Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 297, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 3, 2021, 3:53 PM AKDT. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 3, 2021, 3:53 PM AKDT (23:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 4, 2021, 4:35 AM AKDT
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
191 FZAK51 PAJK 032353 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-041715- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A low pressure system will track east-northeast and into the southeast Gulf Friday morning. The low will slowly weaken then move through Dixon Entrance Saturday morning. Outlook. A weak ridge will build over the eastern Gulf behind the low for Saturday. $$ PKZ011-041715- Glacier Bay- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming N 10 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. .FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...S wind increasing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN THROUGH TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-041715- Northern Lynn Canal- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt late, then shifting N. Gusts to 35 kt early in the evening near the northern end. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers early in the evening. .FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light and variable. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-041715- Southern Lynn Canal- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft. Showers. .FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-041715- Icy Strait- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Higher gusts near the eastern end. Seas 3 ft. Showers. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-041715- Cross Sound- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 7 ft. Showers. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. .SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ031-041715- Stephens Passage- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft then subsiding. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-041715- Northern Chatham Strait- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. Showers. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-041715- Southern Chatham Strait- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Near the ocean entrance, gusts to 35 kt increasing to 45 kt late. Seas building to 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 7 ft building to 9 ft. Showers. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt in the morning becoming NE 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing late. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-041715- Frederick Sound- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Wind gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .FRI...E wind 20 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Showers. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ035-041715- Sumner Strait- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt near the ocean entrance. Seas building to 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas building to 7 ft. Showers. .FRI...E wind 25 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing late. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ036-041715- Clarence Strait- 353 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt late. Seas building to 6 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas building to 9 ft. Showers. .FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$
1 follow-up statement
905 FZAK51 PAJK 041521 AAA CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-050230- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A low pressure system over the southeast Gulf Friday morning will slowly weaken and drift through Dixon Entrance by Saturday morning. A weak ridge will build over the eastern Gulf behind the low through Saturday. $$ PKZ011-050230- Glacier Bay- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-050230- Northern Lynn Canal- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-050230- Southern Lynn Canal- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft early in the morning then 2 ft or less. Showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-050230- Icy Strait- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...SE wind 10 kt becoming SW. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-050230- Cross Sound- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. .SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ031-050230- Stephens Passage- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft early in the morning then 2 ft or less. Showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds becoming SE 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds becoming S 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-050230- Northern Chatham Strait- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE. Seas 3 ft. Showers early in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-050230- Southern Chatham Strait- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 9 ft. Showers. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-050230- Frederick Sound- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Showers. .SAT...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ035-050230- Sumner Strait- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 .TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft. Showers. .SAT...E wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN...W wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ036-050230- Clarence Strait- 435 AM AKDT Fri Jun 4 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Showers. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...Light winds becoming S 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 3, 2:05 PM AKDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 2:05 PM AKDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 205 PM AKDT Thu Jun 3 2021 .SHORT TERM...Satellite imagery this afternoon showing a quasi stationary weakening low over the NE Gulf and a second low centered over the south-western AK Gulf continuing to track eastward. Associated frontal and pre frontal bands have moved over the AK Gulf and Panhandle continuing the trend of wet weather for the region. Rainfall rates along with breaks in cloud cover, especially over the northern panhandle, have let up a bit with the past 6 hour amounts closer to 0.1 inches with a few locations at 0.4 to 0.5 inches. 850 mb winds have a more E to SE flow enhancing these breaks. Winds on the other hand picked up for the central and northern areas as the fronts crossed over the area with sustained winds nearing 20 mph and gusts upwards of 30 to 35 mph. As the SW Gulf low continues to track east showers over the northern and central panhandle will begin to diminish due to offshore flow while a band of heavy showers and strong winds will move over the southern panhandle. However for the central and northern areas any break in rain showers may be short lived as a wave developing over northern British Columbia and Yukon has potential to bring in more showers as it moves westward Saturday. Meanwhile the low over the southern panhandle expected to weaken by this time. Timing uncertain on this as the GFS keeps the low intact longer. What does look more certain is a diminishing trend in winds Saturday and through the weekend. Breaks in the clouds Friday will allow for more diurnal heating and thus more instability. Temperatures are predicted to be near- normal across the northern panhandle, but remain below normal for the southern portions as a result of continued rainfall. Utilized a blend of NAM and Canadian with previous forecast grids. Uncertainty in showers over the central and norther areas as models limited any breaks but there were some obvious breaks in cloud cover on satellite imagery. Forecast confidence is average. .LONG TERM.../ Saturday to Thursday as of 10 pm Wednesday / Friday starts with the complex multi-center low aloft over the western half of the state and the Gulf of Alaska. The operational models and WPC guidance have generally good agreement into Monday. After then, the long range have some larger differences in the upper level pattern for start of the week. latest model runs have this low center bit further to the north. An upper low over the southern panhandle holds in place over the weekend as one further west moves south of the one towards Vancouver Island. This will pull some of the energy over the panhandle and bring the low south to Haida Gwaii by Sunday afternoon. Weaker flow over the panhandle will continue until the feature near the Bering Straits dives southeast across the state and gulf of Alaska. The models have some different timing; the WPC which we leaned towards for next week was favoring the ECMWF from earlier in the day. At the surface the low Saturday approaches the southern panhandle and then moves towards Dixon Entrance. Rain with this system seems to want to be over the southern half of the panhandle. The intensity of associated low and mid level lows will impact the northern edge of the rain, with early thinking that it will tend to stay over southern half. Sunday and into Monday, models hinting that an easterly wave may try to cross over the coast mountains somewhere near Juneau or just south of it. Start of next week looks like it will be either dry or on the lighter side for accumulations. && .HYDROLOGY...Above rainfall normal resulted elevated rivers and small streams are. Jordan Creek reached minor flood stage while Auke Lake, Montana Creek and Taku River in Juneau and the Stikine River near Wrangell were hovering around bankfull and will continue to be monitored. Additional rain amounts over the northern half expected to be slightly lower than previously forecast with amount closer to 0.5 inches tonight. The decrease in rainfall across the north on Friday will allow those basins to fall. Precipitation will increase over the southern panhandle into Friday. Expecting 0.75" to 2" for the southern third of the panhandle tonight into Friday. && .AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...Areal Flood Advisory until 10 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ025. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-036-041>043-051. && PRB/Bezenek Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau
The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 4:16 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 59 hr | |
| Jun 3, 4:27 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 35 hr | |
| Jun 3, 5:59 AM AKDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AJK | 10 hr | |
| Jun 3, 3:53 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.