Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 298, NWS Juneau, AK

June 3, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 3, 2021, 3:53 PM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2021, 3:53 PM AKDT (23:53 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2021, 3:25 PM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

578 
FZAK52 PAJK 032353
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-041800-
353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low pressure system will track east-northeast and into the
southeast Gulf Friday morning. The low will slowly weaken then
move through Dixon Entrance Saturday morning. Outlook. A weak
ridge will build over the eastern Gulf behind the low for
Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-041800-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas
8 ft building to 11 ft. Showers.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. W swell. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-041800-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas
8 ft building to 11 ft. Showers.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-041800-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft 
building to 10 ft. Showers.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-041800-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E and increasing to 25 kt late.
Seas 6 ft building to 8 ft late. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt in the morning becoming N 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-041800-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt . Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$
5 follow-up statements
503 
FZAK52 PAJK 041236
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
436 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-050645-
436 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low pressure system over the southeast Gulf Friday  morning
will slowly weaken and drift through Dixon Entrance  by Saturday
morning. A weak ridge will build over the eastern  Gulf behind
the low through Saturday.  

$$

PKZ041-050645-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
436 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 45 kt early in the morning. Seas 12 ft. Showers early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-050645-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
436 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...Light winds becoming S 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-050645-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
436 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-050645-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
436 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-050645-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
436 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas
8 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
741 
FZAK52 PAJK 042325
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
325 PM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-051730-
325 PM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low pressure system over the southeast Gulf will slowly weaken
and drift through Dixon Entrance Saturday. A weak ridge will 
build over the eastern Gulf behind the low. 

$$

PKZ041-051730-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
325 PM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt late. Seas 11 ft.
SW swell.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-051730-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
325 PM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt late. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-051730-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
325 PM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-051730-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
325 PM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 
ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. SW swell in the
evening. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-051730-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
325 PM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light and variable. 
Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
904 
FZAK52 PAJK 051216
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
416 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-060630-
416 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low pressure system over the southeast Gulf will slowly weaken
and drift through Dixon Entrance Saturday afternoon as a ridge
builds over the eastern Gulf. A weak low over the northern Gulf
Saturday will drift SE into the central Gulf by Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-060630-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
416 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. Showers early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-060630-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
416 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-060630-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
416 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the evening. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-060630-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
416 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-060630-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
416 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt early in the morning becoming light. Seas
8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
263 
FZAK52 PAJK 051539 AAA
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
739 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-060945-
739 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low pressure system over the southeast Gulf will slowly weaken
and drift through Dixon Entrance Saturday afternoon as a ridge
builds over the eastern Gulf. A weak low over the northern Gulf
Saturday will drift SE into the central Gulf by Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-060945-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
739 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. Showers early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-060945-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
739 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-060945-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
739 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the evening. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-060945-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
739 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-060945-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
739 AM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt early in the morning becoming light. Seas
8 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
693 
FZAK52 PAJK 052325
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
325 PM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-061730-
325 PM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Remnants of a low pressure system over Dixon Entrance will
dissipate through late Saturday while a second low over the
northern Gulf drifts SE into the central Gulf by Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-061730-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
325 PM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-061730-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
325 PM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds becoming E 10 kt late. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-061730-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
325 PM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. SW swell in the 
evening.
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds becoming E 10 kt late. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-061730-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
325 PM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 7 ft. SW swell early in the evening.
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds becoming E 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-061730-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
325 PM AKDT Sat Jun 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 3, 2:05 PM AKDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 2:05 PM AKDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
205 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021

.SHORT TERM...Satellite imagery this afternoon showing a quasi
stationary weakening low over the NE Gulf and a second low
centered over the south-western AK Gulf continuing to track
eastward. Associated frontal and pre frontal bands have moved over
the AK Gulf and Panhandle continuing the trend of wet weather for
the region. Rainfall rates along with breaks in cloud cover,
especially over the northern panhandle, have let up a bit with the
past 6 hour amounts closer to 0.1 inches with a few locations at
0.4 to 0.5 inches. 850 mb winds have a more E to SE flow enhancing
these breaks. Winds on the other hand picked up for the central
and northern areas as the fronts crossed over the area with
sustained winds nearing 20 mph and gusts upwards of 30 to 35 mph.

As the SW Gulf low continues to track east showers over the
northern and central panhandle will begin to diminish due to
offshore flow while a band of heavy showers and strong winds will
move over the southern panhandle. However for the central and
northern areas any break in rain showers may be short lived as a
wave developing over northern British Columbia and Yukon has
potential to bring in more showers as it moves westward Saturday.
Meanwhile the low over the southern panhandle expected to weaken
by this time. Timing uncertain on this as the GFS keeps the low
intact longer. What does look more certain is a diminishing trend
in winds Saturday and through the weekend. Breaks in the clouds
Friday will allow for more diurnal heating and thus more
instability. Temperatures are predicted to be near- normal across
the northern panhandle, but remain below normal for the southern
portions as a result of continued rainfall.

Utilized a blend of NAM and Canadian with previous forecast
grids. Uncertainty in showers over the central and norther areas
as models limited any breaks but there were some obvious breaks
in cloud cover on satellite imagery. Forecast confidence is
average.

.LONG TERM.../ Saturday to Thursday as of 10 pm Wednesday / Friday
starts with the complex multi-center low aloft over the western
half of the state and the Gulf of Alaska. The operational models
and WPC guidance have generally good agreement into Monday. After
then, the long range have some larger differences in the upper
level pattern for start of the week. latest model runs have this
low center bit further to the north.

An upper low over the southern panhandle holds in place over the
weekend as one further west moves south of the one towards
Vancouver Island. This will pull some of the energy over the
panhandle and bring the low south to Haida Gwaii by Sunday
afternoon. Weaker flow over the panhandle will continue until the
feature near the Bering Straits dives southeast across the state
and gulf of Alaska. The models have some different timing; the
WPC which we leaned towards for next week was favoring the ECMWF
from earlier in the day.

At the surface the low Saturday approaches the southern panhandle
and then moves towards Dixon Entrance. Rain with this system
seems to want to be over the southern half of the panhandle. The
intensity of associated low and mid level lows will impact the
northern edge of the rain, with early thinking that it will tend
to stay over southern half. Sunday and into Monday, models
hinting that an easterly wave may try to cross over the coast
mountains somewhere near Juneau or just south of it.

Start of next week looks like it will be either dry or on the
lighter side for accumulations.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Above rainfall normal resulted elevated rivers and
small streams are. Jordan Creek reached minor flood stage while Auke
Lake, Montana Creek and Taku River in Juneau and the Stikine
River near Wrangell were hovering around bankfull and will
continue to be monitored. Additional rain amounts over the
northern half expected to be slightly lower than previously
forecast with amount closer to 0.5 inches tonight. The decrease in
rainfall across the north on Friday will allow those basins to
fall. Precipitation will increase over the southern panhandle
into Friday. Expecting 0.75" to 2" for the southern third of the
panhandle tonight into Friday.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Areal Flood Advisory until 10 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ025.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-036-041>043-051.

&&

PRB/Bezenek

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 4:16 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK59 hr
Jun 3, 4:27 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK35 hr
Jun 3, 5:59 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAJK10 hr
Jun 3, 3:53 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK13 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.