1139 AM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft early in the morning then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, 
seas 5 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$
417 
FZAK51 PAJK 092319
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-101630-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A front moves across the region from the SW Monday evening with
offshore winds increasing to gale force. The front will pass
Tuesday morning with a wind shift from SE to SW. Outlook. Another
front will move into the northern gulf on Wednesday while a ridge
of high pressure pushes into the southern inner channels. 

$$

PKZ011-101630-
Glacier Bay-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-101630-
Northern Lynn Canal-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
Showers.
.WED...S wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-101630-
Southern Lynn Canal-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 4 ft.
Showers.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-101630-
Icy Strait-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the evening, then
increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the morning. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas
5 ft. Showers.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-101630-
Cross Sound-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing in the evening, then becoming
E 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind increasing to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 14 ft. 
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Seas 14 ft.
Showers.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-101630-
Stephens Passage-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt late. Seas 3 ft 
building to 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 4 ft.
Showers.
.WED...SE wind increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-101630-
Northern Chatham Strait-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to SE 25 kt late. Gusts to 40 
kt late near the northern end. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-101630-
Southern Chatham Strait-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to SE 25 kt late. Seas 3 ft 
building to 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft building to 8 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, 
except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 11 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-101630-
Frederick Sound-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt late. Seas 3 ft 
building to 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-101630-
Sumner Strait-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt
late. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft, 
except 8 ft near ocean entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 3 ft, except
8 ft near ocean entrances. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-101630-
Clarence Strait-
319 PM AKDT Mon Aug 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE and increasing to 25 kt late.
Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing late. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$
653 
FZAK51 PAJK 101249
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-110300-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A front will pass Tuesday morning with a wind shift from SE to 
SW. Outlook. Another front will move into the northern gulf on 
Wednesday while a ridge of high pressure pushes into the southern 
inner channels. 

$$

PKZ011-110300-
Glacier Bay-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft then 2 ft or less. 
.SAT...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-110300-
Northern Lynn Canal-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft late. Showers.
.WED...S wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas building
to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-110300-
Southern Lynn Canal-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers late. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-110300-
Icy Strait-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Strongest winds and highest
seas west of Point Adolphus. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft late.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 5 ft late. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-110300-
Cross Sound-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in
the afternoon. SW swell. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell in the morning.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-110300-
Stephens Passage-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain early in
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3
ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-110300-
Northern Chatham Strait-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-110300-
Southern Chatham Strait-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the morning. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 11 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-110300-
Frederick Sound-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the morning. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-110300-
Sumner Strait-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean 
entrances. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in the morning. 
Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances,
seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-110300-
Clarence Strait-
449 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$
418 
FZAK51 PAJK 101437 AAA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-110315-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A front will pass Tuesday morning with a wind shift  from SE to
SW. Outlook. Another front will move into the northern  gulf on
Wednesday while a ridge of high pressure pushes into the 
southern inner channels.  

$$

PKZ011-110315-
Glacier Bay-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft then 2 ft or less. 
.SAT...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ012-110315-
Northern Lynn Canal-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft late. Showers.
.WED...S wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas building
to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ013-110315-
Southern Lynn Canal-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers late. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ021-110315-
Icy Strait-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Strongest winds and highest
seas west of Point Adolphus. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft late.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 5 ft late. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ022-110315-
Cross Sound-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in
the afternoon. SW swell. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell in the morning.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 



$$

PKZ031-110315-
Stephens Passage-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain early in
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3
ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ032-110315-
Northern Chatham Strait-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ033-110315-
Southern Chatham Strait-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the morning. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 11 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ034-110315-
Frederick Sound-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the morning. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ035-110315-
Sumner Strait-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean 
entrances. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in the morning. 
Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances,
seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ036-110315-
Clarence Strait-
637 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Rain 
early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$
985 
FZAK51 PAJK 101720 AAB
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-110330-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A front will pass Tuesday morning with a wind shift  from SE to
SW. Outlook. Another front will move into the northern  gulf on
Wednesday while a ridge of high pressure pushes into the 
southern inner channels.  

$$

PKZ011-110330-
Glacier Bay-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft then 2 ft or less. 
.SAT...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ012-110330-
Northern Lynn Canal-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft late. Showers.
.WED...S wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas building
to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ013-110330-
Southern Lynn Canal-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers late. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ021-110330-
Icy Strait-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Strongest winds and highest
seas west of Point Adolphus. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft late.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 5 ft late. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ022-110330-
Cross Sound-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft 
in the afternoon. SW swell. Rain in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell in the morning.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 



$$

PKZ031-110330-
Stephens Passage-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain early in
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3
ft late. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ032-110330-
Northern Chatham Strait-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the 
morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ033-110330-
Southern Chatham Strait-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the morning. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 11 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ034-110330-
Frederick Sound-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the morning. Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ035-110330-
Sumner Strait-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean 
entrances. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in the morning. 
Rain early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances,
seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ036-110330-
Clarence Strait-
920 AM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Rain 
early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$
183 
FZAK51 PAJK 102330
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-111600-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A ridge of high pressure will push into the southern panhandle
through Tuesday evening. A front will move into the northern
gulf on Wednesday and become stationary. Outlook. The front will 
track SE Friday. 

$$

PKZ011-111600-
Glacier Bay-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing late. Seas 3 ft in the
evening, then 2 ft or less late.
.WED...SE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-111600-
Northern Lynn Canal-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 5 
ft. Showers in the evening. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-111600-
Southern Lynn Canal-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 4 
ft. Showers in the evening.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-111600-
Icy Strait-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt
in the evening. Seas 4 ft subsiding late. Showers early in the 
evening. Patchy fog.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-111600-
Cross Sound-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt late. Gusts to 45 kt in
the evening. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 10 ft late. Showers early in
the evening. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 ft. S swell. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-111600-
Stephens Passage-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding late. Patchy fog. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-111600-
Northern Chatham Strait-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt, except 25 kt near Icy Strait in the
evening. Seas 4 ft subsiding late. Patchy fog.
.WED...S wind 20 kt, strongest winds near Icy Strait. Seas 4 ft. 
Patchy fog in the morning.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-111600-
Southern Chatham Strait-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near ocean 
entrances. Areas of fog. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Areas of fog in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-111600-
Frederick Sound-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-111600-
Sumner Strait-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean 
entrances. Areas of fog. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean
entrances. Areas of fog in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft
near ocean entrances. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-111600-
Clarence Strait-
330 PM AKDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening, diminishing late. Seas 3 
ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Areas of fog. 
.WED...Light winds becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft or less. Areas of fog in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light.
Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 8, 2:36 PM AKDT, 13 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 8, 2:36 PM AKDT, 13 hours 56 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
236 PM AKDT Sun Aug 8 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Through Tuesday/... Rain, rain, and more rain. Two
fronts will move in during the short term period and the third
system, an atmospheric river, moves in mid-week and is further
discussed in the long term portion below. The current satellite
shows heavy rainfall rates in Cordova and rainfall starting in
Yakutat as the first front moves into the Panhandle from north to
south.

The first system is bringing heavy at times rainfall and gusty
winds. This front moves through by Monday morning, but many areas
will experience showers throughout the day before the second
front pushes in Monday evening into Tuesday. Rainfall rates are
forecasted to be lighter with this system, but back-to-back
rainfall may be enough to cause flooding and enhance run-off.
Additional information can be in found in the Special Weather
Statement.

Gusty winds are expected from both systems. Strong wind with gusts
up to 45 mph are expected in Skagway starting tonight through
tomorrow. Gusts up to 30 mph are possible across SE AK as each
front moves in. Winds 25 to 30 knots in the majority of the inside
waters, decreasing to 15 knots or less once each system passes.
Barrier jet gales forecasted along Yakutat's coast, also
decreasing as the front passes.

Temperatures are forecasted to remain in the 50s due to lower than
normal highs and warmer than normal lows from cloud cover. The
exception is the southern thirds of the panhandle with highs in
the 60s on Tuesday and an upward trend in high temperatures into
mid-week.

.LONG TERM.../Tuesday through next Sunday/ While incredible vapor
transport advects across the Panhandle all next week, the
subtleties of identifying when that moisture wrings out to
rainfall, and for our purposes, heavy rainfall will be the
challenge for the next few days. This especially holds true in
the extended forecast period.

Ensembles, to be clear not all members, generally paint a picture
of an increasingly anticyclonic curvature across the Panhandle
leading into Tuesday. This should suggest diminished forcing and
more subsidence which would serve as an inhibitor of rainfall.
However, the continued westerly flow through most levels of the
atmosphere against the complex terrain of Southeast will not erase
rain from the forecast. Rather, rainfall eases Tuesday into
Tuesday night as subtle ridging develops between systems. Where
anticyclonic curvature is greater, across the south, rain chances
should drastically fall. However, where terrain is higher across
the north and curvature is a little less anticyclonic, we still
think rain is likely to fall, but amounts will be far less than
that due Sunday afternoon/night and again Monday night.

While the earlier systems from the week each carry a good source
of moisture and should prime the soils of Southeast Alaska with a
solid dose of rainfall, it is the developing system for mid- week
that is most concerning. Our mid-week storm, fully swollen from
the entrails of post-tropical storm Nida, 91W, and Mirinae will
arrive in true atmospheric river form. As it glides into the gulf,
initial lift from a warm surge of air raises freezing levels to
near 12K feet and likely brings heavy rainfall for the northern
Panhandle. ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index states that over 90
percent of ensemble members are forecasting extreme
precipitation, basically defined as one standard deviation above
the mean forecast by the ECMWF initialized during a five week
period between 2000 and 2021, thus adding confidence. In addition,
curvature begins to bend cyclonically across the northern gulf
which would exacerbate forcing across the northern Panhandle,
aside from the higher terrain influence. Even the conservative
NBM has pushed precipitation high in this time frame, which formed
a basis for our QPF forecast, nudged with the last couple of runs
of ECMWF and GFS. All told, our initial assessment of some areas
across the north from Yakutat to Pelican/Elfin Cove across
Gustavus to Juneau could experience 5 to 7 inches of rainfall
during a five- day period (from Sunday to Thursday). How this
evolves is subject to debate. Some solutions press this
atmospheric river slowly southward through Friday albeit in
slowly weakening form. Greater spread in ensembles could account
for weakening signatures rather than the complete disappearance
of this week's series of storms. In other words, the caboose is
not yet in sight.

Two other important items to note in the forecast are an increase
in winds and increasing temperatures across the entire region,
especially on Thursday. We pushed Inner Channel winds up to small
craft Tuesday/Tuesday night with some gale force southwesterlies
across the eastern Gulf of Alaska. We fully expect to have to
increase winds even further with the Wednesday/Thursday storm, but
gradients as of yet are only hinted at. But we have begun to push
northern Inner Channel winds higher in the interim. Finally,
Ketchikan temperatures on Thursday may spike in the low 70s as
very warm ridging heats up to the atmosphere across the southern
Panhandle late in the week. An 80 is not out of the question in
Hyder. Chances of rain are still there, as these atmospheric
rivers could subtly meander at times, but increasingly likely is
that the southern Panhandle will avoid much of the mid-week storm
aimed at the north.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from 7 PM AKDT this evening through Monday afternoon
     for AKZ018.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ051-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-022-031>033-036-041>043.

&&

KRT/JWA

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 9:03 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 days
Aug 9, 4:22 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK11 hr
Aug 9, 4:37 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK35 hr
Aug 9, 3:15 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK13 hr
Aug 9, 3:19 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.